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Fresno State vs New Mexico Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 78-80
0-0 44-32 0-0 34-48
Position#275
Record12-14
FormWLLWL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game72.6
Fresno State
USA
vs
New Mexico 🏆
USA
Position#50
Record20-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game69.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Fresno State v New Mexico
21 Feb 2026
FRES78
NEW 80
31 Dec 2024
FRES89
NEW 103
03 Jan 2023
FRES71
NEW 67
28 Feb 2022
FRES71
NEW 68
10 Mar 2021
FRES85
NEW 77
30 Jan 2021
FRES65
NEW 55
28 Jan 2021
FRES64
NEW 62
01 Feb 2020
FRES82
NEW 77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Mexico winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#90
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H14/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A22/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H25/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
79-62
79
62
+17
A31/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
98-96
98
96
+2
H04/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
59-69
59
69
-10
A08/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A11/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
93-63
93
63
+30
H14/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A18/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
36-22
0-0
43-47
0-0
26-27
0-0
37-33
0-0
23-36
0-0
51-47
0-0
19-26
0-0
38-42
0-0
44-39
0-0
35-23
0-0
49-50
0-0
49-46
0-0
28-28
0-0
31-41
0-0
35-47
0-0
43-44
0-0
45-33
0-0
48-30
0-0
40-42
0-0
42-50
151.5Avg total
76.2Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)74.072.6146.6+1.546%
Season at home (16)75.969.3145.2+6.662%
Season away (10)71.177.8148.9-6.720%
Last 10 (10)76.275.3151.5+0.950%
Last 5 (5)82.082.2164.2-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)67.875.3143.1-7.528%
vs Similar (6)81.779.0160.7+2.750%
vs Weaker (5)77.861.8139.6+16.080%
This opponent (New Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New MexicoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#95
W
87-64
87
64
+23
H14/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A18/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H22/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H25/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
89-61
89
61
+28
A28/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A01/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
66-86
66
86
-20
H05/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
90-91
90
91
-1
H08/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A12/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
98-61
98
61
+37
H18/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
38-33
0-0
49-31
0-0
35-48
0-0
44-35
0-0
36-23
0-0
47-51
0-0
36-35
0-0
44-38
0-0
41-22
0-0
48-39
0-0
41-35
0-0
49-45
0-0
33-36
0-0
33-50
0-0
42-43
0-0
48-48
0-0
40-27
0-0
30-37
0-0
55-33
0-0
43-28
156.9Avg total
83.2Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)81.569.2150.7+12.377%
Season at home (17)83.469.2152.5+14.282%
Season away (9)77.969.2147.1+8.767%
Last 10 (10)83.273.7156.9+9.570%
Last 5 (5)82.876.4159.2+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)76.073.9149.9+2.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)81.466.0147.4+15.485%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +6.2+6.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +3.3+3.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +6.2+6.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +3.3+3.3
Fresno StateNew Mexico
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#90
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H14/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A22/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
19-26
19
26
-7
H25/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A31/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H04/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A08/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A11/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H14/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A18/02
NCAA
69.5Avg total
34.5Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.034.267.2-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.131.664.7+1.550%-
Last 30 away (12)32.838.271.0-5.325%-
Last 10 (10)34.535.069.5-0.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.079.4-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)29.134.263.2-5.117%-
vs Similar (6)38.736.375.0+2.367%-
vs Weaker (5)38.633.071.6+5.680%-
This opponent (New Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New MexicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#95
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H14/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A18/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H22/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H25/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
41-22
41
22
+19
A28/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A01/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H05/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H08/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A12/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H18/02
NCAA
73.2Avg total
39.7Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.531.167.6+5.573%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.931.268.2+5.779%-
Last 30 away (11)35.830.866.6+5.064%-
Last 10 (10)39.733.573.2+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)42.234.877.0+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)35.735.871.5-0.160%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)37.028.765.7+8.380%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Fresno State wins
5
New Mexico wins
DateGameScore
22/01/26New Mexico v Fresno State83-74
20/01/25New Mexico v Fresno State95-67
01/01/25Fresno State v New Mexico89-103
07/03/24New Mexico v Fresno State79-58
01/03/23New Mexico v Fresno State94-80
04/01/23Fresno State v New Mexico71-67
01/03/22Fresno State v New Mexico71-68
26/01/22New Mexico v Fresno State60-65
11/03/21Fresno State v New Mexico85-77
31/01/21Fresno State v New Mexico65-55
Fresno Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26AWyoming82-92
14/02/26HAir Force93-63
11/02/26AUtah State78-91
08/02/26ANevada59-69
04/02/26HUNLV98-96
31/01/26AAir Force79-62
25/01/26HGrand Canyon57-68
22/01/26ANew Mexico74-83
18/01/26HWyoming63-60
14/01/26HColorado State79-69
New Mexicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26HAir Force98-61
12/02/26AGrand Canyon70-64
08/02/26HBoise State90-91
05/02/26HUtah State66-86
01/02/26ASan Jose State90-80
28/01/26AUNLV89-61
25/01/26HNevada80-73
22/01/26HFresno State83-74
18/01/26ASan Diego State79-83
14/01/26HGrand Canyon87-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL46%
HomeWWLWW62%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261610
Win %46%62%20%
Points / game74.075.971.1
Allowed / game72.669.377.8
Point differential+1.5+6.6-6.7
Avg total146.6145.2148.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%31%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (8)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
New Mexico
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW77%
HomeWWLLW82%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games26179
Win %77%82%67%
Points / game81.583.477.9
Allowed / game69.269.269.2
Point differential+12.3+14.2+8.7
Avg total150.7152.5147.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%59%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2623388%84.368.6+15.7
2 New Mexico2620677%81.569.2+12.3
3 San Diego State2618869%78.970.0+8.9
4 Grand Canyon2617965%75.268.5+6.7
5 Nevada2617965%76.071.8+4.2
6 Colorado State27171063%76.871.0+5.7
7 Boise State27161159%78.674.4+4.3
8 Wyoming26141254%78.073.5+4.5
9 UNLV27141352%79.978.7+1.1
10 Fresno State26121446%74.072.6+1.5
11 San Jose State2772026%70.777.4-6.6
12 Air Force2732411%61.680.1-18.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fresno State04403478
New Mexico03204880
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