PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Fresno State vs California Baptist Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 69-86
35-36 34-50
Position#358
Record4-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#179
Record5-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game76.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Fresno State v California Baptist
21 Dec 2024
FRES69
CALI86
27 Nov 2024
FRES81
CALI86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
California Baptist winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Santa Barbara
#115
L
86-91
86
91
-5
A14/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
L
58-74
58
74
-16
A17/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
94-83
94
83
+11
H21/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A23/11
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A27/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
81-86 OT
81
86
-5
H28/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
62-84
62
84
-22
H05/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A08/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
67-95
67
95
-28
A12/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#360
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H15/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-37
52-54
35-38
23-36
53-36
41-47
28-39
44-30
36-39
37-45
27-37
38-28
24-29
38-55
25-36
41-45
27-44
40-51
32-37
41-28
154.4Avg total
73.2Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)72.479.0151.4-6.636%
Season at home (5)74.875.0149.8-0.260%
Season away (6)70.382.3152.7-12.017%
Last 10 (10)73.281.2154.4-8.030%
Last 5 (5)69.882.2152.0-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)65.678.4144.0-12.89%
vs Similar (7)77.970.3148.1+7.6100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (California Baptist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
California BaptistUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kennesaw State
#142
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H10/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
L
69-70
69
70
-1
H13/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#194
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H16/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
68-79
68
79
-11
H21/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H24/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H27/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
86-81 OT
86
81
+5
A28/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
L
59-74
59
74
-15
A01/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A12/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
42-42
46-42
37-30
32-40
47-40
43-37
28-40
40-39
41-32
38-36
32-45
45-34
37-27
28-38
29-32
30-42
33-40
42-41
23-25
41-50
152.3Avg total
75.5Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.276.9153.1-0.745%
Season at home (7)79.176.4155.6+2.757%
Season away (4)71.077.8148.8-6.825%
Last 10 (10)75.576.8152.3-1.340%
Last 5 (5)72.278.0150.2-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)64.872.1136.9-7.310%
vs Similar (15)70.171.0141.1-0.953%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)78.868.0146.8+10.880%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -5.1-5.11st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: -2.4-2.42nd half: -1.4-1.4
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -5.1-5.11st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: -2.4-2.42nd half: -1.4-1.4
Fresno StateCalifornia Baptist
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Santa Barbara
#115
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A14/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A17/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H21/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A23/11
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A27/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H28/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
24-29
24
29
-5
H05/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A08/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A12/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#360
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H15/12
NCAA
69.3Avg total
32.1Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.837.067.8-6.217%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.236.868.0-5.614%-
Last 30 away (16)30.437.267.7-6.819%-
Last 10 (10)32.137.269.3-5.110%-
Last 5 (5)27.036.663.6-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)29.137.266.3-8.013%-
vs Similar (7)36.336.672.9-0.329%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (California Baptist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
California BaptistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kennesaw State
#142
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H10/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H13/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#194
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H16/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H21/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H24/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H27/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A28/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A01/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A12/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
23-25
23
25
-2
A17/12
NCAA
70.2Avg total
34.9Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.633.765.3-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.934.167.0-1.150%-
Last 30 away (14)30.133.463.4-3.321%-
Last 10 (10)34.935.370.2-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)30.833.864.6-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)30.035.765.7-5.730%-
vs Similar (15)31.233.564.7-2.327%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)36.030.666.6+5.480%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fresno State wins
1
California Baptist wins
DateGameScore
28/11/24Fresno State v California Baptist81-86 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24HSan Diego Toreros73-65
12/12/24ABrigham Young67-95
08/12/24ASanta Clara66-81
05/12/24HSan Diego State62-84
28/11/24HCalifornia Baptist81-86 OT
27/11/24AWashington State73-84
23/11/24ALong Beach State72-69
21/11/24HPrairie View A&M94-83
17/11/24ACSU Bakersfield58-74
14/11/24AUC Santa Barbara86-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/24AMiddle Tenn. St.64-75
12/12/24ASan Diego State75-81
01/12/24AUCF Knights59-74
28/11/24AFresno State86-81 OT
27/11/24HSMU Mustangs77-79
24/11/24HEast. Washington79-68
21/11/24HNorthern Colorado68-79
16/11/24HLIU Sharks90-77
13/11/24HUC Riverside69-70
10/11/24HKennesaw State88-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW36%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%60%17%
Points / game72.474.870.3
Allowed / game79.075.082.3
Point differential-6.6-0.2-12.0
Avg total151.4149.8152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %9%20%0%
California Baptist
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL45%
HomeLWLWL57%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %45%57%25%
Points / game76.279.171.0
Allowed / game76.976.477.8
Point differential-0.7+2.7-6.8
Avg total153.1155.6148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %9%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1110191%86.365.5+20.8
2 San Diego State97278%75.764.7+11.0
3 Boise State129375%79.465.8+13.6
4 New Mexico129375%87.075.4+11.6
5 Nevada118373%77.766.3+11.5
6 Grand Canyon117464%78.470.8+7.5
7 Colorado State116555%74.070.5+3.5
8 Wyoming116555%73.771.6+2.1
9 UNLV116555%71.569.5+1.9
10 San Jose State126650%77.873.2+4.6
11 Fresno State114736%72.479.0-6.6
12 Air Force123925%65.769.4-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Abilene Christian138562%76.270.7+5.5
2 Southern Utah148657%77.073.0+4.0
3 Utah Valley State126650%73.870.7+3.1
4 UT Arlington136746%77.974.3+3.6
5 California Baptist115645%76.276.9-0.7
6 Utah Tech1441029%71.676.6-5.0
7 Tarleton1331023%61.673.0-11.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fresno State353469
California Baptist365086
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.