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San Jose State vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 55-70
24-37 31-33
Position#349
Record5-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game76.9
vs
Position#275
Record6-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game72.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · San Jose State v Fresno State
18 Nov 2026
SAN v FRES
upcoming
06 Jan 2026
SAN 55
FRES70
08 Mar 2025
SAN 92
FRES68
06 Feb 2024
SAN 57
FRES69
10 Jan 2023
SAN 74
FRES64
01 Feb 2022
SAN 43
FRES73
12 Feb 2020
SAN 78
FRES84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Jose State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Jose StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Univ.
#210
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H22/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
51-81
51
81
-30
H25/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H26/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
63-72
63
72
-9
H30/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
86-69
86
69
+17
H06/12
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
H10/12
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
82-86
82
86
-4
H14/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
65-88
65
88
-23
A21/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
68-81
68
81
-13
H31/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
78-96
78
96
-18
A03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-35
38-31
33-43
18-38
29-31
34-20
34-36
29-36
52-34
34-35
39-39
38-38
36-44
46-42
28-41
37-47
38-42
30-39
51-48
27-48
149.8Avg total
72.5Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)74.676.9151.5-2.436%
Season at home (9)76.971.7148.6+5.256%
Season away (5)70.486.4156.8-16.00%
Last 10 (10)72.577.3149.8-4.840%
Last 5 (5)76.486.8163.2-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)64.479.5143.9-15.26%
vs Similar (8)74.969.5144.4+5.475%
vs Weaker (4)92.869.8162.5+23.0100%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#33
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H16/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H19/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H22/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
76-53
76
53
+23
H27/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H30/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
58-82
58
82
-24
A06/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
87-89
87
89
-2
A11/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A21/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
63-72
63
72
-9
H31/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
65-66
65
66
-1
H04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-40
42-34
39-42
41-36
41-37
44-39
27-35
49-18
40-34
31-42
24-34
34-48
37-47
50-42
41-39
31-45
26-35
37-37
26-21
39-45
148.2Avg total
73.2Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)74.472.0146.4+2.443%
Season at home (11)74.968.5143.4+6.555%
Season away (3)72.385.0157.3-12.70%
Last 10 (10)73.275.0148.2-1.840%
Last 5 (5)69.078.6147.6-9.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)67.878.5146.3-10.715%
vs Similar (7)76.473.6150.0+2.943%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)73.564.5138.0+9.050%
This opponent (San Jose State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: -3.0-3.02nd half2nd half: -4.3-4.32nd half: +1.2+1.2
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: -3.0-3.02nd half2nd half: -4.3-4.32nd half: +1.2+1.2
San Jose StateFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San Jose StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Univ.
#210
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H22/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H25/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H26/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H30/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H06/12
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H10/12
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H14/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A21/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H31/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A03/01
NCAA
77.5Avg total
38.2Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.435.469.7-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.932.569.4+4.453%-
Last 30 away (13)31.139.170.2-8.023%-
Last 10 (10)38.239.377.5-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)38.442.881.2-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)32.137.869.8-5.729%-
vs Similar (8)35.932.968.8+3.038%-
vs Weaker (4)41.028.569.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#33
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H16/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H19/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H22/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H27/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H30/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A06/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A11/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A21/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H31/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
26-21
26
21
+5
H04/01
NCAA
69.8Avg total
33.4Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.234.966.1-3.637%-
Last 30 at home (19)31.731.863.5-0.247%-
Last 30 away (11)30.540.170.5-9.618%-
Last 10 (10)33.436.469.8-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)30.835.266.0-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)28.636.264.8-7.615%-
vs Similar (7)36.631.968.4+4.786%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)33.534.568.0-1.050%-
This opponent (San Jose State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
San Jose State wins
7
Fresno State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26AUtah State78-96
31/12/25HSan Diego State68-81
21/12/25ANew Mexico65-88
14/12/25HStanford82-86
10/12/25HLong Beach State89-83 OT
06/12/25HSan Diego Toreros86-69
30/11/25HUC Irvine63-72
26/11/25HLoyola Chicago63-51
25/11/25HTulsa51-81
22/11/25HSouthern Univ.80-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26HNevada65-66
31/12/25HUtah State63-72
21/12/25AUNLV72-84
11/12/25ACS Northridge87-89
06/12/25AArkansas58-82
30/11/25HCSU Bakersfield71-76
27/11/25HPepperdine76-53
22/11/25HNew Orleans85-76
19/11/25HStephen F. Austin80-78
16/11/25HUtah Valley State75-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Jose State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL36%
HomeLWWLL56%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %36%56%0%
Points / game74.676.970.4
Allowed / game76.971.786.4
Point differential-2.4+5.2-16.0
Avg total151.5148.6156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %7%11%0%
Fresno State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL43%
HomeWWLLL55%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14113
Win %43%55%0%
Points / game74.474.972.3
Allowed / game72.068.585.0
Point differential+2.4+6.5-12.7
Avg total146.4143.4157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1413193%86.666.9+19.6
2 New Mexico1512380%79.767.5+12.1
3 Nevada1411379%76.671.1+5.6
4 Wyoming1410471%83.171.8+11.3
5 San Diego State139469%84.174.8+9.3
6 Colorado State1510567%80.272.1+8.1
7 Boise State149564%78.172.0+6.1
8 Grand Canyon138562%75.568.8+6.7
9 UNLV137654%80.775.7+5.0
10 Fresno State146843%74.472.0+2.4
11 San Jose State145936%74.676.9-2.4
12 Air Force1531220%62.974.9-12.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
San Jose State243155
Fresno State373370
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