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Fukuoka vs Toyama Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 105-100
26-17 27-27 21-28 31-28
Position#2
Record28-10
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game74.1
Fukuoka 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#3
Record25-13
FormWLWLL
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game80.4
JapanB2.League· Teriha Sekisui House Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Fukuoka v Toyama
11 May 2025
FUKU95
TOYA104
10 May 2025
FUKU77
TOYA84
09 Feb 2025
FUKU105
TOYA100
08 Feb 2025
FUKU92
TOYA72
24 Mar 2019
FUKU74
TOYA101
23 Mar 2019
FUKU82
TOYA91
05 Jan 2014
FUKU70
TOYA82
04 Jan 2014
FUKU80
TOYA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fukuoka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toyama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FukuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukuoka
Date
Competition
Nara
#9
W
91-68
91
68
+23
92avg 78
H04/01
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
79-98
79
98
-19
71avg 78
H05/01
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
89-66
89
66
+23
93avg 78
A11/01
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
86-83
86
83
+3
82avg 78
A12/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
70-85
70
85
-15
64avg 78
H24/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
81-51
81
51
+30
80avg 78
H25/01
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
95-65
95
65
+30
97avg 78
A29/01
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
94-82
94
82
+12
98avg 78
A01/02
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
81-86
81
86
-5
80avg 78
A02/02
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
92-72
92
72
+20
87avg 78
H08/02
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
32-16
23-14
16-20
22-28
19-24
24-18
14-28
24-25
16-12
29-6
20-23
23-21
23-19
27-18
13-25
18-23
15-27
20-13
17-22
26-9
19-7
16-21
20-14
21-10
28-14
24-19
22-22
24-27
22-18
26-24
22-13
20-21
14-22
16-23
31-20
25-22
23-13
13-21
31-16
161.4Avg total
85.8Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)83.974.1158.1+9.874%
Season at home (18)85.372.7158.0+12.778%
Season away (20)82.775.5158.1+7.270%
Last 10 (10)85.875.6161.4+10.270%
Last 5 (5)88.671.2159.8+17.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)86.076.3162.3+9.783%
vs Weaker (24)85.872.0157.8+13.788%
This opponent (Toyama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
Fukui
#7
L
84-91
84
91
-7
76avg 75
H04/01
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
82-96
82
96
-14
76avg 75
H05/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
87-77
87
77
+10
76avg 75
A11/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
86-75
86
75
+11
82avg 75
A12/01
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
106-68
106
68
+38
106avg 75
H25/01
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
98-79
98
79
+19
103avg 75
H26/01
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
83-89
83
89
-6
75avg 75
H29/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
105-80
105
80
+25
104avg 75
A01/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
91-93 OT
91
93
-2
81avg 75
A02/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
72-92
72
92
-20
59avg 75
A08/02
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
27-20
18-19
19-32
24-27
21-21
24-21
13-27
20-12
14-16
34-23
19-26
20-15
18-20
28-21
20-19
20-23
28-15
36-12
22-18
28-25
23-11
23-26
24-17
28-27
15-16
20-23
20-23
27-13
24-25
27-22
27-20
22-17
30-11
9-27
19-25
22-25
13-23
21-13
16-31
173.4Avg total
89.4Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)89.280.4169.6+8.866%
Season at home (18)87.980.1168.0+7.961%
Season away (20)90.380.8171.1+9.570%
Last 10 (10)89.484.0173.4+5.450%
Last 5 (5)89.886.6176.4+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)74.082.0156.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)79.782.2161.9-2.644%
vs Weaker (20)94.078.5172.4+15.580%
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -3.9-3.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -3.9-3.9
FukuokaToyama
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FukuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nara
#9
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H04/01
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H05/01
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A11/01
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A12/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H24/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
45-16
45
16
+29
H25/01
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
49-24
49
24
+25
A29/01
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A01/02
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A02/02
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H08/02
B2.League
81.0Avg total
43.4Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.736.581.2+8.277%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.936.082.9+10.979%-
Last 30 away (16)42.836.979.8+5.975%-
Last 10 (10)43.437.681.0+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.432.677.0+11.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.740.080.7+0.750%-
vs Weaker (24)45.835.681.4+10.183%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukui
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H04/01
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H05/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A11/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A12/01
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H25/01
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H26/01
B2.League
Aomori
#12
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H29/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A01/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
52-28
52
28
+24
A02/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A08/02
B2.League
82.6Avg total
44.4Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.938.784.6+7.273%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.939.683.5+4.360%-
Last 30 away (15)47.937.885.7+10.187%-
Last 10 (10)44.438.282.6+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)46.438.685.0+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.038.083.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.141.784.8+1.444%-
vs Weaker (20)47.237.484.6+9.885%-
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fukuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukuoka: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.8
53.7%
51.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.6
36.8%
32.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws25.519.7
77.3%
70.7%19.7
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 89.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.623.8
53.4%
51.0%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.0
31.1%
32.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws25.917.8
68.7%
70.7%17.8
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fukuoka
WLWWWLWWLW
Toyama
LLWLWWWWLL
#2
League position
#3
+14.7
Net rating
+7.5
118.9
Offensive rating
113.2
104.3
Defensive rating
105.7
54.2%
Effective FG%
50.9%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
14.8%
Turnover %
15.2%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.37
36.8%
3-point %
31.1%
72.9%
Assist %
72.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence118.9 · 113.2Defence104.3 · 105.7Shooting54.2% · 50.9%3-point %36.8% · 31.1%Ball care14.8% · 15.2%Off. rebounds32.0% · 34.4%Free throws0.42 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Fukuoka   ■ Toyama
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Fukuoka wins
3
Toyama wins
DateGameScore
08/02/25Fukuoka v Toyama92-72
15/12/24Toyama v Fukuoka81-84
14/12/24Toyama v Fukuoka58-78
24/03/19Fukuoka v Toyama74-101
23/03/19Fukuoka v Toyama82-91
05/01/14Fukuoka v Toyama70-82
04/01/14Fukuoka v Toyama80-77
Fukuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HToyama92-72
02/02/25AShinshu81-86
01/02/25AShinshu94-82
29/01/25AKobe95-65
25/01/25HFukushima81-51
24/01/25HFukushima70-85
12/01/25AFukui86-83
11/01/25AFukui89-66
05/01/25HNara79-98
04/01/25HNara91-68
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25AFukuoka72-92
02/02/25AFukushima91-93 OT
01/02/25AFukushima105-80
29/01/25HAomori83-89
26/01/25HNara98-79
25/01/25HNara106-68
12/01/25AYamagata Wyverns86-75
11/01/25AYamagata Wyverns87-77
05/01/25HFukui82-96
04/01/25HFukui84-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fukuoka
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW74%
HomeWLLWW78%
AwayWWWWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381820
Win %74%78%70%
Points / game83.985.382.7
Allowed / game74.172.775.5
Point differential+9.8+12.7+7.2
Avg total158.1158.0158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%67%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)-60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toyama
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL66%
HomeLLWWL61%
AwayWWWLL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381820
Win %66%61%70%
Points / game89.287.990.3
Allowed / game80.480.180.8
Point differential+8.8+7.9+9.6
Avg total169.6168.0171.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%44%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %8%6%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba3937295%91.875.1+16.7
2 Fukuoka38281074%83.974.1+9.8
3 Kagoshima Rebnise39271269%82.677.4+5.3
4 Shinshu39261367%86.777.5+9.2
5 Toyama38251366%89.280.4+8.8
6 Fukui38231561%83.680.2+3.3
7 Shizuoka38221658%77.375.4+1.9
8 Yamagata Wyverns38162242%80.482.8-2.3
9 Aomori38152339%78.786.4-7.7
10 Nara38132534%75.681.0-5.4
11 Kumamoto38132534%77.282.8-5.5
12 Kobe38122632%78.885.2-6.3
13 Fukushima3983121%73.083.9-10.9
14 Ehime Orange Vikings383358%74.191.4-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fukuoka26272131105
Toyama17272828100
← all games of the day
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