PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Fukuoka vs Toyama Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 May 2025
Tip-off: 04:10
Final 95-104
20-27 19-21 29-24 27-32
Position#2
Record44-19
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game73.7
Fukuoka
Japan
vs
Toyama 🏆
Japan
Position#3
Record41-23
FormLWLWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game81.8
JapanB2.LeagueB2.League - Semi-finals· Teriha Sekisui House Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Fukuoka v Toyama
11 May 2025
FUKU95
TOYA104
10 May 2025
FUKU77
TOYA84
09 Feb 2025
FUKU105
TOYA100
08 Feb 2025
FUKU92
TOYA72
24 Mar 2019
FUKU74
TOYA101
23 Mar 2019
FUKU82
TOYA91
05 Jan 2014
FUKU70
TOYA82
04 Jan 2014
FUKU80
TOYA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fukuoka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toyama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FukuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukuoka
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
100-71
100
71
+29
87avg 80
A29/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
89-72
89
72
+17
93avg 80
A05/04
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
90-76
90
76
+14
95avg 80
A06/04
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
76-67
76
67
+9
76avg 80
H11/04
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
75-61
75
61
+14
67avg 80
H12/04
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
77-81
77
81
-4
67avg 80
H19/04
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
84-64
84
64
+20
85avg 80
H20/04
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
74-46
74
46
+28
75avg 80
H04/05
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
88-73
88
73
+15
85avg 80
H05/05
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
77-84
77
84
-7
69avg 80
H10/05
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
29-25
21-16
27-15
24-19
27-20
16-17
22-16
26-22
26-23
18-18
20-13
12-20
23-19
23-16
18-12
23-15
19-23
13-16
20-7
21-19
19-24
13-23
24-15
19-15
24-16
26-15
15-18
16-14
21-8
22-13
15-11
19-23
28-13
19-21
22-16
31-33
19-22
12-14
15-15
152.5Avg total
83.0Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (63)82.773.7156.4+9.070%
Season at home (33)84.472.9157.4+11.576%
Season away (30)80.874.6155.4+6.263%
Last 10 (10)83.069.5152.5+13.580%
Last 5 (5)80.069.6149.6+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)61.079.5140.5-18.50%
vs Similar ◀ (5)89.884.8174.6+5.060%
vs Weaker (23)82.369.6152.0+12.774%
This opponent (Toyama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#5
L
67-80
67
80
-13
58avg 83
H05/04
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
96-85
96
85
+11
100avg 83
H06/04
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
96-103
96
103
-7
87avg 83
A12/04
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
97-89
97
89
+8
93avg 83
A13/04
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
100-90
100
90
+10
98avg 83
H19/04
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
103-107 OT
103
107
-4
98avg 83
H20/04
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
81-63
81
63
+18
no box
H03/05
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
75-82
75
82
-7
64avg 83
H04/05
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
90-74
90
74
+16
no box
H05/05
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
84-77
84
77
+7
79avg 83
A10/05
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
19-17
16-21
12-24
26-25
25-15
15-16
30-29
25-22
23-29
23-26
25-26
29-18
27-27
19-19
22-25
33-23
27-23
20-22
20-22
26-28
25-22
26-20
20-27
16-16
23-20
20-12
22-15
18-26
20-20
15-18
22-18
27-16
18-22
21-19
24-17
33-31
22-19
14-12
15-15
173.9Avg total
88.9Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (64)88.081.8169.9+6.264%
Season at home (33)87.281.1168.3+6.164%
Season away (31)88.982.6171.5+6.465%
Last 10 (10)88.985.0173.9+3.960%
Last 5 (5)86.680.6167.2+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)82.598.2180.8-15.825%
vs Similar ◀ (7)86.188.1174.3-2.043%
vs Weaker (19)87.680.3167.8+7.368%
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
FukuokaToyama
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FukuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A29/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A05/04
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A06/04
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H11/04
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H12/04
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H19/04
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H20/04
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H04/05
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H05/05
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H10/05
B2.League
83.7Avg total
44.9Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.737.179.7+5.670%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.137.080.1+6.165%-
Last 30 away (13)42.237.279.3+5.077%-
Last 10 (10)44.938.883.7+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)43.437.480.8+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.044.075.0-13.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)46.244.490.6+1.860%-
vs Weaker (23)42.934.977.8+8.078%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H05/04
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H06/04
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A12/04
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A13/04
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
60-46
60
46
+14
H19/04
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H20/04
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H03/05
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H04/05
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H05/05
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A10/05
B2.League
91.9Avg total
48.2Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.741.086.7+4.763%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.240.584.7+3.769%-
Last 30 away (14)47.441.689.1+5.857%-
Last 10 (10)48.243.791.9+4.580%-
Last 5 (5)45.644.089.6+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)46.248.294.5-2.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)45.144.089.1+1.171%-
vs Weaker (19)45.838.484.2+7.468%-
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fukuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukuoka: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.320.9
57.6%
51.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.1
34.3%
32.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws23.016.5
71.7%
70.7%16.5
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀17%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.426.0
57.3%
51.0%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.84.8
25.5%
32.9%14.4
🏀 Free throws25.619.2
75.0%
70.7%19.2
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fukuoka
LWWWLWWWWW
Toyama
WWLWLWWLWL
#2
League position
#3
+20.5
Net rating
+6.5
116.8
Offensive rating
115.5
96.3
Defensive rating
109.1
55.2%
Effective FG%
51.7%
44.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
15.7%
Turnover %
13.9%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.40
34.3%
3-point %
25.5%
64.8%
Assist %
65.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.8 · 115.5Defence96.3 · 109.1Shooting55.2% · 51.7%3-point %34.3% · 25.5%Ball care15.7% · 13.9%Off. rebounds32.1% · 31.0%Free throws0.38 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Fukuoka   ■ Toyama
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Fukuoka wins
4
Toyama wins
DateGameScore
10/05/25Fukuoka v Toyama77-84
09/02/25Fukuoka v Toyama105-100
08/02/25Fukuoka v Toyama92-72
15/12/24Toyama v Fukuoka81-84
14/12/24Toyama v Fukuoka58-78
24/03/19Fukuoka v Toyama74-101
23/03/19Fukuoka v Toyama82-91
05/01/14Fukuoka v Toyama70-82
04/01/14Fukuoka v Toyama80-77
Fukuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25HToyama77-84
05/05/25HFukui88-73
04/05/25HFukui74-46
20/04/25HKumamoto84-64
19/04/25HKumamoto77-81
12/04/25HShizuoka75-61
11/04/25HShizuoka76-67
06/04/25ANara90-76
05/04/25ANara89-72
29/03/25AEhime Orange Vikings100-71
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25AFukuoka84-77
05/05/25HShizuoka90-74
04/05/25HShizuoka75-82
03/05/25HShizuoka81-63
20/04/25HFukui103-107 OT
19/04/25HFukui100-90
13/04/25AKumamoto97-89
12/04/25AKumamoto96-103
06/04/25HShinshu96-85
05/04/25HShinshu67-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fukuoka
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL70%
HomeLWWWL76%
AwayLWWWW63%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633330
Win %70%76%63%
Points / game82.784.480.8
Allowed / game73.772.974.6
Point differential+9.0+11.5+6.2
Avg total156.4157.4155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%58%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)67% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toyama
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW64%
HomeWLWLW64%
AwayLLLWW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games643331
Win %64%64%65%
Points / game88.087.288.9
Allowed / game81.881.182.6
Point differential+6.2+6.1+6.4
Avg total169.9168.3171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%45%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)57% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %8%9%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba6360395%91.374.4+17.0
2 Fukuoka63441970%82.773.7+9.0
3 Toyama64412364%88.081.8+6.2
4 Shinshu64392561%83.578.1+5.4
5 Kagoshima Rebnise63382560%82.278.7+3.5
6 Shizuoka63352856%77.575.8+1.6
7 Fukui62323052%81.380.8+0.5
8 Kumamoto62273544%79.180.3-1.1
9 Nara60263443%76.180.2-4.1
10 Kobe60253542%80.082.3-2.2
11 Yamagata Wyverns60243640%78.881.2-2.4
12 Aomori60213935%77.886.0-8.2
13 Fukushima60154525%73.382.0-8.7
14 Ehime Orange Vikings605558%71.490.2-18.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fukuoka2019292795
Toyama27212432104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.