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Shinshu vs Nara Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 25 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 09:05
Final 66-68
11-25 23-16 18-13 14-14
Position#5
Record10-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game76.9
vs
Nara 🏆
Japan
Position#9
Record6-9
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game79.1
JapanB2.League· Kotobuki Arena Chikuma
Other2024-25
Meetings · Shinshu v Nara
26 Nov 2024
SHIN82
NARA63
25 Nov 2024
SHIN66
NARA68
20 Oct 2013
SHIN83
NARA81
19 Oct 2013
SHIN92
NARA88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shinshu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Aomori
#12
W
89-73
89
73
+16
88avg 69
H20/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
92-77
92
77
+15
81avg 69
H23/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
101-74
101
74
+27
94avg 69
A26/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
93-80
93
80
+13
91avg 69
A27/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
64-74
64
74
-10
53avg 69
H02/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
102-76
102
76
+26
106avg 69
H03/11
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
78-80
78
80
-2
68avg 69
A09/11
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
74-66
74
66
+8
63avg 69
A10/11
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
75-81 OT
75
81
-6
70avg 69
A16/11
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
112-80
112
80
+32
108avg 69
A17/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-13
28-15
24-23
18-22
30-14
24-19
23-23
15-21
20-6
27-22
25-22
29-24
30-22
19-19
24-20
20-19
17-23
15-21
20-14
12-16
28-19
27-25
28-19
19-13
24-16
19-19
15-19
20-26
13-20
23-15
13-11
25-20
14-18
15-14
18-24
21-12
27-6
37-22
27-31
21-21
164.1Avg total
88.0Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)86.676.9163.5+9.767%
Season at home (5)84.273.2157.4+11.080%
Season away (10)87.878.8166.6+9.060%
Last 10 (10)88.076.1164.1+11.970%
Last 5 (5)88.276.6164.8+11.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)75.280.1155.2-4.915%
vs Similar (5)77.871.6149.4+6.280%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)87.977.6165.5+10.367%
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
79-66
79
66
+13
79avg 69
A19/10
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
73-97
73
97
-24
69avg 69
H23/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
81-62
81
62
+19
77avg 69
H26/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
63-83
63
83
-20
56avg 69
H27/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
94-86
94
86
+8
91avg 69
A02/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
85-71
85
71
+14
82avg 69
A03/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
65-76
65
76
-11
49avg 69
H09/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
78-69
78
69
+9
77avg 69
H10/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
56-78
56
78
-22
48avg 69
H16/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
66-75
66
75
-9
58avg 69
H17/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-7
21-16
11-23
27-20
14-26
18-19
20-27
21-25
20-16
21-22
15-15
25-9
22-17
15-21
9-27
17-18
30-23
30-20
14-25
20-18
22-25
19-12
16-15
28-19
15-18
16-15
16-27
18-16
21-19
15-16
15-17
27-17
19-17
14-20
10-23
13-18
19-18
15-24
10-16
22-17
150.3Avg total
74.0Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.579.1156.7-1.640%
Season at home (9)73.080.8153.8-7.822%
Season away (6)84.376.7161.0+7.767%
Last 10 (10)74.076.3150.3-2.350%
Last 5 (5)70.073.8143.8-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)70.176.2146.3-6.130%
vs Similar (14)81.081.1162.1-0.150%
vs Weaker (6)81.276.2157.3+5.050%
This opponent (Shinshu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -7.9-7.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +4.1+4.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -7.9-7.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +4.1+4.1
ShinshuNara
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aomori
#12
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H20/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H23/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A26/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A27/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H02/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H03/11
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A09/11
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A10/11
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A16/11
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
64-28
64
28
+36
A17/11
B2.League
80.4Avg total
45.6Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.237.877.9+2.450%-
Last 30 at home (11)42.540.082.5+2.545%-
Last 30 away (19)38.836.575.3+2.353%-
Last 10 (10)45.634.880.4+10.880%-
Last 5 (5)45.434.880.2+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.042.579.5-5.523%-
vs Similar (5)40.833.674.4+7.280%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.334.477.8+8.967%-
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A19/10
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H23/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H26/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H27/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
60-43
60
43
+17
A02/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A03/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H09/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H10/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H16/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H17/11
B2.League
75.7Avg total
38.6Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.479.5+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.040.879.8-1.841%-
Last 30 away (13)41.537.679.2+3.954%-
Last 10 (10)38.637.175.7+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)35.036.871.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)35.938.374.2-2.440%-
vs Similar (14)41.940.782.6+1.143%-
vs Weaker (6)43.038.281.2+4.867%-
This opponent (Shinshu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.823.4
54.7%
51.0%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.7
31.6%
32.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.514.5
74.4%
70.7%14.5
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.1
50.0%
51.0%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.76.6
30.4%
32.9%19.8
🏀 Free throws21.815.6
71.6%
70.7%15.6
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shinshu
WLWLWLWWWW
Nara
LLWLWWLWLW
#5
League position
#9
+15.1
Net rating
-1.8
111.6
Offensive rating
100.3
96.5
Defensive rating
102.1
51.8%
Effective FG%
48.4%
46.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
15.0%
Turnover %
17.0%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
24.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.36
31.6%
3-point %
30.4%
61.1%
Assist %
73.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 100.3Defence96.5 · 102.1Shooting51.8% · 48.4%3-point %31.6% · 30.4%Ball care15.0% · 17.0%Off. rebounds30.9% · 24.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Shinshu   ■ Nara
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Shinshu wins
1
Nara wins
DateGameScore
23/11/14Nara v Shinshu98-97
22/11/14Nara v Shinshu82-97
20/10/13Shinshu v Nara83-81
19/10/13Shinshu v Nara92-88
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24AAomori112-80
16/11/24AAomori75-81 OT
10/11/24AToyama74-66
09/11/24AToyama78-80
03/11/24HYamagata Wyverns102-76
02/11/24HYamagata Wyverns64-74
27/10/24AFukushima93-80
26/10/24AFukushima101-74
23/10/24HFukuoka92-77
20/10/24HAomori89-73
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24HKagoshima Rebnise66-75
16/11/24HKagoshima Rebnise56-78
10/11/24HFukushima78-69
09/11/24HFukushima65-76
03/11/24AKumamoto85-71
02/11/24AKumamoto94-86
27/10/24HFukuoka63-83
26/10/24HFukuoka81-62
23/10/24HKagoshima Rebnise73-97
19/10/24AEhime Orange Vikings79-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shinshu
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15510
Win %67%80%60%
Points / game86.684.287.8
Allowed / game76.973.278.8
Point differential+9.7+11.0+9.0
Avg total163.5157.4166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%60%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %20%0%30%
Nara
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeLLWLL22%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %40%22%67%
Points / game77.573.084.3
Allowed / game79.180.876.7
Point differential-1.6-7.8+7.7
Avg total156.7153.8161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%11%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba1716194%92.777.4+15.4
2 Toyama1712571%86.779.0+7.7
3 Fukui1712571%81.477.9+3.5
4 Shinshu1510567%86.676.9+9.7
5 Fukuoka1711665%83.875.9+7.9
6 Kagoshima Rebnise1710759%79.379.5-0.2
7 Shizuoka158753%77.577.7-0.2
8 Kobe179853%85.182.1+2.9
9 Yamagata Wyverns178947%81.982.5-0.6
10 Aomori1771041%79.987.9-8.1
11 Nara156940%77.579.1-1.6
12 Fukushima1741324%76.283.8-7.6
13 Kumamoto151147%76.790.1-13.4
14 Ehime Orange Vikings171166%74.490.5-16.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shinshu1123181466
Nara2516131468
← all games of the day
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