Geelong vs Melbourne Tigers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Aug 2016

Tip-off: 09:00

Final 115-93

34-28 32-20 27-23 22-22

Position#4

Record14-9

FormWLWWW

Points / game86.8

Allowed / game81.1

Geelong 🏆

Melbourne Tigers

Position#15

Record3-20

FormWLLLL

Points / game72.2

Allowed / game88.0

SEABL

Other2016

Meetings · Geelong v Melbourne Tigers

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Melbourne Tigers winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geelong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dandenong

85-94

-9

H18/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

76-89

-13

A19/06

SEABL

Frankston

#14

81-85

-4

H25/06

SEABL

Bendigo

77-90

-13

H01/07

SEABL

Ballarat

#10

91-78

+13

A02/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

98-87

+11

A15/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

79-90

-11

A22/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

104-72

104

+32

A23/07

SEABL

BA CoE

#16

100-79

100

+21

H30/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

93-74

+19

H06/08

SEABL

28-19

10-28

22-21

25-26

21-19

22-22

21-23

12-25

20-20

21-18

15-17

25-30

23-34

15-16

20-13

19-27

24-14

28-21

25-20

14-23

21-28

22-25

27-15

28-19

13-15

18-22

20-31

28-22

22-12

24-21

27-25

31-14

22-16

30-20

26-24

22-19

29-20

19-14

26-18

19-22

172.2Avg total

88.4Scored

83.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	86.8	81.1	168.0	+5.7	61%
Season at home (11)	86.2	79.5	165.6	+6.7	64%
Season away (12)	87.4	82.7	170.1	+4.8	58%
Last 10 (10)	88.4	83.8	172.2	+4.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	94.8	80.4	175.2	+14.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	79.5	85.5	165.0	-6.0	50%
vs Similar (7)	83.3	86.9	170.1	-3.6	29%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	87.6	77.4	165.0	+10.3	74%

This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne Tigers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BA CoE

#16

66-75

-9

A05/06

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

79-80

-1

A18/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

79-87

-8

H25/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

67-106

106

-39

A01/07

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

69-87

-18

H09/07

SEABL

Dandenong

86-85

A17/07

SEABL

Dandenong

89-111

111

-22

H30/07

SEABL

Ballarat

#10

87-118

118

-31

A31/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

76-84

-8

A05/08

SEABL

Nunawading

69-105

105

-36

H07/08

SEABL

17-18

16-17

12-19

21-21

20-18

20-19

17-17

22-26

17-23

25-18

21-19

16-27

13-24

22-35

14-21

18-26

8-18

20-26

15-22

26-21

23-18

21-28

16-18

26-21

27-26

21-27

24-32

17-26

30-30

23-36

11-29

23-23

21-18

16-16

26-28

13-22

14-30

10-23

24-24

21-28

170.5Avg total

76.7Scored

93.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	72.2	88.0	160.1	-15.8	13%
Season at home (12)	74.5	87.4	161.9	-12.9	17%
Season away (11)	69.6	88.5	158.2	-18.9	9%
Last 10 (10)	76.7	93.8	170.5	-17.1	10%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	100.6	182.0	-19.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	72.5	88.5	161.0	-16.1	14%
vs Similar (1)	66.0	75.0	141.0	-9.0	0%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

GeelongMelbourne Tigers

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	18.6	40.6	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.2	19.2	42.4	+3.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.1	18.2	39.2	+2.9	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	19.7	42.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	18.2	39.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.8	25.2	46.0	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.1	20.0	40.1	+0.1	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	22.9	16.7	39.6	+6.2	89%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	18.2	21.9	40.1	-3.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.6	22.8	41.4	-4.2	42%	-
Last 30 away (11)	17.7	20.9	38.6	-3.2	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	22.3	41.3	-3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	24.4	47.4	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	18.2	22.1	40.3	-3.9	45%	-
vs Similar (1)	17.0	18.0	35.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.6	41.2	-0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.8	22.2	43.9	-0.4	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.7	41.6	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	20.4	43.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.0	19.5	36.5	-2.5	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.1	20.9	39.0	-2.7	14%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	22.2	20.7	42.9	+1.5	63%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	18.6	22.4	41.0	-3.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.9	21.4	39.3	-3.5	42%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.4	23.5	42.8	-4.1	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	24.5	43.9	-5.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	26.0	44.2	-7.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	18.7	22.6	41.4	-3.9	32%	-
vs Similar (1)	16.0	17.0	33.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dandenong

38-47

-9

H18/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

43-41

A19/06

SEABL

Frankston

#14

41-38

H25/06

SEABL

Bendigo

38-50

-12

H01/07

SEABL

Ballarat

#10

52-35

+17

A02/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

43-53

-10

A15/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

31-37

-6

A22/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

46-33

+13

A23/07

SEABL

BA CoE

#16

52-36

+16

H30/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

48-34

+14

H06/08

SEABL

83.6Avg total

43.2Scored

40.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	39.2	81.8	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.2	37.8	79.9	+4.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	42.8	40.4	83.2	+2.5	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	40.4	83.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	38.6	82.6	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.8	44.8	82.5	-7.0	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	38.3	40.9	79.1	-2.6	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	45.1	37.5	82.6	+7.6	84%	-

This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BA CoE

#16

33-35

-2

A05/06

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

40-37

A18/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

42-41

H25/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

35-59

-24

A01/07

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

28-44

-16

H09/07

SEABL

Dandenong

44-46

-2

A17/07

SEABL

Dandenong

48-53

-5

H30/07

SEABL

Ballarat

#10

53-66

-13

A31/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

37-34

A05/08

SEABL

Nunawading

24-53

-29

H07/08

SEABL

85.2Avg total

38.4Scored

46.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	36.8	44.3	81.1	-7.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	36.5	44.2	80.8	-7.8	25%	-
Last 30 away (11)	37.1	44.4	81.5	-7.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	46.8	85.2	-8.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	50.4	91.6	-9.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	37.0	44.7	81.7	-7.8	32%	-
vs Similar (1)	33.0	35.0	68.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.1	41.4	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.7	18.7	40.4	+3.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.9	21.2	42.1	-0.2	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	20.7	43.6	+2.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	22.6	47.8	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	23.8	17.0	40.8	+6.8	75%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.1	20.1	41.3	+1.0	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	20.8	20.7	41.5	+0.1	53%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	17.7	21.4	39.1	-3.7	22%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.1	20.2	39.2	-1.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (11)	16.2	22.7	38.9	-6.5	9%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	22.9	40.9	-4.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	26.2	46.4	-6.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	18.0	21.5	39.5	-3.5	23%	-
vs Similar (1)	12.0	19.0	31.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.7	42.3	+0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.9	21.9	44.8	+1.0	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.5	19.8	40.3	+0.6	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	22.7	45.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	19.2	44.8	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.0	23.8	41.8	-5.8	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	23.0	23.3	46.3	-0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	21.7	19.2	40.9	+2.6	47%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	17.7	22.3	40.0	-4.6	17%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.9	23.0	41.9	-4.1	25%	-
Last 30 away (11)	16.4	21.5	37.8	-5.1	9%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	24.1	44.4	-3.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	24.0	44.0	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	17.5	22.3	39.9	-4.8	18%	-
vs Similar (1)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	40.8	83.6	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	44.6	40.6	85.2	+4.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	41.4	41.0	82.4	+0.4	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.2	43.4	88.6	+1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.8	41.8	92.6	+9.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	41.8	40.8	82.5	+1.0	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	44.1	43.4	87.6	+0.7	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	42.5	39.9	82.4	+2.6	53%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	35.4	43.7	79.0	-8.3	9%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	38.0	43.2	81.2	-5.2	8%	-
Last 30 away (11)	32.5	44.2	76.7	-11.6	9%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	47.0	85.3	-8.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	50.2	90.4	-10.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	35.5	43.8	79.3	-8.3	9%	-
vs Similar (1)	33.0	40.0	73.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Geelong wins

Melbourne Tigers wins

Date	Game	Score
01/05/16	Melbourne Tigers v Geelong	88-96

Geelonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/08/16	H	NW Tasmania	93-74
30/07/16	H	BA CoE	100-79
23/07/16	A	NW Tasmania	104-72
22/07/16	A	Hobart Chargers	79-90
15/07/16	A	Mt Gambier	98-87
02/07/16	A	Ballarat	91-78
01/07/16	H	Bendigo	77-90
25/06/16	H	Frankston	81-85
19/06/16	A	Southern Sabres	76-89
18/06/16	H	Dandenong	85-94

Melbourne Tigerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/08/16	H	Nunawading	69-105
05/08/16	A	Hobart Chargers	76-84
31/07/16	A	Ballarat	87-118
30/07/16	H	Dandenong	89-111
17/07/16	A	Dandenong	86-85
09/07/16	H	Brisbane Spartans	69-87
01/07/16	A	Mt Gambier	67-106
25/06/16	H	NW Tasmania	79-87
18/06/16	A	Brisbane Spartans	79-80
05/06/16	A	BA CoE	66-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong

SEABL 2016

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	61%
Home	LLLWW	64%
Away	LWWLW	58%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	61%	64%	58%
Points / game	86.8	86.2	87.4
Allowed / game	81.1	79.5	82.7
Point differential	+5.7	+6.7	+4.8
Avg total	168.0	165.6	170.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	48%	55%	42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (1)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Melbourne Tigers

SEABL 2016

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	13%
Home	WLLLL	17%
Away	LLWLL	9%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	13%	17%	9%
Points / game	72.2	74.5	69.6
Allowed / game	88.0	87.4	88.5
Point differential	-15.8	-12.9	-18.9
Avg total	160.1	161.9	158.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	67% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bendigo	23	20	3	87%	87.3	74.0	+13.3
2	Hobart Chargers	24	19	5	79%	86.5	75.5	+11.0
3	Mt Gambier	24	17	7	71%	89.9	77.1	+12.8
4	Geelong	23	14	9	61%	86.8	81.1	+5.7
5	Brisbane Spartans	23	14	9	61%	87.3	83.8	+3.5
6	Canberra	22	12	10	55%	80.2	82.5	-2.3
7	Nunawading	23	12	11	52%	85.3	81.7	+3.6
8	Dandenong	23	12	11	52%	87.9	85.5	+2.3
9	Albury	23	11	12	48%	86.3	86.2	+0.1
10	Ballarat	23	10	13	43%	91.8	91.7	+0.2
11	NW Tasmania	23	10	13	43%	83.1	89.3	-6.2
12	Southern Sabres	23	10	13	43%	79.0	86.3	-7.3
13	Kilsyth	23	9	14	39%	74.9	79.7	-4.8
14	Frankston	23	6	17	26%	75.8	82.8	-7.0
15	Melbourne Tigers	23	3	20	13%	72.2	88.0	-15.8
16	BA CoE	14	1	13	7%	71.6	88.6	-17.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Geelong	34	32	27	22	115
Melbourne Tigers	28	20	23	22	93

← all games of the day

Geelong vs Melbourne Tigers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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