Mt Gambier vs Geelong Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Jul 2016

Tip-off: 10:30

Final 87-98

28-21 25-22 15-27 19-28

Position#3

Record12-6

FormLWWWW

Points / game89.6

Allowed / game77.5

Mt Gambier

Geelong 🏆

Position#4

Record10-8

FormLLLLW

Points / game84.6

Allowed / game81.3

SEABL

Other2016

Meetings · Mt Gambier v Geelong

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt Gambier winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Geelong winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt Gambier Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Southern Sabres

#11

109-77

109

+32

A15/05

SEABL

Frankston

#14

98-81

+17

H20/05

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

73-78

-5

A28/05

SEABL

Bendigo

63-69

-6

A29/05

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

106-80

106

+26

H03/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

83-86

-3

A17/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

98-68

+30

A18/06

SEABL

Albury

100-74

100

+26

A25/06

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

106-67

106

+39

H01/07

SEABL

Albury

81-80

H08/07

SEABL

34-26

23-15

28-20

24-16

24-13

20-23

36-21

18-24

16-19

19-24

17-16

21-19

18-20

12-13

25-19

8-17

23-21

25-19

28-23

30-17

21-17

21-20

16-26

25-23

32-15

15-18

29-17

22-18

27-18

21-25

27-18

25-13

24-13

35-22

21-14

26-18

22-17

23-15

17-30

19-18

167.7Avg total

91.7Scored

76.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	89.6	77.5	167.1	+12.1	67%
Season at home (8)	91.8	77.1	168.9	+14.6	88%
Season away (10)	87.9	77.8	165.7	+10.1	50%
Last 10 (10)	91.7	76.0	167.7	+15.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	93.6	75.0	168.6	+18.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	81.2	83.8	165.0	-2.5	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	89.3	74.8	164.2	+14.5	81%

This opponent (Geelong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Geelong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hobart Chargers

97-87

+10

H14/05

SEABL

Albury

94-73

+21

H21/05

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

87-80

H27/05

SEABL

Nunawading

68-86

-18

A28/05

SEABL

Kilsyth

#12

91-70

+21

A04/06

SEABL

Dandenong

85-94

-9

H18/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

76-89

-13

A19/06

SEABL

Frankston

#14

81-85

-4

H25/06

SEABL

Bendigo

77-90

-13

H01/07

SEABL

Ballarat

#10

91-78

+13

A02/07

SEABL

19-27

26-14

30-16

22-30

23-14

20-19

30-19

21-21

27-18

19-23

15-19

26-20

19-20

16-24

16-20

17-22

24-22

20-17

23-17

24-14

28-19

10-28

22-21

25-26

21-19

22-22

21-23

12-25

20-20

21-18

15-17

25-30

23-34

15-16

20-13

19-27

24-14

28-21

25-20

14-23

167.9Avg total

84.7Scored

83.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	84.6	81.3	165.9	+3.3	56%
Season at home (9)	83.9	80.1	164.0	+3.8	56%
Season away (9)	85.3	82.6	167.9	+2.8	56%
Last 10 (10)	84.7	83.2	167.9	+1.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.0	87.2	169.2	-5.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	73.3	85.0	158.3	-11.7	33%
vs Similar (9)	82.7	83.4	166.1	-0.8	33%
vs Weaker (18)	85.6	77.4	163.1	+8.2	72%

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Mt GambierGeelong

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	18.3	41.2	+4.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	17.6	40.5	+5.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.8	19.1	41.9	+3.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	17.9	42.0	+6.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	16.0	41.2	+9.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	24.5	19.8	44.2	+4.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	22.6	18.1	40.7	+4.5	73%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	18.9	41.3	+3.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.5	18.9	41.4	+3.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.3	18.9	41.2	+3.4	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	20.7	43.5	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	21.2	44.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	20.7	24.3	45.0	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.0	20.6	43.6	+2.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (18)	22.4	17.2	39.6	+5.2	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	18.1	39.1	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.4	17.7	40.1	+4.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	18.4	38.1	+1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	20.0	43.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	17.2	19.2	36.5	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.7	17.9	39.5	+3.8	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.3	40.7	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.7	18.6	37.3	+0.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.8	21.9	43.6	-0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.2	39.9	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	15.3	17.7	33.0	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.4	19.9	38.3	-1.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (18)	22.1	21.0	43.1	+1.1	61%	-

Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Southern Sabres

#11

57-41

+16

A15/05

SEABL

Frankston

#14

44-36

H20/05

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

35-43

-8

A28/05

SEABL

Bendigo

30-33

-3

A29/05

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

48-40

H03/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

42-37

A17/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

47-33

+14

A18/06

SEABL

Albury

48-43

A25/06

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

59-35

+24

H01/07

SEABL

Albury

45-32

+13

H08/07

SEABL

82.8Avg total

45.5Scored

37.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.9	36.4	80.3	+7.5	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.3	35.3	80.6	+9.9	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.5	37.5	80.0	+5.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.5	37.3	82.8	+8.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.2	36.0	84.2	+12.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	41.8	39.0	80.8	+2.8	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	44.2	36.0	80.2	+8.2	73%	-

This opponent (Geelong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hobart Chargers

45-41

H14/05

SEABL

Albury

43-33

+10

H21/05

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

46-41

H27/05

SEABL

Nunawading

35-44

-9

A28/05

SEABL

Kilsyth

#12

44-39

A04/06

SEABL

Dandenong

38-47

-9

H18/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

43-41

A19/06

SEABL

Frankston

#14

41-38

H25/06

SEABL

Bendigo

38-50

-12

H01/07

SEABL

Ballarat

#10

52-35

+17

A02/07

SEABL

83.4Avg total

42.5Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	39.2	82.0	+3.5	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.2	37.5	78.7	+3.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.1	40.8	84.8	+3.3	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	40.9	83.4	+1.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	42.2	84.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	36.0	42.0	78.0	-6.0	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	41.4	40.4	81.9	+1.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (18)	44.5	38.2	82.7	+6.3	83%	-

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	19.9	42.2	+2.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	20.7	42.7	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	19.0	41.7	+3.7	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.4	20.4	44.8	+4.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	22.0	21.2	43.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	22.3	19.7	42.0	+2.7	69%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	18.9	39.9	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	20.0	40.1	+0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	18.5	40.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	22.7	17.7	40.3	+5.0	67%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.4	19.4	40.9	+2.0	44%	-
vs Weaker (18)	19.7	19.8	39.6	-0.1	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	18.7	39.4	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	19.7	41.9	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	17.6	36.9	+1.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	18.3	40.1	+3.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	18.0	41.4	+5.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	17.5	23.5	41.0	-6.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.3	17.9	39.2	+3.3	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.7	40.7	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	21.7	43.1	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	19.8	38.6	-0.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	23.8	44.3	-3.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	26.2	45.2	-7.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	14.7	25.3	40.0	-10.7	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.1	21.6	40.7	-2.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+1.9	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	38.5	81.6	+4.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.1	40.5	84.6	+3.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.0	36.6	78.6	+5.4	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.2	38.7	84.9	+7.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	39.0	84.4	+6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	39.5	44.8	84.2	-5.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	43.6	37.6	81.2	+6.0	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	40.2	80.7	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.4	40.6	83.1	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.9	39.8	78.7	-0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.2	42.3	84.5	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	45.0	84.6	-5.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	37.3	43.0	80.3	-5.7	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	40.6	41.0	81.6	-0.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (18)	41.1	39.3	80.4	+1.8	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Mt Gambier wins

Geelong wins

Date	Game	Score
22/04/16	Geelong v Mt Gambier	74-97
07/08/15	Mt Gambier v Geelong	68-69
20/06/15	Geelong v Mt Gambier	73-94

Mt Gambierlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/07/16	H	Albury	81-80
01/07/16	H	Melbourne Tigers	106-67
25/06/16	A	Albury	100-74
18/06/16	A	NW Tasmania	98-68
17/06/16	A	Hobart Chargers	83-86
03/06/16	H	NW Tasmania	106-80
29/05/16	A	Bendigo	63-69
28/05/16	A	Melbourne Tigers	73-78
20/05/16	H	Frankston	98-81
15/05/16	A	Southern Sabres	109-77

Geelonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/07/16	A	Ballarat	91-78
01/07/16	H	Bendigo	77-90
25/06/16	H	Frankston	81-85
19/06/16	A	Southern Sabres	76-89
18/06/16	H	Dandenong	85-94
04/06/16	A	Kilsyth	91-70
28/05/16	A	Nunawading	68-86
27/05/16	H	Southern Sabres	87-80
21/05/16	H	Albury	94-73
14/05/16	H	Hobart Chargers	97-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt Gambier

SEABL 2016

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	67%
Home	WWWWW	88%
Away	LLLWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	8	10
Win %	67%	88%	50%
Points / game	89.6	91.8	87.9
Allowed / game	77.5	77.1	77.8
Point differential	+12.1	+14.6	+10.1
Avg total	167.1	168.9	165.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	56%	62%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	100% (1)	0% (3)
Overtime %	6%	0%	10%

Geelong

SEABL 2016

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	56%
Home	WWLLL	56%
Away	WLWLW	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	56%	56%	56%
Points / game	84.6	83.9	85.3
Allowed / game	81.3	80.1	82.6
Point differential	+3.3	+3.8	+2.8
Avg total	165.9	164.0	167.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	39%	44%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (1)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bendigo	18	15	3	83%	85.8	72.3	+13.5
2	Hobart Chargers	18	14	4	78%	87.0	75.0	+12.0
3	Mt Gambier	18	12	6	67%	89.6	77.5	+12.1
4	Brisbane Spartans	18	11	7	61%	86.2	82.1	+4.2
5	Geelong	18	10	8	56%	84.6	81.3	+3.3
6	NW Tasmania	18	10	8	56%	84.4	87.1	-2.7
7	Dandenong	17	9	8	53%	86.5	85.9	+0.6
8	Canberra	17	9	8	53%	79.9	83.2	-3.3
9	Ballarat	18	9	9	50%	91.4	90.7	+0.7
10	Albury	19	9	10	47%	86.6	85.8	+0.8
11	Southern Sabres	17	8	9	47%	80.0	84.4	-4.4
12	Nunawading	18	8	10	44%	85.1	83.6	+1.6
13	Kilsyth	18	7	11	39%	74.1	81.1	-7.0
14	Frankston	19	5	14	26%	75.8	83.6	-7.8
15	Melbourne Tigers	18	2	16	11%	69.6	84.4	-14.8
16	BA CoE	9	1	8	11%	71.9	89.3	-17.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Mt Gambier	28	25	15	19	87
Geelong	21	22	27	28	98

← all games of the day

Mt Gambier vs Geelong Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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