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Galomar vs Esgueira Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 84-73
25-22 19-23 22-15 18-13
Position#12
Record1-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game83.9
Galomar 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#8
Record4-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game86.8
PortugalLPBRound 9· Pavilhão do Cani
Other2024-25
Meetings · Galomar v Esgueira
21 Dec 2024
GALO84
ESGU73
23 Mar 2024
GALO68
ESGU80
24 Apr 2022
GALO60
ESGU62
18 Dec 2021
GALO61
ESGU57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Galomar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Esgueira winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GalomarPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGalomar
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#7
L
70-95
70
95
-25
52avg 60
H20/04
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
76-89
76
89
-13
65avg 60
A27/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
61-95
61
95
-34
56avg 60
H19/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
73avg 60
H26/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
82-85
82
85
-3
62avg 60
A02/11
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
75-72
75
72
+3
63avg 60
H09/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
72-81
72
81
-9
53avg 60
A16/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
78-87
78
87
-9
66avg 60
A30/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
66-80
66
80
-14
49avg 60
H07/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
72-84
72
84
-12
59avg 60
A14/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
16-24
18-26
17-25
23-21
21-18
17-25
15-25
15-23
20-23
12-25
14-24
27-14
19-18
13-35
24-20
27-27
23-17
14-28
18-13
29-23
13-12
19-11
14-26
16-26
23-15
16-19
17-21
9-21
20-18
20-25
29-23
17-24
15-23
20-13
14-20
19-22
13-18
14-20
26-24
159.0Avg total
73.5Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.683.9157.5-10.212%
Season at home (4)71.283.5154.8-12.225%
Season away (4)76.084.2160.2-8.20%
Last 10 (10)73.585.5159.0-12.010%
Last 5 (5)72.680.8153.4-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)70.485.7156.1-15.40%
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.076.5156.5+3.562%
vs Weaker (2)84.575.0159.5+9.550%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#6
W
88-82
88
82
+6
78avg 65
A27/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
82-81
82
81
+1
72avg 65
H20/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
74-81
74
81
-7
53avg 65
H26/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
82-79
82
79
+3
73avg 65
A02/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
85-93
85
93
-8
72avg 65
H09/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
77-93
77
93
-16
62avg 65
A16/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
84-82 OT
84
82
+2
63avg 65
A30/11
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
100-91
100
91
+9
102avg 65
H07/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
83-94
83
94
-11
69avg 65
A14/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#2
L
88-96 OT
88
96
-8
78avg 65
H17/12
Taca da Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-21
19-23
18-20
17-18
12-19
21-20
17-20
32-22
18-15
19-16
15-22
22-28
18-12
20-23
24-21
20-23
19-19
23-27
17-25
26-22
18-18
23-27
21-21
15-27
25-22
8-23
28-16
12-12
18-21
30-20
27-27
25-23
19-29
21-16
25-25
18-24
19-18
28-20
17-23
16-19
171.5Avg total
84.3Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.486.8170.1-3.450%
Season at home (4)85.286.5171.8-1.250%
Season away (4)81.587.0168.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)84.387.2171.5-2.950%
Last 5 (5)86.491.2177.6-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)73.487.4160.9-14.022%
vs Similar ◀ (8)83.179.4162.5+3.875%
vs Weaker (3)84.377.3161.7+7.033%
This opponent (Galomar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -6.4-6.4Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -6.4-6.4Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
GalomarEsgueira
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GalomarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#7
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H20/04
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A27/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H19/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H26/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A02/11
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H09/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A16/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A30/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H07/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A14/12
LPB
79.1Avg total
38.4Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.340.377.6-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.341.177.4-4.831%-
Last 30 away (14)38.539.477.9-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)38.440.779.1-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)34.840.475.2-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)34.741.676.4-6.926%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.037.879.8+4.262%-
vs Weaker (2)39.536.075.5+3.550%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#6
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A27/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H20/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H26/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A02/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H09/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A16/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A30/11
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H07/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A14/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#2
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H17/12
Taca da Liga
82.1Avg total
41.2Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.840.978.7-3.143%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.240.880.0-1.553%-
Last 30 away (13)35.941.277.1-5.231%-
Last 10 (10)41.240.982.1+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.842.884.6-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)35.143.378.4-8.222%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.237.880.0+4.575%-
vs Weaker (3)39.736.776.3+3.067%-
This opponent (Galomar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Galomartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Galomar: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.419.9
43.8%
51.2%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.16.3
27.3%
32.7%18.9
🏀 Free throws19.214.0
72.9%
69.2%14.0
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.7
52.0%
51.2%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.5
34.3%
32.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.915.4
70.3%
69.2%15.4
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Galomar
LLLLWLLLLL
Esgueira
LLWWLLWLWW
#12
League position
#8
-15.6
Net rating
-4.3
96.1
Offensive rating
108.3
111.7
Defensive rating
112.6
42.8%
Effective FG%
51.8%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
18.7%
Turnover %
14.8%
36.2%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
27.3%
3-point %
34.3%
43.9%
Assist %
54.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.1 · 108.3Defence111.7 · 112.6Shooting42.8% · 51.8%3-point %27.3% · 34.3%Ball care18.7% · 14.8%Off. rebounds36.2% · 25.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Galomar   ■ Esgueira
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Galomar wins
6
Esgueira wins
DateGameScore
23/03/24Galomar v Esgueira68-80
18/11/23Esgueira v Galomar84-74
14/10/23Esgueira v Galomar87-74
30/04/22Esgueira v Galomar65-60 OT
24/04/22Galomar v Esgueira60-62
18/12/21Galomar v Esgueira61-57
23/10/21Esgueira v Galomar67-59
Galomarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24ASporting CP72-84
07/12/24HFC Porto66-80
30/11/24AOvarense78-87
16/11/24ACD Povoa72-81
09/11/24HImortal75-72
02/11/24AGalitos Barreiro82-85
26/10/24HBenfica83-87
19/10/24HOliveirense61-95
27/04/24AOvarense76-89
20/04/24HVitoria70-95
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/24HOliveirense88-96 OT
14/12/24AFC Porto83-94
07/12/24HImortal100-91
30/11/24ACD Povoa84-82 OT
16/11/24AOliveirense77-93
09/11/24HBenfica85-93
02/11/24AVitoria82-79
26/10/24HGalitos Barreiro74-81
20/10/24HSporting CP82-81
27/04/24ACD Povoa88-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Galomar
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL12%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%25%0%
Points / game73.671.276.0
Allowed / game83.983.584.2
Point differential-10.2-12.2-8.2
Avg total157.5154.8160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Esgueira
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game83.485.281.5
Allowed / game86.886.587.0
Point differential-3.4-1.2-5.5
Avg total170.1171.8168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica880100%93.576.0+17.5
2 FC Porto87188%86.679.0+7.6
3 Sporting CP86275%84.874.5+10.2
4 Oliveirense85362%90.081.6+8.4
5 Ovarense85362%77.677.2+0.4
6 Esgueira84450%83.486.8-3.4
7 CD Povoa83538%73.575.1-1.6
8 Vitoria83538%76.978.8-1.9
9 Galitos Barreiro83538%76.278.4-2.1
10 CA Queluz82625%85.293.1-7.9
11 Galomar81712%73.683.9-10.2
12 Imortal81712%73.190.1-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Galomar2519221884
Esgueira2223151373
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