Geraldton Buccaneers vs Perth Redbacks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Apr 2025

Tip-off: 11:00

Final 107-69

34-16 27-12 25-16 21-25

Position#1

Record1-1

FormWWLLW

Points / game92.5

Allowed / game89.0

Geraldton Buccaneers 🏆

Perth Redbacks

Position#13

Record1-0

FormLWLLW

Points / game85.0

Allowed / game83.0

NBL1 West

Other2025

Meetings · Geraldton Buccaneers v Perth Redbacks

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geraldton Buccaneers winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Perth Redbacks winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geraldton Buccaneers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kalamunda Eastern Suns

#11

77-68

H22/06

NBL1 West

Lakeside Lightning

#10

100-93

100

A29/06

NBL1 West

Joondalup Wolves

89-72

+17

A30/06

NBL1 West

Rockingham Flames

93-94

-1

H06/07

NBL1 West

Mandurah Magic

115-100

115

100

+15

H13/07

NBL1 West

Perth Redbacks

#14

107-76

107

+31

A20/07

NBL1 West

Mandurah Magic

106-100

106

100

H27/07

NBL1 West

Willetton Tigers

89-98

-9

H03/08

NBL1 West

Joondalup Wolves

107-111 OT

107

111

-4

A05/04

NBL1 West

Kalamunda Eastern Suns

78-67

+11

A06/04

NBL1 West

25-16

20-22

17-15

15-15

29-27

22-20

18-18

31-28

20-27

39-13

10-12

20-20

28-17

21-28

22-28

22-21

34-31

25-29

28-13

28-27

30-20

28-19

23-12

26-25

33-25

22-33

22-17

29-25

21-23

13-31

24-27

31-17

33-32

22-24

25-20

18-22

21-27

12-18

20-12

25-10

184.0Avg total

96.1Scored

87.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	92.5	89.0	181.5	+3.5	50%
Season at home	no games
Season away (2)	92.5	89.0	181.5	+3.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	96.1	87.9	184.0	+8.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	97.4	90.4	187.8	+7.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	94.5	80.5	175.0	+14.0	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	98.5	87.0	185.5	+11.6	86%

This opponent (Perth Redbacks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Perth Redbacks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

East Perth Eagles

78-90

-12

A31/05

NBL1 West

Geraldton Buccaneers

85-91

-6

A02/06

NBL1 West

Lakeside Lightning

#10

87-109

109

-22

A07/06

NBL1 West

Rockingham Flames

87-90

-3

H14/06

NBL1 West

Warwick Senators

74-104

104

-30

H21/06

NBL1 West

Joondalup Wolves

84-99

-15

H29/06

NBL1 West

Lakeside Lightning

#10

89-83

H06/07

NBL1 West

Perry Lakes Hawks

92-102

102

-10

H13/07

NBL1 West

Geraldton Buccaneers

76-107

107

-31

H20/07

NBL1 West

Joondalup Wolves

85-83

H04/04

NBL1 West

20-28

22-20

17-26

19-16

24-26

21-24

15-17

25-24

15-27

23-29

27-26

22-27

22-30

18-9

31-29

16-22

20-27

17-35

21-23

16-19

19-28

23-33

15-25

27-13

31-15

13-23

14-19

31-26

29-28

18-25

22-24

23-25

20-30

19-28

12-23

25-26

27-26

15-22

17-20

26-15

179.5Avg total

83.7Scored

95.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	85.0	83.0	168.0	+2.0	100%
Season at home (1)	85.0	83.0	168.0	+2.0	100%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	83.7	95.8	179.5	-12.1	20%
Last 5 (5)	85.2	94.8	180.0	-9.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	85.6	97.9	183.4	-12.3	24%
vs Similar (5)	89.8	88.6	178.4	+1.2	60%
vs Weaker (4)	105.0	85.0	190.0	+20.0	75%

This opponent (Geraldton Buccaneers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Geraldton BuccaneersPerth Redbacks

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.0	23.3	49.2	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	27.1	21.8	48.9	+5.2	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	24.5	25.2	49.7	-0.6	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.4	24.5	51.9	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.6	25.4	53.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	20.0	24.0	44.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	26.4	23.2	49.6	+3.2	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	24.7	47.6	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.2	24.0	47.2	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.4	25.6	48.0	-3.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	26.5	49.2	-3.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	25.4	50.6	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	23.1	26.3	49.4	-3.2	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.6	24.2	42.8	-5.6	20%	-
vs Weaker (4)	27.0	17.2	44.2	+9.8	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	22.4	45.8	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.9	23.6	45.5	-1.8	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	25.3	20.8	46.2	+4.5	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	23.7	46.1	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	25.0	44.4	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	29.5	16.5	46.0	+13.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	22.9	22.9	45.8	+0.1	54%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	24.3	45.0	-3.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	22.8	44.5	-1.0	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	26.0	45.5	-6.5	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	24.8	43.7	-5.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	26.2	43.8	-8.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	20.5	26.0	46.4	-5.5	29%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.4	20.0	39.4	-0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.5	20.8	44.2	+2.8	50%	-

Geraldton BuccaneersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kalamunda Eastern Suns

#11

45-38

H22/06

NBL1 West

Lakeside Lightning

#10

51-47

A29/06

NBL1 West

Joondalup Wolves

59-40

+19

A30/06

NBL1 West

Rockingham Flames

49-45

H06/07

NBL1 West

Mandurah Magic

59-60

-1

H13/07

NBL1 West

Perth Redbacks

#14

58-39

+19

A20/07

NBL1 West

Mandurah Magic

55-58

-3

H27/07

NBL1 West

Willetton Tigers

34-54

-20

H03/08

NBL1 West

Joondalup Wolves

55-56

-1

A05/04

NBL1 West

Kalamunda Eastern Suns

33-45

-12

A06/04

NBL1 West

98.0Avg total

49.8Scored

48.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	49.3	45.7	95.0	+3.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	48.9	45.5	94.4	+3.5	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	49.8	46.0	95.8	+3.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.8	48.2	98.0	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.0	50.4	97.4	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	49.5	40.5	90.0	+9.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	49.3	46.1	95.4	+3.2	64%	-

This opponent (Perth Redbacks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Perth RedbacksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

East Perth Eagles

42-48

-6

A31/05

NBL1 West

Geraldton Buccaneers

45-50

-5

A02/06

NBL1 West

Lakeside Lightning

#10

38-56

-18

A07/06

NBL1 West

Rockingham Flames

40-39

H14/06

NBL1 West

Warwick Senators

37-62

-25

H21/06

NBL1 West

Joondalup Wolves

42-61

-19

H29/06

NBL1 West

Lakeside Lightning

#10

44-38

H06/07

NBL1 West

Perry Lakes Hawks

47-53

-6

H13/07

NBL1 West

Geraldton Buccaneers

39-58

-19

H20/07

NBL1 West

Joondalup Wolves

42-48

-6

H04/04

NBL1 West

92.9Avg total

41.6Scored

51.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.6	49.0	92.6	-5.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.0	46.8	91.8	-1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.9	51.6	93.5	-9.6	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	51.3	92.9	-9.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	51.6	94.4	-8.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	43.6	52.2	95.8	-8.7	29%	-
vs Similar (5)	38.0	44.2	82.2	-6.2	20%	-
vs Weaker (4)	50.5	38.0	88.5	+12.5	75%	-

This opponent (Geraldton Buccaneers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	19.7	43.1	+3.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.8	20.2	44.0	+3.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.8	19.1	41.8	+3.7	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	17.4	38.3	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	17.6	40.4	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	23.5	19.7	43.2	+3.9	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	22.5	44.3	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.0	22.0	44.0	+0.0	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.5	23.1	44.6	-1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	23.2	42.3	-4.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	22.2	38.2	-6.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	20.2	23.1	43.4	-2.9	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	25.8	19.8	45.6	+6.0	80%	-
vs Weaker (4)	24.8	22.5	47.2	+2.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.1	20.6	45.6	+4.5	73%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.0	20.9	44.9	+3.1	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	26.5	20.1	46.5	+6.4	85%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	21.0	45.5	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	19.8	45.6	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	24.0	20.0	44.0	+4.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	25.1	20.6	45.8	+4.5	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	22.2	44.5	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.1	21.6	45.6	+2.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	22.9	43.1	-2.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	21.3	44.3	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	21.0	47.4	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	21.8	22.5	44.2	-0.7	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (4)	29.8	24.5	54.2	+5.2	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	48.4	40.3	88.7	+8.2	83%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	47.8	41.1	88.9	+6.7	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	49.2	39.2	88.4	+10.1	92%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.4	38.4	83.8	+7.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.6	37.4	86.0	+11.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	45.0	40.0	85.0	+5.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	48.7	40.3	89.0	+8.4	86%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.1	44.7	88.7	-0.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.1	43.6	89.6	+2.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.8	45.9	87.7	-4.1	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	44.5	86.6	-2.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	43.2	85.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	42.0	45.6	87.6	-3.6	19%	-
vs Similar (5)	44.4	38.8	83.2	+5.6	80%	-
vs Weaker (4)	54.5	47.0	101.5	+7.5	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Geraldton Buccaneers wins

Perth Redbacks wins

Date	Game	Score
20/07/24	Perth Redbacks v Geraldton Buccaneers	76-107
02/06/24	Geraldton Buccaneers v Perth Redbacks	91-85
05/08/23	Geraldton Buccaneers v Perth Redbacks	119-83
09/07/23	Perth Redbacks v Geraldton Buccaneers	97-88
08/04/23	Geraldton Buccaneers v Perth Redbacks	80-96
09/07/22	Perth Redbacks v Geraldton Buccaneers	88-81
25/06/22	Geraldton Buccaneers v Perth Redbacks	94-69
24/07/21	Geraldton Buccaneers v Perth Redbacks	68-67
27/06/21	Perth Redbacks v Geraldton Buccaneers	105-83

Geraldton Buccaneerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/04/25	A	Kalamunda Eastern Suns	78-67
05/04/25	A	Joondalup Wolves	107-111 OT
03/08/24	H	Willetton Tigers	89-98
27/07/24	H	Mandurah Magic	106-100
20/07/24	A	Perth Redbacks	107-76
13/07/24	H	Mandurah Magic	115-100
06/07/24	H	Rockingham Flames	93-94
30/06/24	A	Joondalup Wolves	89-72
29/06/24	A	Lakeside Lightning	100-93
22/06/24	H	Kalamunda Eastern Suns	77-68

Perth Redbackslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/04/25	H	Joondalup Wolves	85-83
20/07/24	H	Geraldton Buccaneers	76-107
13/07/24	H	Perry Lakes Hawks	92-102
06/07/24	H	Lakeside Lightning	89-83
29/06/24	H	Joondalup Wolves	84-99
21/06/24	H	Warwick Senators	74-104
14/06/24	H	Rockingham Flames	87-90
07/06/24	A	Lakeside Lightning	87-109
02/06/24	A	Geraldton Buccaneers	85-91
31/05/24	A	East Perth Eagles	78-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geraldton Buccaneers

NBL1 West 2025

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LW	50%
Home	-	-
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	-	2
Win %	50%	-	50%
Points / game	92.5	-	92.5
Allowed / game	89.0	-	89.0
Point differential	+3.5	-	+3.5
Avg total	181.5	-	181.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	-	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	50%	-	50%

Perth Redbacks

NBL1 West 2025

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	W	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	1	-
Win %	100%	100%	-
Points / game	85.0	85.0	-
Allowed / game	83.0	83.0	-
Point differential	+2.0	+2.0	-
Avg total	168.0	168.0	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Goldfields Giants	1	1	0	100%	106.0	66.0	+40.0
2	Warwick Senators	1	1	0	100%	117.0	79.0	+38.0
3	Rockingham Flames	2	2	0	100%	111.5	90.5	+21.0
4	Willetton Tigers	1	1	0	100%	95.0	81.0	+14.0
5	Perth Redbacks	1	1	0	100%	85.0	83.0	+2.0
6	Kalamunda Eastern Suns	3	2	1	67%	75.0	69.0	+6.0
7	Geraldton Buccaneers	2	1	1	50%	92.5	89.0	+3.5
8	Mandurah Magic	2	1	1	50%	91.0	88.5	+2.5
9	Joondalup Wolves	2	1	1	50%	97.0	96.0	+1.0
10	Perry Lakes Hawks	2	1	1	50%	78.0	82.0	-4.0
11	Lakeside Lightning	3	0	3	0%	82.7	102.0	-19.3
12	South West Slammers	1	0	1	0%	61.0	81.0	-20.0
13	East Perth Eagles	1	0	1	0%	94.0	115.0	-21.0
14	Beeliar Boodjar	2	0	2	0%	76.5	107.0	-30.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Geraldton Buccaneers	34	27	25	21	107
Perth Redbacks	16	12	16	25	69

← all games of the day

Geraldton Buccaneers vs Perth Redbacks Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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