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Freseros vs Mineros Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Aug 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 92-89
19-31 32-16 21-26 20-16
Position#13
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game92.7
vs
Position#7
Record1-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game91.7
MexicoLNBPRound 4· Inforum Irapuato
Other2026-27
Meetings · Freseros v Mineros
31 Jul 2026
FRES92
MINE89
30 Jul 2026
FRES93
MINE105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Freseros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mineros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FreserosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFreseros
Date
Competition
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
94-84
94
84
+10
no box
H10/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
74-105
74
105
-31
no box
H14/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
66-92
66
92
-26
no box
H15/09
LNBP
Santos
#12
L
69-87
69
87
-18
no box
A19/09
LNBP
Santos
#12
L
71-78
71
78
-7
no box
A20/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
78-84
78
84
-6
no box
A27/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
85-104
85
104
-19
no box
A28/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
80-84
80
84
-4
no box
A25/07
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
79-89
79
89
-10
no box
A26/07
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
93-105
93
105
-12
81avg 81
H31/07
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-18
29-25
14-27
21-14
14-24
17-24
18-27
25-30
16-30
20-19
15-23
15-20
10-21
22-19
19-22
18-25
18-16
15-18
24-20
14-24
19-15
23-28
23-20
13-21
29-28
29-25
12-20
15-31
13-22
24-24
18-16
25-22
16-21
23-27
23-19
17-22
27-21
20-34
25-24
21-26
170.1Avg total
78.9Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.092.7176.7-8.70%
Season at home (1)93.0105.0198.0-12.00%
Season away (2)79.586.5166.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)78.991.2170.1-12.310%
Last 5 (5)83.093.2176.2-10.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)75.992.3168.2-16.413%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mineros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinerosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMineros
Date
Competition
Panteras
#7
L
63-88
63
88
-25
no box
H28/09
LNBP
Santos
#12
W
91-77
91
77
+14
99avg 87
H03/10
LNBP
Santos
#12
W
109-86
109
86
+23
106avg 87
H04/10
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
L
83-84
83
84
-1
80avg 87
A10/10
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
L
81-86
81
86
-5
76avg 87
A11/10
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
W
88-85
88
85
+3
81avg 87
H14/10
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
L
73-86
73
86
-13
62avg 87
H15/10
LNBP
Santos
#10
L
86-87
86
87
-1
no box
A24/07
LNBP
Santos
#10
L
80-95
80
95
-15
no box
A25/07
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
105-93
105
93
+12
107avg 87
A31/07
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-26
15-30
17-9
19-23
17-23
29-16
25-23
20-15
28-20
36-21
22-21
23-24
22-20
18-18
17-25
26-21
19-24
26-22
22-19
14-21
25-25
22-15
14-24
27-21
17-21
26-20
15-20
15-25
27-24
17-24
20-25
22-14
14-25
24-26
19-32
23-12
21-27
34-20
24-25
26-21
172.6Avg total
85.9Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)90.391.7182.0-1.333%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)90.391.7182.0-1.333%
Last 10 (10)85.986.7172.6-0.840%
Last 5 (5)86.489.2175.6-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.085.0162.0-8.025%
vs Similar (6)77.781.0158.7-3.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)92.480.5172.9+11.983%
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
FreserosMineros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FreserosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H10/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H14/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H15/09
LNBP
Santos
#12
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A19/09
LNBP
Santos
#12
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A20/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A27/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A28/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A25/07
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A26/07
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H31/07
LNBP
87.3Avg total
41.4Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.547.186.5-7.620%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.546.187.6-4.629%-
Last 30 away (16)37.747.985.6-10.212%-
Last 10 (10)41.445.987.3-4.520%-
Last 5 (5)44.649.093.6-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)39.547.186.5-7.620%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mineros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinerosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panteras
#7
L
27-56
27
56
-29
H28/09
LNBP
Santos
#12
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H03/10
LNBP
Santos
#12
W
64-41
64
41
+23
H04/10
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A10/10
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A11/10
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H14/10
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H15/10
LNBP
Santos
#10
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A24/07
LNBP
Santos
#10
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A25/07
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
55-47
55
47
+8
A31/07
LNBP
89.6Avg total
44.9Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.542.582.9-2.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.340.281.5+1.167%-
Last 30 away (15)39.744.784.4-5.133%-
Last 10 (10)44.944.789.6+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.445.490.8+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.043.081.0-5.042%-
vs Similar (6)38.541.580.0-3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.942.486.3+1.558%-
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Freserostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Freseros: 93.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.021.0
61.8%
54.1%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.0
33.3%
34.8%30.0
🏀 Free throws34.021.0
61.8%
71.7%21.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minerostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mineros: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.022.0
53.7%
54.1%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.710.4
40.6%
34.8%31.3
🏀 Free throws20.015.3
76.4%
71.7%15.3
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/7 games with a box score before 01 Aug 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Freseros
LLLLLLLLLW
Mineros
WLLLWLLWWL
#13
League position
#7
-13.8
Net rating
+8.2
106.7
Offensive rating
115.0
120.4
Defensive rating
106.8
56.2%
Effective FG%
56.4%
69.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
9.2%
Turnover %
14.1%
0.53
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.3%
3-point %
40.6%
67.7%
Assist %
71.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 115.0Defence120.4 · 106.8Shooting56.2% · 56.4%3-point %33.3% · 40.6%Ball care9.2% · 14.1%Free throws0.53 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Freseros   ■ Mineros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Freseros wins
3
Mineros wins
DateGameScore
31/07/26Freseros v Mineros93-105
25/07/25Mineros v Freseros102-61
24/07/25Mineros v Freseros85-86
18/08/24Mineros v Freseros86-92
17/08/24Mineros v Freseros75-82
22/10/23Mineros v Freseros85-105
21/10/23Mineros v Freseros94-74
Freseroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/07/26HMineros93-105
26/07/26ADorados79-89
25/07/26ADorados80-84
28/09/25AGambusinos85-104
27/09/25AGambusinos78-84
20/09/25ASantos71-78
19/09/25ASantos69-87
15/09/25HDorados66-92
14/09/25HDorados74-105
10/09/25HHalcones de Xalapa94-84
Mineroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/07/26AFreseros105-93
25/07/26ASantos80-95
24/07/26ASantos86-87
15/10/25HFuerza Regia73-86
14/10/25HFuerza Regia88-85
11/10/25AFuerza Regia81-86
10/10/25AFuerza Regia83-84
04/10/25HSantos109-86
03/10/25HSantos91-77
28/09/25HPanteras63-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Freseros
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game84.093.079.5
Allowed / game92.7105.086.5
Point differential-8.7-12.0-7.0
Avg total176.7198.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mineros
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
Home--
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %33%-33%
Points / game90.3-90.3
Allowed / game91.7-91.7
Point differential-1.3--1.3
Avg total182.0-182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%-33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lobos Plateados220100%88.078.0+10.0
2 Santos330100%91.081.3+9.7
3 Dorados220100%86.579.5+7.0
4 Abejas43175%91.885.5+6.2
5 Astros43175%86.581.5+5.0
6 Panteras32167%89.785.3+4.3
7 Fuerza Regia32167%91.390.0+1.3
8 Diablos Rojos21150%85.589.5-4.0
9 Gambusinos31233%76.076.0+0.0
10 Soles31233%83.083.7-0.7
11 Mineros31233%90.391.7-1.3
12 El Calor de Cancun41325%80.286.8-6.5
13 Freseros3030%84.092.7-8.7
14 Correcaminos5050%83.094.8-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Freseros1932212092
Mineros3116261689
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