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Galomar vs Esgueira Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 68-80
23-20 10-14 10-25 25-21
Position#10
Record5-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game79.5
Galomar
Portugal
vs
Esgueira 🏆
Portugal
Position#9
Record3-14
FormLWLLL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game86.9
PortugalLPBRound 18· Pavilhão do Cani
Other2023-24
Meetings · Galomar v Esgueira
21 Dec 2024
GALO84
ESGU73
23 Mar 2024
GALO68
ESGU80
24 Apr 2022
GALO60
ESGU62
18 Dec 2021
GALO61
ESGU57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Galomar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Esgueira winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GalomarPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGalomar
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#4
L
71-89
71
89
-18
61avg 61
H06/01
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
74-95
74
95
-21
65avg 61
H10/01
Taca da Liga
Lusitania
#12
W
93-70
93
70
+23
84avg 61
A20/01
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
81-88
81
88
-7
63avg 61
H03/02
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
107-81
107
81
+26
no box
H04/02
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#11
W
74-69
74
69
+5
63avg 61
A10/02
LPB
Ovarense
#6
L
76-80
76
80
-4
56avg 61
A17/02
Taca da Liga
Oliveirense
#3
L
55-74
55
74
-19
40avg 61
H01/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
64-79
64
79
-15
53avg 61
H03/03
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
61-91
61
91
-30
47avg 61
A09/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-30
27-22
17-15
13-22
18-22
23-31
17-19
16-23
13-20
24-17
26-14
30-19
22-23
21-13
22-22
16-30
27-20
29-23
20-21
31-17
19-15
17-17
14-14
24-23
18-21
24-14
24-23
10-22
10-16
15-22
9-22
21-14
9-25
13-16
18-23
24-15
16-23
18-18
10-28
17-22
157.2Avg total
75.6Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)73.479.5152.9-6.229%
Season at home (8)72.480.9153.2-8.512%
Season away (9)74.278.3152.6-4.144%
Last 10 (10)75.681.6157.2-6.030%
Last 5 (5)66.078.6144.6-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)68.683.1151.7-14.58%
vs Similar ◀ (6)81.277.3158.5+3.850%
vs Weaker (10)87.474.4161.8+13.080%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#6
L
72-80
72
80
-8
63avg 61
H28/12
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
85-68
85
68
+17
84avg 61
H06/01
LPB
Imortal
#4
L
68-95
68
95
-27
51avg 61
A13/01
Taca de Portugal
Oliveirense
#3
L
73-91
73
91
-18
60avg 61
A20/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
69-78
69
78
-9
60avg 61
H27/01
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
64-100
64
100
-36
51avg 61
H03/02
LPB
Vitoria
#7
W
78-60
78
60
+18
72avg 61
A10/02
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
53-77
53
77
-24
37avg 61
A14/02
Taca da Liga
FC Porto
#2
L
45-104
45
104
-59
25avg 61
H02/03
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
76-92
76
92
-16
66avg 61
H09/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
12-19
23-21
19-19
26-15
28-16
16-20
15-17
9-22
17-22
21-22
21-29
8-20
20-23
18-25
27-23
27-17
12-21
16-16
14-24
17-31
14-11
14-34
19-24
23-11
8-17
27-16
20-16
17-27
17-7
12-27
7-16
9-24
7-32
17-21
12-27
26-19
16-30
13-24
21-19
152.8Avg total
68.3Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)71.886.9158.7-15.218%
Season at home (9)69.188.1157.2-19.022%
Season away (8)74.885.6160.4-10.912%
Last 10 (10)68.384.5152.8-16.220%
Last 5 (5)63.286.6149.8-23.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)67.289.4156.6-22.17%
vs Similar ◀ (13)80.481.2161.6-0.846%
vs Weaker (2)83.085.0168.0-2.050%
This opponent (Galomar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -3.9-3.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -3.9-3.9
GalomarEsgueira
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GalomarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#4
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H06/01
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H10/01
Taca da Liga
Lusitania
#12
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A20/01
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H03/02
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H04/02
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#11
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A10/02
LPB
Ovarense
#6
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A17/02
Taca da Liga
Oliveirense
#3
L
25-38
25
38
-13
H01/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
22-41
22
41
-19
H03/03
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A09/03
LPB
78.5Avg total
37.7Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.239.576.7-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.540.476.9-3.933%-
Last 30 away (15)37.938.576.5-0.653%-
Last 10 (10)37.740.878.5-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)31.837.469.2-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)32.442.274.6-9.815%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.040.880.8-0.850%-
vs Weaker (10)41.034.675.6+6.470%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#6
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H28/12
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H06/01
LPB
Imortal
#4
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A13/01
Taca de Portugal
Oliveirense
#3
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A20/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H27/01
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H03/02
LPB
Vitoria
#7
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A10/02
LPB
Benfica
#1
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A14/02
Taca da Liga
FC Porto
#2
L
16-56
16
56
-40
H02/03
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H09/03
LPB
73.6Avg total
33.1Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.241.678.7-4.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.441.781.1-2.353%-
Last 30 away (15)34.941.576.4-6.513%-
Last 10 (10)33.140.573.6-7.430%-
Last 5 (5)30.841.872.6-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)30.942.373.2-11.414%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.440.583.8+2.954%-
vs Weaker (2)36.546.583.0-10.00%-
This opponent (Galomar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Galomartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Galomar: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.518.8
45.3%
51.0%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.56.9
29.4%
33.5%20.7
🏀 Free throws20.316.5
81.3%
69.3%16.5
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 67.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.517.1
45.6%
51.0%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.0
28.9%
33.5%21.0
🏀 Free throws18.412.3
66.8%
69.3%12.3
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Galomar
LLLLWWLWLL
Esgueira
LLLWLLLLWL
#10
League position
#9
-7.9
Net rating
-21.6
98.0
Offensive rating
88.5
105.9
Defensive rating
110.1
44.8%
Effective FG%
44.7%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
18.6%
Turnover %
19.4%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
22.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.4%
3-point %
28.9%
47.9%
Assist %
55.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence98.0 · 88.5Defence105.9 · 110.1Shooting44.8% · 44.7%3-point %29.4% · 28.9%Ball care18.6% · 19.4%Off. rebounds29.6% · 22.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Galomar   ■ Esgueira
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Galomar wins
5
Esgueira wins
DateGameScore
18/11/23Esgueira v Galomar84-74
14/10/23Esgueira v Galomar87-74
30/04/22Esgueira v Galomar65-60 OT
24/04/22Galomar v Esgueira60-62
18/12/21Galomar v Esgueira61-57
23/10/21Esgueira v Galomar67-59
Galomarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24ABenfica61-91
03/03/24HOliveirense64-79
01/03/24HOliveirense55-74
17/02/24AOvarense76-80
10/02/24APortimonense74-69
04/02/24HCD Povoa107-81
03/02/24HCD Povoa81-88
20/01/24ALusitania93-70
10/01/24HBenfica74-95
06/01/24HSporting CP71-89
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HImortal76-92
02/03/24HFC Porto45-104
14/02/24ABenfica53-77
10/02/24AVitoria78-60
03/02/24HBenfica64-100
27/01/24HOliveirense69-78
20/01/24AOliveirense73-91
13/01/24AImortal68-95
06/01/24HPortimonense85-68
28/12/23HCD Povoa72-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Galomar
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL29%
HomeLLLLL12%
AwayWLWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %29%12%44%
Points / game73.472.474.2
Allowed / game79.580.978.3
Point differential-6.2-8.5-4.1
Avg total152.9153.2152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%12%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Esgueira
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL18%
HomeLWLLL22%
AwayLLLLW12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %18%22%12%
Points / game71.869.174.8
Allowed / game86.988.185.6
Point differential-15.2-19.0-10.9
Avg total158.7157.2160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%22%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto1714382%87.374.0+13.3
2 Benfica1713476%88.268.8+19.5
3 Sporting CP1813572%91.380.1+11.2
4 Oliveirense1813572%80.174.7+5.4
5 Ovarense1711665%79.978.1+1.8
6 CD Povoa179853%82.884.6-1.8
7 Vitoria178947%80.880.2+0.5
8 Imortal178947%78.582.0-3.5
9 Galomar1751229%73.479.5-6.2
10 Portimonense1751229%70.879.2-8.5
11 Esgueira1731418%71.886.9-15.2
12 Lusitania171166%74.091.6-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Galomar2310102568
Esgueira2014252180
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