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Geelong vs NW Tasmania Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Aug 2016
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 93-74
29-20 19-14 26-18 19-22
Position#4
Record13-9
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game81.5
Geelong 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#13
Record10-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game89.1
AustraliaSEABL
Other2016
Meetings · Geelong v NW Tasmania
15 Jun 2025
GEEL85
NW T97
25 May 2024
GEEL81
NW T89
25 Jun 2022
GEEL86
NW T82
21 Jun 2019
GEEL79
NW T74
26 May 2017
GEEL87
NW T92
06 Aug 2016
GEEL93
NW T74
05 Jul 2015
GEEL86
NW T76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NW Tasmania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth
#12
W
91-70
91
70
+21
A04/06
SEABL
Dandenong
#7
L
85-94
85
94
-9
H18/06
SEABL
Southern Sabres
#11
L
76-89
76
89
-13
A19/06
SEABL
Frankston
#14
L
81-85
81
85
-4
H25/06
SEABL
Bendigo
#1
L
77-90
77
90
-13
H01/07
SEABL
Ballarat
#10
W
91-78
91
78
+13
A02/07
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#3
W
98-87
98
87
+11
A15/07
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#2
L
79-90
79
90
-11
A22/07
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#13
W
104-72
104
72
+32
A23/07
SEABL
BA CoE
#16
W
100-79
100
79
+21
H30/07
SEABL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
20-17
23-17
24-14
28-19
10-28
22-21
25-26
21-19
22-22
21-23
12-25
20-20
21-18
15-17
25-30
23-34
15-16
20-13
19-27
24-14
28-21
25-20
14-23
21-28
22-25
27-15
28-19
13-15
18-22
20-31
28-22
22-12
24-21
27-25
31-14
22-16
30-20
26-24
22-19
171.6Avg total
88.2Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)86.581.5168.0+5.159%
Season at home (10)85.580.0165.5+5.560%
Season away (12)87.482.7170.1+4.858%
Last 10 (10)88.283.4171.6+4.850%
Last 5 (5)94.481.2175.6+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.585.5165.0-6.050%
vs Similar (7)83.386.9170.1-3.629%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)87.477.3164.7+10.274%
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NW TasmaniaAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#3
L
80-106
80
106
-26
A03/06
SEABL
Frankston
#14
L
58-86
58
86
-28
A04/06
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#3
L
68-98
68
98
-30
H18/06
SEABL
Melbourne Tigers
#15
W
87-79
87
79
+8
A25/06
SEABL
Kilsyth
#12
W
87-80
87
80
+7
A26/06
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#2
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
H02/07
SEABL
Kilsyth
#12
W
85-78
85
78
+7
H09/07
SEABL
Bendigo
#1
L
95-100
95
100
-5
H16/07
SEABL
Geelong
#4
L
72-104
72
104
-32
H23/07
SEABL
Southern Sabres
#11
L
89-101
89
101
-12
A31/07
SEABL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
19-25
23-28
17-30
13-23
18-23
13-27
14-13
15-32
18-15
17-29
18-22
23-17
18-25
19-21
27-16
27-20
19-14
15-21
26-25
29-16
15-25
22-24
16-17
21-18
20-21
23-14
21-25
23-25
26-21
18-24
28-30
12-22
21-24
25-27
14-31
24-21
21-29
24-25
20-26
174.5Avg total
81.5Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.589.1173.7-4.648%
Season at home (11)85.087.5172.5-2.555%
Season away (10)84.090.9174.9-6.940%
Last 10 (10)81.593.0174.5-11.530%
Last 5 (5)87.096.2183.2-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)84.593.9178.4-9.429%
vs Similar (11)84.582.1166.5+2.455%
vs Weaker (5)89.076.0165.0+13.080%
This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -3.4-3.4
GeelongNW Tasmania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth
#12
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A04/06
SEABL
Dandenong
#7
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H18/06
SEABL
Southern Sabres
#11
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A19/06
SEABL
Frankston
#14
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H25/06
SEABL
Bendigo
#1
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H01/07
SEABL
Ballarat
#10
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A02/07
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#3
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A15/07
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#2
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A22/07
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#13
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A23/07
SEABL
BA CoE
#16
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H30/07
SEABL
83.7Avg total
42.8Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.539.381.7+3.267%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.037.879.8+4.269%-
Last 30 away (17)42.840.483.2+2.565%-
Last 10 (10)42.840.983.7+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)44.838.883.6+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.844.882.5-7.025%-
vs Similar (7)38.340.979.1-2.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)45.037.582.5+7.584%-
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A03/06
SEABL
Frankston
#14
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A04/06
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#3
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H18/06
SEABL
Melbourne Tigers
#15
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A25/06
SEABL
Kilsyth
#12
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A26/06
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#2
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H02/07
SEABL
Kilsyth
#12
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H09/07
SEABL
Bendigo
#1
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H16/07
SEABL
Geelong
#4
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H23/07
SEABL
Southern Sabres
#11
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A31/07
SEABL
84.2Avg total
40.3Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.742.985.6-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.341.986.2+2.462%-
Last 30 away (14)40.944.184.9-3.229%-
Last 10 (10)40.343.984.2-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)42.444.486.8-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)41.544.385.8-2.829%-
vs Similar (11)44.842.787.5+2.164%-
vs Weaker (5)41.439.480.8+2.060%-
This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Geelong wins
1
NW Tasmania wins
DateGameScore
23/07/16NW Tasmania v Geelong72-104
05/07/15Geelong v NW Tasmania86-76
18/04/15NW Tasmania v Geelong81-75
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/07/16HBA CoE100-79
23/07/16ANW Tasmania104-72
22/07/16AHobart Chargers79-90
15/07/16AMt Gambier98-87
02/07/16ABallarat91-78
01/07/16HBendigo77-90
25/06/16HFrankston81-85
19/06/16ASouthern Sabres76-89
18/06/16HDandenong85-94
04/06/16AKilsyth91-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/07/16ASouthern Sabres89-101
23/07/16HGeelong72-104
16/07/16HBendigo95-100
09/07/16HKilsyth85-78
02/07/16HHobart Chargers94-98 OT
26/06/16AKilsyth87-80
25/06/16AMelbourne Tigers87-79
18/06/16HMt Gambier68-98
04/06/16AFrankston58-86
03/06/16AMt Gambier80-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong
SEABL 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW59%
HomeWLLLW60%
AwayLWWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %59%60%58%
Points / game86.585.587.4
Allowed / game81.580.082.7
Point differential+5.1+5.5+4.8
Avg total168.0165.5170.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
NW Tasmania
SEABL 2016
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL48%
HomeLLWLL55%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %48%55%40%
Points / game84.585.084.0
Allowed / game89.187.590.9
Point differential-4.6-2.5-6.9
Avg total173.7172.5174.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)25% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo2219386%87.274.0+13.2
2 Hobart Chargers2318578%86.875.5+11.3
3 Mt Gambier2215768%90.277.5+12.7
4 Brisbane Spartans2114767%88.583.4+5.1
5 Geelong2213959%86.581.5+5.1
6 Canberra22121055%80.282.5-2.3
7 Nunawading21111052%84.782.3+2.4
8 Dandenong21111052%87.486.0+1.4
9 NW Tasmania21101148%84.589.1-4.6
10 Ballarat22101245%92.091.7+0.2
11 Albury22101245%86.386.7-0.4
12 Southern Sabres2191243%79.085.9-7.0
13 Kilsyth2281436%74.580.5-6.1
14 Frankston2251723%75.583.9-8.3
15 Melbourne Tigers2231914%72.387.2-14.9
16 BA CoE121118%74.089.8-15.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong2919261993
NW Tasmania2014182274
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