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Fuenlabrada vs Palencia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 13 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 17:30
Scheduled
Position#13
Record1-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game82.4
vs
Position#4
Record4-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game75.6
SpainPrimera FEBRound 25
Other2026-27
Meetings · Fuenlabrada v Palencia
13 Mar 2027
FUE v PAL
upcoming
24 May 2026
FUE78
PAL72
22 May 2026
FUE88
PAL81
20 Dec 2025
FUE73
PAL67
11 Dec 2024
FUE82
PAL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fuenlabrada win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Palencia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FuenlabradaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palencia
#3
L
52-90
52
90
-38
A15/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A17/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H22/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H24/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
51-76
51
76
-25
A29/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
L
82-96
82
96
-14
A26/09
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#3
L
68-79
68
79
-11
H03/10
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#11
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A11/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A17/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#18
W
90-76
90
76
+14
H25/10
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
12-22
7-25
17-26
23-16
22-29
17-11
17-27
18-14
24-15
27-22
19-30
13-16
21-22
22-22
22-12
9-26
12-15
12-22
18-13
26-22
23-21
15-25
18-28
15-14
16-19
20-25
17-21
22-18
19-29
16-14
17-16
15-22
23-22
24-23
17-17
23-24
18-21
28-15
21-16
155.5Avg total
74.1Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.682.4161.0-3.820%
Season at home (2)79.077.5156.5+1.550%
Season away (3)78.385.7164.0-7.30%
Last 10 (10)74.181.4155.5-7.330%
Last 5 (5)78.682.4161.0-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)73.781.7155.3-8.040%
vs Similar (8)78.174.5152.6+3.662%
vs Weaker (7)87.177.6164.7+9.686%
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H17/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
81-88
81
88
-7
A22/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A24/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
76-51
76
51
+25
H29/05
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
81-92
81
92
-11
A06/06
Primera FEB
Albacete
#8
W
95-69
95
69
+26
A26/09
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#12
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H02/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#18
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H09/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A18/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
W
84-80
84
80
+4
H24/10
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
29-22
11-17
27-17
14-18
15-24
22-27
30-19
16-13
22-21
22-22
12-22
26-9
15-12
22-12
13-18
16-20
24-18
21-28
20-26
25-20
27-14
23-23
20-12
14-12
19-19
16-15
21-21
17-19
27-18
14-17
33-22
22-21
26-14
12-27
17-24
13-25
22-20
25-16
24-19
157.6Avg total
81.0Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.475.6159.0+7.880%
Season at home (3)81.774.3156.0+7.3100%
Season away (2)86.077.5163.5+8.550%
Last 10 (10)81.076.6157.6+4.460%
Last 5 (5)83.475.6159.0+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.784.7156.3-13.00%
vs Similar (2)90.089.5179.5+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)84.470.4154.8+14.092%
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.7+1.7
FuenlabradaPalencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FuenlabradaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palencia
#3
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A15/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A17/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H22/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H24/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A29/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A26/09
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#3
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H03/10
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#11
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A11/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A17/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#18
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H25/10
Primera FEB
77.4Avg total
37.0Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.978.9-1.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.938.376.2-0.436%-
Last 30 away (16)39.841.481.2-1.638%-
Last 10 (10)37.040.477.4-3.420%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.482.4-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.240.677.8-3.427%-
vs Similar (8)38.938.677.5+0.238%-
vs Weaker (7)42.740.082.7+2.757%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H17/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A22/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A24/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H29/05
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A06/06
Primera FEB
Albacete
#8
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A26/09
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#12
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H02/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#18
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H09/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A18/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H24/10
Primera FEB
76.7Avg total
40.5Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.035.477.3+6.683%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.935.979.8+8.181%-
Last 30 away (14)39.734.874.5+4.986%-
Last 10 (10)40.536.276.7+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)42.436.478.8+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.039.379.3+0.767%-
vs Similar (2)43.537.080.5+6.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)42.134.876.8+7.384%-
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fuenlabradatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fuenlabrada: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.0
49.7%
52.8%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.8
34.8%
32.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.412.6
72.4%
74.4%12.6
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.615.6
47.9%
52.8%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.2
35.4%
32.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws25.319.2
75.9%
74.4%19.2
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fuenlabrada
WLLLLLWWLL
Palencia
WLWWWLWLLW
#13
League position
#4
-7.7
Net rating
+6.0
105.4
Offensive rating
110.8
113.1
Defensive rating
104.8
50.7%
Effective FG%
50.3%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.41
34.8%
3-point %
35.4%
57.5%
Assist %
58.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 110.8Defence113.1 · 104.8Shooting50.7% · 50.3%3-point %34.8% · 35.4%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Fuenlabrada   ■ Palencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Fuenlabrada wins
5
Palencia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HHestia Menorca90-76
17/10/26AEstela79-84
11/10/26ACaja 8774-77
03/10/26HGran Canaria68-79
26/09/26AAlicante82-96
29/05/26APalencia51-76
24/05/26HPalencia78-72
22/05/26HPalencia88-81
17/05/26APalencia79-83
15/05/26APalencia52-90
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HOurense84-80
18/10/26AEstudiantes77-86
09/10/26HHestia Menorca91-76
02/10/26HCordoba70-67
26/09/26AAlbacete95-69
06/06/26ALeyma Coruna81-92
29/05/26HFuenlabrada76-51
24/05/26AFuenlabrada72-78
22/05/26AFuenlabrada81-88
17/05/26HFuenlabrada83-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fuenlabrada
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game78.679.078.3
Allowed / game82.477.585.7
Point differential-3.8+1.5-7.3
Avg total161.0156.5164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Palencia
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game83.481.786.0
Allowed / game75.674.377.5
Point differential+7.8+7.3+8.5
Avg total159.0156.0163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alicante660100%89.874.0+15.8
2 Estudiantes550100%88.873.8+15.0
3 Gran Canaria54180%91.472.2+19.2
4 Palencia54180%83.475.6+7.8
5 Estela54180%84.678.2+6.4
6 Palmer Basket53260%87.885.8+2.0
7 Granada53260%81.881.4+0.4
8 Albacete53260%82.287.2-5.0
9 Oviedo53260%83.489.6-6.2
10 Ourense52340%85.285.0+0.2
11 Caja 8752340%77.078.2-1.2
12 Cordoba52340%71.677.6-6.0
13 Fuenlabrada51420%78.682.4-3.8
14 Zamora51420%73.079.6-6.6
15 Fibwi Palma51420%81.288.6-7.4
16 Gipuzkoa51420%80.094.4-14.4
17 Tizona Burgos61517%87.595.0-7.5
18 Hestia Menorca5050%70.280.6-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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