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Germany vs Sweden Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 25 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 80-61
23-19 18-12 19-17 20-13
Position#8
Record1-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game67.0
Germany 🏆
vs
Position#26
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game79.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 4· SNP Dome
Other2023
Meetings · Germany v Sweden
29 Aug 2025
GERM105
SWED83
25 Nov 2024
GERM80
SWED61
24 Feb 2023
GERM73
SWED66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Germany winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sweden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGermany
Date
Competition
Japan
#28
W
81-63
81
63
+18
no box
H25/08
World Cup
Australia
#5
W
85-82
85
82
+3
no box
A27/08
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
101-75
101
75
+26
no box
H29/08
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
100-73
100
73
+27
no box
H01/09
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
100-71
100
71
+29
no box
H03/09
World Cup
Latvia
#3
W
81-79
81
79
+2
no box
H06/09
World Cup
Serbia
#13
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H10/09
World Cup
Montenegro
#19
W
85-61
85
61
+24
79avg 71
H22/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
62-67
62
67
-5
53avg 71
A25/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
L
72-73
72
73
-1
57avg 71
A22/11
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-11
30-20
16-16
12-16
24-25
25-19
13-22
23-16
19-22
28-17
29-16
25-20
22-16
21-25
27-16
30-16
11-25
27-9
30-18
32-19
13-16
23-18
26-25
19-20
23-26
24-21
22-10
14-20
28-10
19-20
11-20
27-11
19-7
8-21
18-11
17-28
18-26
19-11
19-18
16-18
157.1Avg total
85.0Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.067.0140.0+6.033%
Season at home (1)85.061.0146.0+24.0100%
Season away (2)67.070.0137.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)85.072.1157.1+12.980%
Last 5 (5)76.671.4148.0+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.387.0164.3-9.733%
vs Similar (7)89.784.6174.3+5.186%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)88.773.8162.4+14.980%
This opponent (Sweden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSweden
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#24
L
81-84
81
84
-3
no box
H03/07
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
50-67
50
67
-17
no box
H25/08
World Cup
Israel
#52
W
95-83
95
83
+12
no box
A28/08
World Cup
Estonia
#55
W
87-82
87
82
+5
no box
A11/11
World Cup
Israel
#52
W
71-68
71
68
+3
no box
H14/11
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
66-73
66
73
-7
no box
A24/02
World Cup
Estonia
#55
L
71-72
71
72
-1
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Bulgaria
#13
W
84-70
84
70
+14
77avg 65
H22/02
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
L
70-95
70
95
-25
54avg 65
A25/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
W
73-72
73
72
+1
64avg 65
H22/11
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
24-19
20-29
20-14
9-25
20-21
13-8
8-13
24-23
28-15
18-22
25-23
27-13
12-24
20-24
28-21
17-16
20-24
16-8
18-20
19-21
12-19
14-17
21-16
16-17
14-11
14-15
27-29
29-22
21-21
12-12
22-15
24-27
13-23
20-25
13-20
26-18
11-19
18-19
18-16
151.4Avg total
74.8Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.779.0154.7-3.367%
Season at home (2)78.571.0149.5+7.5100%
Season away (1)70.095.0165.0-25.00%
Last 10 (10)74.876.6151.4-1.850%
Last 5 (5)72.876.4149.2-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)67.074.5141.5-7.530%
vs Similar (6)81.382.7164.0-1.333%
vs Weaker (14)83.073.6156.6+9.464%
This opponent (Germany) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
GermanySweden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GermanyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Japan
#28
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H25/08
World Cup
Australia
#5
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A27/08
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H29/08
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H01/09
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H03/09
World Cup
Latvia
#3
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H06/09
World Cup
Serbia
#13
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H10/09
World Cup
Montenegro
#19
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H22/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A25/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A22/11
EuroBasket
78.9Avg total
42.4Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.337.380.6+6.173%-
Last 30 at home (19)44.436.981.3+7.479%-
Last 30 away (11)41.537.879.4+3.764%-
Last 10 (10)42.436.578.9+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)38.835.274.0+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.742.786.3+1.067%-
vs Similar (7)43.143.686.7-0.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.434.277.6+9.185%-
This opponent (Sweden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SwedenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#24
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H03/07
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H25/08
World Cup
Israel
#52
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A28/08
World Cup
Estonia
#55
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A11/11
World Cup
Israel
#52
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H14/11
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A24/02
World Cup
Estonia
#55
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H27/02
World Cup
Bulgaria
#13
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H22/02
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A25/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H22/11
EuroBasket
78.3Avg total
38.3Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.937.675.5+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.535.873.3+1.753%-
Last 30 away (15)38.239.477.6-1.247%-
Last 10 (10)38.340.078.3-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)37.039.676.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)32.840.973.7-8.120%-
vs Similar (6)41.239.380.5+1.850%-
vs Weaker (14)40.134.574.6+5.671%-
This opponent (Germany) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Germanytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Germany: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.816.4
51.6%
50.6%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.211.8
32.6%
32.5%35.4
🏀 Free throws23.818.2
76.5%
71.4%18.2
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Swedentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sweden: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.015.0
46.9%
50.6%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.0
33.3%
32.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws23.015.0
65.2%
71.4%15.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/3 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Germany
LLWWWWWWWW
Sweden
WLWLLWWWLL
#8
League position
#26
+16.0
Net rating
-3.8
111.3
Offensive rating
106.1
95.3
Defensive rating
109.9
50.1%
Effective FG%
48.4%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
16.2%
Turnover %
14.2%
41.1%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.6%
3-point %
33.3%
63.8%
Assist %
53.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 106.1Defence95.3 · 109.9Shooting50.1% · 48.4%3-point %32.6% · 33.3%Ball care16.2% · 14.2%Off. rebounds41.1% · 29.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Germany   ■ Sweden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Germany wins
1
Sweden wins
DateGameScore
22/11/24Sweden v Germany73-72
24/02/23Germany v Sweden73-66
25/08/22Sweden v Germany50-67
Germanylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/24ASweden72-73
25/02/24ABulgaria62-67
22/02/24HMontenegro85-61
10/09/23HSerbia83-77
06/09/23HLatvia81-79
03/09/23HSlovenia100-71
01/09/23HGeorgia100-73
29/08/23HFinland101-75
27/08/23AAustralia85-82
25/08/23HJapan81-63
Swedenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/24HGermany73-72
25/02/24AMontenegro70-95
22/02/24HBulgaria84-70
27/02/23HEstonia71-72
24/02/23AGermany66-73
14/11/22HIsrael71-68
11/11/22AEstonia87-82
28/08/22AIsrael95-83
25/08/22HGermany50-67
03/07/22HSlovenia81-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Germany
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game73.085.067.0
Allowed / game67.061.070.0
Point differential+6.0+24.0-3.0
Avg total140.0146.0137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sweden
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game75.778.570.0
Allowed / game79.071.095.0
Point differential-3.3+7.5-25.0
Avg total154.7149.5165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia440100%80.856.8+24.0
2 Italy330100%88.371.0+17.3
3 France440100%76.863.5+13.2
4 Latvia330100%72.766.3+6.3
5 Croatia1411379%84.970.5+14.4
6 Lithuania43175%79.567.0+12.5
7 Montenegro43175%82.875.8+7.0
8 Turkey43175%82.276.0+6.2
9 Greece43175%73.869.0+4.8
10 Israel43175%81.276.5+4.8
11 Slovenia43175%83.079.0+4.0
12 Estonia43175%76.873.5+3.2
13 Portugal107370%82.773.0+9.7
14 Belgium32167%68.362.7+5.7
15 Sweden32167%75.779.0-3.3
16 Bulgaria149564%78.674.4+4.2
17 Slovakia138562%73.169.3+3.8
18 North Macedonia106460%74.069.6+4.4
19 Poland106460%79.475.9+3.5
20 Romania148657%72.072.1-0.1
21 Bosnia & Herzegovina42250%87.279.8+7.5
22 Czech Republic42250%80.076.2+3.8
23 Georgia42250%75.874.5+1.2
24 Denmark189950%74.473.6+0.8
25 Great Britain42250%80.083.2-3.2
26 Norway146843%71.176.0-4.9
27 Ireland104640%73.984.4-10.5
28 Austria1661038%75.077.2-2.2
29 Switzerland1661038%67.871.9-4.2
30 Kosovo83538%76.081.2-5.2
31 Germany31233%73.067.0+6.0
32 Spain31233%68.069.7-1.7
33 Iceland31233%72.078.7-6.7
34 Netherlands41325%79.284.5-5.2
35 Finland41325%74.283.2-9.0
36 Luxembourg81712%75.685.2-9.6
37 Albania81712%73.285.8-12.5
38 Cyprus161156%63.680.8-17.2
39 Ukraine4040%74.585.0-10.5
40 Hungary4040%67.281.5-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 40 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Germany2318192080
Sweden1912171361
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