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Toyama vs Nara Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 08:35
Final 106-68
20-23 28-15 36-12 22-18
Position#3
Record22-10
FormWLLWW
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game79.8
Toyama 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#9
Record11-21
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game79.7
JapanB2.League· Toyama City Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Toyama v Nara
26 Jan 2025
TOYA98
NARA79
25 Jan 2025
TOYA106
NARA68
29 Dec 2013
TOYA78
NARA66
28 Dec 2013
TOYA79
NARA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toyama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#2
L
81-84
81
84
-3
72avg 73
H15/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
121-79
121
79
+42
119avg 73
A18/12
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
96-92
96
92
+4
91avg 73
A21/12
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
89-96 OT
89
96
-7
70avg 73
A22/12
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
104-66
104
66
+38
112avg 73
H27/12
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
106-79
106
79
+27
111avg 73
H28/12
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
84-91
84
91
-7
76avg 73
H04/01
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
82-96
82
96
-14
76avg 73
H05/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
87-77
87
77
+10
76avg 73
A11/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
86-75
86
75
+11
82avg 73
A12/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-11
15-27
18-28
22-18
26-19
26-21
34-20
35-19
31-26
20-27
26-25
19-14
21-22
28-16
18-22
18-25
28-22
24-19
28-7
24-18
22-18
20-16
28-24
36-21
20-20
27-20
18-19
19-32
24-27
21-21
24-21
13-27
20-12
14-16
34-23
19-26
20-15
18-20
28-21
20-19
177.1Avg total
93.6Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)88.679.8168.4+8.769%
Season at home (15)86.480.3166.7+6.160%
Season away (17)90.579.4169.9+11.176%
Last 10 (10)93.683.5177.1+10.160%
Last 5 (5)89.083.6172.6+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.091.0173.0-9.00%
vs Similar (8)80.681.0161.6-0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)92.977.0169.9+15.985%
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#6
L
76-79
76
79
-3
71avg 69
H15/12
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
78-87
78
87
-9
69avg 69
A18/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
62-73
62
73
-11
43avg 69
A21/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
83-77
83
77
+6
79avg 69
A22/12
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
77-89
77
89
-12
65avg 69
H28/12
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
73-79
73
79
-6
64avg 69
H29/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
68-91
68
91
-23
55avg 69
A04/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
98-79
98
79
+19
100avg 69
A05/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
61-81
61
81
-20
46avg 69
H12/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
52-92
52
92
-40
38avg 69
H13/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
15-29
15-18
34-13
20-25
15-21
19-20
24-21
18-28
13-18
8-12
23-15
21-20
18-16
16-25
28-16
20-24
27-18
18-26
12-21
18-24
16-21
19-10
20-24
18-20
16-32
14-23
20-16
28-22
24-19
18-24
28-14
22-19
11-17
17-19
11-26
19-22
9-25
17-16
7-29
155.5Avg total
72.8Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)75.079.7154.8-4.734%
Season at home (17)71.880.9152.7-9.218%
Season away (15)78.778.3157.1+0.453%
Last 10 (10)72.882.7155.5-9.920%
Last 5 (5)70.484.4154.8-14.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)70.881.2152.1-10.422%
vs Similar (6)82.380.3162.7+2.050%
vs Weaker (6)76.270.0146.2+6.267%
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
ToyamaNara
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H15/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A18/12
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A21/12
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A22/12
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H27/12
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H28/12
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H04/01
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H05/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A11/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A12/01
B2.League
84.6Avg total
45.1Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.339.684.9+5.770%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.539.883.4+3.762%-
Last 30 away (17)46.739.486.1+7.376%-
Last 10 (10)45.139.584.6+5.680%-
Last 5 (5)41.237.078.2+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.044.086.0-2.050%-
vs Similar (8)44.140.985.0+3.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.138.684.8+7.580%-
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#6
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H15/12
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A18/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A21/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A22/12
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H28/12
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H29/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A04/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A05/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H12/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H13/01
B2.League
79.9Avg total
36.0Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.540.077.5-2.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.940.575.4-5.727%-
Last 30 away (15)40.239.579.7+0.753%-
Last 10 (10)36.043.979.9-7.930%-
Last 5 (5)36.244.280.4-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)35.941.977.8-6.128%-
vs Similar (6)41.539.280.7+2.350%-
vs Weaker (6)38.535.073.5+3.567%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 93.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.524.5
53.8%
51.0%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.1
33.0%
32.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws22.916.7
72.9%
70.7%16.7
They take 73.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.616.0
42.6%
51.0%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.4
35.5%
32.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws16.711.8
70.7%
70.7%11.8
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toyama
WWLLWWLWWL
Nara
LLWLLLWLLL
#3
League position
#9
+12.9
Net rating
-13.6
116.9
Offensive rating
100.6
103.9
Defensive rating
114.1
52.2%
Effective FG%
47.0%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
13.9%
Turnover %
15.9%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.0%
3-point %
35.5%
69.0%
Assist %
69.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence116.9 · 100.6Defence103.9 · 114.1Shooting52.2% · 47.0%3-point %33.0% · 35.5%Ball care13.9% · 15.9%Off. rebounds34.6% · 29.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Toyama   ■ Nara
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Toyama wins
0
Nara wins
DateGameScore
29/12/13Toyama v Nara78-66
28/12/13Toyama v Nara79-76
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25AYamagata Wyverns86-75
11/01/25AYamagata Wyverns87-77
05/01/25HFukui82-96
04/01/25HFukui84-91
28/12/24HAomori106-79
27/12/24HAomori104-66
22/12/24AShinshu89-96 OT
21/12/24AShinshu96-92
18/12/24AFukushima121-79
15/12/24HFukuoka81-84
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/25HAltiri Chiba52-92
12/01/25HAltiri Chiba61-81
05/01/25AFukuoka98-79
04/01/25AFukuoka68-91
29/12/24HShinshu73-79
28/12/24HShinshu77-89
22/12/24AFukushima83-77
21/12/24AFukushima62-73
18/12/24AKagoshima Rebnise78-87
15/12/24HShizuoka76-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toyama
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW69%
HomeLWWLL60%
AwayWWLWW76%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %69%60%76%
Points / game88.686.490.5
Allowed / game79.880.379.4
Point differential+8.7+6.1+11.1
Avg total168.4166.7169.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%40%59%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %6%7%6%
Nara
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL34%
HomeLLLLL18%
AwayLLWLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %34%18%53%
Points / game75.071.878.7
Allowed / game79.780.978.3
Point differential-4.7-9.2+0.4
Avg total154.8152.7157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%12%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba3331294%91.975.6+16.3
2 Fukuoka3425974%83.173.9+9.3
3 Kagoshima Rebnise3324973%83.076.4+6.6
4 Toyama32221069%88.679.8+8.7
5 Shinshu33221167%87.176.7+10.4
6 Fukui33201361%82.680.5+2.2
7 Shizuoka33191458%77.275.3+1.9
8 Aomori33141942%79.486.4-7.0
9 Yamagata Wyverns33122136%80.284.4-4.2
10 Kobe34122235%79.984.4-4.4
11 Nara32112134%75.079.7-4.7
12 Kumamoto33112233%78.183.8-5.8
13 Fukushima3472721%72.682.8-10.3
14 Ehime Orange Vikings342326%74.092.1-18.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toyama20283622106
Nara2315121868
← all games of the day
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