Fuenlabrada vs Ourense Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Mar 2024

Tip-off: 20:00

Final 76-66

18-18 30-13 19-22 9-13

Position#10

Record9-17

FormLWLWL

Points / game76.7

Allowed / game80.1

Fuenlabrada 🏆

Ourense

Position#12

Record12-14

FormLLWLW

Points / game73.4

Allowed / game78.3

Primera FEBRound 27· Pabellon Fernando Martin

Other2023-24

Meetings · Fuenlabrada v Ourense

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fuenlabrada winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ourense winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fuenlabrada Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormFuenlabrada

Date

Competition

Hestia Menorca

#11

75-81

-6

65avg 68

H14/01

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

73-77

-4

58avg 68

A19/01

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

93-74

+19

88avg 68

H03/02

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

74-81

-7

73avg 68

A10/02

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

79-85

-6

78avg 68

H17/02

Primera FEB

Real Betis

78-79

-1

69avg 68

A03/03

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

74-69

67avg 68

H09/03

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

83-98

-15

73avg 68

A12/03

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

88-82

84avg 68

H16/03

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

73-90

-17

66avg 68

A22/03

Primera FEB

17-26

22-17

14-18

22-20

9-22

27-14

21-23

16-18

27-25

17-13

24-25

25-11

19-23

14-13

21-29

20-16

22-28

21-19

16-15

20-23

21-24

15-16

19-22

23-17

25-20

6-14

15-17

28-18

25-18

25-33

16-20

17-27

21-15

27-20

21-20

19-27

18-23

24-19

12-29

19-19

160.6Avg total

79.0Scored

81.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	76.7	80.1	156.7	-3.4	35%
Season at home (12)	77.8	77.7	155.5	+0.2	42%
Season away (14)	75.6	82.1	157.8	-6.5	29%
Last 10 (10)	79.0	81.6	160.6	-2.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	79.2	83.6	162.8	-4.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	74.3	89.9	164.1	-15.6	14%
vs Similar (7)	74.1	78.7	152.9	-4.6	29%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	80.7	74.0	154.7	+6.7	56%

This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ourense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormOurense

Date

Competition

Real Valladolid

99-77

+22

102avg 64

H12/01

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

81-67

+14

78avg 64

A19/01

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

61-66

-5

46avg 64

H03/02

Primera FEB

Real Betis

48-72

-24

36avg 64

A09/02

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

88-83 OT

no box

H17/02

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

80-85

-5

78avg 64

A03/03

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

73-80

-7

67avg 64

H09/03

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

81-78

no box

A13/03

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

71-81

-10

55avg 64

A16/03

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

92-71

+21

83avg 64

H23/03

Primera FEB

35-21

18-16

16-17

30-23

12-27

16-13

32-10

21-17

16-13

8-19

11-17

26-17

13-16

5-28

12-11

18-17

19-18

22-24

22-16

15-20

19-20

17-10

22-19

22-36

16-19

17-27

17-10

23-24

21-20

21-17

22-15

17-26

24-22

19-22

12-15

16-22

23-17

21-23

20-17

28-14

153.4Avg total

77.4Scored

76.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	73.4	78.3	151.7	-5.0	46%
Season at home (13)	77.5	72.6	150.1	+4.8	62%
Season away (13)	69.3	84.1	153.4	-14.8	31%
Last 10 (10)	77.4	76.0	153.4	+1.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	79.4	79.0	158.4	+0.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	69.1	85.6	154.6	-16.5	25%
vs Similar (12)	78.8	73.8	152.6	+4.9	67%
vs Weaker (2)	70.5	56.0	126.5	+14.5	100%

This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FuenlabradaOurense

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	21.9	41.1	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.3	22.8	42.1	-3.5	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	21.1	40.3	-1.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	22.4	42.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.9	22.1	42.1	-2.2	36%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.7	21.1	40.9	-1.4	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	17.9	22.0	39.9	-4.1	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	19.4	37.0	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	18.1	37.1	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.1	20.7	36.8	-4.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	19.3	39.1	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	16.8	21.1	37.8	-4.3	19%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.2	18.7	37.8	+0.5	75%	-
vs Weaker (2)	14.5	10.5	25.0	+4.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.0	38.2	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	17.4	36.5	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	20.4	39.6	-1.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	17.8	37.6	+2.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.4	21.6	40.0	-3.1	29%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.1	18.7	35.9	-1.6	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	21.8	15.3	37.1	+6.4	78%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.4	38.7	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	21.1	38.5	-3.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	19.9	36.3	-3.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	18.2	22.5	40.7	-4.3	19%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.7	18.3	37.0	+0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.0	15.5	33.5	+2.5	50%	-

FuenlabradaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hestia Menorca

#11

39-43

-4

H14/01

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

36-36

A19/01

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

44-38

H03/02

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

33-36

-3

A10/02

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

43-47

-4

H17/02

Primera FEB

Real Betis

36-40

-4

A03/03

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

31-34

-3

H09/03

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

50-51

-1

A12/03

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

48-35

+13

H16/03

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

42-42

A22/03

Primera FEB

80.4Avg total

40.2Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	40.9	79.3	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.4	40.2	78.6	-1.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.4	41.5	79.9	-3.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	40.2	80.4	+0.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	40.4	81.8	+1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	38.4	43.7	82.1	-5.4	29%	-
vs Similar (7)	36.9	39.9	76.7	-3.0	14%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	39.7	37.3	77.0	+2.3	56%	-

This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Valladolid

53-37

+16

H12/01

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

28-40

-12

A19/01

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

24-32

-8

H03/02

Primera FEB

Real Betis

18-44

-26

A09/02

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

41-42

-1

H17/02

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

36-30

A03/03

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

33-46

-13

H09/03

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

42-37

A13/03

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

43-44

-1

A16/03

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

44-40

H23/03

Primera FEB

75.4Avg total

36.2Scored

39.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.9	39.8	75.7	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.5	37.7	76.1	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.4	41.9	75.3	-8.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.2	39.2	75.4	-3.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	39.4	79.0	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	34.9	43.6	78.5	-8.6	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	37.8	37.0	74.8	+0.8	58%	-
vs Weaker (2)	32.5	26.0	58.5	+6.5	50%	-

This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	21.1	39.2	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.0	21.2	40.2	-2.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.2	21.1	38.2	-3.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	21.8	39.7	-3.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	21.6	38.2	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	17.4	23.2	40.6	-5.8	29%	-
vs Similar (7)	15.7	20.3	36.0	-4.6	14%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	20.8	18.6	39.3	+2.2	56%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.0	18.6	34.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	15.1	16.9	32.0	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.9	20.2	37.1	-3.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	14.7	33.3	+3.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	15.2	33.8	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	15.1	20.6	35.6	-5.5	31%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.0	16.6	33.6	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.5	14.5	32.0	+3.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.5	40.2	-0.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	18.7	39.2	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	22.0	41.1	-2.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	19.6	40.5	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.6	42.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.5	22.9	41.4	-4.4	14%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.6	18.6	40.1	+3.0	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	20.2	18.1	38.3	+2.1	44%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.4	18.6	41.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	21.3	39.3	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.6	43.2	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	24.4	45.6	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	19.1	21.4	40.5	-2.4	38%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.7	18.8	40.4	+2.9	58%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	15.5	36.0	+5.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	41.6	79.4	-3.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.5	39.9	79.4	-0.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.2	43.1	79.3	-6.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	41.4	80.2	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	43.2	81.0	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	35.9	46.1	82.1	-10.2	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	37.3	38.9	76.1	-1.6	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	41.0	36.7	77.7	+4.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.2	38.5	74.7	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.5	35.5	73.0	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.9	41.5	76.5	-6.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	36.3	76.5	+3.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	39.6	79.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	34.1	42.0	76.1	-7.9	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	38.7	35.3	74.0	+3.3	58%	-
vs Weaker (2)	38.0	30.0	68.0	+8.0	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Fuenlabradatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fuenlabrada: 72.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.9	18.7	48.1%	51.8%	37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	19.9	6.7	33.7%	33.7%	20.1
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.3	71.5%	73.6%	15.3

They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Ourensetheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.1	22.8	55.5%	51.8%	45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.5	11.3	39.6%	33.7%	33.9
🏀 Free throws	20.1	13.0	64.7%	73.6%	13.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.0	20.4	49.8%	51.8%	40.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.9	6.7	32.1%	33.7%	20.1
🏀 Free throws	20.6	14.7	71.2%	73.6%	14.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.6	22.9	56.3%	51.8%	45.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.2	11.3	41.4%	33.7%	33.8
🏀 Free throws	19.1	13.5	70.8%	73.6%	13.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Fuenlabrada wins

Ourense wins

Date	Game	Score
04/11/23	Ourense v Fuenlabrada	68-80

Fuenlabradalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/03/24	A	Forca Lleida	73-90
16/03/24	H	Leyma Coruna	88-82
12/03/24	A	Estudiantes	83-98
09/03/24	H	Oviedo	74-69
03/03/24	A	Real Betis	78-79
17/02/24	H	Tizona Burgos	79-85
10/02/24	A	Estela	74-81
03/02/24	H	Melilla	93-74
19/01/24	A	Castello	73-77
14/01/24	H	Hestia Menorca	75-81

Ourenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/03/24	H	Estudiantes	92-71
16/03/24	A	Real Valladolid	71-81
13/03/24	A	Castello	81-78
09/03/24	H	Forca Lleida	73-80
03/03/24	A	Tizona Burgos	80-85
17/02/24	H	Oviedo	88-83 OT
09/02/24	A	Real Betis	48-72
03/02/24	H	Hestia Menorca	61-66
19/01/24	A	Melilla	81-67
12/01/24	H	Real Valladolid	99-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fuenlabrada

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	35%
Home	LWLWW	42%
Away	LLLLL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	12	14
Win %	35%	42%	29%
Points / game	76.7	77.8	75.6
Allowed / game	80.1	77.7	82.1
Point differential	-3.4	+0.2	-6.5
Avg total	156.7	155.5	157.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	25%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	33% (3)	25% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Ourense

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	46%
Home	WLWLW	62%
Away	WLLWL	31%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	46%	62%	31%
Points / game	73.4	77.5	69.3
Allowed / game	78.3	72.6	84.1
Point differential	-5.0	+4.8	-14.8
Avg total	151.7	150.1	153.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	38%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	67% (3)	67% (3)
Overtime %	8%	8%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Leyma Coruna	26	20	6	77%	90.0	82.0	+8.1
2	San Pablo Burgos	26	19	7	73%	86.5	76.6	+10.0
3	Tizona Burgos	26	19	7	73%	89.7	81.3	+8.4
4	Estudiantes	26	18	8	69%	83.5	76.6	+6.8
5	Gipuzkoa	26	18	8	69%	81.9	75.7	+6.2
6	Forca Lleida	26	18	8	69%	80.9	76.2	+4.7
7	Real Valladolid	26	17	9	65%	79.6	78.5	+1.1
8	Alicante	27	17	10	63%	79.7	75.3	+4.4
9	Real Betis	27	13	14	48%	81.2	78.6	+2.6
10	Ourense	26	12	14	46%	73.4	78.3	-5.0
11	Hestia Menorca	26	10	16	38%	70.7	74.2	-3.4
12	Oviedo	27	10	17	37%	79.3	80.6	-1.3
13	Estela	27	10	17	37%	77.5	81.5	-4.0
14	Fuenlabrada	26	9	17	35%	76.7	80.1	-3.4
15	Melilla	26	9	17	35%	75.1	81.3	-6.2
16	Castello	26	7	19	27%	78.2	86.6	-8.4
17	Caceres	26	6	20	23%	74.0	83.8	-9.8
18	Clavijo	26	4	22	15%	68.0	78.9	-10.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Fuenlabrada	18	30	19	9	76
Ourense	18	13	22	13	66

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Fuenlabrada vs Ourense Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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