Geelong vs BA CoE Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Aug 2015

Tip-off: 04:00

Final 89-72

19-14 27-21 21-17 22-20

Position#3

Record12-7

FormWWLWL

Points / game84.7

Allowed / game80.7

Geelong 🏆

BA CoE

Position#9

Record6-5

FormLWWLL

Points / game86.5

Allowed / game87.4

SEABLRound 16

Other2015

Meetings · Geelong v BA CoE

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

BA CoE winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geelong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Spartans

#13

97-95 OT

H24/05

SEABL

Canberra

#14

83-80

H30/05

SEABL

Albury

74-85

-11

A13/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

73-94

-21

H20/06

SEABL

Nunawading

94-63

+31

H27/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

86-76

+10

H05/07

SEABL

Ballarat

93-77

+16

A08/07

SEABL

Bendigo

69-76

-7

H11/07

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

#13

84-77

A18/07

SEABL

Dandenong

78-80

-2

H25/07

SEABL

18-26

24-24

20-15

25-22

20-26

29-15

16-14

18-25

19-24

26-19

13-20

16-22

15-25

17-29

17-25

24-15

31-15

19-18

20-23

24-7

13-19

27-20

21-14

25-23

33-23

20-23

22-18

18-13

23-15

18-17

20-28

8-16

22-25

22-18

18-13

22-21

23-22

19-15

23-19

13-24

163.4Avg total

83.1Scored

80.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	84.7	80.7	165.4	+4.0	63%
Season at home (10)	85.4	81.8	167.2	+3.6	60%
Season away (9)	83.9	79.4	163.3	+4.4	67%
Last 10 (10)	83.1	80.3	163.4	+2.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.0	77.2	159.2	+4.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	73.0	94.0	167.0	-21.0	0%
vs Similar (9)	84.3	81.1	165.4	+3.2	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	86.3	78.8	165.1	+7.6	89%

This opponent (BA CoE) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BA CoE

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NW Tasmania

85-105

105

-20

H26/04

SEABL

Albury

96-90

H02/05

SEABL

Mt Gambier

70-78

-8

A08/05

SEABL

Frankston

#15

94-92 OT

A09/05

SEABL

Kilsyth

#11

84-61

+23

A10/05

SEABL

Bendigo

84-93 OT

-9

H17/05

SEABL

Nunawading

100-98 OT

100

H24/05

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#12

86-85

H31/05

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

#10

77-84

-7

H12/06

SEABL

Ballarat

84-101

101

-17

A01/08

SEABL

17-27

20-26

17-22

31-30

18-23

21-15

21-23

36-29

19-21

21-16

17-18

13-23

20-17

17-21

17-16

23-23

20-9

23-17

18-17

23-18

20-17

20-19

28-19

12-25

22-22

19-19

19-22

27-24

28-24

10-23

28-22

20-16

19-26

10-23

23-18

25-17

16-28

24-34

20-21

24-18

174.7Avg total

86.0Scored

88.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	86.5	87.4	173.9	-0.8	55%
Season at home (6)	88.0	92.5	180.5	-4.5	50%
Season away (5)	84.8	81.2	166.0	+3.6	60%
Last 10 (10)	86.0	88.7	174.7	-2.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	86.2	92.2	178.4	-6.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	83.8	93.4	177.2	-9.6	20%
vs Similar (4)	86.8	82.0	168.8	+4.8	75%
vs Weaker (2)	93.0	83.0	176.0	+10.0	100%

This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

GeelongBA CoE

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	22.0	22.6	44.6	-0.6	42%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	21.7	21.5	43.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (9)	22.3	23.8	46.1	-1.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	22.0	43.7	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	20.8	43.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	15.0	25.0	40.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.7	22.4	44.1	-0.8	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	23.1	22.4	45.6	+0.7	44%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (11)	20.3	20.9	41.2	-0.6	45%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	20.7	23.2	43.8	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (5)	19.8	18.2	38.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	21.4	41.3	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	23.4	44.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	18.0	23.2	41.2	-5.2	20%	-
vs Similar (4)	22.2	20.2	42.5	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	16.5	38.5	+5.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	22.6	19.2	41.7	+3.4	74%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	22.2	20.2	42.4	+2.0	70%	-
Last 30 away (9)	23.0	18.0	41.0	+5.0	78%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	19.8	41.9	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	18.6	39.8	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	17.0	29.0	46.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.4	19.4	42.9	+4.0	89%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	22.3	17.8	40.1	+4.6	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (11)	18.9	20.6	39.5	-1.7	45%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	16.7	20.8	37.5	-4.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (5)	21.6	20.4	42.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	21.3	39.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	23.6	40.2	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	21.2	22.0	43.2	-0.8	60%	-
vs Similar (4)	15.5	20.5	36.0	-5.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.0	17.5	37.5	+2.5	50%	-

GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Spartans

#13

42-50

-8

H24/05

SEABL

Canberra

#14

49-41

H30/05

SEABL

Albury

45-43

A13/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

32-54

-22

H20/06

SEABL

Nunawading

50-33

+17

H27/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

40-39

H05/07

SEABL

Ballarat

53-46

A08/07

SEABL

Bendigo

41-32

H11/07

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

#13

44-43

A18/07

SEABL

Dandenong

42-37

H25/07

SEABL

85.6Avg total

43.8Scored

41.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	44.6	41.7	86.3	+2.8	79%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	43.9	41.7	85.6	+2.2	70%	-
Last 30 away (9)	45.3	41.8	87.1	+3.6	89%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	41.8	85.6	+2.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	39.4	83.4	+4.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	32.0	54.0	86.0	-22.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	45.1	41.9	87.0	+3.2	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	45.4	40.2	85.7	+5.2	89%	-

This opponent (BA CoE) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BA CoELast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NW Tasmania

37-53

-16

H26/04

SEABL

Albury

39-38

H02/05

SEABL

Mt Gambier

40-37

A08/05

SEABL

Frankston

#15

37-38

-1

A09/05

SEABL

Kilsyth

#11

43-26

+17

A10/05

SEABL

Bendigo

40-36

H17/05

SEABL

Nunawading

41-41

H24/05

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#12

38-47

-9

H31/05

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

#10

29-49

-20

H12/06

SEABL

Ballarat

40-62

-22

A01/08

SEABL

81.1Avg total

38.4Scored

42.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (11)	39.2	41.5	80.7	-2.4	45%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	37.3	44.0	81.3	-6.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (5)	41.4	38.6	80.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	42.7	81.1	-4.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	47.0	84.6	-9.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	39.2	45.2	84.4	-6.0	60%	-
vs Similar (4)	37.8	40.8	78.5	-3.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (2)	42.0	34.0	76.0	+8.0	50%	-

This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	19.4	18.9	38.3	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	20.3	19.7	40.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (9)	18.3	18.1	36.4	+0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	18.9	37.9	+0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.4	39.2	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	17.0	25.0	42.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.6	19.1	39.7	+1.4	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	18.4	18.1	36.6	+0.3	44%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (11)	21.5	19.7	41.3	+1.8	55%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	22.7	21.0	43.7	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (5)	20.2	18.2	38.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.8	40.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	20.4	44.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	20%	-
vs Similar (4)	22.0	19.8	41.8	+2.2	75%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.0	17.5	40.5	+5.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (9)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.7	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.8	38.1	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	19.4	36.6	-2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	24.0	15.0	39.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.7	20.1	38.8	-1.4	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	21.3	19.6	40.9	+1.8	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (11)	22.7	22.5	45.3	+0.2	64%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	25.2	23.5	48.7	+1.7	83%	-
Last 30 away (5)	19.8	21.4	41.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	22.3	45.7	+1.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	23.2	25.0	48.2	-1.8	60%	-
vs Similar (4)	23.8	18.8	42.5	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	24.0	43.5	-4.5	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	39.6	38.5	78.1	+1.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	40.5	39.3	79.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (9)	38.6	37.7	76.2	+0.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	37.7	76.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	37.8	75.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	41.0	40.0	81.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (9)	39.2	39.2	78.4	+0.0	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	39.8	37.7	77.4	+2.1	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (11)	44.3	42.3	86.5	+2.0	64%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	47.8	44.5	92.3	+3.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (5)	40.0	39.6	79.6	+0.4	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	42.1	86.3	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	40.4	85.6	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	43.8	45.6	89.4	-1.8	40%	-
vs Similar (4)	45.8	38.5	84.2	+7.2	75%	-
vs Weaker (2)	42.5	41.5	84.0	+1.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Geelong wins

BA CoE wins

No previous meetings.

Geelonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/07/15	H	Dandenong	78-80
18/07/15	A	Brisbane Spartans	84-77
11/07/15	H	Bendigo	69-76
08/07/15	A	Ballarat	93-77
05/07/15	H	NW Tasmania	86-76
27/06/15	H	Nunawading	94-63
20/06/15	H	Mt Gambier	73-94
13/06/15	A	Albury	74-85
30/05/15	H	Canberra	83-80
24/05/15	H	Brisbane Spartans	97-95 OT

BA CoElast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/08/15	A	Ballarat	84-101
12/06/15	H	Hobart Chargers	77-84
31/05/15	H	Southern Sabres	86-85
24/05/15	H	Nunawading	100-98 OT
17/05/15	H	Bendigo	84-93 OT
10/05/15	A	Kilsyth	84-61
09/05/15	A	Frankston	94-92 OT
08/05/15	A	Mt Gambier	70-78
02/05/15	H	Albury	96-90
26/04/15	H	NW Tasmania	85-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong

SEABL 2015

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	63%
Home	LWWLL	60%
Away	WLLWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	63%	60%	67%
Points / game	84.7	85.4	83.9
Allowed / game	80.7	81.8	79.4
Point differential	+4.0	+3.6	+4.4
Avg total	165.4	167.2	163.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	30%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	50% (4)	100% (1)
Overtime %	5%	10%	0%

BA CoE

SEABL 2015

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	55%
Home	WLWWL	50%
Away	WLWWL	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	55%	50%	60%
Points / game	86.5	88.0	84.8
Allowed / game	87.4	92.5	81.2
Point differential	-0.8	-4.5	+3.6
Avg total	173.9	180.5	166.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	0%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	27%	33%	20%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	21	19	2	90%	89.0	73.6	+15.4
2	Albury	22	15	7	68%	86.8	81.5	+5.3
3	Geelong	19	12	7	63%	84.7	80.7	+4.0
4	Dandenong	19	12	7	63%	85.2	83.9	+1.2
5	Bendigo	20	12	8	60%	83.2	82.9	+0.3
6	NW Tasmania	22	12	10	55%	83.5	81.2	+2.2
7	Nunawading	22	12	10	55%	87.3	86.5	+0.7
8	BA CoE	11	6	5	55%	86.5	87.4	-0.8
9	Ballarat	21	10	11	48%	86.6	86.1	+0.5
10	Hobart Chargers	21	9	12	43%	70.1	72.4	-2.3
11	Kilsyth	20	8	12	40%	77.5	78.6	-1.1
12	Southern Sabres	22	8	14	36%	81.8	83.2	-1.5
13	Brisbane Spartans	21	7	14	33%	80.2	83.8	-3.6
14	Canberra	22	7	15	32%	77.2	86.2	-9.0
15	Frankston	21	3	18	14%	76.4	87.6	-11.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Geelong	19	27	21	22	89
BA CoE	14	21	17	20	72

← all games of the day

Geelong vs BA CoE Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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