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New Mexico vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 83-74
36-23 47-51
Position#50
Record14-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game67.2
vs
Position#275
Record9-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game70.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · New Mexico v Fresno State
21 Jan 2026
NEW 83
FRES74
20 Jan 2025
NEW 95
FRES67
06 Mar 2024
NEW 79
FRES58
28 Feb 2023
NEW 94
FRES80
25 Jan 2022
NEW 60
FRES65
07 Jan 2020
NEW 78
FRES64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New MexicoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Clara
#39
W
98-71
98
71
+27
H07/12
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A11/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
75-59
75
59
+16
H14/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H21/12
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
53-62
53
62
-9
A31/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
78-58
78
58
+20
H04/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
80-70
80
70
+10
A07/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
91-49
91
49
+42
A10/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
87-64
87
64
+23
H14/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
45-36
53-35
41-46
40-32
28-25
47-34
41-28
47-37
19-21
34-41
34-31
44-27
39-30
41-40
45-22
46-27
38-33
49-31
35-48
44-35
146.9Avg total
81.0Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)80.767.2147.8+13.578%
Season at home (12)83.365.9149.2+17.492%
Season away (6)75.369.7145.0+5.750%
Last 10 (10)81.065.9146.9+15.180%
Last 5 (5)83.064.8147.8+18.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)77.275.2152.4+2.045%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)79.063.5142.5+15.589%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSU Bakersfield
#356
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H30/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
58-82
58
82
-24
A06/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
87-89
87
89
-2
A11/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A21/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
63-72
63
72
-9
H31/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
65-66
65
66
-1
H04/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
70-55
70
55
+15
A07/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
52-71
52
71
-19
A11/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H14/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-34
31-42
24-34
34-48
37-47
50-42
41-39
31-45
26-35
37-37
26-21
39-45
37-24
33-31
21-36
31-35
36-22
43-47
26-27
37-33
140.4Avg total
68.0Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)72.570.2142.7+2.350%
Season at home (13)74.367.8142.2+6.562%
Season away (5)67.876.2144.0-8.420%
Last 10 (10)68.072.4140.4-4.430%
Last 5 (5)65.864.2130.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)67.776.5144.2-8.825%
vs Similar (6)76.875.0151.8+1.833%
vs Weaker (3)72.361.3133.7+11.067%
This opponent (New Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +10.6+10.62nd half: -3.9-3.9
-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +10.6+10.62nd half: -3.9-3.9
New MexicoFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New MexicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Clara
#39
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H07/12
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A11/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H14/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H21/12
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
19-21
19
21
-2
A31/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H04/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A07/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
45-22
45
22
+23
A10/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H14/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A18/01
NCAA
68.5Avg total
36.5Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.632.267.8+3.467%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.231.968.1+4.378%-
Last 30 away (12)34.632.767.2+1.950%-
Last 10 (10)36.532.068.5+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)38.232.871.0+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)35.337.572.7-2.245%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)35.729.264.9+6.679%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H30/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A06/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A11/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A21/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H31/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
26-21
26
21
+5
H04/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A07/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A11/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H14/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H18/01
NCAA
63.3Avg total
31.4Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.934.165.0-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (18)31.231.562.7-0.344%-
Last 30 away (12)30.538.068.5-7.525%-
Last 10 (10)31.431.963.3-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)29.226.055.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)28.335.163.4-6.815%-
vs Similar (6)35.833.269.0+2.783%-
vs Weaker (3)34.731.065.7+3.767%-
This opponent (New Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
New Mexico wins
6
Fresno State wins
New Mexicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/26ASan Diego State79-83
14/01/26HGrand Canyon87-64
10/01/26AAir Force91-49
07/01/26AColorado State80-70
04/01/26HWyoming78-58
31/12/25ABoise State53-62
21/12/25HSan Jose State88-65
14/12/25HFlorida Gulf Coast75-59
11/12/25AVCU Rams81-78
07/12/25HSanta Clara98-71
Fresno Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/26HWyoming63-60
14/01/26HColorado State79-69
11/01/26ASan Diego State52-71
07/01/26ASan Jose State70-55
04/01/26HNevada65-66
31/12/25HUtah State63-72
21/12/25AUNLV72-84
11/12/25ACS Northridge87-89
06/12/25AArkansas58-82
30/11/25HCSU Bakersfield71-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL78%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18126
Win %78%92%50%
Points / game80.783.375.3
Allowed / game67.265.969.7
Point differential+13.5+17.4+5.7
Avg total147.8149.2145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fresno State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeLLLWW62%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18135
Win %50%62%20%
Points / game72.574.367.8
Allowed / game70.267.876.2
Point differential+2.3+6.5-8.4
Avg total142.7142.2144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%31%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)43% (7)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1815383%84.868.7+16.1
2 New Mexico1814478%80.767.2+13.5
3 San Diego State1713476%82.072.2+9.8
4 Nevada1914574%77.070.6+6.4
5 Grand Canyon1711665%75.468.9+6.4
6 Colorado State1912763%78.771.2+7.5
7 Wyoming1911858%80.372.7+7.6
8 Boise State1911858%77.173.8+3.2
9 UNLV1810856%79.376.4+2.9
10 Fresno State189950%72.570.2+2.3
11 San Jose State1961332%70.776.2-5.5
12 Air Force1931616%61.776.2-14.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
New Mexico364783
Fresno State235174
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