Fuenlabrada vs Estela Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Mar 2025

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 94-70

19-18 24-16 24-24 27-12

Position#2

Record20-3

FormWWWWW

Points / game85.3

Allowed / game74.0

Fuenlabrada 🏆

Estela

Position#14

Record8-14

FormLLWWW

Points / game75.5

Allowed / game81.7

Primera FEBRound 24· Pabellon Fernando Martin

Other2024-25

Meetings · Fuenlabrada v Estela

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fuenlabrada winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estela winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fuenlabrada Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormFuenlabrada

Date

Competition

Estudiantes

78-90

-12

67avg 77

A29/12

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

95-67

+28

87avg 77

H05/01

Primera FEB

Ourense

#10

90-89 OT

77avg 77

A11/01

Primera FEB

Real Betis

90-73

+17

80avg 77

H18/01

Primera FEB

Palencia

88-89

-1

72avg 77

A01/02

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

92-80

+12

89avg 77

H08/02

Primera FEB

Castello

#17

88-78

+10

84avg 77

A11/02

Primera FEB

Alicante

#12

85-63

+22

76avg 77

H15/02

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

95-82

+13

96avg 77

H02/03

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

83-72

+11

78avg 77

A08/03

Primera FEB

17-31

26-20

16-22

19-17

24-12

13-10

30-22

28-23

25-28

24-16

18-16

14-21

19-12

28-19

24-26

19-16

20-19

20-26

19-22

29-22

20-23

25-18

20-27

27-12

33-22

20-21

17-15

18-20

21-11

12-12

22-20

30-20

26-16

19-21

24-19

26-26

13-29

22-12

27-13

21-18

166.7Avg total

88.4Scored

78.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	85.3	74.0	159.3	+11.3	87%
Season at home (11)	87.7	73.5	161.3	+14.2	91%
Season away (12)	83.2	74.4	157.6	+8.8	83%
Last 10 (10)	88.4	78.3	166.7	+10.1	80%
Last 5 (5)	88.6	75.0	163.6	+13.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	73.3	77.0	150.3	-3.7	33%
vs Similar (8)	83.4	76.8	160.1	+6.6	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	86.9	72.1	158.9	+14.8	100%

This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estela

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormEstela

Date

Competition

Zamora

#13

89-71

+18

80avg 66

H21/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

60-83

-23

41avg 66

A29/12

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

75-92

-17

65avg 66

H04/01

Primera FEB

Cartagena

78-87

-9

67avg 66

A12/01

Primera FEB

Palencia

59-83

-24

44avg 66

H18/01

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

87-90

-3

74avg 66

A31/01

Primera FEB

Real Betis

77-88

-11

64avg 66

A11/02

Primera FEB

Castello

#17

96-76

+20

86avg 66

H15/02

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

87-68

+19

81avg 66

A02/03

Primera FEB

Alicante

#12

83-72

+11

77avg 66

H08/03

Primera FEB

16-24

29-11

23-13

21-23

16-24

15-22

13-13

16-24

17-23

21-26

17-20

20-23

24-13

14-27

22-26

18-21

19-24

14-13

13-25

13-21

17-17

18-17

29-31

23-25

16-18

19-29

26-16

16-25

20-19

25-17

18-19

33-21

13-24

29-13

23-23

22-8

19-16

21-16

22-18

21-22

160.1Avg total

79.1Scored

81.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	75.5	81.7	157.2	-6.3	36%
Season at home (11)	79.3	78.7	158.0	+0.5	55%
Season away (11)	71.6	84.7	156.4	-13.1	18%
Last 10 (10)	79.1	81.0	160.1	-1.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	86.0	78.8	164.8	+7.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	71.2	85.3	156.6	-14.1	19%
vs Similar (11)	81.8	81.2	163.0	+0.6	45%
vs Weaker (3)	85.3	82.7	168.0	+2.7	67%

This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FuenlabradaEstela

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.1	40.4	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	17.1	39.5	+5.4	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	21.1	41.3	-0.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	20.3	42.1	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	20.2	42.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.7	19.0	40.7	+2.7	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.1	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	21.7	18.6	40.3	+3.2	58%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	20.4	39.6	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	20.5	40.6	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	20.3	38.6	-2.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	20.2	37.9	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	18.8	35.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	18.8	21.4	40.2	-2.6	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.4	17.9	37.3	+1.5	55%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.3	24.7	45.0	-4.3	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	17.6	37.7	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	16.1	35.4	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	19.1	40.1	+1.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	17.5	38.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	16.8	36.4	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.0	16.7	34.7	+1.3	67%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.0	20.6	42.6	+1.4	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.6	16.5	36.2	+3.1	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.8	37.9	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	18.3	38.0	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.6	21.2	37.8	-4.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.1	39.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	18.4	40.8	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.6	20.4	37.9	-2.8	31%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.3	18.7	37.0	-0.5	64%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.7	20.3	41.0	+0.3	33%	-

FuenlabradaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estudiantes

43-51

-8

A29/12

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

37-22

+15

H05/01

Primera FEB

Ourense

#10

49-44

A11/01

Primera FEB

Real Betis

47-31

+16

H18/01

Primera FEB

Palencia

40-45

-5

A01/02

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

45-41

H08/02

Primera FEB

Castello

#17

53-43

+10

A11/02

Primera FEB

Alicante

#12

33-23

+10

H15/02

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

45-37

H02/03

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

35-41

-6

A08/03

Primera FEB

80.5Avg total

42.7Scored

37.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	36.7	78.2	+4.8	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	33.2	74.9	+8.5	93%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.2	40.2	81.4	+1.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	37.8	80.5	+4.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	37.0	79.2	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	39.7	35.7	75.3	+4.0	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	42.4	40.9	83.2	+1.5	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	41.4	35.1	76.5	+6.3	84%	-

This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zamora

#13

45-35

+10

H21/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

31-46

-15

A29/12

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

38-49

-11

H04/01

Primera FEB

Cartagena

38-40

-2

A12/01

Primera FEB

Palencia

33-37

-4

H18/01

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

35-34

A31/01

Primera FEB

Real Betis

35-47

-12

A11/02

Primera FEB

Castello

#17

45-36

H15/02

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

42-37

A02/03

Primera FEB

Alicante

#12

40-32

H08/03

Primera FEB

77.5Avg total

38.2Scored

39.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	40.2	77.5	-2.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	38.9	78.6	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.9	41.5	76.4	-6.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	39.3	77.5	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	37.2	76.6	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	36.4	41.8	78.1	-5.4	19%	-
vs Similar (11)	37.6	36.6	74.3	+1.0	64%	-
vs Weaker (3)	41.0	45.0	86.0	-4.0	33%	-

This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.0	40.2	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	19.1	39.7	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.8	18.9	40.7	+2.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	20.2	41.9	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	18.8	40.8	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.3	22.7	39.0	-6.3	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	22.4	17.9	40.3	+4.4	84%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	21.1	39.7	-2.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	19.7	37.1	-2.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	22.5	42.3	-2.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	21.4	45.0	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	16.6	20.9	37.5	-4.4	31%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.7	21.1	41.8	-0.4	45%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.0	21.7	43.7	+0.3	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	17.9	39.5	+3.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	20.0	43.3	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	15.7	35.6	+4.1	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	19.5	42.6	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	19.2	43.6	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.3	18.7	36.0	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.6	15.9	36.5	+4.8	88%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	22.7	18.6	41.3	+4.1	68%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.9	40.5	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	20.7	40.5	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	21.1	40.4	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	21.3	41.6	-1.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	20.2	43.2	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.5	21.2	38.7	-3.7	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.8	21.8	43.6	+0.0	36%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.3	16.0	38.3	+6.3	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	36.8	79.7	+6.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.0	39.1	83.1	+4.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.7	34.6	76.3	+7.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.8	39.7	84.5	+5.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	38.0	84.4	+8.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	33.7	41.3	75.0	-7.7	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	41.0	35.9	76.9	+5.1	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	45.1	36.5	81.6	+8.5	74%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	42.0	80.2	-3.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.3	40.4	77.7	-3.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.1	43.5	82.7	-4.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	41.7	82.6	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	41.6	88.2	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	34.1	42.1	76.2	-8.1	31%	-
vs Similar (11)	42.5	42.9	85.5	-0.4	36%	-
vs Weaker (3)	44.3	37.7	82.0	+6.7	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Fuenlabradatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fuenlabrada: 72.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.9	18.7	48.1%	51.8%	37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	19.9	6.7	33.7%	33.7%	20.1
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.3	71.5%	73.6%	15.3

They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Estelatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.1	22.8	55.5%	51.8%	45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.5	11.3	39.6%	33.7%	33.9
🏀 Free throws	20.1	13.0	64.7%	73.6%	13.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.0	20.4	49.8%	51.8%	40.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.9	6.7	32.1%	33.7%	20.1
🏀 Free throws	20.6	14.7	71.2%	73.6%	14.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.6	22.9	56.3%	51.8%	45.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.2	11.3	41.4%	33.7%	33.8
🏀 Free throws	19.1	13.5	70.8%	73.6%	13.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Fuenlabrada wins

Estela wins

Date	Game	Score
07/12/24	Estela v Fuenlabrada	67-75
10/02/24	Estela v Fuenlabrada	81-74
07/10/23	Fuenlabrada v Estela	73-78

Fuenlabradalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/03/25	A	Hestia Menorca	83-72
02/03/25	H	Real Valladolid	95-82
15/02/25	H	Alicante	85-63
11/02/25	A	Castello	88-78
08/02/25	H	Gipuzkoa	92-80
01/02/25	A	Palencia	88-89
18/01/25	H	Real Betis	90-73
11/01/25	A	Ourense	90-89 OT
05/01/25	H	Tizona Burgos	95-67
29/12/24	A	Estudiantes	78-90

Estelalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/03/25	H	Alicante	83-72
02/03/25	A	Moron	87-68
15/02/25	H	Castello	96-76
11/02/25	A	Real Betis	77-88
31/01/25	A	Tizona Burgos	87-90
18/01/25	H	Palencia	59-83
12/01/25	A	Cartagena	78-87
04/01/25	H	Estudiantes	75-92
29/12/24	A	Gipuzkoa	60-83
21/12/24	H	Zamora	89-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fuenlabrada

Primera FEB 2024-25

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	87%
Home	WWWWW	91%
Away	LWLWW	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	87%	91%	83%
Points / game	85.3	87.7	83.2
Allowed / game	74.0	73.5	74.4
Point differential	+11.3	+14.2	+8.8
Avg total	159.3	161.3	157.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	65%	73%	58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

Estela

Primera FEB 2024-25

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	36%
Home	WLLWW	55%
Away	LLLLW	18%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	36%	55%	18%
Points / game	75.5	79.3	71.6
Allowed / game	81.7	78.7	84.7
Point differential	-6.3	+0.5	-13.1
Avg total	157.2	158.0	156.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	27%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	60% (5)	0% (1)
Overtime %	5%	9%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Pablo Burgos	23	21	2	91%	90.5	76.0	+14.5
2	Estudiantes	24	21	3	88%	87.4	77.6	+9.8
3	Fuenlabrada	23	20	3	87%	85.3	74.0	+11.3
4	Real Betis	24	18	6	75%	83.1	74.5	+8.6
5	Palencia	23	16	7	70%	87.0	80.1	+6.9
6	Obradoiro CAB	22	13	9	59%	80.7	74.5	+6.2
7	Tizona Burgos	23	13	10	57%	90.3	89.4	+0.9
8	Cartagena	23	12	11	52%	78.7	84.3	-5.6
9	Ourense	24	11	13	46%	82.7	83.4	-0.7
10	Zamora	24	10	14	42%	78.7	82.5	-3.9
11	Hestia Menorca	23	9	14	39%	74.7	77.1	-2.4
12	Estela	22	8	14	36%	75.5	81.7	-6.3
13	Oviedo	23	8	15	35%	77.2	81.5	-4.3
14	Gipuzkoa	23	7	16	30%	75.8	79.8	-4.0
15	Real Valladolid	23	7	16	30%	77.5	84.5	-7.0
16	Castello	24	7	17	29%	80.2	88.5	-8.3
17	Alicante	23	6	17	26%	75.3	79.6	-4.3
18	Moron	24	2	22	8%	72.6	83.8	-11.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Fuenlabrada	19	24	24	27	94
Estela	18	16	24	12	70

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Fuenlabrada vs Estela Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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