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Fresno State vs Georgia State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Projected 81-71
Projected total 151.9
Final 95-92 (OT)
39-38 39-40 17-14
Position#196
Record1-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game80.0
Fresno State 🏆
USA
Vs
82%
18%
■ FRES 82%■ GEOR 18%
Pythia win probability
Georgia State
USA
Position#319
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game71.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Fresno State will host Georgia State on 10 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names Fresno State the clear favourite, rating them 82% to win largely because of their 1-1 season record, 76.5 points per game and 80.0 allowed per game, and a 1-0 home record with 88.0 points scored and 79.0 allowed. Fresno State has won 1 of 5 games recently, with a loss to UC San Diego 65-81 away on 7 November and a win over Fresno Pacific 88-79 at home on 2 November, while Georgia State is 1-2 this season, averaging 83.7 points and 71.3 allowed, and has only 1 win in 5 recent games, a 111-61 home win over Andrew Fighting Tigers on 7 November. Their last road game was a 67-77 loss to Charlotte on 5 November. In the only previous meeting, the record shows one encounter, but no score is given. Pythia projects a 81-71 win for Fresno State, with a total of 151.9 points, and a 64% chance that Fresno State will cover the -6.5 spread; the over on the 149.5 line has a 55% probability, and there is a 3% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winWon
81.8%fair 1.22
Best odds1.41
Implied69.8%
Edge+12.0pp
Georgia State winLost
18.2%fair 5.49
Best odds3.19
Implied30.2%
Edge-12.0pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 07:05 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#371
W
93-63
93
63
+30
H14/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A18/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
78-80
78
80
-2
H22/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A25/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
53-69
53
69
-16
H01/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H04/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
60-85
60
85
-25
A08/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A12/03
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#345
W
88-79
88
79
+9
H03/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#65
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A08/11
NCAA
1H
2H
45-33
48-30
40-42
42-50
44-32
34-48
39-32
31-42
23-28
30-41
45-34
37-34
29-44
31-41
32-27
31-40
41-38
47-41
36-32
29-49
149.2Avg total
73.4Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.580.0156.5-3.550%
Season at home (1)88.079.0167.0+9.0100%
Season away (1)65.081.0146.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)73.475.8149.2-2.430%
Last 5 (5)71.676.0147.6-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)67.175.3142.4-8.321%
vs Similar (4)85.586.2171.8-0.850%
vs Weaker (6)78.562.8141.3+15.783%
This opponent (Georgia State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#169
L
79-81 OT
79
81
-2
A13/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
55-78
55
78
-23
A14/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H20/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H21/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H25/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H28/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A03/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#94
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H02/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#186
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A06/11
NCAA
Andrew Fighting Tigers
#472
W
111-61
111
61
+50
H07/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-41
37-29
26-36
29-42
37-27
29-37
26-40
39-40
28-30
43-46
42-36
31-45
38-36
37-48
34-34
39-42
33-35
34-42
48-32
63-29
149.3Avg total
73.5Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.771.3155.0+12.333%
Season at home (2)92.068.5160.5+23.550%
Season away (1)67.077.0144.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)73.575.8149.3-2.320%
Last 5 (5)79.875.8155.6+4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)69.576.2145.7-6.635%
vs Similar (6)70.379.3149.7-9.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)84.768.7153.3+16.067%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 140.5Actual: Over 140.5
Over 140.5
75.4%
@ 1.45+11.6pp
Under 140.5
24.6%
@ 2.60-11.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.45
Under
Bet365
2.60
Betano
2.50
Over/Under 145.5 · main lineActual: Over 145.5
Over 145.5
64.8%
@ 1.90+14.5pp
Under 145.5
35.2%
@ 1.93-14.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
1.89
SBO
1.88
Marathon Be
1.85
Betano
1.85
Under
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.92
Pinnacle
1.92
WilliamHill
1.91
Marathon Be
1.88
Over/Under 150.5Actual: Over 150.5
Over 150.5
52.8%
@ 2.55+8.6pp
Under 150.5
47.2%
@ 1.80-8.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.37
Pinnacle
2.14
WilliamHill
1.91
Under
WilliamHill
1.80
Pinnacle
1.70
Marathon Be
1.67
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.47

📊 3. Team Totals

Fresno State total 72Actual: Fresno State over 72
Over 72
82.7%
Under 72
17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fresno State total 76 · main lineActual: Fresno State over 76
Over 76
70.2%
@ 1.85+20.2pp
Under 76
29.8%
@ 1.85-20.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Fresno State total 80Actual: Fresno State over 80
Over 80
54.6%
Under 80
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Georgia State total 66Actual: Georgia State over 66
Over 66
68.3%
Under 66
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Georgia State total 70 · main lineActual: Georgia State over 70
Over 70
52.6%
@ 1.86+2.7pp
Under 70
47.4%
@ 1.85-2.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Georgia State total 74Actual: Georgia State over 74
Over 74
36.6%
Under 74
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Fresno State -9Actual: Georgia State +9
FRES -9
54.9%
@ 2.35+15.3pp
GEOR +9
45.1%
@ 1.54-15.3pp
Best 5 market prices
FRES
Bet365
2.35
GEOR
Bet365
1.54
Spread Fresno State -6 · main lineActual: Georgia State +6
FRES -6
66.0%
@ 1.93+16.0pp
GEOR +6
34.0%
@ 1.93-16.0pp
Best 5 market prices
FRES
Pinnacle
1.93
Bet365
1.91
SBO
1.88
Marathon Be
1.83
GEOR
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathon Be
1.88
Bet365
1.83
SBO
1.81
Spread Fresno State -3Push
FRES -3
75.9%
@ 1.50+13.4pp
GEOR +3
24.1%
@ 2.50-13.4pp
Best 5 market prices
FRES
Bet365
1.50
GEOR
Bet365
2.50

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: -5.6-5.62nd half: -1.9-1.9
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: -5.6-5.62nd half: -1.9-1.9
Fresno StateGeorgia State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#371
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H14/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A18/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H22/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A25/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H01/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H04/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A08/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A12/03
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#345
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H03/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#65
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A08/11
NCAA
71.6Avg total
37.4Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 68.5
Last 30 (30)34.234.768.9-0.547%53%
Last 30 at home (16)35.033.468.4+1.650%56%
Last 30 away (14)33.336.269.5-2.943%50%
Last 10 (10)37.434.271.6+3.270%70%
Last 5 (5)36.635.071.6+1.680%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)30.533.263.7-2.732%37%
vs Similar (4)42.043.285.2-1.250%100%
vs Weaker (6)39.733.272.8+6.583%67%
This opponent (Georgia State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#169
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A13/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A14/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H20/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H21/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H25/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H28/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A03/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#94
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H02/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#186
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A06/11
NCAA
Andrew Fighting Tigers
#472
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H07/11
NCAA
69.2Avg total
34.5Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 68.5
Last 30 (30)33.936.170.1-2.237%53%
Last 30 at home (15)35.733.168.9+2.653%47%
Last 30 away (15)32.139.171.3-7.020%60%
Last 10 (10)34.534.769.2-0.240%40%
Last 5 (5)39.034.673.6+4.460%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)31.935.967.8-4.030%45%
vs Similar (6)34.237.271.3-3.050%67%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)42.337.379.7+5.033%67%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Fresno State win
FRES win
no forecast
@ 1.50
GEOR win
no forecast
@ 2.68
1st half Spread Fresno State -3 · main lineActual: Georgia State +3
FRES -3
no forecast
@ 1.88
GEOR +3
no forecast
@ 1.95
1st half Over/Under 68.5 · main lineActual: Over 68.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under
no forecast
@ 2.05
Fresno State 1st half total 36.5 · main lineActual: Fresno State over 36.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Georgia State 1st half total 33 · main lineActual: Georgia State over 33
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half: FRES + total 68.5
FRES & over
no forecast
@ 3.05
FRES & under
no forecast
@ 2.85
1st half: Draw + total 68.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 26.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 23.00
1st half: GEOR + total 68.5
GEOR & over
no forecast
@ 5.25
GEOR & under
no forecast
@ 4.90
1st half Over/Under 67Actual: Over 67
Over
no forecast
@ 1.70
Under
no forecast
@ 2.16
1st half Over/Under 70Actual: Over 70
Over
no forecast
@ 2.12
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
1st half Spread Fresno State -4Actual: Georgia State +4
FRES -4
no forecast
@ 2.06
GEOR +4
no forecast
@ 1.78
1st half Spread Fresno State -2Actual: Georgia State +2
FRES -2
no forecast
@ 1.71
GEOR +2
no forecast
@ 2.15
1st half Over/Under 65.5Actual: Over 65.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.50
Under
no forecast
@ 2.60
1st half Over/Under 71.5Actual: Over 71.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.50
Under
no forecast
@ 1.62
1st half Spread Fresno State -5.5Actual: Georgia State +5.5
FRES -5.5
no forecast
@ 2.38
GEOR +5.5
no forecast
@ 1.55
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Draw after regulation
FRES
no forecast
@ 1.55
Draw
no forecast
@ 21.00
GEOR
no forecast
@ 2.67

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
FRES win + total 145.5
🔒 Pro
GEOR win + total 145.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: FRES leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: GEOR leads at half
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: close (1-10 points)
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: clear (11-20 points)
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Fresno State over 74.574.6%1.66
Pinnacle
1.85
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.47		--+23.5ppWon
Fresno State over 75.571.3%1.84
Pinnacle
1.95
Marathon Bet
1.87
Betano
1.80
WilliamHill
1.80
Bet365
1.80		+22.7ppWon
Fresno State over 7670.2%1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85		---+20.2ppWon
Fresno State over 73.577.6%1.53
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.53
1xBet
1.53		--+17.2ppWon
Fresno State over 71.583.1%1.38
Bet365
1.38
Betano
1.37		---+16.7ppWon
Fresno State over 72.580.5%1.40
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Bet365
1.32		--+16.0ppWon
Fresno State (regulation)79.7%1.40
Betano
1.42
Marathon Bet
1.38		---+15.5ppLost
Fresno State over 70.585.5%1.28
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.22		--+14.4ppWon
Fresno State -473.0%1.61
Pinnacle
1.63
Bet365
1.60		---+14.3ppLost
Fresno State -1.579.8%1.41
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.38		---+14.3ppWon
Fresno State -2.576.5%1.48
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.47		---+14.2ppWon
Fresno State -4.570.6%1.69
Betano
1.72
Marathon Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68
Bet365
1.66		-+13.7ppLost
Fresno State over 69.587.6%1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.25		---+13.5ppWon
Fresno State -279.1%1.41
Bet365
1.41		----+13.4ppWon
Fresno State -3.573.9%1.58
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.58
Bet365
1.57		--+13.4ppLost
Fresno State -375.9%1.50
Bet365
1.50		----+13.4ppPush
Over 14272.9%1.55
Bet365
1.55		----+13.1ppWon
Over 14370.7%1.66
Marathon Bet
1.71
Bet365
1.60		---+12.8ppWon
Over 142.571.3%1.60
Marathon Bet
1.67
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.57		--+12.6ppWon
Over 141.573.4%1.52
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.52		---+12.4ppWon
Fresno State -181.4%1.37
Bet365
1.37		----+12.4ppWon
Fresno State +1.583.5%1.29
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.27		---+12.0ppWon
Fresno State win81.8%1.38
1xBet
1.41
Betano
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
Bet365
1.37
Marathon Bet
1.36		+12.0ppWon
Fresno State +2.585.8%1.25
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.23		---+11.8ppWon
Fresno State +183.2%1.28
Bet365
1.28		----+11.7ppWon
Over 140.575.4%1.45
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.45		---+11.6ppWon
Over 14174.9%1.47
Bet365
1.47		----+11.5ppWon
Over 13978.7%1.37
Bet365
1.37		----+11.2ppWon
Over 14076.9%1.41
Bet365
1.41		----+11.2ppWon
Over 139.577.3%1.39
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.38		---+11.0ppWon
Fresno State +3.587.4%1.22
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.20		---+11.0ppWon
Over 138.579.1%1.35
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.34		---+10.5ppWon
Fresno State +285.5%1.25
Bet365
1.25		----+10.5ppWon
Fresno State +4.589.2%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+10.3ppWon
Over 13880.5%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+10.0ppWon
Over 137.580.9%1.30
Bet365
1.30		----+9.4ppWon
Over 135.584.0%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+7.9ppWon
Fresno State +9.595.0%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+7.9ppWon
Fresno State +8.594.1%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+7.5ppWon
Over 136.582.5%1.23
Bet365
1.23		----+7.2ppWon
Fresno State +14.597.8%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+7.1ppWon
Fresno State +13.597.4%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+7.0ppWon
Overtime: no96.5%1.04
WilliamHill
1.05
Betano
1.02		---+6.0pp-
Over 125.594.7%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+5.1ppWon
Over 131.589.3%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+4.9ppWon
Over 130.590.4%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+4.9ppWon
Over 126.594.0%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+4.4ppWon
Georgia State over 54.594.5%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+3.0ppWon
Georgia State over 53.595.5%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+2.7ppWon
Georgia State over 55.593.3%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+2.6ppWon
Over 124.595.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+2.5ppWon
Georgia State over 56.592.0%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+2.3ppWon
Georgia State under 76.571.6%1.33
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.34
1xBet
1.30		--+2.1ppLost
Over 129.591.4%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+2.1ppWon
Georgia State under 78.577.7%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+1.5ppLost
Georgia State over 58.588.6%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+1.4ppWon
Georgia State over 57.590.4%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+1.4ppWon
Fresno State under 97.594.9%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+1.3ppWon
Georgia State over 62.579.0%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+1.2ppWon
Georgia State over 60.584.3%1.12
Bet365
1.12		----+1.2ppWon
Over 134.585.5%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+1.1ppWon
Georgia State under 82.587.2%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+1.1ppLost
Fresno State under 96.593.8%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+1.1ppWon
Georgia State over 59.586.5%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+0.4ppWon
Georgia State over 61.581.7%1.14
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.14		---+0.3ppWon
Under 174.591.5%1.02
Bet365
1.02		-----0.1ppLost
Fresno State under 94.591.0%1.02
Bet365
1.02		-----0.1ppLost
Georgia State over 63.576.0%1.22
Bet365
1.22		-----0.2ppWon
Georgia State under 79.580.4%1.15
1xBet
1.17
Bet365
1.13		----0.4ppLost
Georgia State over 64.572.8%1.25
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.22		----1.1ppWon
Fresno State under 95.592.5%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----1.1ppWon
Georgia State under 77.574.7%1.22
Bet365
1.22		-----1.4ppLost
Georgia State under 81.585.1%1.08
Bet365
1.08		-----1.5ppLost
Georgia State under 80.582.9%1.11
Bet365
1.11		-----1.5ppLost
Fresno State under 92.587.4%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----2.3ppLost
Fresno State under 93.589.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----2.9ppLost
Under 169.585.9%1.05
Bet365
1.05		-----3.1ppLost
Under 171.588.4%1.02
Bet365
1.02		-----3.1ppLost
Georgia State +21.583.8%1.07
Bet365
1.07		-----3.7ppWon
Under 170.587.2%1.02
Bet365
1.02		-----4.3ppLost
Fresno State under 90.582.8%1.07
Bet365
1.07		-----4.7ppLost
Georgia State +20.581.7%1.08
Bet365
1.08		-----5.0ppWon
Fresno State under 91.585.2%1.03
Bet365
1.03		-----5.2ppLost
Under 164.578.2%1.11
Bet365
1.11		-----6.2ppLost
Fresno State under 88.577.2%1.11
Bet365
1.11		-----7.2ppLost
Under 166.581.6%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----7.8ppLost
Georgia State +16.571.1%1.16
Bet365
1.16		-----8.4ppWon
Fresno State under 89.580.1%1.05
Bet365
1.05		-----8.6ppLost
Under 165.579.9%1.05
Bet365
1.05		-----9.1ppLost
Under 161.572.5%1.11
Bet365
1.11		-----11.9ppLost
Fresno State under 87.574.0%1.09
Bet365
1.09		-----12.1ppLost
Fresno State under 86.570.7%1.11
Bet365
1.11		-----13.2ppLost
Under 160.570.5%1.11
Bet365
1.11		-----13.3ppLost
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fresno State wins
0
Georgia State wins
No previous meetings.
Fresno Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26AUC San Diego65-81
03/11/26HFresno Pacific88-79
12/03/26AColorado State63-67
08/03/26AGrand Canyon60-85
04/03/26HSan Jose State82-68
01/03/26HBoise State53-69
25/02/26AColorado State70-74
22/02/26HNew Mexico78-80
18/02/26AWyoming82-92
14/02/26HAir Force93-63
Georgia Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HAndrew Fighting Tigers111-61
06/11/26ACharlotte67-77
02/11/26HBowling Green73-76
03/03/26ALouisiana Lafayette75-84
28/02/26HOld Dominion73-81
25/02/26HCoastal Carolina71-76
21/02/26HJames Madison65-80
20/02/26HGeorgia Southern66-64
14/02/26AOld Dominion55-78
13/02/26AJames Madison79-81 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game76.588.065.0
Allowed / game80.079.081.0
Point differential-3.5+9.0-16.0
Avg total156.5167.0146.0
Over 145.5100%100%100%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Georgia State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game83.792.067.0
Allowed / game71.368.577.0
Point differential+12.3+23.5-10.0
Avg total155.0160.5144.0
Over 145.567%100%0%
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boise State220100%116.067.0+49.0
2 Utah State220100%92.057.0+35.0
3 New Mexico220100%97.062.5+34.5
4 Grand Canyon220100%101.080.0+21.0
5 Nevada220100%91.072.0+19.0
6 San Diego State220100%89.572.0+17.5
7 Colorado State220100%81.070.5+10.5
8 UNLV220100%88.578.0+10.5
9 Wyoming32167%83.762.0+21.7
10 Air Force32167%89.080.7+8.3
11 San Jose State21150%87.082.5+4.5
12 Fresno State21150%76.580.0-3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State330100%91.362.0+29.3
2 Old Dominion330100%78.052.7+25.3
3 Southern Miss21150%69.559.0+10.5
4 Georgia State31233%83.771.3+12.3
5 Appalachian State31233%70.060.3+9.7
6 Marshall31233%80.776.7+4.0
7 Louisiana Monroe31233%81.382.0-0.7
8 Louisiana Lafayette31233%59.060.3-1.3
9 Georgia Southern31233%80.382.3-2.0
10 South Alabama31233%76.380.7-4.3
11 Troy31233%67.377.0-9.7
12 Arkansas State31233%74.084.3-10.3
13 Coastal Carolina31233%62.380.0-17.7
14 James Madison2020%78.587.5-9.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Fresno State39391795
Georgia State38401492
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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