Geelong vs Albury Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Aug 2016

Tip-off: 09:00

Final 82-84

25-21 22-25 18-18 17-20

Position#4

Record15-9

FormLWWWW

Points / game88.0

Allowed / game81.6

Geelong

Albury 🏆

Position#9

Record11-13

FormLWLWL

Points / game87.1

Allowed / game87.1

SEABL

Other2016

Meetings · Geelong v Albury

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Albury winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geelong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Southern Sabres

#11

76-89

-13

A19/06

SEABL

Frankston

#14

81-85

-4

H25/06

SEABL

Bendigo

77-90

-13

H01/07

SEABL

Ballarat

#10

91-78

+13

A02/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

98-87

+11

A15/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

79-90

-11

A22/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

104-72

104

+32

A23/07

SEABL

BA CoE

#16

100-79

100

+21

H30/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

93-74

+19

H06/08

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

115-93

115

+22

H13/08

SEABL

21-19

22-22

21-23

12-25

20-20

21-18

15-17

25-30

23-34

15-16

20-13

19-27

24-14

28-21

25-20

14-23

21-28

22-25

27-15

28-19

13-15

18-22

20-31

28-22

22-12

24-21

27-25

31-14

22-16

30-20

26-24

22-19

29-20

19-14

26-18

19-22

34-28

32-20

27-23

22-22

175.1Avg total

91.4Scored

83.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	88.0	81.6	169.6	+6.4	62%
Season at home (12)	88.6	80.6	169.2	+8.0	67%
Season away (12)	87.4	82.7	170.1	+4.8	58%
Last 10 (10)	91.4	83.7	175.1	+7.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	98.2	81.6	179.8	+16.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	83.0	91.3	174.3	-8.3	33%
vs Similar (7)	83.3	86.9	170.1	-3.6	29%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	89.0	78.2	167.2	+10.8	75%

This opponent (Albury) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Albury

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Frankston

#14

88-92

-4

H18/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

74-100

100

-26

H25/06

SEABL

Kilsyth

#12

95-84

+11

H02/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

80-81

-1

A08/07

SEABL

Ballarat

#10

88-87

A09/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

76-92

-16

H16/07

SEABL

Canberra

96-91

A23/07

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

81-93

-12

A30/07

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

87-76

+11

H06/08

SEABL

Bendigo

105-108 OT

105

108

-3

H13/08

SEABL

22-27

28-22

15-20

23-23

18-27

25-21

18-27

13-25

23-25

23-26

17-23

32-10

17-22

15-23

30-17

18-19

25-25

21-22

18-24

24-16

18-21

27-34

17-18

14-19

29-14

24-22

26-16

17-39

22-19

23-14

18-29

18-31

20-13

26-26

26-19

15-18

24-24

21-27

22-19

26-23

177.4Avg total

87.0Scored

90.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	87.1	87.1	174.2	+0.0	46%
Season at home (12)	90.7	86.9	177.6	+3.8	42%
Season away (12)	83.6	87.3	170.9	-3.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	87.0	90.4	177.4	-3.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	89.0	92.0	181.0	-3.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	83.3	93.4	176.8	-10.1	25%
vs Similar (9)	86.7	84.4	171.1	+2.2	78%
vs Weaker (9)	91.9	76.3	168.2	+15.6	67%

This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

GeelongAlbury

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	18.9	41.4	+3.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.9	19.9	43.8	+4.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	18.1	39.4	+3.1	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	20.6	43.5	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	18.2	42.2	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.7	27.3	49.0	-5.7	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.1	20.0	40.1	+0.1	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.4	17.3	40.8	+6.1	90%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	21.5	42.7	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.4	21.3	42.7	+0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.8	21.8	42.7	-1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	21.7	43.5	+0.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	18.2	40.8	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.7	23.7	43.3	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.1	18.7	41.8	+4.4	78%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.3	21.4	42.8	-0.1	44%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.8	41.8	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	18.6	38.6	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.1	22.6	44.7	-0.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	19.9	43.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	19.4	44.0	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.0	21.0	38.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.1	20.9	39.0	-2.7	14%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.7	20.7	43.4	+2.0	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	21.8	44.4	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	24.3	22.0	46.3	+2.3	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.0	21.6	41.6	-1.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	23.7	47.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	24.6	48.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	21.4	25.8	47.2	-4.3	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.9	21.1	44.0	+1.8	56%	-
vs Weaker (9)	23.9	17.3	41.2	+6.6	78%	-

GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Southern Sabres

#11

43-41

A19/06

SEABL

Frankston

#14

41-38

H25/06

SEABL

Bendigo

38-50

-12

H01/07

SEABL

Ballarat

#10

52-35

+17

A02/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

43-53

-10

A15/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

31-37

-6

A22/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

46-33

+13

A23/07

SEABL

BA CoE

#16

52-36

+16

H30/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

48-34

+14

H06/08

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

66-48

+18

H13/08

SEABL

86.5Avg total

46.0Scored

40.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.6	39.7	83.3	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.9	38.5	82.4	+5.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.3	40.8	84.1	+2.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.0	40.5	86.5	+5.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.6	37.6	86.2	+11.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	38.7	48.3	87.0	-9.7	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	38.3	40.9	79.1	-2.6	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	46.1	38.0	84.2	+8.1	85%	-

This opponent (Albury) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AlburyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Frankston

#14

50-49

H18/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

43-48

-5

H25/06

SEABL

Kilsyth

#12

46-51

-5

H02/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

32-45

-13

A08/07

SEABL

Ballarat

#10

46-47

-1

A09/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

45-55

-10

H16/07

SEABL

Canberra

53-36

+17

A23/07

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

45-33

+12

A30/07

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

46-39

H06/08

SEABL

Bendigo

45-51

-6

H13/08

SEABL

90.5Avg total

45.1Scored

45.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.8	43.3	87.1	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	45.8	43.3	89.1	+2.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	40.8	43.4	84.2	-2.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.1	45.4	90.5	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	42.8	89.6	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	41.1	49.4	90.5	-8.3	17%	-
vs Similar (9)	46.0	39.8	85.8	+6.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (9)	45.2	38.8	84.0	+6.4	56%	-

This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.4	41.7	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	19.0	41.1	+3.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.7	21.6	42.2	-0.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	20.9	44.3	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	24.2	49.4	+1.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.3	17.7	41.0	+5.7	67%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.1	20.1	41.3	+1.0	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.1	20.9	42.0	+0.2	55%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	22.1	42.6	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.6	21.1	41.7	-0.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.6	23.5	44.1	-2.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	21.2	41.9	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.2	42.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	21.0	23.1	44.1	-2.1	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.0	22.6	40.6	-4.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.6	20.2	42.8	+2.3	44%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	20.8	42.8	+1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.9	21.9	44.8	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	19.9	41.1	+1.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	22.3	44.3	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	19.8	44.2	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.0	25.3	46.3	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	23.0	23.3	46.3	-0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.8	19.3	41.0	+2.4	45%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	19.5	41.3	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.6	18.8	40.4	+2.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	22.2	20.4	42.6	+1.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	22.3	42.3	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	26.0	44.0	-8.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.4	19.1	38.5	+0.3	42%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.7	22.1	44.8	+0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (9)	24.1	17.3	41.4	+6.8	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.3	41.2	84.5	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.9	40.9	85.9	+4.0	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.9	41.4	83.3	+0.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.4	43.2	88.6	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.6	44.0	93.6	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	44.3	43.0	87.3	+1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	44.1	43.4	87.6	+0.7	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	42.9	40.1	83.0	+2.7	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	41.5	83.9	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	42.1	39.9	82.1	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	42.8	43.9	86.7	-1.2	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	43.5	84.2	-2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	46.2	86.0	-6.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	40.4	42.2	82.6	-1.8	42%	-
vs Similar (9)	40.7	44.7	85.3	-4.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (9)	46.7	37.6	84.2	+9.1	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Geelong wins

Albury wins

Date	Game	Score
21/05/16	Geelong v Albury	94-73
07/05/16	Albury v Geelong	94-97
05/09/15	Albury v Geelong	84-78
22/08/15	Albury v Geelong	88-83
13/06/15	Albury v Geelong	85-74
25/04/15	Geelong v Albury	96-87

Geelonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/08/16	H	Melbourne Tigers	115-93
06/08/16	H	NW Tasmania	93-74
30/07/16	H	BA CoE	100-79
23/07/16	A	NW Tasmania	104-72
22/07/16	A	Hobart Chargers	79-90
15/07/16	A	Mt Gambier	98-87
02/07/16	A	Ballarat	91-78
01/07/16	H	Bendigo	77-90
25/06/16	H	Frankston	81-85
19/06/16	A	Southern Sabres	76-89

Alburylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/08/16	H	Bendigo	105-108 OT
06/08/16	H	Brisbane Spartans	87-76
30/07/16	A	Brisbane Spartans	81-93
23/07/16	A	Canberra	96-91
16/07/16	H	Hobart Chargers	76-92
09/07/16	A	Ballarat	88-87
08/07/16	A	Mt Gambier	80-81
02/07/16	H	Kilsyth	95-84
25/06/16	H	Mt Gambier	74-100
18/06/16	H	Frankston	88-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong

SEABL 2016

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	62%
Home	LLWWW	67%
Away	LWWLW	58%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	62%	67%	58%
Points / game	88.0	88.6	87.4
Allowed / game	81.6	80.6	82.7
Point differential	+6.4	+8.0	+4.8
Avg total	169.6	169.2	170.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	58%	42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (1)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Albury

SEABL 2016

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	46%
Home	LWLWL	42%
Away	LLWWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	46%	42%	50%
Points / game	87.1	90.7	83.6
Allowed / game	87.1	86.9	87.3
Point differential	+0.0	+3.8	-3.8
Avg total	174.2	177.6	170.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	33%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (10)	0% (4)	67% (6)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bendigo	24	21	3	88%	88.1	75.3	+12.8
2	Hobart Chargers	25	19	6	76%	85.7	75.7	+10.0
3	Mt Gambier	25	18	7	72%	89.4	76.6	+12.8
4	Geelong	24	15	9	62%	88.0	81.6	+6.4
5	Brisbane Spartans	24	15	9	62%	87.5	83.9	+3.7
6	Nunawading	24	13	11	54%	85.8	81.8	+4.0
7	Dandenong	24	13	11	54%	87.8	85.3	+2.5
8	Canberra	24	12	12	50%	80.9	84.3	-3.4
9	Ballarat	24	11	13	46%	92.4	91.4	+1.0
10	Albury	24	11	13	46%	87.1	87.1	+0.0
11	Southern Sabres	24	11	13	46%	80.0	86.5	-6.4
12	Kilsyth	24	10	14	42%	74.8	78.6	-3.8
13	NW Tasmania	24	10	14	42%	83.2	89.7	-6.5
14	Frankston	24	6	18	25%	76.2	83.2	-7.0
15	Melbourne Tigers	24	3	21	12%	73.0	89.1	-16.0
16	BA CoE	16	1	15	6%	71.0	87.4	-16.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Geelong	25	22	18	17	82
Albury	21	25	18	20	84

← all games of the day

Geelong vs Albury Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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