Geelong vs BA CoE Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Jul 2016

Tip-off: 09:00

Final 100-79

22-16 30-20 26-24 22-19

Position#4

Record12-9

FormLWWLW

Points / game85.9

Allowed / game81.6

Geelong 🏆

BA CoE

Position#16

Record1-9

FormLLLWL

Points / game73.9

Allowed / game90.5

SEABL

Other2016

Meetings · Geelong v BA CoE

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

BA CoE winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geelong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nunawading

68-86

-18

A28/05

SEABL

Kilsyth

#12

91-70

+21

A04/06

SEABL

Dandenong

85-94

-9

H18/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

76-89

-13

A19/06

SEABL

Frankston

#14

81-85

-4

H25/06

SEABL

Bendigo

77-90

-13

H01/07

SEABL

Ballarat

#10

91-78

+13

A02/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

98-87

+11

A15/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

79-90

-11

A22/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

104-72

104

+32

A23/07

SEABL

19-20

16-24

16-20

17-22

24-22

20-17

23-17

24-14

28-19

10-28

22-21

25-26

21-19

22-22

21-23

12-25

20-20

21-18

15-17

25-30

23-34

15-16

20-13

19-27

24-14

28-21

25-20

14-23

21-28

22-25

27-15

28-19

13-15

18-22

20-31

28-22

22-12

24-21

27-25

31-14

169.1Avg total

85.0Scored

84.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	85.9	81.6	167.5	+4.3	57%
Season at home (9)	83.9	80.1	164.0	+3.8	56%
Season away (12)	87.4	82.7	170.1	+4.8	58%
Last 10 (10)	85.0	84.1	169.1	+0.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	89.8	83.4	173.2	+6.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	79.5	85.5	165.0	-6.0	50%
vs Similar (8)	82.6	86.0	168.6	-3.4	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	86.7	77.2	163.9	+9.6	72%

This opponent (BA CoE) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BA CoE

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ballarat

#10

79-97

-18

H08/04

SEABL

Canberra

58-67

-9

H29/04

SEABL

Bendigo

60-75

-15

H01/05

SEABL

Nunawading

83-113

113

-30

H06/05

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

77-91

-14

H08/05

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

75-102

102

-27

H13/05

SEABL

Albury

72-108

108

-36

A14/05

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

68-85

-17

H03/06

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

75-66

H05/06

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

92-101

101

-9

A23/07

SEABL

12-18

25-26

19-28

23-25

13-16

14-15

19-26

12-10

11-18

16-20

13-11

20-26

17-21

21-32

17-30

28-30

17-25

16-16

21-22

23-28

25-27

18-19

18-32

14-24

23-28

23-25

11-23

15-32

21-20

19-21

12-21

16-23

18-17

17-16

19-12

21-21

11-26

28-19

23-26

30-30

164.4Avg total

73.9Scored

90.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	73.9	90.5	164.4	-16.6	10%
Season at home (8)	71.9	87.0	158.9	-15.1	12%
Season away (2)	82.0	104.5	186.5	-22.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	73.9	90.5	164.4	-16.6	10%
Last 5 (5)	76.4	92.4	168.8	-16.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	76.8	92.4	169.2	-15.6	6%
vs Similar (6)	82.7	80.8	163.5	+1.8	67%
vs Weaker (2)	93.0	83.0	176.0	+10.0	100%

This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

GeelongBA CoE

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	18.6	40.3	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.5	19.2	41.7	+3.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.1	18.2	39.2	+2.9	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	20.3	41.8	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.8	25.2	46.0	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.5	20.2	40.8	+0.2	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.4	16.4	38.8	+5.9	89%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	18.7	21.4	40.1	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	21.9	40.4	-3.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (9)	18.9	20.7	39.6	-1.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	21.6	38.4	-4.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	23.6	43.2	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.1	22.6	39.7	-5.4	12%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.7	20.0	41.7	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	16.5	38.5	+5.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.7	41.1	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.8	18.7	37.5	+0.1	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.8	22.2	43.9	-0.4	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	21.4	41.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.0	42.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.0	19.5	36.5	-2.5	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.2	20.1	38.4	-1.9	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.2	21.2	43.4	+1.1	61%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	19.2	20.8	40.1	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	20.9	38.9	-2.8	27%	-
Last 30 away (9)	21.2	20.8	42.0	+0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.9	40.6	-1.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	20.8	22.1	42.8	-1.3	31%	-
vs Similar (6)	15.0	18.7	33.7	-3.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.0	17.5	37.5	+2.5	50%	-

GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nunawading

35-44

-9

A28/05

SEABL

Kilsyth

#12

44-39

A04/06

SEABL

Dandenong

38-47

-9

H18/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

43-41

A19/06

SEABL

Frankston

#14

41-38

H25/06

SEABL

Bendigo

38-50

-12

H01/07

SEABL

Ballarat

#10

52-35

+17

A02/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

43-53

-10

A15/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

31-37

-6

A22/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

46-33

+13

A23/07

SEABL

82.8Avg total

41.1Scored

41.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	39.3	81.4	+2.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.2	37.9	79.2	+3.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	42.8	40.4	83.2	+2.5	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	41.7	82.8	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	41.6	83.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.8	44.8	82.5	-7.0	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.8	40.4	79.1	-1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	44.6	37.6	82.2	+7.0	83%	-

This opponent (BA CoE) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BA CoELast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ballarat

#10

37-44

-7

H08/04

SEABL

Canberra

27-31

-4

H29/04

SEABL

Bendigo

27-38

-11

H01/05

SEABL

Nunawading

38-53

-15

H06/05

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

33-41

-8

H08/05

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

43-46

-3

H13/05

SEABL

Albury

46-53

-7

A14/05

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

40-41

-1

H03/06

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

35-33

H05/06

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

39-45

-6

A23/07

SEABL

79.0Avg total

36.5Scored

42.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	37.9	42.2	80.2	-4.3	25%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.6	42.7	79.3	-6.1	20%	-
Last 30 away (9)	40.1	41.4	81.6	-1.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.5	42.5	79.0	-6.0	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	43.6	84.2	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	37.9	44.6	82.5	-6.8	19%	-
vs Similar (6)	36.7	38.7	75.3	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	42.0	34.0	76.0	+8.0	50%	-

This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.9	40.9	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.1	18.2	39.3	+2.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.9	21.2	42.1	-0.2	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	20.2	41.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	20.8	44.6	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	23.8	17.0	40.8	+6.8	75%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.4	20.0	41.4	+1.4	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	20.2	20.5	40.7	-0.3	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	18.7	21.6	40.3	-2.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (9)	18.2	22.0	40.2	-3.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	23.1	40.3	-5.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	22.8	39.4	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.8	22.2	40.0	-4.5	12%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.8	21.3	41.2	-1.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.0	17.5	40.5	+5.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.8	42.2	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.5	22.2	44.6	+0.3	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.5	19.8	40.3	+0.6	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	22.2	44.5	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	21.0	45.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.0	23.8	41.8	-5.8	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.8	23.4	45.1	-1.6	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.9	19.1	40.9	+2.8	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	21.6	23.2	44.8	-1.7	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	23.3	45.0	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (9)	21.3	23.2	44.6	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	24.9	45.1	-4.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	26.0	45.2	-6.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	20.9	24.8	45.7	-3.8	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	24.0	19.0	43.0	+5.0	83%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	24.0	43.5	-4.5	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	40.7	83.1	+1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	43.5	40.4	83.9	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	41.4	41.0	82.4	+0.4	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	42.4	86.3	+1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.8	41.8	89.6	+6.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	41.8	40.8	82.5	+1.0	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	43.1	43.4	86.5	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	42.1	39.6	81.7	+2.6	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	40.3	44.9	85.2	-4.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.7	44.7	85.4	-3.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (9)	39.6	45.2	84.8	-5.7	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	48.0	85.4	-10.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	48.8	84.6	-13.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	38.7	47.0	85.7	-8.3	12%	-
vs Similar (6)	43.8	40.3	84.2	+3.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	42.5	41.5	84.0	+1.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Geelong wins

BA CoE wins

Date	Game	Score
02/08/15	Geelong v BA CoE	89-72

Geelonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/07/16	A	NW Tasmania	104-72
22/07/16	A	Hobart Chargers	79-90
15/07/16	A	Mt Gambier	98-87
02/07/16	A	Ballarat	91-78
01/07/16	H	Bendigo	77-90
25/06/16	H	Frankston	81-85
19/06/16	A	Southern Sabres	76-89
18/06/16	H	Dandenong	85-94
04/06/16	A	Kilsyth	91-70
28/05/16	A	Nunawading	68-86

BA CoElast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/07/16	A	Brisbane Spartans	92-101
05/06/16	H	Melbourne Tigers	75-66
03/06/16	H	Hobart Chargers	68-85
14/05/16	A	Albury	72-108
13/05/16	H	NW Tasmania	75-102
08/05/16	H	Southern Sabres	77-91
06/05/16	H	Nunawading	83-113
01/05/16	H	Bendigo	60-75
29/04/16	H	Canberra	58-67
08/04/16	H	Ballarat	79-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong

SEABL 2016

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	57%
Home	WWLLL	56%
Away	LWWLW	58%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	9	12
Win %	57%	56%	58%
Points / game	85.9	83.9	87.4
Allowed / game	81.6	80.1	82.7
Point differential	+4.3	+3.8	+4.8
Avg total	167.5	164.0	170.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	43%	44%	42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (1)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

BA CoE

SEABL 2016

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	10%
Home	LLLLW	12%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	8	2
Win %	10%	12%	0%
Points / game	73.9	71.9	82.0
Allowed / game	90.5	87.0	104.5
Point differential	-16.6	-15.1	-22.5
Avg total	164.4	158.9	186.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bendigo	21	18	3	86%	86.8	74.0	+12.8
2	Hobart Chargers	22	17	5	77%	86.9	75.5	+11.5
3	Mt Gambier	22	15	7	68%	90.2	77.5	+12.7
4	Brisbane Spartans	20	13	7	65%	88.2	83.5	+4.8
5	Geelong	21	12	9	57%	85.9	81.6	+4.3
6	Nunawading	20	10	10	50%	85.5	83.2	+2.2
7	Dandenong	20	10	10	50%	86.2	85.8	+0.3
8	Canberra	20	10	10	50%	80.1	83.7	-3.5
9	NW Tasmania	20	10	10	50%	84.3	88.5	-4.2
10	Albury	21	10	11	48%	86.6	86.4	+0.2
11	Ballarat	21	9	12	43%	90.7	92.0	-1.2
12	Southern Sabres	19	8	11	42%	78.1	85.2	-7.2
13	Kilsyth	21	8	13	38%	75.0	81.1	-6.1
14	Frankston	21	5	16	24%	75.7	83.5	-7.8
15	Melbourne Tigers	19	3	16	16%	70.5	84.5	-14.0
16	BA CoE	10	1	9	10%	73.9	90.5	-16.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Geelong	22	30	26	22	100
BA CoE	16	20	24	19	79

← all games of the day

Geelong vs BA CoE Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature