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Nara vs Fukuoka Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 74-83
19-18 19-22 18-24 18-19
Position#11
Record14-20
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game77.6
Nara
Japan
vs
Fukuoka 🏆
Japan
Position#4
Record22-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game74.8
JapanB2.League· JTEKT Arena Nara
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nara v Fukuoka
06 Apr 2025
NARA76
FUKU90
05 Apr 2025
NARA72
FUKU89
27 Oct 2024
NARA63
FUKU83
26 Oct 2024
NARA81
FUKU62
31 Jan 2024
NARA74
FUKU83
03 Dec 2023
NARA64
FUKU84
02 Dec 2023
NARA68
FUKU60
15 Mar 2015
NARA67
FUKU73
14 Mar 2015
NARA88
FUKU87
16 Feb 2014
NARA58
FUKU78
15 Feb 2014
NARA84
FUKU73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fukuoka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Aomori
#8
W
90-82
90
82
+8
85avg 64
H23/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
76-75
76
75
+1
67avg 64
H24/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
81-80
81
80
+1
76avg 64
H29/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
83-79 OT
83
79
+4
no box
H30/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
66-87
66
87
-21
53avg 64
A06/01
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
59-74
59
74
-15
46avg 64
A07/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
75-66
75
66
+9
70avg 64
A20/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
71-75
71
75
-4
62avg 64
A21/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
67-76
67
76
-9
62avg 64
H27/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
76-78
76
78
-2
68avg 64
H28/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
26-18
22-18
26-29
16-20
20-17
19-25
21-13
20-23
17-19
22-19
22-19
23-14
13-21
15-13
15-18
21-30
15-23
18-22
12-12
16-24
16-21
16-15
11-14
19-10
17-12
19-20
20-24
20-26
12-26
20-10
19-13
9-25
21-18
17-19
20-14
20-23
20-17
27-15
9-23
151.6Avg total
74.4Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)73.077.6150.6-4.641%
Season at home (17)73.279.4152.6-6.247%
Season away (17)72.775.8148.5-3.135%
Last 10 (10)74.477.2151.6-2.850%
Last 5 (5)69.673.8143.4-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)72.880.4153.2-7.625%
vs Similar (16)73.173.9147.0-0.956%
vs Weaker (2)79.069.5148.5+9.5100%
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FukuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukuoka
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#9
W
76-57
76
57
+19
72avg 72
A23/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
74-88
74
88
-14
65avg 72
A24/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
75-82
75
82
-7
68avg 72
H30/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
no box
H31/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
69-68
69
68
+1
62avg 72
H05/01
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
71-67
71
67
+4
66avg 72
H06/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
63-79
63
79
-16
55avg 72
A20/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
59-88
59
88
-29
48avg 72
A21/01
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
69-75
69
75
-6
62avg 72
H26/01
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
90-64
90
64
+26
92avg 72
H27/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
17-15
22-12
13-15
20-16
16-24
18-25
20-23
18-27
16-22
14-22
27-11
18-18
28-20
17-17
13-21
15-11
17-26
21-13
16-18
18-21
13-20
22-8
18-18
19-22
16-19
18-21
10-17
15-25
17-19
8-17
19-27
16-14
20-23
17-16
16-22
29-16
12-20
21-13
28-15
148.2Avg total
72.9Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)78.074.8152.8+3.265%
Season at home (17)80.977.4158.2+3.565%
Season away (17)75.172.2147.3+2.965%
Last 10 (10)72.975.3148.2-2.440%
Last 5 (5)70.474.6145.0-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.276.5146.8-6.225%
vs Similar (12)78.877.8156.7+1.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)79.972.0151.9+7.971%
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
NaraFukuoka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aomori
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H23/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H24/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H29/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H30/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A06/01
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A07/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
36-22
36
22
+14
A20/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A21/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H27/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H28/01
B2.League
76.1Avg total
35.7Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.438.874.2-3.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.738.874.5-3.140%-
Last 30 away (15)35.038.873.8-3.833%-
Last 10 (10)35.740.476.1-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)34.040.474.4-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)34.240.274.4-5.925%-
vs Similar (16)35.238.874.1-3.638%-
vs Weaker (2)43.030.573.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FukuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#9
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A23/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A24/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H30/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H31/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H05/01
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H06/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A20/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A21/01
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H26/01
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H27/01
B2.League
75.7Avg total
36.4Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.436.975.3+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.738.978.6+0.859%-
Last 30 away (13)36.734.270.9+2.554%-
Last 10 (10)36.439.375.7-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)35.039.874.8-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.039.575.5-3.525%-
vs Similar (12)38.337.876.1+0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)39.135.474.5+3.871%-
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.418.6
47.2%
52.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.4
31.1%
33.6%22.2
🏀 Free throws19.014.5
76.3%
71.0%14.5
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fukuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukuoka: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.3 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.7
50.1%
52.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.9
34.1%
33.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws12.57.3
58.4%
71.0%7.3
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nara
LLLWLLWWWW
Fukuoka
WLLLWWLLLW
#11
League position
#4
-2.8
Net rating
-2.0
102.7
Offensive rating
101.7
105.4
Defensive rating
103.7
47.0%
Effective FG%
50.6%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
16.0%
Turnover %
18.7%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.20
31.1%
3-point %
34.1%
63.8%
Assist %
70.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.7 · 101.7Defence105.4 · 103.7Shooting47.0% · 50.6%3-point %31.1% · 34.1%Ball care16.0% · 18.7%Off. rebounds29.2% · 30.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Nara   ■ Fukuoka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Nara wins
7
Fukuoka wins
DateGameScore
03/12/23Nara v Fukuoka64-84
02/12/23Nara v Fukuoka68-60
28/10/23Fukuoka v Nara74-72
27/10/23Fukuoka v Nara74-68
15/03/15Nara v Fukuoka67-73
14/03/15Nara v Fukuoka88-87
01/03/15Fukuoka v Nara105-82
28/02/15Fukuoka v Nara99-94
16/02/14Nara v Fukuoka58-78
15/02/14Nara v Fukuoka84-73
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24HAltiri Chiba76-78
27/01/24HAltiri Chiba67-76
21/01/24AShizuoka71-75
20/01/24AShizuoka75-66
07/01/24AKumamoto59-74
06/01/24AKumamoto66-87
30/12/23HKoshigaya Alphas83-79 OT
29/12/23HKoshigaya Alphas81-80
24/12/23HAomori76-75
23/12/23HAomori90-82
Fukuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24HKoshigaya Alphas90-64
26/01/24HKoshigaya Alphas69-75
21/01/24AAltiri Chiba59-88
20/01/24AAltiri Chiba63-79
06/01/24HKobe71-67
05/01/24HKobe69-68
31/12/23HYamagata Wyverns83-85 OT
30/12/23HYamagata Wyverns75-82
24/12/23AShizuoka74-88
23/12/23AShizuoka76-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nara
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL41%
HomeWWWLL47%
AwayLLLWL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %41%47%35%
Points / game73.073.272.7
Allowed / game77.679.475.8
Point differential-4.6-6.2-3.1
Avg total150.6152.6148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%6%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)75% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Fukuoka
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW65%
HomeLWWLW65%
AwayWWLLL65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %65%65%65%
Points / game78.080.975.1
Allowed / game74.877.472.2
Point differential+3.2+3.5+2.9
Avg total152.8158.2147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%24%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)71% (7)100% (3)
Overtime %9%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba3431391%88.075.2+12.8
2 Shiga3425974%88.379.9+8.4
3 Kumamoto34241071%85.281.1+4.1
4 Fukuoka34221265%78.074.8+3.2
5 Koshigaya Alphas34211362%83.274.1+9.1
6 Aomori34181653%85.086.9-1.8
7 Yamagata Wyverns34181653%82.685.3-2.7
8 Kobe34151944%78.478.8-0.4
9 Shizuoka34151944%80.080.4-0.4
10 Nara34142041%73.077.6-4.6
11 Fukushima34132138%80.884.9-4.1
12 Ehime Orange Vikings3492526%79.586.7-7.2
13 Iwate3482624%69.575.1-5.6
14 Niigata3452915%72.183.0-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nara1919181874
Fukuoka1822241983
← all games of the day
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