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Fresno State vs Grand Canyon Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 57-68
19-26 38-42
Position#275
Record9-10
FormWLWWL
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game70.8
vs
Position#95
Record12-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game68.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Grand Canyon winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#36
L
58-82
58
82
-24
A06/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
87-89
87
89
-2
A11/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A21/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
63-72
63
72
-9
H31/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
65-66
65
66
-1
H04/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
70-55
70
55
+15
A07/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
52-71
52
71
-19
A11/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H14/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
24-34
34-48
37-47
50-42
41-39
31-45
26-35
37-37
26-21
39-45
37-24
33-31
21-36
31-35
36-22
43-47
26-27
37-33
23-36
51-47
141.4Avg total
68.3Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)72.670.8143.4+1.747%
Season at home (13)74.367.8142.2+6.562%
Season away (6)68.877.3146.2-8.517%
Last 10 (10)68.373.1141.4-4.830%
Last 5 (5)67.667.6135.2+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)67.876.5144.2-8.725%
vs Similar (6)76.875.0151.8+1.833%
vs Weaker (3)72.361.3133.7+11.067%
This opponent (Grand Canyon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Grand CanyonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma State
#140
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H07/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
82-61
82
61
+21
H14/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
82-70
82
70
+12
A20/12
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H23/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H04/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
75-58
75
58
+17
A08/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
76-58
76
58
+18
H11/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
64-87
64
87
-23
A14/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H17/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
70-69
70
69
+1
H22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-42
39-42
52-25
30-36
45-26
37-44
48-39
43-39
29-35
31-35
37-27
38-31
42-26
34-32
33-38
31-49
42-36
42-38
35-37
35-32
147.1Avg total
76.2Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.168.9144.0+6.167%
Season at home (14)76.167.7143.9+8.471%
Season away (4)71.273.2144.5-2.050%
Last 10 (10)76.270.9147.1+5.370%
Last 5 (5)73.869.2143.0+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)65.777.7143.3-12.033%
vs Similar (8)70.973.1144.0-2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)78.968.0146.9+10.984%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: +7.1+7.12nd half2nd half: -2.4-2.42nd half: -1.8-1.8
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: +7.1+7.12nd half2nd half: -2.4-2.42nd half: -1.8-1.8
Fresno StateGrand Canyon
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#36
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A06/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A11/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A21/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H31/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
26-21
26
21
+5
H04/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A07/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A11/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H14/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A22/01
NCAA
61.8Avg total
29.7Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.734.364.9-3.637%-
Last 30 at home (18)31.231.562.7-0.344%-
Last 30 away (12)29.938.468.3-8.525%-
Last 10 (10)29.732.161.8-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)28.629.057.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)27.935.463.3-7.415%-
vs Similar (6)35.833.269.0+2.783%-
vs Weaker (3)34.731.065.7+3.767%-
This opponent (Grand Canyon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Grand CanyonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma State
#140
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H07/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
52-25
52
25
+27
H14/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A20/12
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H23/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H04/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A08/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H11/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A14/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H17/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H22/01
NCAA
73.3Avg total
40.2Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.732.069.7+5.763%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.430.669.0+7.874%-
Last 30 away (11)36.534.570.9+2.045%-
Last 10 (10)40.233.173.3+7.160%-
Last 5 (5)37.832.870.6+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.038.771.7-5.733%-
vs Similar (8)34.933.067.9+1.938%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)39.630.570.2+9.179%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fresno State wins
0
Grand Canyon wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/26ANew Mexico74-83
18/01/26HWyoming63-60
14/01/26HColorado State79-69
11/01/26ASan Diego State52-71
07/01/26ASan Jose State70-55
04/01/26HNevada65-66
31/12/25HUtah State63-72
21/12/25AUNLV72-84
11/12/25ACS Northridge87-89
06/12/25AArkansas58-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/26HSan Diego State70-69
17/01/26HUtah State84-74
14/01/26ANew Mexico64-87
11/01/26HSan Jose State76-58
08/01/26ABoise State75-58
04/01/26HColorado State60-70
23/12/25HIU Indy91-78
20/12/25AWyoming82-70
14/12/25HCoastal Carolina82-61
07/12/25HOklahoma State78-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL47%
HomeLLLWW62%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19136
Win %47%62%17%
Points / game72.674.368.8
Allowed / game70.867.877.3
Point differential+1.7+6.5-8.5
Avg total143.4142.2146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%31%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)43% (7)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Grand Canyon
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18144
Win %67%71%50%
Points / game75.176.171.2
Allowed / game68.967.773.2
Point differential+6.1+8.4-2.0
Avg total144.0143.9144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%64%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1916384%83.768.3+15.4
2 New Mexico1915479%80.867.5+13.3
3 San Diego State1914574%81.372.1+9.3
4 Nevada1914574%77.070.6+6.4
5 Grand Canyon1812667%75.168.9+6.1
6 Wyoming2012860%79.672.2+7.5
7 Colorado State2012860%77.870.9+7.0
8 Boise State2012860%78.072.8+5.2
9 UNLV1910953%78.976.7+2.2
10 Fresno State1991047%72.670.8+1.7
11 San Jose State2061430%70.275.7-5.5
12 Air Force2031715%61.377.2-15.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fresno State193857
Grand Canyon264268
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