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Fresno State vs Idaho State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 79-67
42-35 37-32
Position#304
Record3-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game76.9
vs
Position#279
Record4-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game69.1
Allowed / game61.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Idaho State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#70
L
80-94
80
94
-14
A01/03
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
108-69
108
69
+39
H05/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A08/03
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#432
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H07/11
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A12/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#308
W
87-68
87
68
+19
H16/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
81-76 OT
81
76
+5
A22/11
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
64-95
64
95
-31
H23/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#189
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H28/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
56-85
56
85
-29
A02/12
NCAA
1H
2H
42-50
38-44
51-38
57-31
29-36
36-31
33-24
44-42
22-31
47-48
43-26
44-42
28-32
41-37
23-51
41-44
31-29
34-40
23-36
33-49
152.0Avg total
75.2Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)71.376.9148.1-5.643%
Season at home (4)73.274.5147.8-1.250%
Season away (3)68.780.0148.7-11.333%
Last 10 (10)75.276.8152.0-1.640%
Last 5 (5)70.678.6149.2-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)63.472.4135.8-8.921%
vs Similar (15)67.566.4133.9+1.147%
vs Weaker (1)77.066.0143.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Idaho State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Idaho StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#288
L
72-87
72
87
-15
A28/02
NCAA
Montana
#159
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A07/03
NCAA
Warner Pacific
#673
W
92-36
92
36
+56
H07/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A11/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#18
L
55-86
55
86
-31
A12/11
NCAA
Northwest
#598
W
85-51
85
51
+34
H17/11
NCAA
Citadel
#311
L
61-62
61
62
-1
A20/11
NCAA
Campbell
#262
W
69-55
69
55
+14
A22/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#287
L
62-77
62
77
-15
A29/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-38
33-49
34-34
40-49
51-16
41-20
26-27
27-27
25-44
30-42
45-19
40-32
23-13
38-49
41-25
28-30
26-37
36-40
33-31
43-39
136.0Avg total
69.9Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)69.161.4130.5+7.850%
Season at home (3)84.352.3136.7+32.0100%
Season away (5)60.066.8126.8-6.820%
Last 10 (10)69.966.1136.0+3.840%
Last 5 (5)70.663.0133.6+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)62.970.9133.8-8.012%
vs Similar (19)69.372.1141.4-2.842%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)80.560.5141.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: -2.1-2.1
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: -2.1-2.1
Fresno StateIdaho State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#70
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A01/03
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H05/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A08/03
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#432
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H07/11
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A12/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#308
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H16/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A22/11
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
23-51
23
51
-28
H23/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#189
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H28/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A02/12
NCAA
67.8Avg total
32.5Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.132.662.7-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.829.861.6+2.067%-
Last 30 away (15)28.435.363.7-6.97%-
Last 10 (10)32.535.367.8-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)29.634.864.4-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)29.834.764.5-4.936%-
vs Similar (15)30.231.161.3-0.933%-
vs Weaker (1)33.024.057.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Idaho State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Idaho StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#288
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A28/02
NCAA
Montana
#159
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A07/03
NCAA
Warner Pacific
#673
W
51-16
51
16
+35
H07/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
L
26-27
26
27
-1
A11/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#18
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A12/11
NCAA
Northwest
#598
W
45-19
45
19
+26
H17/11
NCAA
Citadel
#311
W
23-13
23
13
+10
A20/11
NCAA
Campbell
#262
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A22/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#287
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A29/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H03/12
NCAA
62.7Avg total
34.3Scored
28.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.031.464.5+1.643%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.228.664.8+7.654%-
Last 30 away (17)30.633.664.2-3.035%-
Last 10 (10)34.328.462.7+5.960%-
Last 5 (5)33.625.058.6+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)30.533.864.2-3.225%-
vs Similar (19)32.531.964.5+0.642%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)39.025.064.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fresno State wins
0
Idaho State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23ABrigham Young56-85
28/11/23HUC Santa Barbara65-69
23/11/23HJames Madison64-95
22/11/23ANew Mexico State81-76 OT
16/11/23HMorgan State87-68
12/11/23AKent State69-79
07/11/23HFresno Pacific77-66
08/03/23AColorado State65-67
05/03/23HChicago State108-69
01/03/23ANew Mexico80-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23HLindenwood76-70
29/11/23APepperdine62-77
22/11/23ACampbell69-55
20/11/23ACitadel61-62
17/11/23HNorthwest85-51
12/11/23AIowa State55-86
11/11/23ASt. Thomas (Minn.)53-54
07/11/23HWarner Pacific92-36
07/03/23AMontana74-83
28/02/23ANorthern Colorado72-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game71.373.268.7
Allowed / game76.974.580.0
Point differential-5.6-1.2-11.3
Avg total148.1147.8148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%33%
Idaho State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%100%20%
Points / game69.184.360.0
Allowed / game61.452.366.8
Point differential+7.8+32.0-6.8
Avg total130.5136.7126.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nevada660100%84.364.3+20.0
2 Colorado State880100%85.270.1+15.1
3 New Mexico87188%85.568.1+17.4
4 Utah State87188%80.965.0+15.9
5 Grand Canyon87188%80.168.9+11.2
6 San Diego State97278%77.668.6+9.0
7 Air Force97278%67.860.9+6.9
8 Wyoming85362%76.469.8+6.6
9 Boise State85362%68.566.9+1.6
10 San Jose State105550%74.167.8+6.3
11 UNLV63350%72.773.8-1.2
12 Fresno State73443%71.376.9-5.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portland State86275%69.965.6+4.2
2 Weber State74357%72.759.7+13.0
3 Idaho95456%75.267.3+7.9
4 Idaho State84450%69.161.4+7.8
5 Montana84450%73.969.8+4.1
6 Northern Colorado84450%74.572.2+2.2
7 Montana State73443%69.665.9+3.7
8 Northern Arizona83538%64.073.5-9.5
9 Sacramento State82625%75.677.6-2.0
10 East. Washington71614%74.384.3-10.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fresno State423779
Idaho State353267
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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