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Georgia State vs Southern Miss Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 31 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#256
Record2-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game72.4
vs
Position#230
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game70.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Georgia State v Southern Miss
31 Dec 2026
GEOR v SOUT
upcoming
22 Jan 2026
GEOR69
SOUT62
04 Feb 2023
GEOR71
SOUT79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Georgia State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Miss win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Georgia StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#142
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H20/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H21/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H25/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H28/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A03/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#67
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H02/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#229
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A06/11
NCAA
Andrew Fighting Tigers
#488
W
111-61
111
61
+50
H07/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#141
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
A11/11
NCAA
Norfolk State
#275
W
78-53
78
53
+25
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-27
29-37
26-40
39-40
28-30
43-46
42-36
31-45
38-36
37-48
34-34
39-42
33-35
34-42
48-32
63-29
38-39
40-39
–
–
151.8Avg total
77.1Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.272.4156.6+11.840%
Season at home (3)87.363.3150.7+24.067%
Season away (2)79.586.0165.5-6.50%
Last 10 (10)77.174.7151.8+2.430%
Last 5 (5)84.272.4156.6+11.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)70.674.4145.0-3.939%
vs Similar (6)70.379.3149.7-9.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)84.870.8155.6+14.060%
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#98
L
84-89
84
89
-5
A25/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
68-55
68
55
+13
A28/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H05/03
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A06/03
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
86-73
86
73
+13
A07/03
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A08/03
NCAA
Tougaloo
#481
W
82-35
82
35
+47
H03/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#100
L
57-83
57
83
-26
A07/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#276
W
84-80 OT
84
80
+4
H12/11
NCAA
Texas State
#24
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
44-53
40-36
35-29
33-26
35-33
51-47
37-33
44-44
44-28
42-45
28-41
42-37
45-12
37-23
29-46
28-37
32-40
37-29
37-44
28-41
149.8Avg total
76.3Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.070.8142.8+1.250%
Season at home (2)83.057.5140.5+25.5100%
Season away (2)61.084.0145.0-23.00%
Last 10 (10)76.373.5149.8+2.860%
Last 5 (5)71.672.2143.8-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)71.179.2150.3-8.130%
vs Similar (13)73.874.8148.7-1.054%
vs Weaker (6)73.267.2140.3+6.083%
This opponent (Georgia State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +1.7+1.7
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +1.7+1.7
Georgia StateSouthern Miss
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Georgia StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#142
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H20/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H21/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H25/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H28/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A03/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#67
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H02/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#229
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A06/11
NCAA
Andrew Fighting Tigers
#488
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H07/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#141
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A11/11
NCAA
70.3Avg total
36.0Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.735.670.3-1.038%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.032.968.9+3.157%-
Last 30 away (15)33.438.271.6-4.820%-
Last 10 (9)36.034.370.3+1.744%-
Last 5 (5)38.235.273.4+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)32.634.867.4-2.233%-
vs Similar (6)34.237.271.3-3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)41.237.879.0+3.525%-
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#98
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A25/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A28/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H05/03
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A06/03
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A07/03
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A08/03
NCAA
Tougaloo
#481
W
45-12
45
12
+33
H03/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#100
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A07/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#276
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H12/11
NCAA
Texas State
#24
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A14/11
NCAA
72.5Avg total
36.6Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.033.566.5-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.130.262.3+1.950%-
Last 30 away (16)33.836.470.2-2.750%-
Last 10 (10)36.635.972.5+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)34.236.670.8-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)32.737.870.5-5.120%-
vs Similar (13)32.333.565.8-1.254%-
vs Weaker (6)32.830.062.8+2.883%-
This opponent (Georgia State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Georgia State wins
2
Southern Miss wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HNorfolk State78-53
11/11/26AFresno State92-95 OT
07/11/26HAndrew Fighting Tigers111-61
06/11/26ACharlotte67-77
02/11/26HBowling Green73-76
03/03/26ALouisiana Lafayette75-84
28/02/26HOld Dominion73-81
25/02/26HCoastal Carolina71-76
21/02/26HJames Madison65-80
20/02/26HGeorgia Southern66-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ATexas State65-85
12/11/26HJackson State84-80 OT
07/11/26AIowa State57-83
03/11/26HTougaloo82-35
08/03/26ATroy70-78
07/03/26AAppalachian State86-73
06/03/26ATexas State81-77
05/03/26HJames Madison86-80
28/02/26ASouth Alabama68-55
25/02/26AArkansas State84-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Georgia State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game84.287.379.5
Allowed / game72.463.386.0
Point differential+11.8+24.0-6.5
Avg total156.6150.7165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %20%0%50%
Southern Miss
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game72.083.061.0
Allowed / game70.857.584.0
Point differential+1.2+25.5-23.0
Avg total142.8140.5145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State440100%89.862.8+27.0
2 Old Dominion550100%77.058.4+18.6
3 Appalachian State42250%69.060.2+8.8
4 Southern Miss42250%72.070.8+1.2
5 Arkansas State42250%80.279.5+0.8
6 James Madison42250%77.076.8+0.2
7 Coastal Carolina42250%72.573.5-1.0
8 Georgia State52340%84.272.4+11.8
9 South Alabama52340%74.676.0-1.4
10 Louisiana Lafayette31233%59.060.3-1.3
11 Marshall41325%78.276.0+2.2
12 Georgia Southern41325%77.882.8-5.0
13 Troy41325%66.078.0-12.0
14 Louisiana Monroe61517%75.087.7-12.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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