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Germany W vs USA W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Aug 2024
Tip-off: 15:15
Final 68-87
19-16 10-25 17-28 22-18
Position#5
Record4-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game71.0
Germany W
vs
USA W 🏆
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game94.2
Allowed / game62.8
EuropeOlympic Games Women· Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Germany W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
USA W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Germany WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Spain W
#4
L
42-67
42
67
-25
no box
A22/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
W
71-69 OT
71
69
+2
no box
H24/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
62-78
62
78
-16
no box
H25/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
85-41
85
41
+44
96avg 64
A09/11
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
53-70
53
70
-17
39avg 64
H12/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#9
W
73-66
73
66
+7
74avg 64
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Australia W
#3
L
52-85
52
85
-33
38avg 64
A10/02
Olympic Games Women
Brazil W
#15
W
73-71
73
71
+2
66avg 64
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#7
W
83-69
83
69
+14
84avg 64
H29/07
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#13
W
75-64
75
64
+11
76avg 64
A01/08
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-20
9-13
13-20
13-14
18-15
11-18
13-16
21-14
15-25
19-22
9-15
19-16
19-9
22-10
21-8
23-14
8-21
19-15
12-12
14-22
19-12
17-9
17-25
20-20
10-24
14-30
21-21
7-10
19-14
20-21
18-18
16-18
25-11
21-14
14-17
23-27
21-16
21-20
17-13
16-15
134.9Avg total
66.9Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)71.271.0142.2+0.280%
Season at home (2)78.067.5145.5+10.5100%
Season away (3)66.773.3140.0-6.767%
Last 10 (10)66.968.0134.9-1.160%
Last 5 (5)71.271.0142.2+0.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)57.971.5129.5-13.627%
vs Similar (5)71.667.2138.8+4.4100%
vs Weaker (10)82.458.4140.8+24.080%
This opponent (USA W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USA WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Brazil W
#1
L
54-67
54
67
-13
no box
H04/07
AmeriCup Women
Cuba W
#6
W
106-44
106
44
+62
no box
A05/07
AmeriCup Women
Colombia W
#5
W
68-49
68
49
+19
no box
H07/07
AmeriCup Women
Canada W
#2
W
67-63
67
63
+4
no box
A09/07
AmeriCup Women
Brazil W
#1
L
58-69
58
69
-11
no box
A10/07
AmeriCup Women
Belgium W
#7
W
81-79
81
79
+2
75avg 94
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Nigeria W
#10
W
100-46
100
46
+54
105avg 94
A09/02
Olympic Games Women
Senegal W
#17
W
101-39
101
39
+62
103avg 94
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#13
W
102-76
102
76
+26
99avg 94
H29/07
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#7
W
87-74
87
74
+13
91avg 94
A01/08
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-15
13-20
14-14
15-18
27-14
33-4
23-10
23-16
23-11
20-18
10-12
15-8
22-17
17-12
15-21
13-13
16-14
21-21
10-25
11-9
15-19
19-24
23-23
24-13
19-13
32-7
24-15
25-11
29-15
21-8
26-9
25-7
22-15
28-24
29-18
23-19
23-23
23-15
14-15
27-21
143.0Avg total
82.4Scored
60.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)94.262.8157.0+31.4100%
Season at home (2)91.577.5169.0+14.0100%
Season away (3)96.053.0149.0+43.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.460.6143.0+21.880%
Last 5 (5)94.262.8157.0+31.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)67.063.0130.0+4.0100%
vs Similar (2)56.068.0124.0-12.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)89.360.8150.1+28.4100%
This opponent (Germany W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +7.4+7.4Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +6.6+6.6
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +7.4+7.4Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +6.6+6.6
Germany WUSA W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Germany WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spain W
#4
L
16-33
16
33
-17
A22/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H24/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H25/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
41-19
41
19
+22
A09/11
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H12/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#9
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Australia W
#3
L
24-54
24
54
-30
A10/02
Olympic Games Women
Brazil W
#15
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#7
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H29/07
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#13
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A01/08
Olympic Games Women
67.3Avg total
33.4Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)33.633.967.5-0.342%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.932.866.7+1.136%-
Last 30 away (12)33.235.268.5-2.050%-
Last 10 (10)33.433.967.3-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.434.271.6+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)27.135.062.1-7.918%-
vs Similar (5)35.432.668.0+2.860%-
vs Weaker (10)39.933.473.3+6.560%-
This opponent (USA W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USA WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brazil W
#1
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H04/07
AmeriCup Women
Cuba W
#6
W
60-18
60
18
+42
A05/07
AmeriCup Women
Colombia W
#5
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H07/07
AmeriCup Women
Canada W
#2
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A09/07
AmeriCup Women
Brazil W
#1
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A10/07
AmeriCup Women
Belgium W
#7
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Nigeria W
#10
W
51-20
51
20
+31
A09/02
Olympic Games Women
Senegal W
#17
W
50-23
50
23
+27
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#13
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H29/07
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#7
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A01/08
Olympic Games Women
74.4Avg total
43.5Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.230.876.0+14.487%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.132.376.4+11.879%-
Last 30 away (16)46.229.575.8+16.894%-
Last 10 (10)43.530.974.4+12.680%-
Last 5 (5)46.232.678.8+13.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.029.068.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar (2)31.035.066.0-4.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)46.530.677.1+16.089%-
This opponent (Germany W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Germany Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Germany W: 69.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀27%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.7 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.015.9
41.7%
45.1%31.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.66.4
31.2%
30.1%19.3
🏀 Free throws24.918.4
74.1%
74.5%18.4
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
USA Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

USA W: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.422.5
47.5%
45.1%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.86.1
30.8%
30.1%18.3
🏀 Free throws24.118.1
75.1%
74.5%18.1
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/10 games with a box score before 04 Aug 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Germany W
WWWLWLWLWL
USA W
WWWWWLWWWL
#5
League position
#1
+4.8
Net rating
+28.2
90.4
Offensive rating
108.4
85.6
Defensive rating
80.2
43.5%
Effective FG%
47.1%
41.1%
Opp. effective FG%
38.9%
24.5%
Turnover %
19.9%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
44.3%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.36
31.2%
3-point %
30.8%
73.7%
Assist %
68.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence90.4 · 108.4Defence85.6 · 80.2Shooting43.5% · 47.1%3-point %31.2% · 30.8%Ball care24.5% · 19.9%Off. rebounds31.7% · 44.3%Free throws0.42 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Germany W   ■ USA W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Germany W wins
0
USA W wins
No previous meetings.
Germany Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/08/24AJapan W75-64
29/07/24HBelgium W83-69
11/02/24ABrazil W73-71
10/02/24AAustralia W52-85
08/02/24HSerbia W73-66
12/11/23HItaly W53-70
09/11/23ACzech Republic W85-41
25/06/23HSerbia W62-78
24/06/23HCzech Republic W71-69 OT
22/06/23ASpain W42-67
USA Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/08/24ABelgium W87-74
29/07/24HJapan W102-76
11/02/24ASenegal W101-39
09/02/24ANigeria W100-46
08/02/24HBelgium W81-79
10/07/23ABrazil W58-69
09/07/23ACanada W67-63
07/07/23HColombia W68-49
05/07/23ACuba W106-44
04/07/23HBrazil W54-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Germany W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game71.278.066.7
Allowed / game71.067.573.3
Point differential+0.2+10.5-6.7
Avg total142.2145.5140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
USA W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.291.596.0
Allowed / game62.877.553.0
Point differential+31.4+14.0+43.0
Avg total157.0169.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W550100%82.847.4+35.4
2 USA W550100%94.262.8+31.4
3 Spain W65183%71.871.0+0.8
4 Australia W54180%70.464.0+6.4
5 Germany W54180%71.271.0+0.2
6 China W63350%79.571.2+8.3
7 Belgium W63350%80.372.7+7.7
8 Serbia W63350%68.766.2+2.5
9 Nigeria W63350%64.575.0-10.5
10 Canada W94544%69.065.0+4.0
11 Hungary W31233%69.371.7-2.3
12 Colombia W31233%69.774.0-4.3
13 Japan W62433%74.283.3-9.2
14 Puerto Rico W93633%62.974.9-12.0
15 Brazil W3030%63.768.3-4.7
16 Venezuela W3030%56.074.3-18.3
17 Senegal W3030%56.790.0-33.3
18 New Zealand W3030%51.085.7-34.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Germany W1910172268
USA W1625281887
← all games of the day
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