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Freseros vs Correcaminos Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 88-89 (OT)
13-25 17-14 18-16 21-14 19-20
Position#12
Record10-17
FormWLLLL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game89.7
vs
Position#15
Record6-21
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game89.8
MexicoLNBP· Inforum Irapuato
Other2024-25
Meetings · Freseros v Correcaminos
11 Aug 2026
FRES83
CORR86
10 Aug 2026
FRES99
CORR96
22 Aug 2025
FRES86
CORR87
21 Aug 2025
FRES85
CORR101
05 Oct 2024
FRES88
CORR89
04 Oct 2024
FRES93
CORR96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Freseros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Correcaminos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FreserosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuerza Regia
#2
L
73-91
73
91
-18
A08/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#8
W
106-101 OT
106
101
+5
H14/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#8
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H15/09
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#10
L
81-94
81
94
-13
A18/09
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#10
L
56-67
56
67
-11
A19/09
LNBP
Dorados
#7
W
98-76
98
76
+22
H22/09
LNBP
Dorados
#7
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H23/09
LNBP
Astros
#3
L
89-94
89
94
-5
A28/09
LNBP
Astros
#3
L
86-100
86
100
-14
A29/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#15
L
93-96 OT
93
96
-3
H05/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-28
26-27
19-14
11-22
14-23
28-23
12-24
36-20
21-24
26-17
23-15
15-26
24-22
17-21
14-29
26-22
12-14
15-21
16-17
13-15
23-21
34-21
16-19
25-15
24-20
15-14
13-23
16-19
19-22
16-36
19-20
35-16
19-27
17-18
16-32
34-23
33-15
18-30
20-18
13-21
171.2Avg total
83.5Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)86.389.7176.0-3.437%
Season at home (13)90.989.9180.8+1.046%
Season away (14)82.189.5171.6-7.429%
Last 10 (10)83.587.7171.2-4.230%
Last 5 (5)86.888.4175.2-1.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)86.790.2176.9-3.638%
vs Similar (4)84.586.8171.2-2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)90.489.8180.2+0.660%
This opponent (Correcaminos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CorrecaminosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diablos Rojos
#1
L
73-95
73
95
-22
A07/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
69-90
69
90
-21
H13/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
83-98
83
98
-15
H14/09
LNBP
Soles
#5
L
60-94
60
94
-34
A18/09
LNBP
Soles
#5
L
83-96
83
96
-13
A19/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#8
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H22/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#8
L
79-90
79
90
-11
H23/09
LNBP
Dorados
#7
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A27/09
LNBP
Dorados
#7
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A28/09
LNBP
Freseros
#12
W
96-93 OT
96
93
+3
A05/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
19-25
14-21
27-30
20-19
9-26
22-16
18-29
21-29
22-27
17-20
23-22
14-40
10-19
17-18
19-17
13-25
30-29
20-24
20-18
14-28
16-14
23-22
23-17
17-26
22-22
21-24
19-18
20-22
18-25
15-16
21-18
20-17
16-10
15-19
8-24
15-33
30-18
18-20
21-13
164.0Avg total
75.2Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)79.489.8169.3-10.422%
Season at home (12)77.587.2164.7-9.725%
Season away (15)81.091.9172.9-10.920%
Last 10 (10)75.288.8164.0-13.610%
Last 5 (5)76.883.0159.8-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)79.691.4171.0-11.819%
vs Similar (4)80.287.5167.8-7.225%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Freseros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -9.1-9.1Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.7-0.7
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -9.1-9.1Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.7-0.7
FreserosCorrecaminos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FreserosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuerza Regia
#2
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A08/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#8
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H14/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H15/09
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#10
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A18/09
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#10
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A19/09
LNBP
Dorados
#7
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H22/09
LNBP
Dorados
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H23/09
LNBP
Astros
#3
L
35-58
35
58
-23
A28/09
LNBP
Astros
#3
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A29/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#15
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H05/10
LNBP
86.2Avg total
41.8Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.646.690.2-3.030%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.946.292.2-0.338%-
Last 30 away (14)40.947.087.9-6.121%-
Last 10 (10)41.844.486.2-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)43.644.888.4-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)42.947.190.0-4.224%-
vs Similar (4)43.547.090.5-3.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)46.844.291.0+2.680%-
This opponent (Correcaminos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CorrecaminosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diablos Rojos
#1
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A07/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H13/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H14/09
LNBP
Soles
#5
L
24-59
24
59
-35
A18/09
LNBP
Soles
#5
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A19/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#8
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H22/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#8
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H23/09
LNBP
Dorados
#7
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A27/09
LNBP
Dorados
#7
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A28/09
LNBP
Freseros
#12
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A05/10
LNBP
83.2Avg total
35.9Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.047.488.3-6.420%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.445.884.2-7.417%-
Last 30 away (18)42.748.491.1-5.722%-
Last 10 (10)35.947.383.2-11.410%-
Last 5 (5)37.643.080.6-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)40.848.389.0-7.515%-
vs Similar (4)42.241.583.8+0.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Freseros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Freseros wins
1
Correcaminos wins
DateGameScore
05/10/24Freseros v Correcaminos93-96 OT
06/10/23Correcaminos v Freseros92-121
05/10/23Correcaminos v Freseros105-109 OT
Freseroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24HCorrecaminos93-96 OT
29/09/24AAstros86-100
28/09/24AAstros89-94
23/09/24HDorados68-76
22/09/24HDorados98-76
19/09/24AHalcones Rojos56-67
18/09/24AHalcones Rojos81-94
15/09/24HEl Calor de Cancun85-82
14/09/24HEl Calor de Cancun106-101 OT
08/09/24AFuerza Regia73-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24AFreseros96-93 OT
28/09/24ADorados59-70
27/09/24ADorados74-81
23/09/24HEl Calor de Cancun79-90
22/09/24HEl Calor de Cancun76-81
19/09/24ASoles83-96
18/09/24ASoles60-94
14/09/24HHalcones de Xalapa83-98
13/09/24HHalcones de Xalapa69-90
07/09/24ADiablos Rojos73-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Freseros
LNBP 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL37%
HomeWWWLL46%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %37%46%29%
Points / game86.390.982.1
Allowed / game89.789.989.5
Point differential-3.4+1.0-7.4
Avg total176.0180.8171.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%15%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)33% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %11%23%0%
Correcaminos
LNBP 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW22%
HomeWLLLL25%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %22%25%20%
Points / game79.477.581.0
Allowed / game89.887.291.9
Point differential-10.4-9.7-10.9
Avg total169.3164.7172.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%0%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fuerza Regia2821775%85.877.5+8.3
2 Astros2821775%84.679.0+5.6
3 Halcones de Xalapa2719870%88.683.3+5.4
4 Diablos Rojos2819968%90.483.5+6.9
5 Panteras28171161%87.785.3+2.4
6 Dorados27161159%85.385.4-0.0
7 Plateros27151256%83.381.1+2.1
8 Soles28151354%83.884.8-1.0
9 Halcones Rojos28141450%84.586.3-1.8
10 El Calor de Cancun28131546%82.780.2+2.5
11 Santos28121643%84.085.4-1.4
12 Freseros27101737%86.389.7-3.4
13 Mineros27101737%80.084.7-4.7
14 Lobos Plateados2872125%85.190.5-5.4
15 Correcaminos2762122%79.489.8-10.4
16 Abejas2862221%84.890.2-5.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Freseros131718211988
Correcaminos251416142089
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