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Geraldton Buccaneers vs Perth Redbacks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Aug 2023
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 119-83
38-32 28-15 27-13 26-23
Position#2
Record18-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game98.1
Allowed / game86.3
vs
Position#4
Record16-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.9
Allowed / game83.6
AustraliaNBL1 WestNBL1 West - Semi-finals
Other2023
Meetings · Geraldton Buccaneers v Perth Redbacks
12 Apr 2025
GERA107
PERT69
02 Jun 2024
GERA91
PERT85
05 Aug 2023
GERA119
PERT83
08 Apr 2023
GERA80
PERT96
25 Jun 2022
GERA94
PERT69
24 Jul 2021
GERA68
PERT67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geraldton Buccaneers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Perth Redbacks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geraldton BuccaneersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#10
W
98-91
98
91
+7
A17/06
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#7
L
94-95
94
95
-1
A18/06
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#12
W
118-97
118
97
+21
H24/06
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#14
W
94-82
94
82
+12
H01/07
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#8
W
95-90
95
90
+5
A08/07
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#4
L
88-97
88
97
-9
A09/07
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#5
W
99-89
99
89
+10
H15/07
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#12
W
115-96
115
96
+19
A21/07
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#6
W
89-81
89
81
+8
A22/07
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#6
W
87-86
87
86
+1
H29/07
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
27-25
22-23
22-23
25-21
14-22
36-22
19-30
38-17
32-30
22-18
26-32
26-15
18-16
19-24
31-27
31-27
32-34
17-14
15-15
18-23
22-29
26-23
22-22
34-22
14-23
20-18
31-26
34-28
29-18
27-22
25-28
24-32
25-9
20-21
20-19
26-21
21-27
19-19
21-19
188.1Avg total
97.7Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)98.186.3184.4+11.878%
Season at home (12)96.781.8178.5+14.892%
Season away (11)99.691.2190.8+8.564%
Last 10 (10)97.790.4188.1+7.380%
Last 5 (5)95.689.8185.4+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)92.091.0183.0+1.0100%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)96.983.2180.1+13.776%
This opponent (Perth Redbacks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Perth RedbacksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joondalup Wolves
#3
L
95-97
95
97
-2
H23/06
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#8
L
86-89
86
89
-3
A24/06
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#7
L
78-97
78
97
-19
H30/06
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#9
W
106-102
106
102
+4
A01/07
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#12
L
89-98
89
98
-9
A08/07
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#2
W
97-88
97
88
+9
H09/07
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#13
W
101-78
101
78
+23
H15/07
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#11
W
132-83
132
83
+49
H22/07
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#8
W
98-81
98
81
+17
H28/07
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#5
W
89-78
89
78
+11
A03/08
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-21
23-34
22-24
19-18
26-26
15-29
19-12
26-22
24-32
15-30
19-20
20-15
18-24
39-37
17-26
32-15
22-19
19-23
22-29
26-27
23-18
29-22
23-26
22-22
25-16
18-26
30-21
28-15
35-12
32-17
30-23
35-31
26-22
25-17
17-17
30-25
14-25
26-17
28-14
21-22
186.2Avg total
97.1Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)91.983.6175.5+8.267%
Season at home (12)94.584.8179.2+9.867%
Season away (12)89.282.5171.8+6.867%
Last 10 (10)97.189.1186.2+8.060%
Last 5 (5)103.481.6185.0+21.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)89.986.7176.6+3.157%
vs Similar (9)84.385.7170.0-1.344%
vs Weaker (14)95.483.6179.0+11.779%
This opponent (Geraldton Buccaneers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +4.7+4.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +4.7+4.7
Geraldton BuccaneersPerth Redbacks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Geraldton BuccaneersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#10
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A17/06
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#7
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A18/06
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#12
W
70-47
70
47
+23
H24/06
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#14
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H01/07
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#8
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A08/07
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#4
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A09/07
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#5
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H15/07
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#12
W
63-46
63
46
+17
A21/07
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#6
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A22/07
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H29/07
NBL1 West
97.6Avg total
51.7Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.041.692.6+9.577%-
Last 30 at home (18)49.238.787.9+10.478%-
Last 30 away (12)53.845.899.7+8.075%-
Last 10 (10)51.745.997.6+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)49.446.495.8+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.054.0105.0-3.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)51.041.192.2+9.979%-
This opponent (Perth Redbacks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Perth RedbacksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joondalup Wolves
#3
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H23/06
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#8
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A24/06
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#7
L
39-62
39
62
-23
H30/06
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#9
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A01/07
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#12
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A08/07
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#2
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H09/07
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#13
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H15/07
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#11
W
67-29
67
29
+38
H22/07
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#8
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H28/07
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#5
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A03/08
NBL1 West
95.2Avg total
48.5Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)45.942.988.8+3.059%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.641.388.9+6.373%-
Last 30 away (14)44.144.688.7-0.443%-
Last 10 (10)48.546.795.2+1.840%-
Last 5 (5)50.638.489.0+12.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)43.043.186.1-0.157%-
vs Similar (8)44.844.188.9+0.638%-
vs Weaker (14)48.142.190.1+6.071%-
This opponent (Geraldton Buccaneers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Geraldton Buccaneers wins
4
Perth Redbacks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/07/23HWilletton Tigers87-86
22/07/23AWilletton Tigers89-81
21/07/23AEast Perth Eagles115-96
15/07/23HPerry Lakes Hawks99-89
09/07/23APerth Redbacks88-97
08/07/23ALakeside Lightning95-90
01/07/23HMandurah Magic94-82
24/06/23HEast Perth Eagles118-97
18/06/23AWarwick Senators94-95
17/06/23AKalamunda Eastern Suns98-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/08/23APerry Lakes Hawks89-78
28/07/23HLakeside Lightning98-81
22/07/23HGoldfields Giants132-83
15/07/23HSouth West Slammers101-78
09/07/23HGeraldton Buccaneers97-88
08/07/23AEast Perth Eagles89-98
01/07/23ABeeliar Boodjar106-102
30/06/23HWarwick Senators78-97
24/06/23ALakeside Lightning86-89
23/06/23HJoondalup Wolves95-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geraldton Buccaneers
NBL1 West 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW78%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %78%92%64%
Points / game98.196.799.6
Allowed / game86.381.891.2
Point differential+11.8+14.8+8.5
Avg total184.4178.5190.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%67%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Perth Redbacks
NBL1 West 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWLWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game91.994.589.2
Allowed / game83.684.882.5
Point differential+8.2+9.8+6.8
Avg total175.5179.2171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%42%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rockingham Flames2320387%105.486.1+19.3
2 Geraldton Buccaneers2318578%98.186.3+11.8
3 Perth Redbacks2416867%91.983.6+8.2
4 Joondalup Wolves2416867%96.793.2+3.5
5 Perry Lakes Hawks2415962%91.584.5+7.1
6 Willetton Tigers2415962%98.193.0+5.2
7 Warwick Senators23121152%94.489.9+4.5
8 Lakeside Lightning23111248%88.690.5-1.9
9 Beeliar Boodjar2291341%93.796.1-2.4
10 Kalamunda Eastern Suns2281436%81.291.2-10.0
11 Goldfields Giants2271532%89.994.5-4.6
12 East Perth Eagles2271532%89.895.6-5.8
13 South West Slammers2241818%76.398.8-22.5
14 Mandurah Magic222209%87.0103.1-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geraldton Buccaneers38282726119
Perth Redbacks3215132383
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