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New Mexico vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 94-80
50-42 44-38
Position#70
Record20-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game72.5
vs
Position#295
Record10-18
FormLLLWL
Points / game61.5
Allowed / game64.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · New Mexico v Fresno State
21 Jan 2026
NEW 83
FRES74
20 Jan 2025
NEW 95
FRES67
06 Mar 2024
NEW 79
FRES58
28 Feb 2023
NEW 94
FRES80
25 Jan 2022
NEW 60
FRES65
07 Jan 2020
NEW 78
FRES64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New MexicoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#57
W
81-79 OT
81
79
+2
H21/01
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
94-97 OT
94
97
-3
A24/01
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H28/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A02/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
76-77
76
77
-1
H08/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A11/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
L
56-70
56
70
-14
H15/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
96-68
96
68
+28
A18/02
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
77-82
77
82
-5
A23/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-37
41-35
38-43
40-35
43-34
38-39
27-46
46-38
41-45
35-32
32-39
45-50
25-32
31-38
50-31
46-37
37-31
40-51
37-27
34-46
157.4Avg total
78.2Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)80.772.5153.2+8.169%
Season at home (18)82.471.0153.4+11.478%
Season away (11)77.875.0152.8+2.855%
Last 10 (10)78.279.2157.4-1.030%
Last 5 (5)75.476.4151.8-1.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.075.0157.0+7.0100%
vs Similar (13)78.278.2156.4+0.146%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)80.768.5149.2+12.180%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#57
L
53-63
53
63
-10
A25/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
53-70
53
70
-17
H29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
L
62-85
62
85
-23
A01/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A04/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H08/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A11/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H16/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A22/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-23
28-40
28-34
25-36
25-47
37-38
37-43
45-36
29-27
41-35
32-34
34-43
25-23
18-22
24-27
33-33
28-29
46-40
30-34
26-26
128.6Avg total
61.6Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)61.564.4125.9-2.936%
Season at home (13)59.959.2119.1+0.846%
Season away (15)62.868.9131.7-6.127%
Last 10 (10)61.667.0128.6-5.430%
Last 5 (5)59.262.2121.4-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)61.565.1126.6-3.531%
vs Similar (15)59.963.6123.5-3.733%
vs Weaker (1)69.067.0136.0+2.0100%
This opponent (New Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: -3.8-3.82nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: -1.6-1.6
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: -3.8-3.82nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: -1.6-1.6
New MexicoFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New MexicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#57
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H21/01
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A24/01
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H28/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A02/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H08/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A11/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H15/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A18/02
NCAA
Boise State
#57
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A23/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H26/02
NCAA
72.6Avg total
36.1Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.632.771.3+5.970%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.731.572.2+9.283%-
Last 30 away (12)35.334.569.8+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)36.136.572.6-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.232.068.2+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.035.078.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar (13)36.434.871.2+1.569%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)39.531.571.0+7.967%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#57
W
25-23
25
23
+2
A25/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A01/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A04/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H08/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A11/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
W
25-23
25
23
+2
H16/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
24-27
24
27
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A22/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H25/02
NCAA
60.4Avg total
28.3Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.930.559.4-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)29.528.357.8+1.257%-
Last 30 away (16)28.432.460.8-3.925%-
Last 10 (10)28.332.160.4-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)27.829.457.2-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)30.631.862.4-1.238%-
vs Similar (15)27.229.556.7-2.333%-
vs Weaker (1)29.026.055.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (New Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
New Mexico wins
7
Fresno State wins
New Mexicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/23HSan Diego State71-73
23/02/23ABoise State77-82
18/02/23ASan Jose State96-68
15/02/23HWyoming56-70
11/02/23AAir Force77-89
08/02/23HNevada76-77
02/02/23AUtah State73-84
28/01/23HAir Force81-73
24/01/23ANevada94-97 OT
21/01/23HBoise State81-79 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/23HNevada56-60
22/02/23AAir Force74-69
18/02/23HColorado State57-60
16/02/23HSan Diego State43-45
11/02/23ANevada66-77
08/02/23HSan Jose State70-62
04/02/23AUNLV82-79
01/02/23AWyoming62-85
29/01/23HUtah State53-70
25/01/23ABoise State53-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL69%
HomeWWLLL78%
AwayLLLWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291811
Win %69%78%55%
Points / game80.782.477.8
Allowed / game72.571.075.0
Point differential+8.1+11.4+2.8
Avg total153.2153.4152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%44%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)33% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %7%6%9%
Fresno State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL36%
HomeLWLLL46%
AwayLLWLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %36%46%27%
Points / game61.559.962.8
Allowed / game64.459.268.9
Point differential-2.9+0.8-6.1
Avg total125.9119.1131.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%15%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)33% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Diego State2923679%73.164.9+8.2
2 Boise State3023777%72.163.0+9.1
3 Utah State2922776%78.470.0+8.4
4 Nevada3022873%72.766.3+6.3
5 New Mexico2920969%80.772.5+8.1
6 UNLV28171161%74.568.8+5.8
7 Grand Canyon28171161%69.864.7+5.0
8 San Jose State29171259%68.067.3+0.7
9 Air Force30141647%67.066.8+0.2
10 Colorado State29131645%73.371.7+1.6
11 Fresno State28101836%61.564.4-2.9
12 Wyoming2992031%69.671.7-2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
New Mexico504494
Fresno State423880
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