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Gence vs Rilski Sportist Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 10 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#43
Record1-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game88.2
Gence
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.0/10
Below normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Rilski Sportist
Position#41
Record1-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game88.8
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 8
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gence win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Rilski Sportist win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GenceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGence
Date
Competition
Esenler Erokspor
#2
L
63-92
63
92
-29
47avg 54
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
62-80
62
80
-18
51avg 54
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Sporting CP
#28
W
69-67
69
67
+2
65avg 54
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
SCM Craiova
#34
L
96-105
96
105
-9
no box
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Esenler Erokspor
#2
L
66-97
66
97
-31
no box
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
11-22
21-27
12-20
16-20
11-20
19-18
16-22
20-18
18-15
16-14
15-20
23-20
27-32
25-22
21-31
18-19
11-36
19-23
18-19
159.4Avg total
71.2Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)71.288.2159.4-17.020%
Season at home (3)65.781.3147.0-15.733%
Season away (2)79.598.5178.0-19.00%
Last 10 (5)71.288.2159.4-17.020%
Last 5 (5)71.288.2159.4-17.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.288.2159.4-17.020%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rilski SportistLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSportist
Date
Competition
Yambol
#13
W
96-64
96
64
+32
93avg 86
A11/10
NBL
Esenler Erokspor
#2
L
62-94
62
94
-32
49avg 86
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSKA Sofia
#11
W
114-76
114
76
+38
112avg 86
H17/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#7
L
70-86
70
86
-16
59avg 86
A25/10
NBL
SCM Craiova
#34
L
86-103
86
103
-17
84avg 86
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lok. Plovdiv
#5
W
88-79
88
79
+9
76avg 86
H31/10
NBL
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
70-92
70
92
-22
no box
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Polytechnica
#14
W
95-65
95
65
+30
no box
A07/11
NBL
Sporting CP
#28
W
86-76
86
76
+10
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#10
W
82-76
82
76
+6
no box
A14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
21-11
29-15
25-16
20-25
13-31
11-13
18-25
28-19
32-15
27-26
27-16
22-26
20-16
15-22
13-22
16-16
17-21
22-37
31-29
25-14
20-25
20-17
23-23
17-24
22-20
12-28
19-20
27-16
21-10
25-22
22-17
23-18
25-16
23-23
15-19
16-14
17-22
21-23
28-17
166.0Avg total
84.9Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.888.8164.6-13.020%
Season at home (3)72.787.3160.0-14.733%
Season away (2)80.591.0171.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)84.981.1166.0+3.860%
Last 5 (5)84.277.6161.8+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.888.8164.6-13.020%
vs Similar ◀ (4)91.886.2178.0+5.575%
vs Weaker (20)93.279.7172.9+13.580%
This opponent (Gence) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -9.4-9.4Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -6.0-6.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -9.4-9.4Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -6.0-6.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
GenceRilski Sportist
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GenceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esenler Erokspor
#2
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Sporting CP
#28
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
SCM Craiova
#34
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Esenler Erokspor
#2
L
29-55
29
55
-26
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
79.8Avg total
34.8Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (5)34.845.079.8-10.220%-
Last 30 at home (3)31.342.774.0-11.333%-
Last 30 away (2)40.048.588.5-8.50%-
Last 10 (5)34.845.079.8-10.220%-
Last 5 (5)34.845.079.8-10.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.845.079.8-10.220%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rilski SportistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yambol
#13
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A11/10
NBL
Esenler Erokspor
#2
L
33-56
33
56
-23
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSKA Sofia
#11
W
60-34
60
34
+26
H17/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A25/10
NBL
SCM Craiova
#34
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lok. Plovdiv
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H31/10
NBL
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Polytechnica
#14
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A07/11
NBL
Sporting CP
#28
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#10
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A14/11
NBL
80.4Avg total
42.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.440.785.1+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.942.488.4+3.557%-
Last 30 away (16)43.039.282.2+3.856%-
Last 10 (10)42.338.180.4+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.635.878.4+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.442.880.2-5.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)47.040.087.0+7.075%-
vs Weaker (20)45.939.585.4+6.465%-
This opponent (Gence) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gencetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gence: 64.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀17%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.3 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers11.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.720.7
44.3%
53.4%41.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.03.7
17.5%
32.5%11.0
🏀 Free throws18.712.3
66.1%
72.8%12.3
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rilski Sportisttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rilski Sportist: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.122.2
56.8%
53.4%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.0
32.1%
32.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.718.5
74.9%
72.8%18.5
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gence
LLWLL
Rilski Sportist
WWWLWLLWLW
#43
League position
#41
-16.8
Net rating
+3.2
72.2
Offensive rating
100.6
89.0
Defensive rating
97.3
38.7%
Effective FG%
53.4%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
15.3%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.39
17.5%
3-point %
32.1%
69.9%
Assist %
62.3%
20%
Form (last 5/10)
60%

Profile

Offence72.2 · 100.6Defence89.0 · 97.3Shooting38.7% · 53.4%3-point %17.5% · 32.1%Ball care15.3% · 14.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.39Form (last 5/10)20% · 60%
■ Gence   ■ Rilski Sportist
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gence wins
0
Rilski Sportist wins
No previous meetings.
Gencelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HEsenler Erokspor66-97
04/11/26ASCM Craiova96-105
29/10/26HSporting CP69-67
13/10/26HKolossos Rhodes62-80
07/10/26AEsenler Erokspor63-92
Rilski Sportistlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABeroe82-76
11/11/26HSporting CP86-76
07/11/26APolytechnica95-65
03/11/26HKolossos Rhodes70-92
31/10/26HLok. Plovdiv88-79
28/10/26ASCM Craiova86-103
25/10/26ASpartak Pleven70-86
17/10/26HCSKA Sofia114-76
14/10/26HEsenler Erokspor62-94
11/10/26AYambol96-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gence
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Losses (last 5)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game71.265.779.5
Allowed / game88.281.398.5
Point differential-17.0-15.7-19.0
Avg total159.4147.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rilski Sportist
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game75.872.780.5
Allowed / game88.887.391.0
Point differential-13.0-14.7-10.5
Avg total164.6160.0171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %20%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trier660100%100.069.7+30.3
2 Esenler Erokspor660100%96.371.0+25.3
3 Basquet Girona65183%91.375.0+16.3
4 Nancy65183%87.272.5+14.7
5 Korfez Basket65183%87.373.7+13.7
6 Benfica65183%94.383.8+10.5
7 Mykonos65183%84.076.3+7.7
8 Dziki Warszawa65183%87.580.3+7.2
9 Chalon/Saone64267%84.872.7+12.2
10 Kolossos Rhodes64267%81.870.2+11.7
11 Iraklis64267%87.276.0+11.2
12 VEF Riga64267%95.084.7+10.3
13 Wurzburg64267%84.575.5+9.0
14 Promitheas64267%90.081.8+8.2
15 CSM Oradea64267%86.380.3+6.0
16 Szczecin64267%86.881.7+5.2
17 Geneva Lions64267%88.284.0+4.2
18 Keravnos64267%80.876.7+4.2
19 Zielona Gora64267%84.583.2+1.3
20 Split64267%81.580.3+1.2
21 Oostende64267%78.377.8+0.5
22 Bakken Bears64267%82.083.3-1.3
23 BC Prievidza84450%90.183.2+6.9
24 Lok. Plovdiv63350%83.383.5-0.2
25 AEK Larnaca63350%79.580.0-0.5
26 Valmiera Glass Via63350%81.083.3-2.3
27 BC Kalev/Cramo63350%80.083.7-3.7
28 Sporting CP63350%76.780.3-3.7
29 Trepca63350%77.581.2-3.7
30 Dinamo Bucharest83538%87.881.6+6.1
31 Denizli Basket62433%81.583.5-2.0
32 Vienna Basket62433%80.585.2-4.7
33 Levice62433%72.778.2-5.5
34 SCM Craiova62433%88.096.3-8.3
35 Nitra Blue Wings62433%78.888.2-9.3
36 Szolnoki Olaj62433%77.588.3-10.8
37 Tartu Ulikool62433%88.099.7-11.7
38 Neftchi IK82625%75.682.6-7.0
39 Parnu82625%71.479.0-7.6
40 Bashkimi51420%73.683.2-9.6
41 Rilski Sportist51420%75.888.8-13.0
42 Manchester Basketball51420%75.890.0-14.2
43 Gence51420%71.288.2-17.0
44 Opava61517%83.286.8-3.7
45 Absheron Lions61517%83.795.3-11.7
46 Fribourg Olympic61517%73.087.3-14.3
47 MZT Skopje6060%72.087.2-15.2
48 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
49 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
50 Batumi6060%66.899.2-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.
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