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Geelong vs Frankston Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 83-86
18-21 28-24 20-21 17-20
Position#17
Record7-10
FormLLWLW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game88.6
vs
Position#12
Record8-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game92.3
Allowed / game88.5
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Geelong v Frankston
05 Jul 2025
GEEL83
FRAN86
20 Apr 2024
GEEL67
FRAN64
29 Apr 2023
GEEL79
FRAN73
28 May 2022
GEEL82
FRAN88
22 May 2021
GEEL72
FRAN91
25 Jun 2016
GEEL81
FRAN85
10 May 2015
GEEL91
FRAN78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Frankston winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong
#14
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H10/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
76-97
76
97
-21
A16/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
88-94
88
94
-6
A18/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A24/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
W
89-86
89
86
+3
H31/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
82-110
82
110
-28
A14/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
L
85-97
85
97
-12
H15/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
110-94
110
94
+16
H21/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
77-92
77
92
-15
A22/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H28/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
22-14
16-11
26-27
12-27
16-21
28-24
20-25
25-37
31-16
18-17
14-24
22-24
16-13
16-14
14-22
26-30
24-16
24-20
15-20
20-29
24-22
21-29
17-30
16-30
21-19
22-22
26-26
35-19
24-27
27-29
24-19
15-22
13-21
27-20
22-29
26-20
22-21
17-17
25-23
175.3Avg total
85.3Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)83.788.6172.4-4.941%
Season at home (8)88.488.1176.5+0.262%
Season away (9)79.689.1168.7-9.622%
Last 10 (10)85.390.0175.3-4.740%
Last 5 (5)88.894.8183.6-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)79.489.3168.7-9.931%
vs Similar (10)87.180.9168.0+6.280%
vs Weaker (4)85.282.2167.5+3.050%
This opponent (Frankston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrankstonAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#4
W
89-69
89
69
+20
A11/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
83-92
83
92
-9
H17/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
84-91
84
91
-7
H18/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
90-97
90
97
-7
A23/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
107-73
107
73
+34
A25/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A31/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
L
101-113
101
113
-12
H14/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
88-91
88
91
-3
H15/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
84-86
84
86
-2
A21/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
103-104
103
104
-1
A29/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-19
21-11
24-16
14-23
17-30
19-29
25-17
22-16
25-27
14-16
22-28
23-20
24-19
30-26
18-33
18-19
25-17
24-20
27-16
31-20
25-27
18-14
21-20
18-15
33-23
20-29
28-34
20-27
31-22
16-20
19-27
22-22
34-16
18-26
16-24
16-20
27-35
18-17
24-18
34-34
180.3Avg total
91.1Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)92.388.5180.8+3.847%
Season at home (9)95.190.9186.0+4.256%
Season away (8)89.185.9175.0+3.238%
Last 10 (10)91.189.2180.3+1.930%
Last 5 (5)91.694.0185.6-2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)102.792.3195.0+10.367%
vs Similar (10)87.182.5169.6+4.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)94.082.8176.8+11.265%
This opponent (Geelong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
GeelongFrankston
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong
#14
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H10/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A16/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A18/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A24/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H31/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A14/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H15/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H21/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A22/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H28/06
NBL1 South
88.6Avg total
43.4Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.643.684.2-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.443.789.1+1.664%-
Last 30 away (16)36.443.680.0-7.119%-
Last 10 (10)43.445.288.6-1.860%-
Last 5 (5)43.246.089.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.145.083.1-6.931%-
vs Similar (10)44.442.486.8+2.050%-
vs Weaker (4)41.241.282.5+0.050%-
This opponent (Frankston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrankstonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#4
W
51-30
51
30
+21
A11/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
36-59
36
59
-23
H17/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H18/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A23/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A25/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A31/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H14/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H15/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A21/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A29/06
NBL1 South
91.2Avg total
46.9Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.241.788.9+5.473%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.442.289.6+5.175%-
Last 30 away (14)46.941.188.1+5.871%-
Last 10 (10)46.944.391.2+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)48.045.893.8+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)56.345.3101.7+11.0100%-
vs Similar (10)44.442.687.0+1.870%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)47.240.687.8+6.671%-
This opponent (Geelong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Geelong wins
6
Frankston wins
DateGameScore
19/05/24Frankston v Geelong115-83
20/04/24Geelong v Frankston67-64
01/07/23Frankston v Geelong97-98 OT
29/04/23Geelong v Frankston79-73
20/08/22Frankston v Geelong87-57
28/05/22Geelong v Frankston82-88
22/05/21Geelong v Frankston72-91
12/04/19Frankston v Geelong77-72
13/05/17Frankston v Geelong77-101
25/06/16Geelong v Frankston81-85
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/06/25HNunawading90-81
22/06/25AKilsyth77-92
21/06/25HDiamond Valley110-94
15/06/25HNW Tasmania85-97
14/06/25ARingwood82-110
31/05/25HMelbourne Tigers89-86
24/05/25AEltham68-73
18/05/25AMt Gambier88-94
16/05/25AKnox76-97
10/05/25HDandenong88-76
Frankstonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/06/25ADandenong103-104
21/06/25ABallarat84-86
15/06/25HRingwood88-91
14/06/25HWaverley101-113
31/05/25ANunawading82-76
25/05/25AKilsyth107-73
23/05/25AKnox90-97
18/05/25HBendigo Braves84-91
17/05/25HCasey Cavaliers83-92
11/05/25AMelbourne Tigers89-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW41%
HomeWWLWW62%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %41%62%22%
Points / game83.788.479.6
Allowed / game88.688.189.1
Point differential-4.9+0.2-9.6
Avg total172.4176.5168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Frankston
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL47%
HomeWLLLL56%
AwayLWWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %47%56%38%
Points / game92.395.189.1
Allowed / game88.590.985.9
Point differential+3.8+4.2+3.2
Avg total180.8186.0175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%44%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox1814478%91.382.9+8.3
2 Mt Gambier1913668%96.784.6+12.1
3 Melbourne Tigers1711665%87.679.5+8.1
4 Casey Cavaliers1710759%89.185.0+4.1
5 Ballarat1710759%88.591.9-3.4
6 Sandringham Sabres169756%92.591.2+1.3
7 Hobart Chargers1810856%86.984.5+2.4
8 Kilsyth1810856%87.285.4+1.8
9 Eltham179853%87.086.3+0.7
10 Waverley179853%93.094.4-1.4
11 Ringwood189950%93.990.9+3.1
12 Frankston178947%92.388.5+3.8
13 Nunawading178947%86.286.9-0.8
14 Bendigo Braves1981142%84.493.3-8.9
15 Geelong1771041%83.788.6-4.9
16 Keilor Thunder1661038%82.689.2-6.6
17 Diamond Valley1751229%84.593.8-9.4
18 NW Tasmania1851328%85.689.7-4.1
19 Dandenong1741324%89.196.6-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong1828201783
Frankston2124212086
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