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Fukuoka vs Koshigaya Alphas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 90-64
29-16 12-20 21-13 28-15
Position#4
Record21-12
FormWWLLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game75.1
Fukuoka 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#3
Record21-12
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game73.6
JapanB2.League· Teriha Sekisui House Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Fukuoka v Koshigaya Alphas
27 Jan 2024
FUKU90
KOSH64
26 Jan 2024
FUKU69
KOSH75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fukuoka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Koshigaya Alphas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FukuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukuoka
Date
Competition
Kobe
#7
W
73-68
73
68
+5
68avg 71
H20/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
76-57
76
57
+19
72avg 71
A23/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
74-88
74
88
-14
65avg 71
A24/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
75-82
75
82
-7
68avg 71
H30/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
no box
H31/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
69-68
69
68
+1
62avg 71
H05/01
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
71-67
71
67
+4
66avg 71
H06/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
63-79
63
79
-16
55avg 71
A20/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
59-88
59
88
-29
48avg 71
A21/01
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
69-75
69
75
-6
62avg 71
H26/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
24-22
7-14
20-13
24-15
17-15
22-12
13-15
20-16
16-24
18-25
20-23
18-27
16-22
14-22
27-11
18-18
28-20
17-17
13-21
15-11
17-26
21-13
16-18
18-21
13-20
22-8
18-18
19-22
16-19
18-21
10-17
15-25
17-19
8-17
19-27
16-14
20-23
17-16
16-22
146.9Avg total
71.2Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)77.675.1152.7+2.564%
Season at home (16)80.378.2158.5+2.162%
Season away (17)75.172.2147.3+2.965%
Last 10 (10)71.275.7146.9-4.540%
Last 5 (5)66.275.4141.6-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)68.880.8149.5-12.025%
vs Similar (12)78.877.8156.7+1.067%
vs Weaker (14)79.972.0151.9+7.971%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Niigata
#14
W
75-68
75
68
+7
69avg 78
A20/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
75-54
75
54
+21
68avg 78
H23/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
81-83
81
83
-2
73avg 78
H24/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
80-81
80
81
-1
73avg 78
A29/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
79-83 OT
79
83
-4
no box
A30/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
100-72
100
72
+28
101avg 78
A06/01
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
90-62
90
62
+28
89avg 78
A07/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
85-73
85
73
+12
74avg 78
H20/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
103-74
103
74
+29
101avg 78
H21/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
75-69
75
69
+6
70avg 78
A26/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
20-21
18-8
17-14
19-14
17-16
16-12
23-12
22-19
17-22
27-13
15-29
23-20
19-17
19-22
19-22
14-23
21-13
13-15
18-15
29-13
27-19
21-19
23-21
21-14
22-20
27-10
20-18
18-13
17-21
21-13
29-26
35-14
23-22
21-18
24-20
14-16
23-20
16-17
22-16
156.2Avg total
84.3Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)83.873.6157.4+10.264%
Season at home (15)82.271.2153.4+11.067%
Season away (18)85.275.6160.8+9.661%
Last 10 (10)84.371.9156.2+12.470%
Last 5 (5)90.670.0160.6+20.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.576.8155.2+1.825%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (26)84.573.7158.2+10.865%
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.7+1.7
FukuokaKoshigaya Alphas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FukuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobe
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H20/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A23/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A24/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H30/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H31/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H05/01
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H06/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A20/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A21/01
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H26/01
B2.League
76.7Avg total
36.9Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.537.275.6+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.639.178.7+0.656%-
Last 30 away (14)37.135.072.1+2.150%-
Last 10 (10)36.939.876.7-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)33.240.073.2-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)36.541.878.2-5.20%-
vs Similar (12)38.337.876.1+0.650%-
vs Weaker (14)39.135.474.5+3.871%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niigata
#14
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A20/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H23/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H24/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A29/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A30/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
56-32
56
32
+24
A06/01
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A07/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H20/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H21/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A26/01
B2.League
78.3Avg total
42.1Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.437.880.1+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.136.479.5+6.671%-
Last 30 away (16)41.838.980.7+2.856%-
Last 10 (10)42.136.278.3+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)45.834.480.2+11.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.040.877.8-3.825%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (26)43.237.380.5+5.969%-
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fukuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukuoka: 70.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.3 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.618.3
48.7%
52.4%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.9
33.8%
33.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws12.47.3
58.9%
71.0%7.3
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.3
50.1%
52.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.7
35.2%
33.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws25.118.1
72.1%
71.0%18.1
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fukuoka
LLLWWLLLWW
Koshigaya Alphas
WWWWWLLLWW
#4
League position
#3
-3.9
Net rating
+15.2
100.9
Offensive rating
112.3
104.7
Defensive rating
97.1
49.5%
Effective FG%
51.2%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
18.5%
Turnover %
16.0%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.40
33.8%
3-point %
35.2%
71.0%
Assist %
61.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 112.3Defence104.7 · 97.1Shooting49.5% · 51.2%3-point %33.8% · 35.2%Ball care18.5% · 16.0%Off. rebounds31.1% · 33.8%Free throws0.19 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Fukuoka   ■ Koshigaya Alphas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fukuoka wins
1
Koshigaya Alphas wins
DateGameScore
26/01/24Fukuoka v Koshigaya Alphas69-75
Fukuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/24HKoshigaya Alphas69-75
21/01/24AAltiri Chiba59-88
20/01/24AAltiri Chiba63-79
06/01/24HKobe71-67
05/01/24HKobe69-68
31/12/23HYamagata Wyverns83-85 OT
30/12/23HYamagata Wyverns75-82
24/12/23AShizuoka74-88
23/12/23AShizuoka76-57
20/12/23HKobe73-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/24AFukuoka75-69
21/01/24HEhime Orange Vikings103-74
20/01/24HEhime Orange Vikings85-73
07/01/24AAomori90-62
06/01/24AAomori100-72
30/12/23ANara79-83 OT
29/12/23ANara80-81
24/12/23HFukushima81-83
23/12/23HFukushima75-54
20/12/23ANiigata75-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fukuoka
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL64%
HomeLLWWL62%
AwayWWLLL65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %64%62%65%
Points / game77.680.375.1
Allowed / game75.178.272.2
Point differential+2.5+2.1+2.9
Avg total152.7158.5147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%19%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)71% (7)100% (3)
Overtime %9%19%0%
Koshigaya Alphas
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW64%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLLWWW61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331518
Win %64%67%61%
Points / game83.882.285.2
Allowed / game73.671.275.6
Point differential+10.2+11.0+9.6
Avg total157.4153.4160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%47%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won12% (8)20% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %12%0%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba3229391%88.775.4+13.2
2 Shiga3325876%87.879.0+8.7
3 Kumamoto32221069%84.280.8+3.5
4 Koshigaya Alphas33211264%83.873.6+10.2
5 Fukuoka33211264%77.675.1+2.5
6 Yamagata Wyverns32181456%82.484.3-1.9
7 Aomori32171553%84.987.1-2.2
8 Shizuoka32141844%79.879.9-0.2
9 Kobe32141844%79.179.6-0.5
10 Nara32141844%73.177.6-4.6
11 Fukushima33122136%80.084.3-4.3
12 Iwate3272522%69.875.6-5.8
13 Ehime Orange Vikings3272522%78.687.0-8.4
14 Niigata3252716%71.582.3-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fukuoka2912212890
Koshigaya Alphas1620131564
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