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Toyama vs Aomori Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 83-89
28-27 15-16 20-23 20-23
Position#3
Record24-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Aomori 🏆
Japan
Position#12
Record14-20
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game87.2
JapanB2.League· Toyama City Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Toyama v Aomori
29 Jan 2025
TOYA83
AOMO89
28 Dec 2024
TOYA106
AOMO79
27 Dec 2024
TOYA104
AOMO66
08 Mar 2015
TOYA81
AOMO96
07 Mar 2015
TOYA76
AOMO61
06 Apr 2014
TOYA82
AOMO67
05 Apr 2014
TOYA89
AOMO82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toyama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aomori winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#5
W
96-92
96
92
+4
91avg 74
A21/12
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
89-96 OT
89
96
-7
70avg 74
A22/12
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
104-66
104
66
+38
112avg 74
H27/12
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
106-79
106
79
+27
111avg 74
H28/12
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
84-91
84
91
-7
76avg 74
H04/01
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
82-96
82
96
-14
76avg 74
H05/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
87-77
87
77
+10
76avg 74
A11/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
86-75
86
75
+11
82avg 74
A12/01
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
106-68
106
68
+38
106avg 74
H25/01
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
98-79
98
79
+19
103avg 74
H26/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-26
20-27
26-25
19-14
21-22
28-16
18-22
18-25
28-22
24-19
28-7
24-18
22-18
20-16
28-24
36-21
20-20
27-20
18-19
19-32
24-27
21-21
24-21
13-27
20-12
14-16
34-23
19-26
20-15
18-20
28-21
20-19
20-23
28-15
36-12
22-18
28-25
23-11
23-26
24-17
175.7Avg total
93.8Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)89.479.5168.8+9.971%
Season at home (17)88.279.5167.8+8.765%
Season away (17)90.579.4169.9+11.176%
Last 10 (10)93.881.9175.7+11.970%
Last 5 (5)91.879.0170.8+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.091.0173.0-9.00%
vs Similar (8)80.681.0161.6-0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)93.577.8171.3+15.785%
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AomoriJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAomori
Date
Competition
Kobe
#10
L
76-90
76
90
-14
62avg 74
H21/12
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
84-69
84
69
+15
82avg 74
H22/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
66-104
66
104
-38
51avg 74
A27/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
79-106
79
106
-27
68avg 74
A28/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
79-91
79
91
-12
67avg 74
A04/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
74-80
74
80
-6
67avg 74
A05/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
97-75
97
75
+22
89avg 74
H11/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
90-83
90
83
+7
84avg 74
H12/01
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
92-83 OT
92
83
+9
88avg 74
H25/01
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
73-112
73
112
-39
70avg 74
H26/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
17-23
13-24
18-19
30-6
17-12
19-29
18-22
22-28
19-24
7-28
18-24
18-22
16-20
24-28
21-36
16-25
27-16
23-20
13-30
16-26
22-14
21-23
15-17
13-18
24-14
32-22
28-21
21-22
20-23
21-23
28-15
20-16
21-19
10-18
20-18
27-18
18-30
12-34
16-30
170.3Avg total
81.0Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)79.287.2166.4-7.941%
Season at home (17)80.485.7166.1-5.453%
Season away (17)78.188.6166.8-10.529%
Last 10 (10)81.089.3170.3-8.340%
Last 5 (5)85.286.6171.8-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)78.087.3165.3-9.335%
vs Similar (2)80.084.5164.5-4.550%
vs Weaker (2)93.579.0172.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: -6.7-6.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -3.7-3.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: -6.7-6.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -3.7-3.7
ToyamaAomori
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#5
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A21/12
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A22/12
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H27/12
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H28/12
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H04/01
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H05/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A11/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A12/01
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H25/01
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H26/01
B2.League
84.8Avg total
45.7Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.739.485.1+6.373%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.339.583.8+4.967%-
Last 30 away (15)47.139.386.5+7.880%-
Last 10 (10)45.739.184.8+6.680%-
Last 5 (5)43.237.080.2+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.044.086.0-2.050%-
vs Similar (8)44.140.985.0+3.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.838.485.1+8.485%-
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobe
#10
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H21/12
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
47-18
47
18
+29
H22/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A27/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A28/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A04/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A05/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H11/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H12/01
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H25/01
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H26/01
B2.League
81.2Avg total
41.2Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.141.580.7-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.539.379.9+1.253%-
Last 30 away (15)37.743.781.5-6.027%-
Last 10 (10)41.240.081.2+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.080.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)38.942.181.0-3.235%-
vs Similar (2)42.037.579.5+4.5100%-
vs Weaker (2)39.038.577.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 93.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.424.3
54.7%
51.0%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.2
32.7%
32.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.417.2
73.5%
70.7%17.2
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.521.6
49.7%
51.0%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.2
32.2%
32.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.212.4
64.6%
70.7%12.4
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toyama
WWWWLLWWLW
Aomori
LWWWLLLLWL
#3
League position
#12
+15.5
Net rating
-10.2
116.1
Offensive rating
98.7
100.6
Defensive rating
108.9
52.6%
Effective FG%
49.1%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
14.2%
Turnover %
17.4%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.7%
3-point %
32.2%
73.1%
Assist %
67.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence116.1 · 98.7Defence100.6 · 108.9Shooting52.6% · 49.1%3-point %32.7% · 32.2%Ball care14.2% · 17.4%Off. rebounds32.9% · 24.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Toyama   ■ Aomori
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Toyama wins
1
Aomori wins
DateGameScore
28/12/24Toyama v Aomori106-79
27/12/24Toyama v Aomori104-66
13/10/24Aomori v Toyama56-95
12/10/24Aomori v Toyama75-97
08/03/15Toyama v Aomori81-96
07/03/15Toyama v Aomori76-61
02/11/14Aomori v Toyama88-95
01/11/14Aomori v Toyama71-78
06/04/14Toyama v Aomori82-67
05/04/14Toyama v Aomori89-82
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25HNara98-79
25/01/25HNara106-68
12/01/25AYamagata Wyverns86-75
11/01/25AYamagata Wyverns87-77
05/01/25HFukui82-96
04/01/25HFukui84-91
28/12/24HAomori106-79
27/12/24HAomori104-66
22/12/24AShinshu89-96 OT
21/12/24AShinshu96-92
Aomorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25HFukui73-112
25/01/25HFukui92-83 OT
12/01/25HEhime Orange Vikings90-83
11/01/25HEhime Orange Vikings97-75
05/01/25AAltiri Chiba74-80
04/01/25AAltiri Chiba79-91
28/12/24AToyama79-106
27/12/24AToyama66-104
22/12/24HKobe84-69
21/12/24HKobe76-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toyama
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWLLWW65%
AwayWWLWW76%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %71%65%76%
Points / game89.488.290.5
Allowed / game79.579.579.4
Point differential+9.9+8.7+11.1
Avg total168.8167.8169.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%47%59%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Aomori
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL41%
HomeWWWWL53%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %41%53%29%
Points / game79.280.478.1
Allowed / game87.285.788.6
Point differential-7.9-5.4-10.5
Avg total166.4166.1166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba3533294%91.675.6+16.0
2 Fukuoka3425974%83.173.9+9.3
3 Kagoshima Rebnise35251071%82.676.5+6.1
4 Toyama34241071%89.479.5+9.9
5 Shinshu35241169%87.076.5+10.5
6 Fukui35211460%83.680.8+2.8
7 Shizuoka35191654%76.875.6+1.1
8 Aomori34142041%79.287.2-7.9
9 Yamagata Wyverns35132237%80.083.9-3.9
10 Kobe34122235%79.984.4-4.4
11 Kumamoto35122334%77.582.9-5.4
12 Nara34112332%74.981.0-6.1
13 Fukushima3572820%72.282.5-10.3
14 Ehime Orange Vikings342326%74.092.1-18.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toyama2815202083
Aomori2716232389
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