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Fuenlabrada vs Estela Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 07 May 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#13
Record2-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.2/10
Below normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#5
Record6-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game76.8
SpainPrimera FEBRound 34
Other2026-27
Meetings · Fuenlabrada v Estela
07 May 2027
FUE v ESTE
upcoming
18 Oct 2025
FUE90
ESTE75
12 Mar 2025
FUE94
ESTE70
07 Oct 2023
FUE73
ESTE78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fuenlabrada win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Estela win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FuenlabradaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFuenlabrada
Date
Competition
Palencia
#3
W
78-72
78
72
+6
72avg 66
H24/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
51-76
51
76
-25
38avg 66
A29/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
L
82-96
82
96
-14
78avg 66
A26/09
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#4
L
68-79
68
79
-11
no box
H03/10
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#11
L
74-77
74
77
-3
64avg 66
A11/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
L
79-84
79
84
-5
73avg 66
A17/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
90-76
90
76
+14
87avg 66
H25/10
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
L
66-71
66
71
-5
no box
A31/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
L
84-86
84
86
-2
no box
H07/11
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
80-74
80
74
+6
no box
A14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-16
21-22
22-22
22-12
9-26
12-15
12-22
18-13
26-22
23-21
15-25
18-28
15-14
16-19
20-25
17-21
22-18
19-29
16-14
17-16
15-22
23-22
24-23
17-17
23-24
18-21
28-15
21-16
14-17
14-23
22-16
16-15
17-19
19-25
20-19
28-23
15-20
24-21
22-13
19-20
154.3Avg total
75.2Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.980.4158.2-2.525%
Season at home (3)80.780.3161.0+0.333%
Season away (5)76.280.4156.6-4.220%
Last 10 (10)75.279.1154.3-3.930%
Last 5 (5)79.878.2158.0+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)74.381.9156.2-7.638%
vs Similar (10)78.275.6153.8+2.660%
vs Weaker (4)86.078.2164.2+7.875%
This opponent (Estela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstela
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
65-95
65
95
-30
no box
H02/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
70-100
70
100
-30
53avg 74
A08/05
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
69-68
69
68
+1
54avg 74
H26/09
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
88-76
88
76
+12
89avg 74
A04/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
W
101-86
101
86
+15
99avg 74
A10/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
84-79
84
79
+5
74avg 74
H17/10
Primera FEB
Albacete
#10
L
81-82
81
82
-1
73avg 74
A25/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
no box
H31/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
W
73-71
73
71
+2
no box
H07/11
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
92-67
92
67
+25
no box
A14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
13-25
22-19
9-23
14-26
16-28
23-25
17-21
18-20
20-17
14-17
17-14
17-24
24-15
24-15
23-22
21-28
31-13
27-20
22-25
22-15
22-23
23-24
17-17
23-20
19-23
19-19
20-20
17-19
14-19
21-24
21-23
16-12
13-17
27-18
17-24
18-21
30-18
26-17
18-11
160.5Avg total
79.6Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.676.8159.4+5.975%
Season at home (4)74.875.8150.5-1.075%
Season away (4)90.577.8168.2+12.875%
Last 10 (10)79.680.9160.5-1.360%
Last 5 (5)80.676.8157.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)76.786.2162.9-9.533%
vs Similar (10)78.677.5156.1+1.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)82.874.4157.2+8.480%
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -1.9-1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -1.9-1.9
FuenlabradaEstela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FuenlabradaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palencia
#3
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H24/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A29/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A26/09
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#4
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H03/10
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#11
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A11/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A17/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H25/10
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A31/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H07/11
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A14/11
Primera FEB
77.4Avg total
35.8Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.840.678.4-2.827%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.439.276.6-1.929%-
Last 30 away (16)38.241.980.1-3.725%-
Last 10 (10)35.841.677.4-5.810%-
Last 5 (5)36.442.879.2-6.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.140.877.9-3.725%-
vs Similar (10)37.540.477.9-2.920%-
vs Weaker (4)41.240.581.8+0.850%-
This opponent (Estela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
34-53
34
53
-19
H02/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A08/05
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H26/09
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A04/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A10/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H17/10
Primera FEB
Albacete
#10
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A25/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H31/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H07/11
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A14/11
Primera FEB
80.0Avg total
38.9Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.581.5-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.740.479.1-1.736%-
Last 30 away (16)41.142.483.5-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)38.941.180.0-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.476.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.644.382.9-5.727%-
vs Similar (10)40.838.379.1+2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.639.281.8+3.480%-
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fuenlabradatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fuenlabrada: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.0
49.7%
53.0%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.8
34.8%
32.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.412.6
72.4%
74.2%12.6
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estela: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.417.5
55.7%
53.0%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.510.3
33.8%
32.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.214.2
74.0%
74.2%14.2
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fuenlabrada
WLLWLLLLLW
Estela
WWLLWWWWLL
#13
League position
#5
-7.7
Net rating
-5.8
105.4
Offensive rating
111.4
113.1
Defensive rating
117.2
50.7%
Effective FG%
53.2%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.8%
3-point %
33.8%
57.5%
Assist %
57.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 111.4Defence113.1 · 117.2Shooting50.7% · 53.2%3-point %34.8% · 33.8%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Fuenlabrada   ■ Estela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Fuenlabrada wins
3
Estela wins
DateGameScore
17/10/26Estela v Fuenlabrada84-79
22/04/26Estela v Fuenlabrada80-89
18/10/25Fuenlabrada v Estela90-75
12/03/25Fuenlabrada v Estela94-70
07/12/24Estela v Fuenlabrada67-75
10/02/24Estela v Fuenlabrada81-74
07/10/23Fuenlabrada v Estela73-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ACordoba80-74
07/11/26HOurense84-86
31/10/26AGranada66-71
25/10/26HHestia Menorca90-76
17/10/26AEstela79-84
11/10/26ACaja 8774-77
03/10/26HGran Canaria68-79
26/09/26AAlicante82-96
29/05/26APalencia51-76
24/05/26HPalencia78-72
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AGipuzkoa92-67
07/11/26HEstudiantes73-71
31/10/26HPalencia73-85
25/10/26AAlbacete81-82
17/10/26HFuenlabrada84-79
10/10/26AOurense101-86
04/10/26AFibwi Palma88-76
26/09/26HHestia Menorca69-68
08/05/26APalencia70-100
02/05/26HObradoiro CAB65-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fuenlabrada
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW25%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %25%33%20%
Points / game77.980.776.2
Allowed / game80.480.380.4
Point differential-2.5+0.3-4.2
Avg total158.2161.0156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Estela
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW75%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game82.674.890.5
Allowed / game76.875.877.8
Point differential+5.9-1.0+12.8
Avg total159.4150.5168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%0%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alicante880100%92.075.4+16.6
2 Estudiantes87188%89.877.4+12.4
3 Palencia87188%82.573.0+9.5
4 Gran Canaria86275%91.076.5+14.5
5 Estela86275%82.676.8+5.9
6 Ourense85362%85.282.0+3.2
7 Palmer Basket74357%87.486.4+1.0
8 Granada84450%79.180.8-1.6
9 Oviedo84450%78.983.2-4.4
10 Albacete73443%79.484.0-4.6
11 Caja 8783538%75.677.8-2.1
12 Zamora83538%78.081.5-3.5
13 Fuenlabrada82625%77.980.4-2.5
14 Hestia Menorca82625%69.674.6-5.0
15 Cordoba82625%71.076.6-5.6
16 Tizona Burgos82625%85.493.4-8.0
17 Gipuzkoa82625%76.090.5-14.5
18 Fibwi Palma81712%78.089.8-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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