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Koshigaya Alphas vs Iwate Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 89-68
18-21 28-12 24-16 19-19
Position#3
Record21-14
FormWWWLL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game74.9
vs
Position#13
Record9-26
FormLLWLW
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game74.7
JapanB2.League· Koshigaya City Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Koshigaya Alphas v Iwate
04 Feb 2024
KOSH67
IWAT69
03 Feb 2024
KOSH89
IWAT68
10 Dec 2023
KOSH73
IWAT64
09 Dec 2023
KOSH63
IWAT53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Koshigaya Alphas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iwate winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Fukushima
#10
L
81-83
81
83
-2
73avg 77
H24/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
80-81
80
81
-1
73avg 77
A29/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
79-83 OT
79
83
-4
no box
A30/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
100-72
100
72
+28
101avg 77
A06/01
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
90-62
90
62
+28
89avg 77
A07/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
85-73
85
73
+12
74avg 77
H20/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
103-74
103
74
+29
101avg 77
H21/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
75-69
75
69
+6
70avg 77
A26/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
64-90
64
90
-26
49avg 77
A27/01
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
98-102
98
102
-4
92avg 77
A31/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
17-22
27-13
15-29
23-20
19-17
19-22
19-22
14-23
21-13
13-15
18-15
29-13
27-19
21-19
23-21
21-14
22-20
27-10
20-18
18-13
17-21
21-13
29-26
35-14
23-22
21-18
24-20
14-16
23-20
16-17
22-16
16-29
20-12
13-21
15-28
25-24
25-25
24-26
24-27
164.4Avg total
85.5Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)83.774.9158.5+8.860%
Season at home (15)82.271.2153.4+11.067%
Season away (20)84.877.7162.4+7.155%
Last 10 (10)85.578.9164.4+6.650%
Last 5 (5)85.081.6166.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.073.3151.3+4.733%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)84.575.1159.6+9.463%
This opponent (Iwate) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IwateJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIwate
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
68-85
68
85
-17
60avg 58
A24/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
79-73
79
73
+6
70avg 58
H29/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
76-73
76
73
+3
63avg 58
H30/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
L
64-72
64
72
-8
48avg 58
H06/01
B2.League
Niigata
#14
L
52-60
52
60
-8
37avg 58
H07/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
72-77
72
77
-5
64avg 58
A20/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
78-81
78
81
-3
64avg 58
A21/01
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
62-51
62
51
+11
50avg 58
A27/01
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
70-85
70
85
-15
56avg 58
A28/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
78-62
78
62
+16
74avg 58
H31/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
17-24
8-21
21-21
16-21
18-19
19-13
26-20
21-18
24-15
19-29
12-11
13-18
23-21
16-14
12-19
10-18
14-15
11-10
17-17
15-28
20-11
10-20
27-18
22-27
13-23
31-12
12-19
20-21
15-13
9-10
18-7
11-20
25-19
18-24
16-22
19-14
22-17
17-16
20-15
141.8Avg total
69.9Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)69.874.7144.5-5.026%
Season at home (18)69.072.9141.9-3.928%
Season away (17)70.676.7147.3-6.124%
Last 10 (10)69.971.9141.8-2.040%
Last 5 (5)72.071.2143.2+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)64.574.5139.0-10.017%
vs Similar (14)73.475.4148.9-2.029%
vs Weaker (4)71.069.2140.2+1.850%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.2+1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.2+1.2
Koshigaya AlphasIwate
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukushima
#10
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H24/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A29/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A30/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
56-32
56
32
+24
A06/01
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A07/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H20/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H21/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A26/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A27/01
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A31/01
B2.League
80.7Avg total
43.1Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.938.381.2+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.536.479.8+7.169%-
Last 30 away (17)42.539.782.2+2.859%-
Last 10 (10)43.137.680.7+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)43.239.282.4+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.741.780.3-3.033%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)43.437.981.3+5.567%-
This opponent (Iwate) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IwateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A24/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H29/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H30/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H06/01
B2.League
Niigata
#14
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H07/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A20/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A21/01
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A27/01
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A28/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H31/01
B2.League
74.1Avg total
36.0Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.139.076.0-1.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.636.573.1+0.140%-
Last 30 away (15)37.541.478.9-3.927%-
Last 10 (10)36.038.174.1-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)36.438.675.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)35.139.074.1-3.925%-
vs Similar (14)38.539.277.7-0.736%-
vs Weaker (4)38.038.076.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.2
51.7%
52.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.7
35.8%
33.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws25.417.8
70.1%
71.0%17.8
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Iwatetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iwate: 68.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.816.9
45.9%
52.4%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.98.1
27.1%
33.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws15.710.8
68.8%
71.0%10.8
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Koshigaya Alphas
LLWWWWWLLL
Iwate
WLWLLLLWWL
#3
League position
#13
+11.7
Net rating
-3.4
112.9
Offensive rating
97.2
101.3
Defensive rating
100.6
52.4%
Effective FG%
43.6%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
16.1%
Turnover %
17.4%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.8%
3-point %
27.1%
60.6%
Assist %
54.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.9 · 97.2Defence101.3 · 100.6Shooting52.4% · 43.6%3-point %35.8% · 27.1%Ball care16.1% · 17.4%Off. rebounds32.3% · 34.4%Free throws0.40 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Koshigaya Alphas   ■ Iwate
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Koshigaya Alphas wins
0
Iwate wins
DateGameScore
10/12/23Koshigaya Alphas v Iwate73-64
09/12/23Koshigaya Alphas v Iwate63-53
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24AAomori98-102
27/01/24AFukuoka64-90
26/01/24AFukuoka75-69
21/01/24HEhime Orange Vikings103-74
20/01/24HEhime Orange Vikings85-73
07/01/24AAomori90-62
06/01/24AAomori100-72
30/12/23ANara79-83 OT
29/12/23ANara80-81
24/12/23HFukushima81-83
Iwatelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24HYamagata Wyverns78-62
28/01/24AKobe70-85
27/01/24AKobe62-51
21/01/24AFukushima78-81
20/01/24AFukushima72-77
07/01/24HNiigata52-60
06/01/24HNiigata64-72
30/12/23HEhime Orange Vikings76-73
29/12/23HEhime Orange Vikings79-73
24/12/23AAltiri Chiba68-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Koshigaya Alphas
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWWWLL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351520
Win %60%67%55%
Points / game83.782.284.8
Allowed / game74.971.277.7
Point differential+8.8+11.0+7.1
Avg total158.5153.4162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%47%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won11% (9)20% (5)0% (4)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Iwate
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW26%
HomeWWLLW28%
AwayLLLWL24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %26%28%24%
Points / game69.869.070.6
Allowed / game74.772.976.7
Point differential-5.0-3.9-6.1
Avg total144.5141.9147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%11%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)25% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba3532391%88.074.6+13.4
2 Shiga35251071%88.680.6+8.1
3 Kumamoto35251071%85.881.7+4.1
4 Fukuoka36241267%78.474.9+3.5
5 Koshigaya Alphas35211460%83.774.9+8.8
6 Aomori36191753%85.487.2-1.8
7 Yamagata Wyverns35181751%82.085.1-3.1
8 Kobe35161946%78.978.5+0.4
9 Shizuoka35152043%79.380.7-1.3
10 Fukushima35142140%81.084.9-3.9
11 Nara35142140%73.077.7-4.7
12 Iwate3592626%69.874.7-5.0
13 Ehime Orange Vikings3592626%79.186.9-7.8
14 Niigata3553014%72.583.2-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Koshigaya Alphas1828241989
Iwate2112161968
← all games of the day
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