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Fukuoka vs Koshigaya Alphas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 26 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 69-75
16-14 20-23 17-16 16-22
Position#4
Record21-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game75.1
vs
Position#3
Record20-12
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game73.8
JapanB2.League· Teriha Sekisui House Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Fukuoka v Koshigaya Alphas
27 Jan 2024
FUKU90
KOSH64
26 Jan 2024
FUKU69
KOSH75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fukuoka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Koshigaya Alphas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FukuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukuoka
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
82-69
82
69
+13
76avg 72
H16/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
73-68
73
68
+5
68avg 72
H20/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
76-57
76
57
+19
72avg 72
A23/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
74-88
74
88
-14
65avg 72
A24/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
75-82
75
82
-7
68avg 72
H30/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
no box
H31/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
69-68
69
68
+1
62avg 72
H05/01
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
71-67
71
67
+4
66avg 72
H06/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
63-79
63
79
-16
55avg 72
A20/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
59-88
59
88
-29
48avg 72
A21/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
23-16
19-14
20-22
22-19
24-22
7-14
20-13
24-15
17-15
22-12
13-15
20-16
16-24
18-25
20-23
18-27
16-22
14-22
27-11
18-18
28-20
17-17
13-21
15-11
17-26
21-13
16-18
18-21
13-20
22-8
18-18
19-22
16-19
18-21
10-17
15-25
17-19
8-17
19-27
147.6Avg total
72.5Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)77.975.1153.0+2.866%
Season at home (15)81.178.4159.5+2.767%
Season away (17)75.172.2147.3+2.965%
Last 10 (10)72.575.1147.6-2.650%
Last 5 (5)69.077.4146.4-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)70.277.2147.5-7.050%
vs Similar (12)78.877.8156.7+1.067%
vs Weaker (14)79.972.0151.9+7.971%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Kumamoto
#5
L
74-84
74
84
-10
62avg 78
A17/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
75-68
75
68
+7
69avg 78
A20/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
75-54
75
54
+21
68avg 78
H23/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
81-83
81
83
-2
73avg 78
H24/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
80-81
80
81
-1
73avg 78
A29/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
79-83 OT
79
83
-4
no box
A30/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
100-72
100
72
+28
101avg 78
A06/01
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
90-62
90
62
+28
89avg 78
A07/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
85-73
85
73
+12
74avg 78
H20/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
103-74
103
74
+29
101avg 78
H21/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
22-20
18-18
15-24
20-25
20-21
18-8
17-14
19-14
17-16
16-12
23-12
22-19
17-22
27-13
15-29
23-20
19-17
19-22
19-22
14-23
21-13
13-15
18-15
29-13
27-19
21-19
23-21
21-14
22-20
27-10
20-18
18-13
17-21
21-13
29-26
35-14
23-22
21-18
24-20
157.6Avg total
84.2Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)84.173.8157.8+10.362%
Season at home (15)82.271.2153.4+11.067%
Season away (17)85.876.0161.8+9.859%
Last 10 (10)84.273.4157.6+10.860%
Last 5 (5)91.472.8164.2+18.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.576.8155.2+1.825%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (26)85.574.7160.2+10.865%
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
FukuokaKoshigaya Alphas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FukuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H16/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H20/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A23/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A24/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H30/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H31/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H05/01
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H06/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A20/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A21/01
B2.League
77.0Avg total
37.6Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.836.875.6+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.939.279.1+0.760%-
Last 30 away (15)37.734.472.1+3.353%-
Last 10 (10)37.639.477.0-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)35.240.275.4-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)38.839.077.8-0.225%-
vs Similar (12)38.337.876.1+0.650%-
vs Weaker (14)39.135.474.5+3.871%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kumamoto
#5
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A17/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A20/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H23/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H24/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A29/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A30/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
56-32
56
32
+24
A06/01
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A07/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H20/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H21/01
B2.League
79.3Avg total
42.5Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.238.181.3+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.337.181.4+7.173%-
Last 30 away (15)42.139.181.2+2.953%-
Last 10 (10)42.536.879.3+5.760%-
Last 5 (5)45.434.479.8+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.040.877.8-3.825%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (26)44.137.781.8+6.469%-
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fukuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukuoka: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.2
49.1%
52.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.2
34.2%
33.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws13.28.6
65.2%
71.0%8.6
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.3
50.3%
52.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.8
35.1%
33.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws24.417.6
72.1%
71.0%17.6
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fukuoka
LLWWLLLWWW
Koshigaya Alphas
WWWWLLLWWL
#4
League position
#3
-1.6
Net rating
+16.0
103.5
Offensive rating
112.8
105.1
Defensive rating
96.8
50.0%
Effective FG%
51.2%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.7%
17.8%
Turnover %
16.1%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.38
34.2%
3-point %
35.1%
69.3%
Assist %
60.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 112.8Defence105.1 · 96.8Shooting50.0% · 51.2%3-point %34.2% · 35.1%Ball care17.8% · 16.1%Off. rebounds31.2% · 34.8%Free throws0.21 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Fukuoka   ■ Koshigaya Alphas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fukuoka wins
0
Koshigaya Alphas wins
No previous meetings.
Fukuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24AAltiri Chiba59-88
20/01/24AAltiri Chiba63-79
06/01/24HKobe71-67
05/01/24HKobe69-68
31/12/23HYamagata Wyverns83-85 OT
30/12/23HYamagata Wyverns75-82
24/12/23AShizuoka74-88
23/12/23AShizuoka76-57
20/12/23HKobe73-68
16/12/23HEhime Orange Vikings82-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24HEhime Orange Vikings103-74
20/01/24HEhime Orange Vikings85-73
07/01/24AAomori90-62
06/01/24AAomori100-72
30/12/23ANara79-83 OT
29/12/23ANara80-81
24/12/23HFukushima81-83
23/12/23HFukushima75-54
20/12/23ANiigata75-68
17/12/23AKumamoto74-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fukuoka
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL66%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayWWLLL65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %66%67%65%
Points / game77.981.175.1
Allowed / game75.178.472.2
Point differential+2.8+2.7+2.9
Avg total153.0159.5147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%20%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)71% (7)100% (3)
Overtime %9%20%0%
Koshigaya Alphas
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWLLWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %62%67%59%
Points / game84.182.285.8
Allowed / game73.871.276.0
Point differential+10.3+11.0+9.8
Avg total157.8153.4161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%47%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won12% (8)20% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %12%0%24%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba3229391%88.775.4+13.2
2 Shiga3224875%87.278.7+8.5
3 Kumamoto32221069%84.280.8+3.5
4 Fukuoka32211166%77.975.1+2.8
5 Koshigaya Alphas32201262%84.173.8+10.3
6 Yamagata Wyverns32181456%82.484.3-1.9
7 Aomori32171553%84.987.1-2.2
8 Shizuoka32141844%79.879.9-0.2
9 Kobe32141844%79.179.6-0.5
10 Nara32141844%73.177.6-4.6
11 Fukushima32122038%79.783.7-4.0
12 Iwate3272522%69.875.6-5.8
13 Ehime Orange Vikings3272522%78.687.0-8.4
14 Niigata3252716%71.582.3-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fukuoka1620171669
Koshigaya Alphas1423162275
← all games of the day
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