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Ovarense vs Galomar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 89-76
21-23 18-21 25-17 25-15
Position#5
Record13-8
FormLWLWW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game79.3
vs
Position#10
Record6-15
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game80.9
PortugalLPBRound 22· Arena de Ovar
Other2023-24
Meetings · Ovarense v Galomar
30 Nov 2024
OVAR87
GALO78
27 Apr 2024
OVAR89
GALO76
17 Feb 2024
OVAR80
GALO76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ovarense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Galomar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#12
W
99-70
99
70
+29
104avg 76
H03/02
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
76-87
76
87
-11
69avg 76
A10/02
LPB
Galomar
#8
W
80-76
80
76
+4
78avg 76
H17/02
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#11
W
93-66
93
66
+27
90avg 76
H02/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
76-73
76
73
+3
75avg 76
A09/03
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
79-87
79
87
-8
72avg 76
H23/03
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
82-81
82
81
+1
79avg 76
A30/03
Taca da Liga
Esgueira
#9
L
82-85
82
85
-3
75avg 76
A06/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
88-84
88
84
+4
82avg 76
H13/04
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
97-82
97
82
+15
101avg 76
A20/04
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-8
13-18
32-23
23-21
18-16
23-19
16-29
19-23
21-18
14-24
23-24
22-10
26-24
21-18
23-13
23-11
21-18
20-14
16-17
19-24
20-25
24-20
16-21
19-21
21-13
15-25
21-19
25-24
23-21
27-19
16-29
16-16
22-22
19-21
18-25
29-16
38-18
16-24
27-23
16-17
164.3Avg total
85.2Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.179.3160.4+1.962%
Season at home (10)86.080.2166.2+5.880%
Season away (11)76.778.5155.2-1.745%
Last 10 (10)85.279.1164.3+6.170%
Last 5 (5)85.683.8169.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.889.7163.5-15.936%
vs Similar (4)80.580.0160.5+0.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)83.576.4159.9+7.273%
This opponent (Galomar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GalomarPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGalomar
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#10
W
107-81
107
81
+26
no box
H04/02
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#11
W
74-69
74
69
+5
63avg 62
A10/02
LPB
Ovarense
#6
L
76-80
76
80
-4
56avg 62
A17/02
Taca da Liga
Oliveirense
#3
L
55-74
55
74
-19
40avg 62
H01/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
64-79
64
79
-15
53avg 62
H03/03
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
61-91
61
91
-30
47avg 62
A09/03
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
68-80
68
80
-12
52avg 62
H23/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
85-91
85
91
-6
78avg 62
A07/04
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
88-80
88
80
+8
82avg 62
H13/04
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
70-95
70
95
-25
52avg 62
H20/04
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
29-23
20-21
31-17
19-15
17-17
14-14
24-23
18-21
24-14
24-23
10-22
10-16
15-22
9-22
21-14
9-25
13-16
18-23
24-15
16-23
18-18
10-28
17-22
23-20
10-14
10-25
25-21
20-24
27-19
23-22
15-26
26-17
22-19
15-16
25-28
19-20
16-24
18-26
17-25
156.8Avg total
74.8Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)74.280.9155.0-6.729%
Season at home (11)73.282.0155.2-8.818%
Season away (10)75.379.6154.9-4.340%
Last 10 (10)74.882.0156.8-7.230%
Last 5 (5)74.487.4161.8-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)69.884.4154.2-14.67%
vs Similar (8)80.478.0158.4+2.450%
vs Weaker (6)87.874.2162.0+13.783%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
OvarenseGalomar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#12
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H03/02
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A10/02
LPB
Galomar
#8
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H17/02
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#11
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H02/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A09/03
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H23/03
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A30/03
Taca da Liga
Esgueira
#9
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A06/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H13/04
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A20/04
LPB
81.8Avg total
43.3Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.241.380.4-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.142.582.6-2.540%-
Last 30 away (15)38.340.078.3-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)43.338.581.8+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)45.041.686.6+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)34.943.978.9-9.00%-
vs Similar (4)41.840.882.5+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.637.280.8+6.591%-
This opponent (Galomar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GalomarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#10
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H04/02
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#11
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A10/02
LPB
Ovarense
#6
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A17/02
Taca da Liga
Oliveirense
#3
L
25-38
25
38
-13
H01/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
22-41
22
41
-19
H03/03
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A09/03
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H23/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A07/04
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H13/04
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H20/04
LPB
76.5Avg total
37.8Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.540.177.6-2.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.440.377.8-2.938%-
Last 30 away (14)37.539.977.4-2.450%-
Last 10 (10)37.838.776.5-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.679.0-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)33.542.475.9-8.920%-
vs Similar (8)40.139.479.5+0.850%-
vs Weaker (6)42.534.877.3+7.783%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.1
53.6%
51.0%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.0
36.9%
33.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws25.218.2
72.2%
69.3%18.2
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Galomartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Galomar: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.819.2
45.9%
51.0%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.96.6
27.6%
33.5%19.8
🏀 Free throws19.416.0
82.5%
69.3%16.0
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ovarense
WWLWLWWWLW
Galomar
LWLLLLLLWW
#5
League position
#10
+8.1
Net rating
-9.2
109.2
Offensive rating
97.4
101.0
Defensive rating
106.5
54.4%
Effective FG%
44.3%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
20.1%
Turnover %
18.2%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.9%
3-point %
27.6%
68.0%
Assist %
44.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 97.4Defence101.0 · 106.5Shooting54.4% · 44.3%3-point %36.9% · 27.6%Ball care20.1% · 18.2%Off. rebounds30.3% · 29.4%Free throws0.41 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Ovarense   ■ Galomar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ovarense wins
0
Galomar wins
DateGameScore
17/02/24Ovarense v Galomar80-76
22/12/23Galomar v Ovarense64-79
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24AImortal97-82
13/04/24HFC Porto88-84
06/04/24AEsgueira82-85
30/03/24AEsgueira82-81
23/03/24HBenfica79-87
09/03/24AOliveirense76-73
02/03/24HPortimonense93-66
17/02/24HGalomar80-76
10/02/24ACD Povoa76-87
03/02/24HLusitania99-70
Galomarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24HVitoria70-95
13/04/24HImortal88-80
07/04/24AFC Porto85-91
23/03/24HEsgueira68-80
09/03/24ABenfica61-91
03/03/24HOliveirense64-79
01/03/24HOliveirense55-74
17/02/24AOvarense76-80
10/02/24APortimonense74-69
04/02/24HCD Povoa107-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ovarense
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWLWLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %62%80%45%
Points / game81.186.076.7
Allowed / game79.380.278.5
Point differential+1.9+5.8-1.7
Avg total160.4166.2155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%20%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (13)86% (7)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Galomar
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL29%
HomeLLLWL18%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %29%18%40%
Points / game74.273.275.3
Allowed / game80.982.079.6
Point differential-6.7-8.8-4.3
Avg total155.0155.2154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%9%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica2117481%90.269.9+20.3
2 FC Porto2117481%88.275.6+12.6
3 Oliveirense2115671%80.974.8+6.1
4 Sporting CP2114767%89.280.7+8.5
5 Ovarense2113862%81.179.3+1.9
6 CD Povoa2112957%82.184.1-2.0
7 Vitoria21111052%81.078.8+2.2
8 Imortal2181338%78.884.1-5.3
9 Galomar2161529%74.280.9-6.7
10 Portimonense2161529%72.078.8-6.8
11 Esgueira2161529%73.784.6-11.0
12 Lusitania211205%72.992.8-19.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ovarense2118252589
Galomar2321171576
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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