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Galitos Aveiro vs Lusitania Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 17 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 11:30
Scheduled
Position#3
Record5-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game73.6
vs
Position#6
Record4-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game72.3
PortugalProligaRound 15· Pavilhao do Clube dos Galitos
Other2026-27
Meetings · Galitos Aveiro v Lusitania
17 Jan 2027
GALI v LUSI
upcoming
02 Feb 2025
GALI69
LUSI86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Galitos Aveiro win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Lusitania win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Galitos AveiroPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAveiro
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#11
W
81-77 OT
81
77
+4
no box
H25/04
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
70-76
70
76
-6
no box
A27/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
70-88
70
88
-18
no box
A04/05
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
71-63
71
63
+8
42avg 66
A03/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
92-84
92
84
+8
90avg 66
H10/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
L
56-74
56
74
-18
50avg 66
A17/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#16
W
90-68
90
68
+22
88avg 66
H24/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
68-63
68
63
+5
62avg 66
A31/10
Proliga
Academica
#15
W
98-80
98
80
+18
no box
H07/11
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A14/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
13-12
16-17
18-18
24-13
20-22
9-19
17-22
19-31
17-10
18-22
16-25
22-21
22-10
12-12
15-20
29-14
27-16
22-26
14-28
14-17
13-14
11-15
18-28
16-26
24-9
30-20
20-13
12-14
18-8
14-18
24-23
22-20
26-15
23-20
27-25
19-15
22-29
20-16
16-23
152.9Avg total
77.3Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.973.6152.4+5.371%
Season at home (3)93.377.3170.7+16.0100%
Season away (4)68.070.8138.8-2.850%
Last 10 (10)77.375.6152.9+1.760%
Last 5 (5)77.873.6151.4+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)69.780.1149.8-10.518%
vs Similar ◀ (2)68.582.5151.0-14.00%
vs Weaker (6)82.773.5156.2+9.283%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#13
W
85-70
85
70
+15
81avg 83
A03/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
108-88
108
88
+20
109avg 83
H18/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-79
85
79
+6
84avg 83
A26/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
89-68
89
68
+21
92avg 83
H02/05
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
73-68
73
68
+5
68avg 83
H05/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
88-56
88
56
+32
89avg 83
A11/10
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
77-75
77
75
+2
74avg 83
H17/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
L
77-82
77
82
-5
73avg 83
A24/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
80-85
80
85
-5
71avg 83
H31/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
93-68
93
68
+25
no box
H07/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-12
21-15
17-29
18-14
25-25
26-23
22-21
35-19
16-23
27-25
14-13
28-18
31-16
20-11
19-20
19-21
19-15
15-20
23-16
16-17
21-16
24-19
30-12
13-9
23-18
17-19
16-21
21-17
18-28
26-8
15-25
18-21
13-18
13-33
22-19
32-15
23-17
24-25
17-11
29-15
159.4Avg total
85.5Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.372.3153.7+9.067%
Season at home (4)80.874.0154.8+6.875%
Season away (2)82.569.0151.5+13.550%
Last 10 (10)85.573.9159.4+11.680%
Last 5 (5)83.073.2156.2+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.585.0157.5-12.50%
vs Similar ◀ (6)80.775.8156.5+4.867%
vs Weaker (22)87.773.5161.2+14.286%
This opponent (Galitos Aveiro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +6.3+6.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +6.3+6.3
Galitos AveiroLusitania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Galitos AveiroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#11
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H25/04
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A27/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A04/05
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A03/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
56-30
56
30
+26
H10/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A17/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#16
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H24/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A31/10
Proliga
Academica
#15
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H07/11
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A14/11
Proliga
73.7Avg total
40.0Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.836.873.6+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.637.175.7+1.664%-
Last 30 away (16)35.236.571.8-1.244%-
Last 10 (10)40.033.773.7+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)37.233.470.6+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)35.237.973.1-2.645%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)35.536.572.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker (6)43.232.876.0+10.383%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#13
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A03/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H18/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A26/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H02/05
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H05/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A11/10
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H17/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A24/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H31/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H07/11
Proliga
81.7Avg total
43.1Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.180.3+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.435.675.9+4.862%-
Last 30 away (14)44.241.085.2+3.257%-
Last 10 (10)43.138.681.7+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.280.6+0.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.542.579.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)39.738.878.5+0.850%-
vs Weaker (22)43.437.580.9+5.968%-
This opponent (Galitos Aveiro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Galitos Aveirotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Galitos Aveiro: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.8
50.7%
52.5%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.1
32.3%
30.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.212.6
62.4%
67.3%12.6
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.725.4
55.6%
52.5%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.2
32.3%
30.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws17.212.5
72.7%
67.3%12.5
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Galitos Aveiro
LWWWLWWLLW
Lusitania
WLLWWWWWWW
#3
League position
#6
-2.8
Net rating
+13.5
88.3
Offensive rating
95.6
91.2
Defensive rating
82.1
49.8%
Effective FG%
53.2%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
22.7%
Turnover %
16.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.3%
3-point %
32.3%
65.6%
Assist %
67.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence88.3 · 95.6Defence91.2 · 82.1Shooting49.8% · 53.2%3-point %32.3% · 32.3%Ball care22.7% · 16.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Galitos Aveiro   ■ Lusitania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Galitos Aveiro wins
2
Lusitania wins
DateGameScore
23/03/25Lusitania v Galitos Aveiro85-71
02/02/25Galitos Aveiro v Lusitania69-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ACB Queluz77-83
07/11/26HAcademica98-80
31/10/26AIlliabum68-63
24/10/26HBenfica Lisboa B90-68
17/10/26ASangalhos56-74
10/10/26HVasco Da Gama92-84
03/10/26ABarreirense71-63
04/05/25ABenfica Lisboa B70-88
27/04/25ABarreirense70-76
25/04/25HSampaense81-77 OT
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HBarreirense93-68
31/10/26HSanto Andre80-85
24/10/26AMaia77-82
17/10/26HGalomar77-75
11/10/26AGinasio Olhanense88-56
05/10/26HBarcelos73-68
02/05/26HCB Queluz89-68
26/04/26AAcademica85-79
18/04/26HGalomar108-88
03/04/26ASanto Andre85-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Galitos Aveiro
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game78.993.368.0
Allowed / game73.677.370.8
Point differential+5.3+16.0-2.8
Avg total152.4170.7138.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lusitania
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game81.380.882.5
Allowed / game72.374.069.0
Point differential+9.0+6.8+13.5
Avg total153.7154.8151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos76186%76.661.1+15.4
2 Galitos Barreiro75271%78.371.3+7.0
3 Galitos Aveiro75271%78.973.6+5.3
4 Santo Andre75271%78.174.4+3.7
5 Galomar64267%77.767.2+10.5
6 Lusitania64267%81.372.3+9.0
7 Illiabum74357%74.174.4-0.3
8 Sampaense74357%82.182.4-0.3
9 CB Queluz74357%72.172.6-0.4
10 Maia63350%83.287.8-4.7
11 Vasco Da Gama62433%85.888.8-3.0
12 Ginasio Olhanense72529%84.788.4-3.7
13 Barreirense72529%75.083.9-8.9
14 Barcelos72529%66.677.4-10.9
15 Academica71614%80.483.3-2.9
16 Benfica Lisboa B71614%66.380.6-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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