Ourense vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Mar 2024

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 92-71

23-17 21-23 20-17 28-14

Position#12

Record11-14

FormWLLWL

Points / game72.6

Allowed / game78.6

Ourense 🏆

Estudiantes

Position#4

Record18-7

FormLLLWL

Points / game84.0

Allowed / game76.0

Primera FEBRound 26

Other2023-24

Meetings · Ourense v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ourense winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ourense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormOurense

Date

Competition

Estudiantes

56-97

-41

41avg 63

A07/01

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

99-77

+22

102avg 63

H12/01

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

81-67

+14

78avg 63

A19/01

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

61-66

-5

46avg 63

H03/02

Primera FEB

Real Betis

48-72

-24

36avg 63

A09/02

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

88-83 OT

no box

H17/02

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

80-85

-5

78avg 63

A03/03

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

73-80

-7

67avg 63

H09/03

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

81-78

no box

A13/03

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

71-81

-10

55avg 63

A16/03

Primera FEB

6-24

17-25

22-28

11-20

35-21

18-16

16-17

30-23

12-27

16-13

32-10

21-17

16-13

8-19

11-17

26-17

13-16

5-28

12-11

18-17

19-18

22-24

22-16

15-20

19-20

17-10

22-19

22-36

16-19

17-27

17-10

23-24

21-20

21-17

22-15

17-26

24-22

19-22

12-15

16-22

152.4Avg total

73.8Scored

78.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	72.6	78.6	151.3	-6.0	44%
Season at home (12)	76.2	72.8	149.0	+3.5	58%
Season away (13)	69.3	84.1	153.4	-14.8	31%
Last 10 (10)	73.8	78.6	152.4	-4.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	78.6	81.4	160.0	-2.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	66.4	87.1	153.5	-20.8	19%
vs Similar (12)	78.8	73.8	152.6	+4.9	67%
vs Weaker (2)	70.5	56.0	126.5	+14.5	100%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormEstudiantes

Date

Competition

Ourense

#12

97-56

+41

94avg 78

H07/01

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

85-83

66avg 78

A12/01

Primera FEB

Real Betis

93-87

84avg 78

H21/01

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

84-59

+25

78avg 78

H04/02

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

75-67

68avg 78

A11/02

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

79-93

-14

70avg 78

A16/02

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

57-77

-20

40avg 78

H03/03

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

88-114

114

-26

75avg 78

A08/03

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

98-83

+15

97avg 78

H12/03

Primera FEB

Alicante

65-75

-10

52avg 78

A16/03

Primera FEB

24-6

25-17

28-22

20-11

12-18

26-20

21-20

26-25

21-18

29-24

20-21

23-24

28-16

17-16

26-11

13-16

25-17

18-13

13-22

19-15

20-22

18-20

23-22

18-29

9-14

19-22

14-21

15-20

23-38

29-21

18-16

18-39

18-25

33-25

20-16

27-17

20-9

7-20

16-25

22-21

161.5Avg total

82.1Scored

79.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	84.0	76.0	160.0	+8.0	72%
Season at home (13)	86.5	74.5	161.0	+12.1	69%
Season away (12)	81.2	77.7	158.8	+3.5	75%
Last 10 (10)	82.1	79.4	161.5	+2.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	77.4	88.4	165.8	-11.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	84.9	88.8	173.8	-3.9	42%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	84.8	70.8	155.6	+14.1	83%

This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

OurenseEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	19.7	36.9	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.8	18.1	36.9	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.7	21.1	36.8	-5.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	20.0	38.1	-1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	15.9	21.7	37.6	-5.8	12%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.2	18.7	37.8	+0.5	75%	-
vs Weaker (2)	14.5	10.5	25.0	+4.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	17.8	39.2	+3.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	17.8	39.6	+4.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	17.9	38.6	+2.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	18.3	38.3	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	21.6	39.6	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	19.8	20.5	40.2	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.4	16.0	38.4	+6.4	78%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	20.2	38.1	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.3	19.4	38.6	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.8	20.9	37.7	-4.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.0	20.1	36.1	-4.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.0	39.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.4	22.2	39.6	-4.8	19%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.7	18.3	37.0	+0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.0	15.5	33.5	+2.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.4	40.6	+1.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	21.8	44.4	+0.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	16.6	36.3	+3.0	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	19.8	41.9	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.6	42.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	21.8	22.1	43.9	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	20.8	17.6	38.4	+3.2	78%	-

OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estudiantes

23-49

-26

A07/01

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

53-37

+16

H12/01

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

28-40

-12

A19/01

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

24-32

-8

H03/02

Primera FEB

Real Betis

18-44

-26

A09/02

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

41-42

-1

H17/02

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

36-30

A03/03

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

33-46

-13

H09/03

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

42-37

A13/03

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

43-44

-1

A16/03

Primera FEB

74.2Avg total

34.1Scored

40.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.1	39.9	75.0	-4.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.1	37.5	75.6	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	32.4	42.1	74.5	-9.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.1	40.1	74.2	-6.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	39.8	78.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	33.3	43.9	77.2	-10.6	19%	-
vs Similar (12)	37.8	37.0	74.8	+0.8	58%	-
vs Weaker (2)	32.5	26.0	58.5	+6.5	50%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ourense

#12

49-23

+26

H07/01

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

38-38

A12/01

Primera FEB

Real Betis

50-42

H21/01

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

45-32

+13

H04/02

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

43-30

+13

A11/02

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

38-42

-4

A16/02

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

28-36

-8

H03/03

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

52-59

-7

A08/03

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

51-50

H12/03

Primera FEB

Alicante

27-29

-2

A16/03

Primera FEB

80.2Avg total

42.1Scored

38.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	37.2	79.8	+5.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.4	39.6	84.0	+4.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.4	34.5	74.9	+5.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	38.1	80.2	+4.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	43.2	82.4	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	41.6	42.6	84.2	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	43.2	33.6	76.8	+9.6	89%	-

This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.9	18.9	34.8	-3.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	14.7	16.9	31.6	-2.2	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.9	20.7	37.6	-3.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	15.8	34.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	15.0	34.0	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	14.8	21.2	36.1	-6.4	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.0	16.6	33.6	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.5	14.5	32.0	+3.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.5	40.3	+1.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	17.9	39.6	+3.7	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	21.4	41.1	-1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.6	39.5	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	19.7	19.7	39.3	+0.0	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.5	19.4	40.9	+2.1	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.3	40.0	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.0	18.9	40.9	+3.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	21.4	39.2	-3.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	22.2	42.1	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	25.6	44.2	-7.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	18.2	22.0	40.2	-3.8	31%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.7	18.8	40.4	+2.9	58%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	15.5	36.0	+5.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.2	40.4	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.3	19.1	38.4	+0.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.3	21.4	42.7	-0.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	21.7	41.8	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	25.2	45.2	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	21.3	24.9	46.2	-3.6	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	19.5	17.1	36.6	+2.4	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.6	39.2	74.8	-3.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.7	35.9	72.6	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.7	42.1	76.8	-7.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	38.0	76.7	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	40.6	78.2	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	33.1	43.2	76.3	-10.2	19%	-
vs Similar (12)	38.7	35.3	74.0	+3.3	58%	-
vs Weaker (2)	38.0	30.0	68.0	+8.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	39.7	80.7	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.9	37.1	78.0	+3.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.1	42.8	83.9	-1.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	41.3	81.3	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	45.2	83.4	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	41.0	44.6	85.6	-3.6	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	41.0	36.5	77.5	+4.5	61%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Ourensetheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	21.2	50.1%	51.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.1	34.3%	33.7%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.5	69.2%	73.6%	13.5

They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	23.5	58.0%	51.8%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	10.8	43.2%	33.7%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.5	78.0%	73.6%	14.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	21.0	51.0%	51.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.8	34.1%	33.7%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	15.8	11.5	72.8%	73.6%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	21.1	53.9%	51.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	9.9	40.4%	33.7%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.7	73.5%	73.6%	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ourense wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
07/01/24	Estudiantes v Ourense	97-56
01/02/23	Ourense v Estudiantes	76-86
11/10/22	Estudiantes v Ourense	104-86

Ourenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/03/24	A	Real Valladolid	71-81
13/03/24	A	Castello	81-78
09/03/24	H	Forca Lleida	73-80
03/03/24	A	Tizona Burgos	80-85
17/02/24	H	Oviedo	88-83 OT
09/02/24	A	Real Betis	48-72
03/02/24	H	Hestia Menorca	61-66
19/01/24	A	Melilla	81-67
12/01/24	H	Real Valladolid	99-77
07/01/24	A	Estudiantes	56-97

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/03/24	A	Alicante	65-75
12/03/24	H	Fuenlabrada	98-83
08/03/24	A	Leyma Coruna	88-114
03/03/24	H	San Pablo Burgos	57-77
16/02/24	A	Forca Lleida	79-93
11/02/24	A	Hestia Menorca	75-67
04/02/24	H	Clavijo	84-59
21/01/24	H	Real Betis	93-87
12/01/24	A	Gipuzkoa	85-83
07/01/24	H	Ourense	97-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ourense

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	44%
Home	WWLWL	58%
Away	WLLWL	31%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	12	13
Win %	44%	58%	31%
Points / game	72.6	76.2	69.3
Allowed / game	78.6	72.8	84.1
Point differential	-6.0	+3.5	-14.8
Avg total	151.3	149.0	153.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	33%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	67% (3)	67% (3)
Overtime %	8%	8%	8%

Estudiantes

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	72%
Home	WWWLW	69%
Away	WWLLL	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	13	12
Win %	72%	69%	75%
Points / game	84.0	86.5	81.2
Allowed / game	76.0	74.5	77.7
Point differential	+8.0	+12.1	+3.5
Avg total	160.0	161.0	158.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	54%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	33% (3)	100% (4)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Leyma Coruna	25	19	6	76%	89.8	82.0	+7.7
2	San Pablo Burgos	25	18	7	72%	87.0	76.8	+10.2
3	Tizona Burgos	25	18	7	72%	89.7	81.5	+8.2
4	Estudiantes	25	18	7	72%	84.0	76.0	+8.0
5	Gipuzkoa	25	18	7	72%	82.4	75.7	+6.7
6	Forca Lleida	26	18	8	69%	80.9	76.2	+4.7
7	Alicante	25	17	8	68%	80.2	74.6	+5.5
8	Real Valladolid	26	17	9	65%	79.6	78.5	+1.1
9	Real Betis	26	12	14	46%	81.3	78.8	+2.5
10	Ourense	25	11	14	44%	72.6	78.6	-6.0
11	Oviedo	25	10	15	40%	79.2	80.4	-1.3
12	Estela	25	9	16	36%	77.6	81.3	-3.7
13	Hestia Menorca	25	9	16	36%	70.2	74.4	-4.2
14	Fuenlabrada	26	9	17	35%	76.7	80.1	-3.4
15	Melilla	26	9	17	35%	75.1	81.3	-6.2
16	Castello	25	6	19	24%	78.1	86.8	-8.8
17	Caceres	25	6	19	24%	73.8	83.2	-9.5
18	Clavijo	26	4	22	15%	68.0	78.9	-10.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ourense	23	21	20	28	92
Estudiantes	17	23	17	14	71

← all games of the day

Ourense vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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