Ourense vs Real Valladolid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Jan 2024

Tip-off: 20:00

Final 99-77

35-21 18-16 16-17 30-23

Position#12

Record7-9

FormLLWLL

Points / game70.9

Allowed / game79.8

Ourense 🏆

Real Valladolid

Position#9

Record11-5

FormWWLLW

Points / game79.4

Allowed / game77.8

Primera FEBRound 17

Other2023-24

Meetings · Ourense v Real Valladolid

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ourense winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Real Valladolid winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ourense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormOurense

Date

Competition

Hestia Menorca

#11

74-50

+24

68avg 62

A12/11

Primera FEB

Real Betis

84-83

84avg 62

H18/11

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

65-99

-34

43avg 62

A24/11

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

72-79

-7

65avg 62

H28/11

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

55-90

-35

40avg 62

A03/12

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

59-65

-6

48avg 62

H09/12

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

55-105

105

-50

37avg 62

A16/12

Primera FEB

Alicante

77-68

76avg 62

H20/12

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

77-106

106

-29

69avg 62

A29/12

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

56-97

-41

41avg 62

A07/01

Primera FEB

15-12

17-16

18-13

24-9

24-18

25-28

13-20

22-17

22-22

17-30

14-23

12-24

16-16

23-25

14-23

19-15

10-23

16-21

16-27

13-19

14-24

24-13

8-15

13-13

14-21

15-28

11-39

15-17

20-18

26-11

14-15

17-24

20-29

21-21

16-25

20-31

6-24

17-25

22-28

11-20

151.6Avg total

67.4Scored

84.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	70.9	79.8	150.7	-8.9	44%
Season at home (8)	74.2	70.9	145.1	+3.4	62%
Season away (8)	67.5	88.8	156.2	-21.2	25%
Last 10 (10)	67.4	84.2	151.6	-16.8	30%
Last 5 (5)	64.8	88.2	153.0	-23.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	68.3	87.2	155.5	-18.9	25%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	75.1	71.9	147.0	+3.2	58%
vs Weaker (2)	70.5	56.0	126.5	+14.5	100%

This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real Valladolid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormValladolid

Date

Competition

Estela

#14

82-81

74avg 68

A12/11

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

80-74

69avg 68

H18/11

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

92-91 OT

no box

A26/11

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

71-65

55avg 68

H29/11

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

89-71

+18

85avg 68

H02/12

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

77-69

66avg 68

A10/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

87-79

54avg 68

A15/12

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

73-76

-3

56avg 68

H20/12

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

66-83

-17

53avg 68

A30/12

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

87-72

+15

77avg 68

H06/01

Primera FEB

15-20

25-27

24-18

18-16

19-24

27-13

15-18

19-19

18-28

31-28

16-17

15-7

22-17

22-16

12-18

15-14

25-19

23-17

20-20

21-15

17-23

29-11

18-12

13-23

21-23

29-20

16-11

21-25

16-14

17-19

16-27

24-16

9-19

19-20

12-22

26-22

21-18

25-19

23-19

18-16

156.5Avg total

80.4Scored

76.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	79.4	77.8	157.1	+1.6	69%
Season at home (8)	79.5	75.1	154.6	+4.4	75%
Season away (8)	79.2	80.4	159.6	-1.1	62%
Last 10 (10)	80.4	76.1	156.5	+4.3	80%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	75.8	153.8	+2.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	77.3	81.8	159.1	-4.5	50%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	79.3	75.8	155.2	+3.5	75%
vs Weaker (8)	80.8	75.1	155.9	+5.6	75%

This opponent (Ourense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

OurenseReal Valladolid

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.8	19.5	36.3	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	18.4	36.7	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.3	20.6	35.9	-5.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	20.7	36.8	-4.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	23.2	38.0	-8.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	17.0	22.0	39.0	-5.0	19%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	16.8	17.7	34.5	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	14.5	10.5	25.0	+4.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.2	40.3	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.8	19.9	41.6	+1.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	20.4	39.1	-1.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	20.5	38.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	19.4	36.2	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	22.2	22.0	44.2	+0.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.6	21.1	41.8	-0.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.9	38.0	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	17.5	36.6	+1.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	22.3	39.4	-5.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	21.8	41.9	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	17.0	21.4	38.4	-4.4	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.6	18.7	38.2	+0.9	58%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.0	15.5	33.5	+2.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.5	38.8	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	18.1	38.6	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	18.9	39.0	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.7	19.0	43.7	+5.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	17.8	41.6	+6.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.0	18.3	37.3	+0.7	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.8	16.5	38.2	+5.2	62%	-

OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hestia Menorca

#11

32-28

A12/11

Primera FEB

Real Betis

49-46

H18/11

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

39-52

-13

A24/11

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

39-41

-2

H28/11

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

26-44

-18

A03/12

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

38-37

H09/12

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

29-49

-20

A16/12

Primera FEB

Alicante

46-29

+17

H20/12

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

41-50

-9

A29/12

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

23-49

-26

A07/01

Primera FEB

78.7Avg total

36.2Scored

42.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.9	39.4	74.3	-4.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.3	35.9	73.3	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	32.4	42.9	75.3	-10.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.2	42.5	78.7	-6.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	42.8	78.2	-7.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	34.0	43.4	77.4	-9.4	19%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	36.4	36.3	72.8	+0.1	58%	-
vs Weaker (2)	32.5	26.0	58.5	+6.5	50%	-

This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real ValladolidLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estela

#14

40-47

-7

A12/11

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

46-37

H18/11

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

49-56

-7

A26/11

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

44-33

+11

H29/11

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

48-36

+12

H02/12

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

46-34

+12

A10/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

50-43

A15/12

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

33-33

H20/12

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

28-39

-11

A30/12

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

46-37

H06/01

Primera FEB

82.5Avg total

43.0Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	38.7	79.1	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.3	37.9	80.2	+4.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.8	39.3	78.1	-0.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	39.5	82.5	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	37.2	77.8	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	41.2	40.3	81.5	+0.9	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	38.4	38.0	76.4	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	42.4	37.6	80.0	+4.8	88%	-

This opponent (Ourense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.1	19.5	35.7	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	15.7	17.3	33.0	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.5	21.8	38.3	-5.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.6	22.8	37.4	-8.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.2	24.4	38.6	-10.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	15.7	21.9	37.6	-6.2	19%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	16.5	17.2	33.7	-0.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.5	14.5	32.0	+3.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.4	37.6	-1.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	19.4	38.4	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.6	19.4	36.9	-1.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	18.2	35.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	18.2	35.2	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.8	21.0	37.8	-4.2	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	42%	-
vs Weaker (8)	18.8	16.5	35.2	+2.2	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.6	39.2	-0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	18.4	39.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	20.9	39.5	-2.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	18.9	35.5	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	21.0	36.2	-5.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	18.6	21.9	40.5	-3.2	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.8	17.3	38.1	+3.4	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	15.5	36.0	+5.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.1	38.9	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.3	17.8	37.1	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.3	20.2	40.6	+0.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	17.3	36.3	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.4	40.8	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.1	19.4	37.5	-1.3	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	21.4	17.6	39.0	+3.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.7	39.2	74.9	-3.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.3	35.7	72.0	+0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.1	42.7	77.8	-7.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.2	41.7	72.9	-10.5	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.4	45.4	74.8	-16.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	34.3	43.8	78.1	-9.5	19%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	37.2	34.5	71.8	+2.8	58%	-
vs Weaker (2)	38.0	30.0	68.0	+8.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	38.5	76.5	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.2	37.2	75.4	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.9	39.6	77.5	-1.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.2	35.5	71.7	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	38.6	76.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	34.9	40.4	75.3	-5.5	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	40.4	37.6	78.0	+2.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (8)	38.4	37.5	75.9	+0.9	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ourense wins

Real Valladolid wins

Date	Game	Score
25/03/23	Ourense v Real Valladolid	82-72
26/11/22	Real Valladolid v Ourense	86-76
23/12/20	Ourense v Real Valladolid	78-88
18/10/20	Real Valladolid v Ourense	89-87

Ourenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/01/24	A	Estudiantes	56-97
29/12/23	A	Leyma Coruna	77-106
20/12/23	H	Alicante	77-68
16/12/23	A	San Pablo Burgos	55-105
09/12/23	H	Melilla	59-65
03/12/23	A	Forca Lleida	55-90
28/11/23	H	Tizona Burgos	72-79
24/11/23	A	Gipuzkoa	65-99
18/11/23	H	Real Betis	84-83
12/11/23	A	Hestia Menorca	74-50

Real Valladolidlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/01/24	H	Fuenlabrada	87-72
30/12/23	A	Oviedo	66-83
20/12/23	H	Melilla	73-76
15/12/23	A	Caceres	87-79
10/12/23	A	Clavijo	77-69
02/12/23	H	Castello	89-71
29/11/23	H	Gipuzkoa	71-65
26/11/23	A	Estudiantes	92-91 OT
18/11/23	H	Forca Lleida	80-74
12/11/23	A	Estela	82-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ourense

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	44%
Home	LWLLW	62%
Away	LLLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	44%	62%	25%
Points / game	70.9	74.2	67.5
Allowed / game	79.8	70.9	88.8
Point differential	-8.9	+3.4	-21.2
Avg total	150.7	145.1	156.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	38%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	6%	0%	12%

Real Valladolid

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	69%
Home	WWWLW	75%
Away	WWWWL	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	69%	75%	62%
Points / game	79.4	79.5	79.2
Allowed / game	77.8	75.1	80.4
Point differential	+1.6	+4.4	-1.1
Avg total	157.1	154.6	159.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	25%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	50% (2)	100% (2)
Overtime %	6%	0%	12%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Estudiantes	16	13	3	81%	85.9	72.6	+13.3
2	San Pablo Burgos	16	12	4	75%	86.3	76.2	+10.1
3	Leyma Coruna	16	12	4	75%	89.1	79.8	+9.4
4	Gipuzkoa	16	12	4	75%	81.4	74.1	+7.3
5	Tizona Burgos	16	11	5	69%	89.8	84.2	+5.6
6	Real Valladolid	16	11	5	69%	79.4	77.8	+1.6
7	Forca Lleida	16	10	6	62%	78.8	75.2	+3.6
8	Alicante	16	9	7	56%	78.9	77.8	+1.1
9	Oviedo	16	7	9	44%	80.2	80.2	+0.0
10	Melilla	16	7	9	44%	74.4	77.7	-3.2
11	Ourense	16	7	9	44%	70.9	79.8	-8.9
12	Estela	16	6	10	38%	78.8	82.2	-3.5
13	Fuenlabrada	16	6	10	38%	75.2	79.1	-3.9
14	Real Betis	16	5	11	31%	79.2	78.5	+0.8
15	Caceres	16	5	11	31%	74.4	82.9	-8.6
16	Castello	16	4	12	25%	78.1	85.4	-7.2
17	Hestia Menorca	16	4	12	25%	68.8	76.1	-7.3
18	Clavijo	16	3	13	19%	65.6	75.6	-9.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ourense	35	18	16	30	99
Real Valladolid	21	16	17	23	77

← all games of the day

Ourense vs Real Valladolid Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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