Hobart Chargers vs Geelong Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Jul 2016

Tip-off: 10:00

Final 90-79

15-13 22-18 31-20 22-28

Position#2

Record16-4

FormWWWWW

Points / game86.8

Allowed / game74.6

Hobart Chargers 🏆

Geelong

Position#4

Record11-8

FormLLLWW

Points / game85.3

Allowed / game81.6

SEABL

Other2016

Meetings · Hobart Chargers v Geelong

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hobart Chargers winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Geelong winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hobart Chargers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Spartans

94-70

+24

H27/05

SEABL

BA CoE

#16

85-68

+17

A03/06

SEABL

Ballarat

#10

85-93

-8

A04/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

86-83

H17/06

SEABL

Bendigo

78-85

-7

A25/06

SEABL

Frankston

#14

81-75

A26/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

98-94 OT

A02/07

SEABL

Kilsyth

#12

81-41

+40

H08/07

SEABL

Albury

92-76

+16

A16/07

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

79-66

+13

A17/07

SEABL

24-16

21-17

22-20

27-17

20-21

21-19

21-12

23-16

17-32

23-22

25-18

20-21

17-21

20-21

26-16

23-25

21-22

24-21

17-21

16-21

26-20

20-18

15-17

20-20

16-29

25-15

24-22

17-16

21-14

18-10

20-6

22-11

21-18

34-27

18-17

19-14

20-17

21-18

23-18

15-13

161.0Avg total

85.9Scored

75.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	86.8	74.6	161.4	+12.2	80%
Season at home (9)	87.4	68.6	156.0	+18.9	89%
Season away (11)	86.4	79.5	165.9	+6.8	73%
Last 10 (10)	85.9	75.1	161.0	+10.8	80%
Last 5 (5)	86.2	70.4	156.6	+15.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	65.7	75.3	141.0	-9.7	33%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	75.3	79.4	154.8	-4.1	33%
vs Weaker (18)	86.4	71.5	157.9	+14.9	89%

This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Geelong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Albury

94-73

+21

H21/05

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

87-80

H27/05

SEABL

Nunawading

68-86

-18

A28/05

SEABL

Kilsyth

#12

91-70

+21

A04/06

SEABL

Dandenong

85-94

-9

H18/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

76-89

-13

A19/06

SEABL

Frankston

#14

81-85

-4

H25/06

SEABL

Bendigo

77-90

-13

H01/07

SEABL

Ballarat

#10

91-78

+13

A02/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

98-87

+11

A15/07

SEABL

23-14

20-19

30-19

21-21

27-18

19-23

15-19

26-20

19-20

16-24

16-20

17-22

24-22

20-17

23-17

24-14

28-19

10-28

22-21

25-26

21-19

22-22

21-23

12-25

20-20

21-18

15-17

25-30

23-34

15-16

20-13

19-27

24-14

28-21

25-20

14-23

21-28

22-25

27-15

28-19

168.0Avg total

84.8Scored

83.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	85.3	81.6	166.9	+3.7	58%
Season at home (9)	83.9	80.1	164.0	+3.8	56%
Season away (10)	86.6	83.0	169.6	+3.6	60%
Last 10 (10)	84.8	83.2	168.0	+1.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	84.6	85.8	170.4	-1.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	79.5	85.5	165.0	-6.0	50%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	81.4	84.2	165.6	-2.9	25%
vs Weaker (18)	85.6	77.4	163.1	+8.2	72%

This opponent (Hobart Chargers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Hobart ChargersGeelong

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.6	40.1	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	18.6	38.7	+1.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	20.5	41.3	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	21.0	41.3	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.6	40.4	+1.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.7	17.3	32.0	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.8	19.6	40.3	+1.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.3	20.0	41.3	+1.3	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	19.1	41.1	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.5	18.9	41.4	+3.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.6	19.2	40.8	+2.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	20.8	43.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	23.0	44.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.8	25.2	46.0	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	21.8	20.2	42.0	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	22.4	17.2	39.6	+5.2	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.4	38.7	+1.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.3	16.7	35.0	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.0	19.9	41.9	+2.1	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	18.8	41.5	+3.9	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	17.6	41.2	+6.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.3	19.7	35.0	-4.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	17.9	20.9	38.8	-3.0	22%	-
vs Weaker (18)	22.3	17.0	39.3	+5.3	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.4	40.8	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.7	18.6	37.3	+0.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.9	22.0	43.9	-0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.3	40.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.4	42.0	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.0	19.5	36.5	-2.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	18.2	19.5	37.8	-1.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (18)	22.1	21.0	43.1	+1.1	61%	-

Hobart ChargersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Spartans

45-33

+12

H27/05

SEABL

BA CoE

#16

41-40

A03/06

SEABL

Ballarat

#10

40-54

-14

A04/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

37-42

-5

H17/06

SEABL

Bendigo

45-43

A25/06

SEABL

Frankston

#14

46-38

A26/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

41-44

-3

A02/07

SEABL

Kilsyth

#12

39-24

+15

H08/07

SEABL

Albury

55-45

+10

A16/07

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

41-35

A17/07

SEABL

82.8Avg total

43.0Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	38.0	78.8	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.4	35.3	73.7	+3.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.8	40.4	83.2	+2.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	39.8	82.8	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	37.2	81.6	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	30.0	37.0	67.0	-7.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	38.7	40.4	79.1	-1.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (18)	43.6	37.0	80.6	+6.6	78%	-

This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Albury

43-33

+10

H21/05

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

46-41

H27/05

SEABL

Nunawading

35-44

-9

A28/05

SEABL

Kilsyth

#12

44-39

A04/06

SEABL

Dandenong

38-47

-9

H18/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

43-41

A19/06

SEABL

Frankston

#14

41-38

H25/06

SEABL

Bendigo

38-50

-12

H01/07

SEABL

Ballarat

#10

52-35

+17

A02/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

43-53

-10

A15/07

SEABL

84.4Avg total

42.3Scored

42.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	39.5	81.9	+2.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.2	37.5	78.7	+3.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.4	41.2	84.6	+2.2	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	42.1	84.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	43.4	86.8	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.8	44.8	82.5	-7.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	40.0	39.8	79.8	+0.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (18)	44.5	38.2	82.7	+6.3	83%	-

This opponent (Hobart Chargers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	17.2	37.1	+2.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	15.9	36.4	+4.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	18.2	37.7	+1.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	16.7	37.8	+4.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.0	36.0	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.0	17.0	32.0	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.7	18.4	37.1	+0.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.4	16.6	37.9	+4.8	83%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.4	40.1	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	18.9	39.9	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	18.4	39.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	17.6	39.2	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	23.8	17.0	40.8	+6.8	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (18)	19.7	19.8	39.6	-0.1	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.7	38.4	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	19.1	38.2	-0.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	18.2	38.6	+2.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	17.4	37.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	14.8	33.4	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.7	21.3	42.0	-0.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.0	20.6	38.6	-2.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.5	17.3	37.8	+3.2	78%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.9	41.2	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	21.7	43.1	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	20.1	39.6	-0.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	22.7	43.8	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	24.8	44.4	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.0	23.8	41.8	-5.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.2	22.6	41.9	-3.4	25%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+1.9	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	35.8	75.5	+3.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.6	35.1	74.6	+4.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.8	36.5	76.3	+3.3	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	34.1	75.4	+7.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	30.8	69.4	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	35.7	38.3	74.0	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	36.7	39.0	75.7	-2.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (18)	41.9	33.8	75.7	+8.1	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	40.3	81.3	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.4	40.6	83.1	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.9	39.9	79.8	-0.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	41.1	83.6	+1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	42.4	83.6	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	41.8	40.8	82.5	+1.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	40.6	42.2	82.9	-1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	41.1	39.3	80.4	+1.8	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Hobart Chargers wins

Geelong wins

Date	Game	Score
14/05/16	Geelong v Hobart Chargers	97-87
17/04/15	Hobart Chargers v Geelong	53-62

Hobart Chargerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/07/16	A	Southern Sabres	79-66
16/07/16	A	Albury	92-76
08/07/16	H	Kilsyth	81-41
02/07/16	A	NW Tasmania	98-94 OT
26/06/16	A	Frankston	81-75
25/06/16	A	Bendigo	78-85
17/06/16	H	Mt Gambier	86-83
04/06/16	A	Ballarat	85-93
03/06/16	A	BA CoE	85-68
27/05/16	H	Brisbane Spartans	94-70

Geelonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/07/16	A	Mt Gambier	98-87
02/07/16	A	Ballarat	91-78
01/07/16	H	Bendigo	77-90
25/06/16	H	Frankston	81-85
19/06/16	A	Southern Sabres	76-89
18/06/16	H	Dandenong	85-94
04/06/16	A	Kilsyth	91-70
28/05/16	A	Nunawading	68-86
27/05/16	H	Southern Sabres	87-80
21/05/16	H	Albury	94-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hobart Chargers

SEABL 2016

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	80%
Home	WWWWW	89%
Away	LWWWW	73%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	9	11
Win %	80%	89%	73%
Points / game	86.8	87.4	86.4
Allowed / game	74.6	68.6	79.5
Point differential	+12.2	+18.9	+6.8
Avg total	161.4	156.0	165.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	65%	78%	55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	5%	0%	9%

Geelong

SEABL 2016

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	58%
Home	WWLLL	56%
Away	LWLWW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	58%	56%	60%
Points / game	85.3	83.9	86.6
Allowed / game	81.6	80.1	83.0
Point differential	+3.7	+3.8	+3.6
Avg total	166.9	164.0	169.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	42%	44%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (1)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bendigo	19	16	3	84%	86.5	73.5	+13.1
2	Hobart Chargers	20	16	4	80%	86.8	74.6	+12.2
3	Mt Gambier	19	12	7	63%	89.5	78.6	+10.9
4	Brisbane Spartans	19	12	7	63%	87.6	83.1	+4.5
5	Geelong	19	11	8	58%	85.3	81.6	+3.7
6	Dandenong	19	10	9	53%	86.2	85.3	+0.8
7	NW Tasmania	19	10	9	53%	84.9	87.7	-2.8
8	Canberra	19	10	9	53%	79.5	83.0	-3.5
9	Nunawading	19	9	10	47%	85.3	83.2	+2.2
10	Ballarat	19	9	10	47%	91.9	91.8	+0.1
11	Albury	20	9	11	45%	86.1	86.2	-0.1
12	Southern Sabres	18	8	10	44%	79.2	84.1	-4.8
13	Kilsyth	19	7	12	37%	74.2	81.2	-7.0
14	Frankston	20	5	15	25%	75.7	83.3	-7.6
15	Melbourne Tigers	19	3	16	16%	70.5	84.5	-14.0
16	BA CoE	9	1	8	11%	71.9	89.3	-17.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Hobart Chargers	15	22	31	22	90
Geelong	13	18	20	28	79

← all games of the day

Hobart Chargers vs Geelong Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature