Geelong vs Canberra Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 May 2017

Tip-off: 09:00

Final 89-59

23-23 23-10 19-12 24-14

Position#4

Record4-3

FormLWLWL

Points / game84.7

Allowed / game77.7

Geelong 🏆

Canberra

Position#14

Record0-5

FormLLLLL

Points / game77.8

Allowed / game87.8

SEABL

Other2017

Meetings · Geelong v Canberra

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Canberra winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geelong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NW Tasmania

#13

93-74

+19

H06/08

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

115-93

115

+22

H13/08

SEABL

Albury

82-84

-2

H20/08

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

97-68

+29

H25/03

SEABL

Ballarat

100-76

100

+24

H31/03

SEABL

Dandenong

62-75

-13

H07/04

SEABL

Bendigo

74-63

+11

A08/04

SEABL

Albury

#11

97-98

-1

A21/04

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

83-80

A23/04

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

80-84

-4

A29/04

SEABL

29-20

19-14

26-18

19-22

34-28

32-20

27-23

22-22

25-21

22-25

18-18

17-20

18-15

36-19

23-19

20-15

23-20

32-17

18-16

27-23

13-23

10-21

20-14

19-17

20-18

19-18

17-18

18-9

25-35

24-22

21-17

27-24

23-20

24-17

17-15

19-28

21-22

22-18

15-19

22-25

167.8Avg total

88.3Scored

79.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	84.7	77.7	162.4	+7.0	57%
Season at home (3)	86.3	73.0	159.3	+13.3	67%
Season away (4)	83.5	81.2	164.8	+2.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	88.3	79.5	167.8	+8.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.2	80.0	159.2	-0.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	83.0	91.3	174.3	-8.3	33%
vs Similar (5)	81.2	82.8	164.0	-1.6	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	89.6	81.1	170.7	+8.5	64%

This opponent (Canberra) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Canberra

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Albury

91-96

-5

H23/07

SEABL

Frankston

#14

91-72

+19

H30/07

SEABL

BA CoE

#16

72-70

H05/08

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

90-103

103

-13

A13/08

SEABL

Ballarat

#10

86-105

105

-19

A14/08

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

78-94

-16

H25/03

SEABL

Kilsyth

82-89

-7

H01/04

SEABL

Mt Gambier

88-106

106

-18

A07/04

SEABL

Dandenong

77-80

-3

A08/04

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

64-70

-6

H29/04

SEABL

14-29

22-24

16-26

39-17

14-22

27-10

19-16

31-24

17-17

14-19

26-12

15-22

21-24

24-24

19-18

26-37

21-36

24-12

23-25

18-32

17-21

10-28

28-22

23-23

13-25

24-17

17-29

28-18

17-37

26-28

17-29

28-12

16-18

24-18

15-24

22-20

19-20

12-12

12-14

21-24

170.4Avg total

81.9Scored

88.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	77.8	87.8	165.6	-10.0	0%
Season at home (3)	74.7	84.3	159.0	-9.7	0%
Season away (2)	82.5	93.0	175.5	-10.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	81.9	88.5	170.4	-6.6	20%
Last 5 (5)	77.8	87.8	165.6	-10.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	81.4	89.4	170.8	-8.0	28%
vs Similar (8)	81.0	82.1	163.1	-1.1	50%
vs Weaker (4)	73.2	68.5	141.8	+4.8	75%

This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

GeelongCanberra

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	20.0	42.5	+2.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.2	21.1	44.3	+2.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.9	19.1	41.0	+2.9	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	22.2	45.3	+0.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	23.6	44.0	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.7	27.3	49.0	-5.7	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.4	21.0	38.4	-3.6	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	23.8	18.8	42.6	+5.0	86%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	22.3	41.5	-3.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.4	21.8	39.2	-4.3	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.2	22.9	44.1	-1.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	24.9	41.8	-8.0	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	24.2	40.6	-7.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	20.1	23.2	43.3	-3.1	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.0	22.9	39.9	-5.9	12%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.5	17.2	36.8	+2.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	21.0	43.4	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	19.7	41.6	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.9	22.2	45.1	+0.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	19.1	43.1	+4.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.0	21.0	38.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	23.6	21.4	45.0	+2.2	68%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.0	39.5	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.7	20.7	39.4	-2.0	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	19.3	39.6	+1.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.2	39.9	+1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.6	39.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	19.7	21.1	40.8	-1.4	39%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.1	17.9	39.0	+3.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	15.0	19.5	34.5	-4.5	25%	-

GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NW Tasmania

#13

48-34

+14

H06/08

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

66-48

+18

H13/08

SEABL

Albury

47-46

H20/08

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

54-34

+20

H25/03

SEABL

Ballarat

55-37

+18

H31/03

SEABL

Dandenong

23-44

-21

H07/04

SEABL

Bendigo

39-36

A08/04

SEABL

Albury

#11

49-57

-8

A21/04

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

47-37

+10

A23/04

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

43-40

A29/04

SEABL

88.4Avg total

47.1Scored

41.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.9	41.0	86.0	+3.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.1	40.8	85.9	+4.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.8	41.2	86.1	+3.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.1	41.3	88.4	+5.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	42.8	83.0	-2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	38.7	48.3	87.0	-9.7	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	37.8	40.6	78.4	-2.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	47.4	40.1	87.5	+7.3	86%	-

This opponent (Canberra) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CanberraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Albury

36-53

-17

H23/07

SEABL

Frankston

#14

41-32

H30/07

SEABL

BA CoE

#16

31-36

-5

H05/08

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

45-48

-3

A13/08

SEABL

Ballarat

#10

45-48

-3

A14/08

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

27-49

-22

H25/03

SEABL

Kilsyth

37-42

-5

H01/04

SEABL

Mt Gambier

43-65

-22

A07/04

SEABL

Dandenong

40-36

A08/04

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

31-32

-1

H29/04

SEABL

81.7Avg total

37.6Scored

44.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	42.3	81.0	-3.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.1	42.4	78.6	-6.3	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.5	42.2	83.7	-0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	44.1	81.7	-6.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	44.8	80.4	-9.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	39.8	44.3	84.1	-4.5	39%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.1	40.8	78.9	-2.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (4)	34.5	36.8	71.2	-2.2	25%	-

This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.0	41.4	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	18.7	41.1	+3.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	17.7	37.9	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	16.6	34.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.3	17.7	41.0	+5.7	67%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.8	19.4	40.2	+1.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.2	20.5	41.7	+0.7	55%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.0	41.6	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	20.5	42.6	+1.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	21.6	40.5	-2.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.5	40.7	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	23.6	41.4	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	21.3	23.6	44.8	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.1	18.8	36.9	-0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.2	14.2	36.5	+8.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	21.3	42.6	-0.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	23.0	44.4	-1.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	19.9	41.1	+1.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.0	25.3	46.3	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.6	22.8	45.4	-0.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.6	36%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.9	41.3	-0.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	20.8	42.0	+0.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	21.0	40.4	-1.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.1	22.9	48.0	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	19.4	43.8	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	20.3	21.6	41.9	-1.2	28%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.5	21.0	43.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	16.5	17.5	34.0	-1.0	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	41.4	84.0	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.8	41.7	85.5	+2.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.6	41.1	82.7	+0.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	38.2	79.4	+3.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	37.2	76.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	44.3	43.0	87.3	+1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	43.4	42.2	85.6	+1.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	42.2	41.0	83.2	+1.3	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	41.9	82.9	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.3	41.2	84.6	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.3	42.6	80.9	-4.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.3	44.4	88.7	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	43.0	85.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	41.6	45.1	86.7	-3.5	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	40.6	39.8	80.4	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	38.8	31.8	70.5	+7.0	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Geelong wins

Canberra wins

Date	Game	Score
24/04/16	Canberra v Geelong	78-74
15/08/15	Canberra v Geelong	76-78
30/05/15	Geelong v Canberra	83-80

Geelonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/04/17	A	Southern Sabres	80-84
23/04/17	A	Melbourne Tigers	83-80
21/04/17	A	Albury	97-98
08/04/17	A	Bendigo	74-63
07/04/17	H	Dandenong	62-75
31/03/17	H	Ballarat	100-76
25/03/17	H	BA CoE	97-68
20/08/16	H	Albury	82-84
13/08/16	H	Melbourne Tigers	115-93
06/08/16	H	NW Tasmania	93-74

Canberralast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/04/17	H	Melbourne Tigers	64-70
08/04/17	A	Dandenong	77-80
07/04/17	A	Mt Gambier	88-106
01/04/17	H	Kilsyth	82-89
25/03/17	H	Southern Sabres	78-94
14/08/16	A	Ballarat	86-105
13/08/16	A	Southern Sabres	90-103
05/08/16	H	BA CoE	72-70
30/07/16	H	Frankston	91-72
23/07/16	H	Albury	91-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong

SEABL 2017

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	57%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	WLWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	57%	67%	50%
Points / game	84.7	86.3	83.5
Allowed / game	77.7	73.0	81.2
Point differential	+7.0	+13.3	+2.2
Avg total	162.4	159.3	164.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	43%	67%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	-	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Canberra

SEABL 2017

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	0%
Home	LLL	0%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	77.8	74.7	82.5
Allowed / game	87.8	84.3	93.0
Point differential	-10.0	-9.7	-10.5
Avg total	165.6	159.0	175.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	6	6	0	100%	93.5	80.3	+13.2
2	Nunawading	7	7	0	100%	88.6	76.6	+12.0
3	Hobart Chargers	6	4	2	67%	98.2	77.5	+20.7
4	Dandenong	8	5	3	62%	77.6	76.2	+1.4
5	Ballarat	5	3	2	60%	82.0	84.2	-2.2
6	Geelong	7	4	3	57%	84.7	77.7	+7.0
7	Bendigo	8	4	4	50%	81.4	79.4	+2.0
8	Albury	6	3	3	50%	93.3	92.5	+0.8
9	Kilsyth	8	4	4	50%	77.0	76.9	+0.1
10	Melbourne Tigers	6	3	3	50%	78.5	84.3	-5.8
11	Southern Sabres	7	3	4	43%	75.7	81.1	-5.4
12	BA CoE	5	1	4	20%	74.4	89.2	-14.8
13	Frankston	7	1	6	14%	79.1	88.4	-9.3
14	NW Tasmania	7	1	6	14%	73.7	87.4	-13.7
15	Canberra	5	0	5	0%	77.8	87.8	-10.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Geelong	23	23	19	24	89
Canberra	23	10	12	14	59

← all games of the day

Geelong vs Canberra Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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