Nunawading vs Geelong Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 May 2016

Tip-off: 09:45

Final 86-68

20-19 24-16 20-16 22-17

Position#6

Record6-6

FormWWWLL

Points / game88.1

Allowed / game83.8

Nunawading 🏆

Geelong

Position#4

Record8-3

FormWWWWW

Points / game86.7

Allowed / game79.3

SEABL

Other2016

Meetings · Nunawading v Geelong

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nunawading winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Geelong winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nunawading Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Spartans

86-92

-6

H10/04

SEABL

Bendigo

69-72

-3

H16/04

SEABL

Kilsyth

#12

74-86

-12

A17/04

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

81-91 OT

-10

A23/04

SEABL

Albury

95-78

+17

A30/04

SEABL

BA CoE

#16

113-83

113

+30

A06/05

SEABL

Canberra

88-76

+12

A07/05

SEABL

Mt Gambier

84-78

H14/05

SEABL

Ballarat

#10

88-96

-8

A21/05

SEABL

Albury

100-103

100

103

-3

H22/05

SEABL

12-20

26-24

26-18

22-30

16-22

20-13

19-16

14-21

23-26

18-16

16-25

17-19

19-28

22-12

16-14

21-24

23-17

22-30

32-19

18-12

21-17

32-21

30-17

30-28

21-25

23-17

20-16

24-18

18-21

29-17

19-16

18-24

26-34

8-22

31-14

23-26

22-33

27-24

30-22

21-24

173.3Avg total

87.8Scored

85.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	88.1	83.8	171.8	+4.3	50%
Season at home (5)	84.8	81.4	166.2	+3.4	40%
Season away (7)	90.4	85.4	175.9	+5.0	57%
Last 10 (10)	87.8	85.5	173.3	+2.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	94.6	87.2	181.8	+7.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	78.2	80.5	158.7	-2.3	50%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	84.4	91.6	176.0	-7.2	23%
vs Weaker (11)	94.2	81.9	176.1	+12.3	73%

This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Geelong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kilsyth

#12

87-60

+27

H08/04

SEABL

Frankston

#14

90-73

+17

A16/04

SEABL

Mt Gambier

74-97

-23

H22/04

SEABL

Canberra

74-78

-4

A24/04

SEABL

Dandenong

85-87

-2

A30/04

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

96-88

A01/05

SEABL

Albury

97-94

A07/05

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

97-87

+10

H14/05

SEABL

Albury

94-73

+21

H21/05

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

87-80

H27/05

SEABL

27-16

17-19

17-16

26-9

17-13

25-29

24-22

24-9

21-20

14-22

23-25

16-30

25-22

21-14

13-27

15-15

19-14

31-33

19-23

16-17

27-12

20-27

21-21

28-28

30-19

30-25

21-26

16-24

19-27

26-14

30-16

22-30

23-14

20-19

30-19

21-21

27-18

19-23

15-19

26-20

169.8Avg total

88.1Scored

81.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	86.7	79.3	166.0	+7.5	73%
Season at home (6)	85.3	75.3	160.7	+10.0	83%
Season away (5)	88.4	84.0	172.4	+4.4	60%
Last 10 (10)	88.1	81.7	169.8	+6.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	94.2	84.4	178.6	+9.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	72.0	86.3	158.3	-14.3	33%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	83.6	82.6	166.2	+1.0	40%
vs Weaker (17)	86.7	77.1	163.8	+9.6	82%

This opponent (Nunawading) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NunawadingGeelong

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	22.7	44.2	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	22.6	43.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.2	22.8	45.0	-0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	24.3	44.4	-4.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	26.0	47.6	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.5	23.5	46.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.8	23.3	43.2	-3.5	23%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.8	21.5	44.4	+1.3	64%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	19.4	41.1	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.3	18.9	40.2	+2.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.2	19.9	42.1	+2.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	17.5	41.0	+6.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	18.0	43.2	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.0	21.3	39.3	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.0	20.8	42.8	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	22.2	18.2	40.4	+4.1	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	20.6	42.5	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	20.4	43.1	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	20.7	42.0	+0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	19.6	42.3	+3.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	20.2	44.0	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.0	18.2	38.2	+1.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.3	21.6	42.9	-0.3	46%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.8	20.6	44.5	+3.2	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.1	41.5	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.0	21.4	43.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	22.5	44.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	21.6	44.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.0	22.0	38.0	-6.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.3	19.4	39.7	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	22.9	20.2	43.1	+2.6	65%	-

NunawadingLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Spartans

38-44

-6

H10/04

SEABL

Bendigo

36-35

H16/04

SEABL

Kilsyth

#12

41-42

-1

A17/04

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

41-40

A23/04

SEABL

Albury

45-47

-2

A30/04

SEABL

BA CoE

#16

53-38

+15

A06/05

SEABL

Canberra

44-42

A07/05

SEABL

Mt Gambier

47-38

H14/05

SEABL

Ballarat

#10

34-56

-22

A21/05

SEABL

Albury

49-57

-8

H22/05

SEABL

86.7Avg total

42.8Scored

43.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.4	43.3	86.7	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.4	43.0	86.4	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.5	43.5	87.0	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	43.9	86.7	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	46.2	91.6	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	42.5	41.7	84.2	+0.8	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	41.2	44.9	86.1	-3.8	31%	-
vs Weaker (11)	46.6	42.2	88.8	+4.5	64%	-

This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kilsyth

#12

44-35

H08/04

SEABL

Frankston

#14

42-42

A16/04

SEABL

Mt Gambier

35-42

-7

H22/04

SEABL

Canberra

46-36

+10

A24/04

SEABL

Dandenong

50-47

A30/04

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

47-39

A01/05

SEABL

Albury

60-44

+16

A07/05

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

45-41

H14/05

SEABL

Albury

43-33

+10

H21/05

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

46-41

H27/05

SEABL

85.8Avg total

45.8Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	39.5	82.6	+3.6	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.1	37.9	80.0	+4.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.2	41.3	85.5	+2.9	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.8	40.0	85.8	+5.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.2	39.6	87.8	+8.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	34.0	43.3	77.3	-9.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	42.3	40.2	82.5	+2.1	80%	-
vs Weaker (17)	45.1	38.4	83.5	+6.7	82%	-

This opponent (Nunawading) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	19.1	40.8	+2.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	18.3	38.7	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.0	19.9	42.9	+3.1	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	17.7	41.6	+6.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	17.0	43.0	+9.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.2	17.2	36.3	+2.0	83%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.5	19.3	39.8	+1.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (11)	24.5	20.0	44.5	+4.5	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.6	39.5	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.7	19.1	39.8	+1.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	20.2	39.1	-1.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.4	42.7	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	20.2	43.6	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.7	21.7	43.3	+0.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.1	18.9	40.0	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	18.8	19.6	38.5	-0.8	47%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	22.1	42.5	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	23.3	45.4	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	21.0	39.6	-2.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	22.6	43.4	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	24.0	47.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.5	21.7	38.2	-5.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.6	24.7	45.3	-4.1	15%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.2	19.4	41.5	+2.8	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.9	40.6	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.7	19.6	41.2	+2.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	20.2	39.9	-0.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	20.3	41.3	+0.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	24.6	47.2	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.3	21.3	37.7	-5.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.6	21.7	41.3	-2.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (17)	22.2	18.5	40.7	+3.6	59%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	41.3	83.3	+0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	41.6	84.1	+0.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.6	40.9	82.5	+0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.7	40.3	85.0	+4.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.2	41.0	90.2	+8.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	35.7	38.8	74.5	-3.2	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	41.2	44.0	85.2	-2.8	23%	-
vs Weaker (11)	46.6	39.4	86.0	+7.3	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	39.5	80.1	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.4	38.6	81.0	+3.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.6	40.4	79.0	-1.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	41.7	84.0	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	44.8	90.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	38.0	43.0	81.0	-5.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	40.7	40.6	81.3	+0.1	60%	-
vs Weaker (17)	41.0	38.2	79.2	+2.8	59%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Nunawading wins

Geelong wins

Date	Game	Score
27/06/15	Geelong v Nunawading	94-63
17/05/15	Nunawading v Geelong	94-83

Nunawadinglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/05/16	H	Albury	100-103
21/05/16	A	Ballarat	88-96
14/05/16	H	Mt Gambier	84-78
07/05/16	A	Canberra	88-76
06/05/16	A	BA CoE	113-83
30/04/16	A	Albury	95-78
23/04/16	A	Brisbane Spartans	81-91 OT
17/04/16	A	Kilsyth	74-86
16/04/16	H	Bendigo	69-72
10/04/16	H	Brisbane Spartans	86-92

Geelonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/05/16	H	Southern Sabres	87-80
21/05/16	H	Albury	94-73
14/05/16	H	Hobart Chargers	97-87
07/05/16	A	Albury	97-94
01/05/16	A	Melbourne Tigers	96-88
30/04/16	A	Dandenong	85-87
24/04/16	A	Canberra	74-78
22/04/16	H	Mt Gambier	74-97
16/04/16	A	Frankston	90-73
08/04/16	H	Kilsyth	87-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nunawading

SEABL 2016

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	50%
Home	WLLWL	40%
Away	LWWWL	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	5	7
Win %	50%	40%	57%
Points / game	88.1	84.8	90.4
Allowed / game	83.8	81.4	85.4
Point differential	+4.3	+3.4	+5.0
Avg total	171.8	166.2	175.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	20%	43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (2)	-
Overtime %	17%	0%	29%

Geelong

SEABL 2016

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	73%
Home	WLWWW	83%
Away	WLLWW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	73%	83%	60%
Points / game	86.7	85.3	88.4
Allowed / game	79.3	75.3	84.0
Point differential	+7.5	+10.0	+4.4
Avg total	166.0	160.7	172.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	67%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	-	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Hobart Chargers	11	9	2	82%	88.4	73.7	+14.6
2	Bendigo	12	9	3	75%	84.9	69.7	+15.2
3	Geelong	11	8	3	73%	86.7	79.3	+7.5
4	Mt Gambier	10	7	3	70%	90.3	79.3	+11.0
5	NW Tasmania	11	7	4	64%	87.3	85.6	+1.6
6	Brisbane Spartans	13	8	5	62%	85.3	82.3	+3.0
7	Ballarat	9	5	4	56%	91.3	90.3	+1.0
8	Nunawading	12	6	6	50%	88.1	83.8	+4.3
9	Albury	12	6	6	50%	88.7	85.1	+3.6
10	Kilsyth	10	5	5	50%	73.8	79.5	-5.7
11	Canberra	13	6	7	46%	79.5	83.7	-4.2
12	Dandenong	12	5	7	42%	85.3	86.2	-0.9
13	Southern Sabres	11	4	7	36%	78.5	88.1	-9.5
14	Frankston	11	2	9	18%	71.3	83.4	-12.1
15	Melbourne Tigers	11	1	10	9%	67.2	84.2	-17.0
16	BA CoE	7	0	7	0%	72.0	93.3	-21.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Nunawading	20	24	20	22	86
Geelong	19	16	16	17	68

← all games of the day

Nunawading vs Geelong Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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