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Galitos Aveiro vs Sampaense Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 20 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 18:30
Scheduled
Position#3
Record5-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game73.6
vs
Position#8
Record4-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game82.4
PortugalProligaRound 24· Pavilhao do Clube dos Galitos
Other2026-27
Meetings · Galitos Aveiro v Sampaense
20 Mar 2027
GALI v SAMP
upcoming
25 Apr 2025
GALI81
SAMP77
28 Dec 2024
GALI83
SAMP86
25 Nov 2023
GALI80
SAMP70
29 Oct 2022
GALI88
SAMP72
18 Dec 2021
GALI85
SAMP82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Galitos Aveiro win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sampaense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Galitos AveiroPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAveiro
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#11
W
81-77 OT
81
77
+4
no box
H25/04
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
70-76
70
76
-6
no box
A27/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
70-88
70
88
-18
no box
A04/05
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
71-63
71
63
+8
42avg 66
A03/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
92-84
92
84
+8
90avg 66
H10/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
L
56-74
56
74
-18
50avg 66
A17/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#16
W
90-68
90
68
+22
88avg 66
H24/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
68-63
68
63
+5
62avg 66
A31/10
Proliga
Academica
#15
W
98-80
98
80
+18
no box
H07/11
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A14/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
13-12
16-17
18-18
24-13
20-22
9-19
17-22
19-31
17-10
18-22
16-25
22-21
22-10
12-12
15-20
29-14
27-16
22-26
14-28
14-17
13-14
11-15
18-28
16-26
24-9
30-20
20-13
12-14
18-8
14-18
24-23
22-20
26-15
23-20
27-25
19-15
22-29
20-16
16-23
152.9Avg total
77.3Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.973.6152.4+5.371%
Season at home (3)93.377.3170.7+16.0100%
Season away (4)68.070.8138.8-2.850%
Last 10 (10)77.375.6152.9+1.760%
Last 5 (5)77.873.6151.4+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)69.780.1149.8-10.518%
vs Similar (2)68.582.5151.0-14.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)82.773.5156.2+9.283%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#13
W
87-80
87
80
+7
80avg 72
H19/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
78-88
78
88
-10
69avg 72
A25/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-81
85
81
+4
76avg 72
H02/05
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
82-90
82
90
-8
54avg 72
A03/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
W
85-80
85
80
+5
82avg 72
H10/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#16
L
67-69
67
69
-2
56avg 72
A18/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
99-70
99
70
+29
98avg 72
H24/10
Proliga
Academica
#15
W
105-99
105
99
+6
104avg 72
H30/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
W
76-67
76
67
+9
no box
H08/11
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
61-102
61
102
-41
no box
A14/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
22-20
26-22
18-18
14-24
21-13
20-25
23-26
22-24
16-18
29-15
18-24
20-24
19-23
21-22
22-21
21-21
18-18
22-21
24-20
15-15
18-15
16-24
18-15
26-18
21-12
26-20
26-20
33-20
21-32
24-28
27-19
22-21
21-20
14-14
19-12
12-22
17-21
19-40
13-19
165.1Avg total
82.5Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.182.4164.6-0.357%
Season at home (4)91.279.0170.2+12.2100%
Season away (3)70.087.0157.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)82.582.6165.1-0.160%
Last 5 (5)81.681.4163.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)67.482.2149.6-14.825%
vs Similar (6)83.279.8163.0+3.367%
vs Weaker (8)74.168.6142.8+5.575%
This opponent (Galitos Aveiro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +1.4+1.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +1.4+1.4
Galitos AveiroSampaense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Galitos AveiroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#11
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H25/04
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A27/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A04/05
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A03/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
56-30
56
30
+26
H10/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A17/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#16
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H24/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A31/10
Proliga
Academica
#15
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H07/11
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A14/11
Proliga
73.7Avg total
40.0Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.836.873.6+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.637.175.7+1.664%-
Last 30 away (16)35.236.571.8-1.244%-
Last 10 (10)40.033.773.7+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)37.233.470.6+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)35.237.973.1-2.645%-
vs Similar (2)35.536.572.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)43.232.876.0+10.383%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#13
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H19/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A25/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H02/05
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A03/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H10/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#16
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A18/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H24/10
Proliga
Academica
#15
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H30/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H08/11
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A14/11
Proliga
80.1Avg total
40.0Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.138.074.1-1.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.238.579.7+2.767%-
Last 30 away (15)31.137.568.5-6.433%-
Last 10 (10)40.040.180.1-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.280.4+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)32.540.272.8-7.825%-
vs Similar (6)42.740.783.3+2.067%-
vs Weaker (8)38.531.570.0+7.088%-
This opponent (Galitos Aveiro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Galitos Aveirotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Galitos Aveiro: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.8
50.7%
52.5%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.1
32.3%
30.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.212.6
62.4%
67.3%12.6
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.821.2
57.6%
52.5%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.8
36.4%
30.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.614.6
64.6%
67.3%14.6
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Galitos Aveiro
LWWWLWWLLW
Sampaense
LWWWLWLWLW
#3
League position
#8
-2.8
Net rating
+6.6
88.3
Offensive rating
99.4
91.2
Defensive rating
92.8
49.8%
Effective FG%
56.5%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
22.7%
Turnover %
15.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.39
32.3%
3-point %
36.4%
65.6%
Assist %
52.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence88.3 · 99.4Defence91.2 · 92.8Shooting49.8% · 56.5%3-point %32.3% · 36.4%Ball care22.7% · 15.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Galitos Aveiro   ■ Sampaense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Galitos Aveiro wins
2
Sampaense wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ACB Queluz77-83
07/11/26HAcademica98-80
31/10/26AIlliabum68-63
24/10/26HBenfica Lisboa B90-68
17/10/26ASangalhos56-74
10/10/26HVasco Da Gama92-84
03/10/26ABarreirense71-63
04/05/25ABenfica Lisboa B70-88
27/04/25ABarreirense70-76
25/04/25HSampaense81-77 OT
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AGalitos Barreiro61-102
08/11/26HCB Queluz76-67
30/10/26HAcademica105-99
24/10/26HIlliabum99-70
18/10/26ABenfica Lisboa B67-69
10/10/26HSangalhos85-80
03/10/26AVasco Da Gama82-90
02/05/26HAcademica85-81
25/04/26AGalomar78-88
19/04/26HSanto Andre87-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Galitos Aveiro
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game78.993.368.0
Allowed / game73.677.370.8
Point differential+5.3+16.0-2.8
Avg total152.4170.7138.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sampaense
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%100%0%
Points / game82.191.270.0
Allowed / game82.479.087.0
Point differential-0.3+12.2-17.0
Avg total164.6170.2157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos76186%76.661.1+15.4
2 Galitos Barreiro75271%78.371.3+7.0
3 Galitos Aveiro75271%78.973.6+5.3
4 Santo Andre75271%78.174.4+3.7
5 Galomar64267%77.767.2+10.5
6 Lusitania64267%81.372.3+9.0
7 Illiabum74357%74.174.4-0.3
8 Sampaense74357%82.182.4-0.3
9 CB Queluz74357%72.172.6-0.4
10 Maia63350%83.287.8-4.7
11 Vasco Da Gama62433%85.888.8-3.0
12 Ginasio Olhanense72529%84.788.4-3.7
13 Barreirense72529%75.083.9-8.9
14 Barcelos72529%66.677.4-10.9
15 Academica71614%80.483.3-2.9
16 Benfica Lisboa B71614%66.380.6-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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