George Mason hosts Bradley on 14 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names George Mason the favourite with an 80% chance to win, a projection of 73-64 and a 136.9 total; the model rates the Patriots highly because they are undefeated 3-0, averaging 75.3 points and allowing only 57.7, while Bradley is 2-2 with 59.5 points and 55.0 allowed, and Bradley's road record is 1-1. George Mason has won all three of its home games, including a 76-68 victory over UMKC, a 68-51 win over Coppin State, and an 82-54 triumph over UMBC Retrievers, and its last five games show four wins and one loss; Bradley's last five include two wins and three losses, with a recent 56-54 win over Coppin State and losses to Davidson and Pacific. In their only prior meeting Bradley prevailed 75-67 on 22 March 2025. The Pythia spread of -10.0 gives George Mason a 49% chance to cover, while the 130.5 total has a 65% probability of an over, and there is a 4% chance of overtime.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
George Mason winWon
80.3%fair 1.25
Best odds1.12
Implied86.3%
Edge-6.0pp
Bradley winLost
19.7%fair 5.07
Best odds8.50
Implied13.7%
Edge+6.0pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 14:24 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (George Mason) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 125Actual: Under 125
Over 125
77.0%
@ 1.52+15.8pp
Under 125
23.0%
@ 2.40-15.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.52
Under
Bet365
2.40
Over/Under 130 · main lineActual: Under 130
Over 130
66.4%
@ 2.00+16.7pp
Under 130
33.6%
@ 1.90-16.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
1.92
SBO
1.88
Marathon Be
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Under
Pinnacle
1.90
1xBet
1.86
Marathon Be
1.85
SBO
1.81
Bet365
1.71
Over/Under 135Actual: Under 135
Over 135
54.4%
@ 2.85+21.9pp
Under 135
45.6%
@ 1.37-21.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.85
Under
Bet365
1.37
📊 3. Team Totals
George Mason total 65.5Actual: George Mason under 65.5
Over 65.5
no forecast
@ 1.33
Under 65.5
no forecast
@ 3.10
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.29
Under
Bet365
3.10
Betano
3.05
George Mason total 70 · main lineActual: George Mason under 70
Over 70
63.5%
@ 1.85+13.5pp
Under 70
36.5%
@ 1.85-13.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
George Mason total 74Actual: George Mason under 74
Over 74
47.1%
Under 74
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bradley total 56Actual: Bradley over 56
Over 56
77.9%
Under 56
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bradley total 60 · main lineActual: Bradley over 60
Over 60
64.0%
@ 1.86+14.3pp
Under 60
36.0%
@ 1.85-14.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.86
1xBet
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Bradley total 64Actual: Bradley under 64
Over 64
48.0%
Under 64
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread George Mason -15.5Actual: Bradley +15.5
GEOR -15.5
30.0%
@ 2.42-9.4pp
BRAD +15.5
70.0%
@ 1.60+9.4pp
Best 5 market prices
GEOR
Pinnacle
2.42
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.18
BRAD
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.60
Pinnacle
1.57
Spread George Mason -12.5 · main lineActual: Bradley +12.5
GEOR -12.5
39.8%
@ 1.88-11.2pp
BRAD +12.5
60.2%
@ 1.96+11.2pp
Best 5 market prices
GEOR
Pinnacle
1.88
Betano
1.82
Marathon Be
1.81
1xBet
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
BRAD
Pinnacle
1.96
Betano
1.95
Bet365
1.95
SBO
1.93
Marathon Be
1.92
Spread George Mason -9.5Actual: Bradley +9.5
GEOR -9.5
50.6%
@ 1.81-8.2pp
BRAD +9.5
49.4%
@ 2.50+8.2pp
Best 5 market prices
GEOR
1xBet
1.81
Marathon Be
1.76
Pinnacle
1.62
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
BRAD
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.40
Pinnacle
2.31
Marathon Be
1.98
1xBet
1.92
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
George MasonBradley
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
George MasonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Washington
#160
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A14/02
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H19/02
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A26/02
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H28/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A04/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H07/03
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H12/03
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#261
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H02/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#336
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H07/11
NCAA
UMKC
#260
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H12/11
NCAA
67.7Avg total
35.6Scored
32.1Allowed
1st half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over 61
Last 30 (30)
35.0
34.4
69.4
+0.6
50%
80%
Last 30 at home (18)
36.0
32.4
68.4
+3.6
67%
72%
Last 30 away (12)
33.5
37.3
70.8
-3.8
25%
92%
Last 10 (10)
35.6
32.1
67.7
+3.5
60%
80%
Last 5 (5)
38.6
28.2
66.8
+10.4
100%
60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)
43.0
34.0
77.0
+9.0
100%
100%
vs Similar (17)
32.5
34.8
67.2
-2.3
35%
76%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)
37.9
33.9
71.8
+4.0
67%
83%
This opponent (Bradley) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
This opponent (George Mason) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winnerActual: George Mason win
GEOR win
no forecast
@ 1.31
BRAD win
no forecast
@ 3.50
2nd half Spread George Mason -5.5 · main lineActual: Bradley +5.5
GEOR -5.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
BRAD +5.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
2nd half Over/Under 69.5 · main lineActual: Under 69.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: George Mason (regulation)
GEOR
no forecast
@ 1.34
Draw
no forecast
@ 19.00
BRAD
no forecast
@ 3.55
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Bradley over 58
71.4%
1.86
Marathon Bet
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
+21.8pp
Won
Bradley over 56.5
75.6%
1.64
Pinnacle
1.71
Betano
1.57
-
-
-
+20.5pp
Won
Bradley over 57.5
72.4%
1.79
BetVictor
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
Betano
1.72
-
+19.6pp
Won
Over 126
75.1%
1.58
Bet365
1.58
-
-
-
-
+16.7pp
Lost
Over 127
73.0%
1.67
Pinnacle
1.68
Bet365
1.66
Marathon Bet
1.66
-
-
+16.4pp
Lost
Bradley over 55.5
78.6%
1.47
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
+16.1pp
Won
Bradley over 52.5
86.2%
1.29
Betano
1.29
-
-
-
-
+16.0pp
Won
Over 127.5
71.5%
1.68
WilliamHill
1.73
Bet365
1.71
Pinnacle
1.71
Marathon Bet
1.63
Betano
1.62
+15.9pp
Lost
Bradley over 54.5
81.4%
1.38
Betano
1.38
-
-
-
-
+15.9pp
Won
Over 128
70.9%
1.71
Bet365
1.74
Pinnacle
1.72
Marathon Bet
1.67
-
-
+15.8pp
Lost
Over 125
77.0%
1.52
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
-
+15.8pp
Lost
Over 126.5
73.6%
1.58
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.55
-
-
-
+15.5pp
Lost
Over 125.5
75.6%
1.52
Bet365
1.55
Betano
1.50
-
-
-
+14.9pp
Lost
Over 124
78.9%
1.44
Bet365
1.44
-
-
-
-
+14.4pp
Lost
Bradley over 53.5
83.9%
1.31
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
+13.9pp
Won
Over 124.5
77.5%
1.46
Bet365
1.47
Betano
1.44
-
-
-
+13.7pp
Lost
Over 123
80.7%
1.38
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
-
+13.7pp
Push
Over 121.5
82.6%
1.33
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
+13.2pp
Won
Over 123.5
79.3%
1.40
Bet365
1.41
Betano
1.39
-
-
-
+13.2pp
Lost
Bradley +16
72.2%
1.55
Bet365
1.55
-
-
-
-
+12.4pp
Won
Over 122.5
81.0%
1.35
Bet365
1.35
Betano
1.35
-
-
-
+12.4pp
Won
Over 122
82.3%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+12.4pp
Won
Over 121
83.9%
1.29
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
-
+12.0pp
Won
Bradley +16.5
73.0%
1.51
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.50
-
-
-
+11.8pp
Won
Bradley +17
75.1%
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
-
+11.7pp
Won
Bradley +18
77.8%
1.40
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
-
+11.6pp
Won
Bradley +17.5
75.8%
1.43
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
-
-
-
+11.2pp
Won
Bradley +18.5
78.4%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
Betano
1.36
-
-
-
+10.8pp
Won
Bradley over 51.5
88.3%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+10.5pp
Won
Bradley +19
80.4%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+10.4pp
Won
Over 120.5
84.2%
1.26
Bet365
1.26
-
-
-
-
+10.4pp
Won
Bradley +19.5
80.8%
1.31
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
+10.2pp
Won
Bradley +20
82.7%
1.27
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
-
+9.6pp
Won
Bradley +20.5
83.1%
1.26
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.26
-
-
-
+9.5pp
Won
Bradley +15.5
70.0%
1.59
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.60
Pinnacle
1.57
-
-
+9.4pp
Won
Bradley +21.5
85.1%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+8.7pp
Won
Bradley +21
84.8%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+8.6pp
Won
Bradley +22.5
86.9%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
+6.4pp
Won
George Mason +12.5
96.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.8pp
Won
Overtime: no
96.3%
1.02
WilliamHill
1.02
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.3pp
Won
George Mason +7.5
92.5%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+2.2pp
Won
George Mason under 87.5
92.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.5pp
Won
George Mason under 85.5
89.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-2.2pp
Won
George Mason (regulation)
78.1%
1.14
1xBet
1.20
Marathon Bet
1.11
Betano
1.11
-
-
-2.5pp
Won
George Mason +2.5
84.6%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-2.9pp
Won
George Mason -3.5
72.0%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
-4.1pp
Lost
George Mason -4
71.1%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
-4.2pp
Lost
George Mason under 83.5
84.7%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-4.6pp
Won
Bradley under 75.5
87.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-5.3pp
Won
George Mason -2.5
74.8%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
-5.7pp
Lost
George Mason win
80.3%
1.09
Pinnacle
1.12
Marathon Bet
1.11
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.08
BetVictor
1.08
-6.0pp
Won
George Mason under 81.5
79.5%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
-7.1pp
Won
Bradley under 73.5
83.2%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-8.3pp
Won
Under 153.5
84.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-8.3pp
Won
George Mason under 80.5
76.6%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-8.5pp
Won
George Mason under 79.5
73.4%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
-8.9pp
Won
Bradley under 71.5
78.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-11.6pp
Won
Under 148.5
76.3%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-13.9pp
Won
Bradley under 69.5
72.0%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-15.5pp
Won
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Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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