Fuenlabrada will host Ourense on 7 November 2026 in the Primera FEB, with the model favouring the home side at 64% versus 36% for the visitors. Fuenlabrada's season record stands at 1-5, averaging 76.5 points scored and 80.5 allowed, while Ourense sits at 3-3, scoring 84.8 and conceding 83.0 per game, placing them 8th. At home, Fuenlabrada is 1-1, posting 79.0 points and 77.5 allowed, and their last five games yielded one win and four losses, including a 90-76 victory over Hestia Menorca at home and a 66-71 defeat to Granada away. Ourense's road record is 1-1, with 85.0 points scored and 85.0 allowed, and their recent five outings produced two wins and three losses, highlighted by a 83-73 win over Fibwi Palma at home and a 79-83 loss to Alicante at home. Historically, Fuenlabrada has dominated the six meetings, winning all, most recently 78-71 on 4 February 2026. The model projects a 84-80 scoreline, 163.3 total points, and a 39% chance of the home team covering the -7.5 line, with a 49% probability of the over on the 163.5 total; an overtime chance sits at 5%. The game will hinge on whether Fuenlabrada can maintain its recent offensive spark against a resilient Ourense that has managed to keep the margin tight in past encounters.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 76.5 | 80.5 | 157.0 | -4.0 | 17% |
| Season at home (2) | 79.0 | 77.5 | 156.5 | +1.5 | 50% |
| Season away (4) | 75.2 | 82.0 | 157.2 | -6.8 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 75.5 | 79.5 | 155.0 | -4.0 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 75.4 | 77.4 | 152.8 | -2.0 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (15) | 73.7 | 81.7 | 155.3 | -8.0 | 40% |
| vs Similar (10) | 78.1 | 74.3 | 152.4 | +3.8 | 60% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 86.4 | 78.4 | 164.8 | +8.0 | 80% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 84.8 | 83.0 | 167.8 | +1.8 | 50% |
| Season at home (4) | 84.8 | 82.0 | 166.8 | +2.8 | 50% |
| Season away (2) | 85.0 | 85.0 | 170.0 | +0.0 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 83.2 | 82.2 | 165.4 | +1.0 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 83.6 | 85.4 | 169.0 | -1.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (15) | 77.5 | 85.3 | 162.7 | -7.8 | 13% |
| vs Similar (7) | 78.7 | 82.4 | 161.1 | -3.7 | 43% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (8) | 82.2 | 76.8 | 159.0 | +5.5 | 62% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 80.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.0 | 40.0 | 78.0 | -2.0 | 33% | 43% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 37.9 | 38.3 | 76.2 | -0.4 | 36% | 29% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 38.1 | 41.4 | 79.5 | -3.4 | 31% | 56% |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.0 | 40.5 | 77.5 | -3.5 | 20% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 35.8 | 41.8 | 77.6 | -6.0 | 0% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (15) | 37.2 | 40.6 | 77.8 | -3.4 | 27% | 40% |
| vs Similar (10) | 38.0 | 39.4 | 77.4 | -1.4 | 30% | 50% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 40.4 | 39.2 | 79.6 | +1.2 | 60% | 40% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 80.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.5 | 41.3 | 81.8 | -0.7 | 50% | 57% |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 40.8 | 41.6 | 82.4 | -0.8 | 47% | 65% |
| Last 30 away (13) | 40.2 | 40.8 | 81.1 | -0.6 | 54% | 46% |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.6 | 42.6 | 85.2 | +0.0 | 50% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 43.0 | 40.8 | 83.8 | +2.2 | 80% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (15) | 39.4 | 42.5 | 81.9 | -3.1 | 40% | 47% |
| vs Similar (7) | 40.1 | 41.9 | 82.0 | -1.7 | 43% | 71% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (8) | 43.0 | 38.5 | 81.5 | +4.5 | 75% | 62% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ourense +11 | 73.5% | 1.54 | 1.54 | - | - | - | - | +13.1pp | Won |
| Ourense +17.5 | 87.8% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +11.6pp | Won |
| Ourense +10.5 | 71.4% | 1.51 | 1.57 | 1.52 | 1.50 | 1.44 | - | +10.9pp | Won |
| Ourense +11.5 | 74.3% | 1.44 | 1.50 | 1.45 | 1.37 | - | - | +10.8pp | Won |
| Ourense +12.5 | 77.1% | 1.37 | 1.43 | 1.38 | 1.30 | - | - | +10.7pp | Won |
| Ourense +15.5 | 84.1% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +10.7pp | Won |
| Ourense +13.5 | 79.6% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +10.3pp | Won |
| Ourense +14.5 | 81.9% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +10.2pp | Won |
| Ourense +10 | 70.4% | 1.56 | 1.60 | 1.55 | 1.53 | - | - | +9.5pp | Won |
| Ourense +22.5 | 94.1% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +8.6pp | Won |
| Fuenlabrada under 96.5 | 89.5% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +8.0pp | Won |
| Fuenlabrada under 92.5 | 80.6% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +7.8pp | Won |
| Fuenlabrada under 94.5 | 85.5% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +7.7pp | Won |
| Fuenlabrada under 90.5 | 74.9% | 1.34 | 1.38 | 1.31 | - | - | - | +7.6pp | Won |
| Ourense over 72.5 | 75.0% | 1.33 | 1.37 | 1.30 | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| Ourense over 68.5 | 85.7% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Won |
| Ourense over 70.5 | 80.8% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Ourense over 73.5 | 71.8% | 1.38 | 1.40 | 1.36 | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| Fuenlabrada under 89.5 | 71.6% | 1.38 | 1.40 | 1.36 | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| Ourense over 66.5 | 89.7% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| Ourense over 64.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Won |
| Fuenlabrada +17.5 | 96.3% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Won |
| Fuenlabrada over 68.5 | 93.1% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Over 137.5 | 94.1% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 94.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.2pp | - |
| Under 187.5 | 92.4% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.0pp | Won |
| Fuenlabrada +12.5 | 92.0% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +2.7pp | Won |
| Fuenlabrada over 70.5 | 90.1% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +2.6pp | Won |
| Over 142.5 | 89.5% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +2.3pp | Won |
| Over 147.5 | 82.7% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +2.2pp | Won |
| Ourense under 94.5 | 92.1% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +1.9pp | Won |
| Under 182.5 | 87.6% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +1.5pp | Won |
| Over 152.5 | 73.7% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +1.4pp | Won |
| Fuenlabrada over 72.5 | 86.2% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +1.2pp | Won |
| Under 177.5 | 80.7% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +1.2pp | Won |
| Fuenlabrada over 74.5 | 81.5% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +1.0pp | Won |
| Ourense under 92.5 | 89.1% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +0.8pp | Won |
| Under 172.5 | 71.7% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +0.3pp | Won |
| Fuenlabrada over 76.5 | 75.8% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | -0.4pp | Won |
| Ourense under 90.5 | 85.2% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -0.9pp | Won |
| Ourense under 88.5 | 80.5% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | -0.9pp | Won |
| Fuenlabrada +7.5 | 83.8% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -1.7pp | Won |
| Ourense under 86.5 | 75.0% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -2.8pp | Won |
| Fuenlabrada +2.5 | 70.6% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | -5.6pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.2 | 18.0 | 53.0% | 36.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.3 | 8.8 | 32.9% | 26.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.4 | 12.6 | 74.2% | 12.6 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.9 | 20.2 | 53.0% | 40.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.9 | 7.3 | 32.9% | 21.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 25.7 | 18.3 | 74.2% | 18.3 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 04/02/26 | Fuenlabrada v Ourense | 78-71 |
| 31/01/26 | Ourense v Fuenlabrada | 69-72 |
| 06/04/25 | Fuenlabrada v Ourense | 81-74 |
| 11/01/25 | Ourense v Fuenlabrada | 89-90 OT |
| 29/03/24 | Fuenlabrada v Ourense | 76-66 |
| 04/11/23 | Ourense v Fuenlabrada | 68-80 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | A | Granada | 66-71 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Hestia Menorca | 90-76 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Estela | 79-84 |
| 11/10/26 | A | Caja 87 | 74-77 |
| 03/10/26 | H | Gran Canaria | 68-79 |
| 26/09/26 | A | Alicante | 82-96 |
| 29/05/26 | A | Palencia | 51-76 |
| 24/05/26 | H | Palencia | 78-72 |
| 22/05/26 | H | Palencia | 88-81 |
| 17/05/26 | A | Palencia | 79-83 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | H | Fibwi Palma | 83-73 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Palencia | 80-84 |
| 16/10/26 | H | Alicante | 79-83 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Estela | 86-101 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Gipuzkoa | 90-86 |
| 26/09/26 | H | Tizona Burgos | 91-71 |
| 08/05/26 | H | Oviedo | 70-74 |
| 03/05/26 | A | Melilla | 93-84 |
| 26/04/26 | A | Hestia Menorca | 70-73 |
| 21/04/26 | H | Palencia | 90-93 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLWL | 17% |
| Home | LW | 50% |
| Away | LLLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| Win % | 17% | 50% | 0% |
| Points / game | 76.5 | 79.0 | 75.2 |
| Allowed / game | 80.5 | 77.5 | 82.0 |
| Point differential | -4.0 | +1.5 | -6.8 |
| Avg total | 157.0 | 156.5 | 157.2 |
| Over 163.25 | 33% | 50% | 25% |
| Win by 10+ | 17% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (3) | - | 0% (3) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLLW | 50% |
| Home | WLLW | 50% |
| Away | WL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Points / game | 84.8 | 84.8 | 85.0 |
| Allowed / game | 83.0 | 82.0 | 85.0 |
| Point differential | +1.8 | +2.8 | +0.0 |
| Avg total | 167.8 | 166.8 | 170.0 |
| Over 163.25 | 50% | 25% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 33% (3) | 0% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 91.0 | 74.8 | +16.2 | |
| 2 | Alicante | 6 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 89.8 | 74.0 | +15.8 |
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 82.0 | 72.4 | +9.6 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 89.5 | 77.2 | +12.3 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 82.7 | 79.3 | +3.3 | |
| 6 | Palmer Basket | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 86.5 | 84.7 | +1.8 |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 76.6 | 77.9 | -1.3 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 84.8 | 83.0 | +1.8 | |
| 9 | Caja 87 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 76.3 | 76.7 | -0.3 |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 83.3 | 87.7 | -4.3 | |
| 11 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 82.7 | 88.0 | -5.3 | |
| 12 | Cordoba | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 71.8 | 77.2 | -5.3 |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 75.8 | 81.2 | -5.3 | |
| 14 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 79.2 | 90.8 | -11.7 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 76.5 | 80.5 | -4.0 | |
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 87.5 | 95.0 | -7.5 | |
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 79.8 | 87.7 | -7.8 | |
| 18 | Hestia Menorca | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 70.0 | 79.3 | -9.3 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 19 | 20 | 28 | 84 | |
| 19 | 25 | 19 | 23 | 86 |
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