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Real Valladolid vs Ourense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 81-71
22-24 22-19 15-12 22-16
Position#9
Record15-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Position#12
Record11-13
FormLWLLW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game78.5
SpainPrimera FEBRound 25
Other2023-24
Meetings · Real Valladolid v Ourense
04 Jan 2025
REAL87
OURE91
16 Mar 2024
REAL81
OURE71
26 Nov 2022
REAL86
OURE76
18 Oct 2020
REAL89
OURE87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Valladolid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ourense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real ValladolidSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValladolid
Date
Competition
Oviedo
#13
L
66-83
66
83
-17
53avg 68
A30/12
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#10
W
87-72
87
72
+15
77avg 68
H06/01
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
L
77-99
77
99
-22
68avg 68
A12/01
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
L
69-84
69
84
-15
55avg 68
H20/01
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#6
L
81-84
81
84
-3
67avg 68
A04/02
Primera FEB
Caceres
#17
W
99-72
99
72
+27
93avg 68
H10/02
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
84-79
84
79
+5
74avg 68
H17/02
Primera FEB
Castello
#15
W
84-80
84
80
+4
76avg 68
A01/03
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#18
W
86-72
86
72
+14
74avg 68
H08/03
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
L
57-76
57
76
-19
50avg 68
A12/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-19
19-20
12-22
26-22
21-18
25-19
23-19
18-16
21-35
16-18
17-16
23-30
19-20
14-16
12-24
24-24
18-14
23-20
18-25
22-25
19-15
19-17
29-15
32-25
26-18
26-17
16-18
16-26
18-14
18-22
21-25
27-19
21-19
29-16
16-13
20-24
13-19
9-25
22-19
13-13
159.1Avg total
79.0Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.578.8158.2+0.762%
Season at home (12)81.275.7156.8+5.575%
Season away (12)77.881.8159.6-4.150%
Last 10 (10)79.080.1159.1-1.150%
Last 5 (5)82.075.8157.8+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.282.3159.5-5.145%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.878.0155.8-0.264%
vs Weaker (5)87.274.6161.8+12.6100%
This opponent (Ourense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OurenseSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOurense
Date
Competition
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
77-106
77
106
-29
69avg 63
A29/12
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
56-97
56
97
-41
41avg 63
A07/01
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#9
W
99-77
99
77
+22
102avg 63
H12/01
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
W
81-67
81
67
+14
78avg 63
A19/01
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
L
61-66
61
66
-5
46avg 63
H03/02
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
L
48-72
48
72
-24
36avg 63
A09/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#13
W
88-83 OT
88
83
+5
no box
H17/02
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
L
80-85
80
85
-5
78avg 63
A03/03
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#1
L
73-80
73
80
-7
67avg 63
H09/03
Primera FEB
Castello
#15
W
81-78
81
78
+3
no box
A13/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
21-21
16-25
20-31
6-24
17-25
22-28
11-20
35-21
18-16
16-17
30-23
12-27
16-13
32-10
21-17
16-13
8-19
11-17
26-17
13-16
5-28
12-11
18-17
19-18
22-24
22-16
15-20
19-20
17-10
22-19
22-36
16-19
17-27
17-10
23-24
21-20
21-17
22-15
17-26
155.5Avg total
74.4Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)72.778.5151.2-5.846%
Season at home (12)76.272.8149.0+3.558%
Season away (12)69.284.3153.5-15.233%
Last 10 (10)74.481.1155.5-6.740%
Last 5 (5)74.079.6153.6-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)66.487.1153.5-20.819%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.072.7150.7+5.367%
vs Weaker (2)70.556.0126.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -2.8-2.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -2.8-2.8
Real ValladolidOurense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real ValladolidLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oviedo
#13
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A30/12
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#10
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H06/01
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A12/01
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H20/01
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#6
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A04/02
Primera FEB
Caceres
#17
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H10/02
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H17/02
Primera FEB
Castello
#15
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A01/03
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#18
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H08/03
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
L
22-44
22
44
-22
A12/03
Primera FEB
76.4Avg total
38.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.239.079.2+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.436.679.0+5.764%-
Last 30 away (16)38.241.179.3-2.844%-
Last 10 (10)38.338.176.4+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.636.476.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.739.079.7+1.755%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.839.777.5-1.936%-
vs Weaker (5)45.637.082.6+8.6100%-
This opponent (Ourense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A29/12
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
23-49
23
49
-26
A07/01
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#9
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H12/01
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A19/01
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H03/02
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
L
18-44
18
44
-26
A09/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#13
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H17/02
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A03/03
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#1
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H09/03
Primera FEB
Castello
#15
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A13/03
Primera FEB
74.6Avg total
33.9Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.539.874.3-5.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.337.674.9-0.340%-
Last 30 away (15)31.741.973.7-10.233%-
Last 10 (10)33.940.774.6-6.830%-
Last 5 (5)34.039.873.8-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)33.343.977.2-10.619%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.536.673.1-0.158%-
vs Weaker (2)32.526.058.5+6.550%-
This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Real Valladolid wins
2
Ourense wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/24AHestia Menorca57-76
08/03/24HClavijo86-72
01/03/24ACastello84-80
17/02/24HEstela84-79
10/02/24HCaceres99-72
04/02/24AGipuzkoa81-84
20/01/24HAlicante69-84
12/01/24AOurense77-99
06/01/24HFuenlabrada87-72
30/12/23AOviedo66-83
Ourenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/24ACastello81-78
09/03/24HForca Lleida73-80
03/03/24ATizona Burgos80-85
17/02/24HOviedo88-83 OT
09/02/24AReal Betis48-72
03/02/24HHestia Menorca61-66
19/01/24AMelilla81-67
12/01/24HReal Valladolid99-77
07/01/24AEstudiantes56-97
29/12/23ALeyma Coruna77-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Valladolid
Primera FEB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL62%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayLLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game79.581.277.8
Allowed / game78.875.781.8
Point differential+0.7+5.5-4.1
Avg total158.2156.8159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Ourense
Primera FEB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW46%
HomeWWLWL58%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %46%58%33%
Points / game72.776.269.2
Allowed / game78.572.884.3
Point differential-5.8+3.5-15.2
Avg total151.2149.0153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna2419579%90.181.8+8.3
2 Estudiantes2418675%84.876.0+8.7
3 San Pablo Burgos2417771%86.577.0+9.5
4 Tizona Burgos2417771%88.881.9+6.8
5 Gipuzkoa2417771%82.275.8+6.3
6 Forca Lleida2417771%80.975.9+5.0
7 Alicante2416867%80.475.0+5.3
8 Real Valladolid2415962%79.578.8+0.7
9 Ourense24111346%72.778.5-5.8
10 Real Betis24101442%80.979.0+1.9
11 Oviedo2491538%79.180.5-1.5
12 Estela2491538%78.081.5-3.4
13 Hestia Menorca2491538%70.874.9-4.1
14 Melilla2491538%75.080.6-5.6
15 Fuenlabrada2481633%76.379.6-3.2
16 Castello2461825%78.385.8-7.5
17 Caceres2451921%74.284.4-10.2
18 Clavijo2442017%66.978.2-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Valladolid2222152281
Ourense2419121671
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