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Fresno State vs Nevada Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 65-66
26-21 39-45
Position#275
Record6-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game72.5
Fresno State
USA
vs
Nevada 🏆
USA
Position#86
Record10-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game71.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Fresno State v Nevada
03 Jan 2026
FRES65
NEVA66
11 Jan 2025
FRES66
NEVA77
06 Jan 2024
FRES57
NEVA72
24 Feb 2023
FRES56
NEVA60
04 Feb 2022
FRES73
NEVA56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego
#64
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H13/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H16/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H19/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H22/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
76-53
76
53
+23
H27/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H30/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
58-82
58
82
-24
A06/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
87-89
87
89
-2
A11/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A21/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
63-72
63
72
-9
H31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-42
43-36
33-40
42-34
39-42
41-36
41-37
44-39
27-35
49-18
40-34
31-42
24-34
34-48
37-47
50-42
41-39
31-45
26-35
37-37
150.2Avg total
74.0Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.172.5147.5+2.646%
Season at home (10)75.968.7144.6+7.260%
Season away (3)72.385.0157.3-12.70%
Last 10 (10)74.076.2150.2-2.240%
Last 5 (5)70.280.6150.8-10.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)67.879.8147.6-12.015%
vs Similar (7)76.473.6150.0+2.943%
vs Weaker (2)73.564.5138.0+9.050%
This opponent (Nevada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Clara
#39
L
83-98
83
98
-15
A16/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H19/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
77-64
77
64
+13
H22/11
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
66-83
66
83
-17
H27/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H28/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H03/12
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
78-64
78
64
+14
A07/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H14/12
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H21/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
75-62
75
62
+13
A31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-48
49-50
33-33
38-42
32-28
45-36
28-34
38-49
38-37
43-28
35-27
41-43
31-32
47-32
42-35
36-40
36-26
45-40
37-36
38-26
148.8Avg total
76.6Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.571.5149.0+5.977%
Season at home (10)77.170.6147.7+6.580%
Season away (3)78.774.7153.3+4.067%
Last 10 (10)76.672.2148.8+4.470%
Last 5 (5)77.667.4145.0+10.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.879.0147.8-10.20%
vs Similar (17)71.470.4141.7+1.059%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)79.063.6142.6+15.4100%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.7-4.71st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +3.4+3.4
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.7-4.71st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +3.4+3.4
Fresno StateNevada
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego
#64
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H13/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H16/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H19/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H22/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H27/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H30/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A06/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A11/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A21/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H31/12
NCAA
72.3Avg total
33.8Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.235.867.0-4.633%-
Last 30 at home (18)32.032.464.4-0.444%-
Last 30 away (12)30.140.870.9-10.817%-
Last 10 (10)33.838.572.3-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)33.637.871.4-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)28.637.666.2-9.010%-
vs Similar (7)36.631.968.4+4.786%-
vs Weaker (2)33.534.568.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Clara
#39
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A16/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H19/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H22/11
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H27/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H28/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H03/12
NCAA
Washington State
#291
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A07/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H14/12
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H21/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A31/12
NCAA
68.2Avg total
34.6Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.332.966.2+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.131.766.8+3.458%-
Last 30 away (11)30.135.065.1-4.927%-
Last 10 (10)34.633.668.2+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)36.231.267.4+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.239.672.8-6.40%-
vs Similar (17)32.532.164.5+0.453%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)35.030.665.6+4.462%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Fresno State wins
9
Nevada wins
DateGameScore
12/03/25Nevada v Fresno State86-71
11/02/25Nevada v Fresno State94-69
12/01/25Fresno State v Nevada66-77 OT
02/03/24Nevada v Fresno State74-66
07/01/24Fresno State v Nevada57-72
25/02/23Fresno State v Nevada56-60
11/02/23Nevada v Fresno State77-66
05/02/22Fresno State v Nevada73-56
22/01/22Nevada v Fresno State77-73
17/01/21Nevada v Fresno State79-65
Fresno Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/25HUtah State63-72
21/12/25AUNLV72-84
11/12/25ACS Northridge87-89
06/12/25AArkansas58-82
30/11/25HCSU Bakersfield71-76
27/11/25HPepperdine76-53
22/11/25HNew Orleans85-76
19/11/25HStephen F. Austin80-78
16/11/25HUtah Valley State75-74
13/11/25HUC San Diego73-78
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/25AColorado State75-62
21/12/25HBoise State81-66
14/12/25HDuquesne78-75
07/12/25AWashington State78-64
03/12/25HUC San Diego76-70
28/11/25HSan Francisco81-65
27/11/25HWashington66-83
22/11/25HUC Santa Barbara77-64
19/11/25HUC Davis71-75
16/11/25ASanta Clara83-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL46%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13103
Win %46%60%0%
Points / game75.175.972.3
Allowed / game72.568.785.0
Point differential+2.6+7.2-12.7
Avg total147.5144.6157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)40% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nevada
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW77%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13103
Win %77%80%67%
Points / game77.577.178.7
Allowed / game71.570.674.7
Point differential+5.9+6.5+4.0
Avg total149.0147.7153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%40%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)75% (4)-
Overtime %8%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1312192%85.667.3+18.3
2 Wyoming1310377%85.071.3+13.7
3 New Mexico1310377%79.868.1+11.7
4 Nevada1310377%77.571.5+5.9
5 Colorado State139469%81.872.4+9.4
6 Boise State139469%75.869.1+6.8
7 San Diego State128467%81.972.1+9.8
8 Grand Canyon128467%76.868.8+8.1
9 UNLV137654%80.775.7+5.0
10 Fresno State136746%75.172.5+2.6
11 San Jose State145936%74.676.9-2.4
12 Air Force1431121%62.973.2-10.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fresno State263965
Nevada214566
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